Colorado State at Fresno State Game Matchup

Colorado State Rams at Fresno State Bulldogs

Saturday, November 23rd 2024 (10:30 PM EST)
Fresno State -3.5 (43.5) (-155) Open: -1.0
Fresno State 28 - Colorado State: 22 (Mountain West)

Rams (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jay Norvell (8 - 16)
Avg Score : 24 - 26 (22 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

FRES coming off BYE
Our Line: Colorado State -0.5 (SP+ -2)
PPG only: CSU: 25 - FRES: 26 (51)
FRES Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
CSU Travel: 831 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Bulldogs (6 - 7) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Tim Skipper (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 25 (32 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Off Players
Def Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Colorado State's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 8/31	Colorado State at Texas	+35.5	59.0	L 0 - 52
Sat 9/7	Colorado State vs Northern Colorado	-31.0	52.5	W 38 - 17
Sat 9/14	Colorado State vs Colorado	+7.5	58.5	L 9 - 28
Sat 9/21	Colorado State vs UTEP	-8.5	49.0	W 27 - 17
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5	Colorado State at Oregon State	+10.0	47.0	L 31 - 39
Sat 10/12	Colorado State vs San José State	-2.5	55.5	W 31 - 24
Sat 10/19	Colorado State at Air Force	-6.0	43.5	W 21 - 13
Sat 10/26	Colorado State vs New Mexico	-3.5	62.0	W 17 - 6
Sat 11/2	Colorado State at Nevada	-2.0	45.5	W 38 - 21
	BYE WEEK
Fri 11/15	Colorado State vs Wyoming	-8.5	47.5	W 24 - 10
Sat 11/23	Colorado State at Fresno State	+3.5	43.5	L 22 - 28
Fri 11/29	Colorado State vs Utah State	-5.5	56.5	W 42 - 37
Sat 12/28	Colorado State vs Miami (OH)	+1.0	42.5	L 17 - 43

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Fresno State's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 8/31	Fresno State at Michigan	+21.0	48.0	L 10 - 30
Sat 9/7	Fresno State vs Sacramento State	-18.5	55.5	W 46 - 30
Sat 9/14	Fresno State vs New Mexico State	-19.5	48.5	W 48 - 0
Sat 9/21	Fresno State at New Mexico	-12.0	61.0	W 38 - 21
Sat 9/28	Fresno State at UNLV	+2.5	51.0	L 14 - 59
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Fresno State vs Washington State	+3.5	60.5	L 17 - 25
Fri 10/18	Fresno State at Nevada	-3.0	50.0	W 24 - 21
Sat 10/26	Fresno State vs San José State	-6.5	55.0	W 33 - 10
Sat 11/2	Fresno State vs Hawai'i	-12.0	45.5	L 20 - 21
Sat 11/9	Fresno State at Air Force	-9.5	40.5	L 28 - 36
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	Fresno State vs Colorado State	-3.5	43.5	W 28 - 22
Sat 11/30	Fresno State at UCLA	+7.5	46.5	L 13 - 20
Mon 12/23	Fresno State vs Northern Illinois	+2.0	41.0	L 20 - 28

CSU's OC Matt Mumme vs FRES's DC Kevin Coyle FRES's OC Pat McCann vs CSU's DC Freddie Banks

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CSU	#81 (.17)	42% (74)	24.4	39% (118)	2.7 (124)	93	45% (38)	307	3.66 (86)	#65 (.18)	43% (80)	25.8	42% (61)	44% (107)	3.4 (31)	69.8	2.1	1.6
FRES	#51 (.22)	44% (48)	26.1	40% (103)	2.97 (95)	106	47% (24)	281	4.21 (36)	#66 (.18)	41% (60)	24.8	42% (62)	41% (64)	3.31 (20)	39.8	1.1	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
FRES		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CSU Offense	12	24.4	22.4	41.6%	3.66	2.1	21	399	93	307	3.4	39%	59%	39%	45%	16%	.17
FRES Defense	13	24.8	18	41.5%	3.31	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	42%	41%	16%	.18

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CSU Defense	12	25.8	30.6	42.9%	3.4	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	42%	44%	16%	.18
FRES Offense	13	26.1	32	43.8%	4.21	1.1	21	388	106	281	3.8	37%	62%	40%	47%	15%	.22

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Colorado State	12	26:34	20.6	41%	42%	7.6	69.8	2.1	1.6	7.2	2.8	2	26.1
Fresno State	13	29:21	20.9	48%	64%	4.4	39.8	1.1	1.8	5.5	2.2	1	31.4

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CSU Offense	12	39% (126)	39% (118)	27.7	92.8	3.4	10 (124)	-.02 (130)	2.7 (124)	69% (102)	7% (15)	0.72 (133)
FRES Defense	13	53% (105)	42% (62)	-	-	-	-	.13 (61)	3.16 (84)	68% (42)	9% (95)	0.91 (30)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CSU Defense	12	52% (102)	42% (61)	-	-	-	-	.11 (47)	3.05 (55)	75% (82)	12% (24)	1.04 (90)
FRES Offense	13	37% (129)	40% (103)	28.4	106.5	3.8	16 (89)	.14 (77)	2.97 (95)	74% (70)	8% (28)	1.01 (62)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CSU Offense	12	59% (9)	45% (38)	25.9	41.8	306.5	7.3	11.8	24 (41)	18 (128)	.35 (43)	1.5 (100)	33% (86)	29% (81)	.31 (74)	8% (124)	2 (105)
FRES Defense	13	46% (28)	41% (64)	-	-	-	-	-	-	17 (3)	.3 (90)	1.7 (93)	32% (60)	33% (106)	.34 (84)	7% (44)	2 (44)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CSU Defense	12	47% (31)	44% (107)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (87)	.29 (87)	1.4 (10)	32% (69)	30% (69)	.3 (60)	4% (126)	2.1 (79)
FRES Offense	13	62% (5)	47% (24)	25.8	39.6	281.3	7.1	10.9	29 (18)	12 (85)	.3 (65)	1.5 (118)	31% (49)	38% (10)	.43 (37)	7% (93)	1.8 (125)

Colorado State's Power Ratings
Colorado State's Power Rating: -4.04 #78
Colorado State's Offense Rating: 19.14 #74
Colorado State's Defense Rating: 9.60 #69
2024 Talent Rating: 502.00 #98
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Colorado State's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Colorado State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.7 #93
Colorado State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #92
Colorado State's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #85

Colorado State's SP+ Ratings
Colorado State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.7 #93
Colorado State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #92
Colorado State's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #85

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 443.33
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Colorado State: -4.04 Fresno State: -4.4

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Colorado State: -5.7 Fresno State: -3.8

Fresno State's Power Ratings
Fresno State's Power Rating: -4.4 #87
Fresno State's Offense Rating: 16.89 #95
Fresno State's Defense Rating: 6.00 #33
2024 Talent Rating: 540.00 #88
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Fresno State's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0

Fresno State's SP+ Ratings
Fresno State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.8 #85
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #85
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #77

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 443.33
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Colorado State Scoring
Offense: 24.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.4
Defense: 25.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.6

Colorado State's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Fresno State 26
Colorado State 25

Projected Total Points: 51

Fresno State Scoring
Offense: 26.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 32
Defense: 24.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 18

Fresno State's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/23	Fresno State	28	Colorado State	22	Fresno State	Fresno State -3.5	Fresno State	43.5	Over
2020	10/29	Fresno State	38	Colorado State	17	Fresno State	Colorado State -2.5	Fresno State	58.0	Under
2019	10/26	Fresno State	31	Colorado State	41	Colorado State	Fresno State -13.5	Colorado State	57.0	Over
2016	11/05	Colorado State	37	Fresno State	0	Colorado State	Colorado State -13	Colorado State	58.5	Under
2015	11/28	Fresno State	31	Colorado State	34	Colorado State	Colorado State -8.5	Fresno State	60.5	Over
2012	10/06	Colorado State	7	Fresno State	28	Fresno State
2008	12/20	Fresno State	35	Colorado State	40	Colorado State
2006	09/30	Fresno State	23	Colorado State	35	Colorado State
2003	10/04	Colorado State	34	Fresno State	10	Colorado State
2002	10/04	Fresno State	32	Colorado State	30	Fresno State
2001	10/13	Colorado State	22	Fresno State	25	Fresno State

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Fresno State	5	3	3 Overs
Colorado State	6	2	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	5 - 6	4 - 1	2 - 1	2 - 0
Road Teams	6 - 5	1 - 4	0 - 2	1 - 2

(#78) Colorado State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -4.04 #78
Offense Rating: 19.14 #74
Defense Rating: 9.60 #69
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.7 #93
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #92
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #85
Talent Rating: 502.00 #98
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0

Colorado State Notes
(11/29) QB torched Ut St. Rgame awful, R Def awful
(11/29) Came back from 30-13 deficit with 29 str pts
(11/18) Rgame mauled Wyom, Def great TW. Hot team
(11/3) Won 4 straight, Rgame good over Nevada
(11/2) CSU has covered 5 straight into Nevada gm
(10/20) Def all 350 to Air Force? Rgame good enough
(10/14) Star WR Tory Horton out for season (knee)
(10/13) QB/Rgame better (4.8 ypc) in W over SJSU

Colorado State Ratings Matchup Fresno State

Power #78

#87

Off #74

#95

Def #69

#33

Talent #98

#88

SP+ #93

#85

SP+ Off #92

#85

SP+ Def #85

#77

Rematch from Week 13
Fresno State -3.5 (43.5)
Fresno State won vs Colorado State this year (28-22)

Previous Matchups
Fresno State beat Colorado State last year (28-22)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bulldog Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 56° - Wind: 7 mph

Team Information
Injuries: CSU | FRES
Depth Chart: CSU | FRES
Rosters: CSU | FRES

(#87) Fresno State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -4.4 #87
Offense Rating: 16.89 #95
Defense Rating: 6.00 #33
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.8 #85
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #85
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #77
Talent Rating: 540.00 #88
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0

Fresno State Notes
(12/10) Hired HC Matt Entz (USC LB, NDSU HC 19-23)
(11/3) Bad L (Haw), Keene was bad, Rgame was abysmal
(10/27) Momentum w/ 2 W's, 12-19 on 3rd vs SJSU
(10/27) QB Keene too many INTs, has WRs. Rgame awful
(10/4) Rgame bottom CFB, OL yds, success awful.
(9/28) Run O abysmal, Run D torched (UNLV). Keene good
(7/30) HC Tedford resigned, AHC Skipper Int coach in '24
(7/30) QB Keene back (Best in MW), WR should be good

Colorado State's OC Matt Mumme

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi	227	374	61%	2755	14	8	7.4
Jackson Brousseau	3	6	50%	15	0	1	2.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Avery Morrow	184	1006	9	5.5	73
Justin Marshall	156	767	4	4.9	42
Jalen Dupree	25	153	1	6.1	24
Keegan Holles	15	97	1	6.5	18

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Caleb Goodie	21	436	4	20.8	85
Jamari Person	35	373	1	10.7	60
Armani Winfield	38	341	2	9.0	62
Tory Horton	25	331	1	13.2	52

Fresno State's OC Pat McCann

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Mikey Keene	276	392	70%	2887	18	11	7.4
Joshua Wood	18	28	64%	195	1	1	7.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Bryson Donelson	78	472	3	6.1	43
Elijah Gilliam	121	466	8	3.9	24
Malik Sherrod	60	196	4	3.3	48
Joshua Wood	37	118	6	3.2	15

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Mac Dalena	60	998	8	16.6	75
Jalen Moss	49	582	4	11.9	49
Raylen Sharpe	51	523	3	10.3	38
Elijah Gilliam	32	204	0	6.4	71

Colorado State's DC Freddie Banks

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Chase Wilson	97	3	0	6	1
Buom Jock	97	3	0	2	3
Jack Howell	86	1	0	0	5
Henry Blackburn	79	1	1	2	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Gabe Kirschke	41	10	6	8	2
Mukendi Wa-Kalonji	35	6	3	5	1
James Mitchell	38	6	2	5	1
Ayden Hector	40	5	2	0	6

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Elias Larry	38	3	1	9
Dom Jones	60	2	0	8
Dominic Morris	54	2	0	8

Fresno State's DC Kevin Coyle

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tuasivi Nomura	102	7	0	0	3
Malachi Langley	73	3	3	7	0
Dean Clark	56	3	2	2	4
Alzillion Hamilton	50	5	1	1	12

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Malachi Langley	73	3	3	7	0
Dean Clark	56	3	2	2	4
Phoenix Jackson	45	5	2	5	4
Korey Foreman	23	5	2	4	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Alzillion Hamilton	50	5	1	1	12
Cameron Lockridge	37	2	0	0	6
Phoenix Jackson	45	5	2	5	4