Air Force at San Diego State Game Matchup
Air Force logo Air Force Falcons at San Diego State AztecsSan Diego State logo
Saturday, November 30th 2024 (10:30 PM EST)
Air Force -6.5 (43.5) (-230)  Open: -3.5 | 43.5
Air Force 31 - San Diego State: 20  (Mountain West)

 
Falcons (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Troy Calhoun (130 - 82)
Avg Score : 19 - 23 (19 - 29 on Road)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
AFA 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: -2    (SP+ -3.5)
PPG only: AFA: 24 - SDSU: 22 (46)
AFA Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
AFA Travel: 809 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Aztecs (3 - 9) (5 - 6 - 0)
Coach Sean Lewis (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 21 - 30 (22 - 23 @ Home)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Air Force's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/31 Air Force vs Merrimack-30.547.5W 21 - 6
Sat 9/7 Air Force vs San José State-1.543.5L 7 - 17
Sat 9/14 Air Force at Baylor+17.540.5L 3 - 31
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 Air Force at Wyoming-4.033.5L 19 - 31
Sat 10/5 Air Force vs Navy+10.037.0L 7 - 34
Sat 10/12 Air Force at New Mexico+7.056.0L 37 - 52
Sat 10/19 Air Force vs Colorado State+6.043.5L 13 - 21
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2 Air Force at Army+18.038.5L 3 - 20
Sat 11/9 Air Force vs Fresno State+9.540.5W 36 - 28
Sat 11/16 Air Force vs Oregon State+3.044.5W 28 - 0
Sat 11/23 Air Force at Nevada+3.044.5W 22 - 19
Sat 11/30 Air Force at San Diego State-6.543.5W 31 - 20
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
San Diego State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/31 San Diego State vs East Texas A&M W 45 - 14
Sat 9/7 San Diego State vs Oregon State+5.554.5L 0 - 21
Sat 9/14 San Diego State at California+18.548.5L 10 - 31
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 San Diego State at Central Michigan+2.547.5L 21 - 22
Sat 10/5 San Diego State vs Hawai'i-1.547.5W 27 - 24
Sat 10/12 San Diego State at Wyoming+1.543.0W 27 - 24
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26 San Diego State vs Washington State+17.056.5L 26 - 29
Fri 11/1 San Diego State at Boise State+24.555.5L 24 - 56
Fri 11/8 San Diego State vs New Mexico-1.565.5L 16 - 21
Sat 11/16 San Diego State at UNLV+22.055.5L 20 - 41
Sat 11/23 San Diego State at Utah State+5.060.0L 20 - 41
Sat 11/30 San Diego State vs Air Force+6.543.5L 20 - 31
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

AFA's OC Mike Thiessen vs SDSU's DC Eric Schmidt     SDSU's OC Sean Lewis vs AFA's DC Brian Knorr

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AFA#26 (.28)45% (31)18.946% (34)3.48 (8)28141% (74)854.05 (52)#28 (.12)39% (38)23.337% (16)42% (79)3.96 (85)24.81.31.1
SDSU#96 (.14)42% (70)21.343% (69)3.08 (77)15441% (77)1723.2 (116)#108 (.24)47% (127)29.653% (130)43% (86)3.38 (30)441.41.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AFA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
SDSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AFA Offense1318.919.245.5%4.051.320366281855.185%14%46%41%9%.28
SDSU Defense1229.623.346.9%3.381.5 - - - - - 46%52%53%43%16%.24
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AFA Defense1323.328.839.3%3.961.1 - - - - - 49%50%37%42%14%.12
SDSU Offense1221.322.341.9%3.21.4173261541724.156%43%43%41%15%.14

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Air Force1333:2619.646%68%324.81.31.14.52230.6
San Diego State1232:4717.235%57%4.9441.41.54.11.5131.6
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AFA Offense1385% (1)46% (34)54.7280.65.136 (4).27 (14)3.48 (8)80% (19)8% (22)1.02 (56)
SDSU Defense1246% (22)53% (130) - - - - .27 (126)3.44 (123)83% (114)8% (118)0.93 (36)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AFA Defense1349% (58)37% (16) - - - - .06 (26)2.67 (13)79% (106)9% (93)0.99 (61)
SDSU Offense1256% (22)43% (69)37.8154.34.116 (89).12 (85)3.08 (77)74% (66)10% (67)0.9 (111)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AFA Offense1314% (133)41% (74)4.28.18510.520.17 (129)6 (14).51 (9)2.3 (1)23% (1)27% (93).39 (48)2% (1)2.3 (7)
SDSU Defense1252% (110)43% (86) - - - - - - 12 (37).27 (68)1.5 (33)28% (128)32% (100).34 (80)8% (18)2 (40)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AFA Defense1350% (80)42% (79) - - - - - - 10 (67).21 (36)1.5 (19)34% (44)29% (45).34 (85)5% (103)2 (59)
SDSU Offense1243% (112)41% (77)16.826.6171.86.510.210 (120)10 (56).21 (91)1.4 (125)32% (69)27% (100).1 (128)5% (28)1.6 (133)

Air Force's Power Ratings
Air Force's Power Rating: #NR
Air Force's Offense Rating: #NR
Air Force's Defense Rating: #NR
2024 Talent Rating: 198.00 #131
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Air Force's 2024 Expected Record: -
Air Force's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.7 #111
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #120
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.5 #76

Air Force's SP+ Ratings
Air Force's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.7 #111
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #120
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.5 #76

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 443.33
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Air Force:    San Diego State: 2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Air Force: -11.7   San Diego State: -15.4




San Diego State's Power Ratings
San Diego State's Power Rating: 2 #NR
San Diego State's Offense Rating: #NR
San Diego State's Defense Rating: #NR
2024 Talent Rating: 596.00 #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
San Diego State's 2024 Expected Record: -

San Diego State's SP+ Ratings
San Diego State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.4 #119
San Diego State's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.7 #122
San Diego State's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.1 #104

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 443.33
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Air Force Scoring
Offense: 18.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.2
Defense: 23.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.8

Air Force's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Air Force 24
San Diego State 22

Projected Total Points: 46
San Diego State Scoring
Offense: 21.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 22.3
Defense: 29.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.3

San Diego State's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/30San Diego State20Air Force31Air ForceAir Force -6.5Air Force43.5Over
202309/30Air Force49San Diego State10Air ForceAir Force -10.5Air Force43.5Over
202211/26San Diego State3Air Force13Air ForceAir Force -2Air Force43.5Under
202110/23Air Force14San Diego State20San Diego StateAir Force -3San Diego State38.5Under
201810/12San Diego State21Air Force17San Diego StateSan Diego State -11Air Force43.5Under
201709/23Air Force24San Diego State28San Diego StateSan Diego State -1.5San Diego State48.0Over
201512/05San Diego State27Air Force24San Diego StateSan Diego State -3.5Air Force46.5Over
201411/21San Diego State30Air Force14San Diego StateSan Diego State -2San Diego State0
201310/10Air Force20San Diego State27San Diego StateSan Diego State -3.5San Diego State0
201211/10San Diego State28Air Force9San Diego State
201110/13Air Force27San Diego State41San Diego State
201010/16San Diego State27Air Force25San Diego State
200909/26Air Force26San Diego State14Air Force
200810/11San Diego State10Air Force35Air Force
200711/17Air Force55San Diego State23Air Force
200610/21San Diego State19Air Force12San Diego State
200509/10Air Force41San Diego State29Air Force
200411/13Air Force31San Diego State37San Diego State
200311/22San Diego State24Air Force3San Diego State
200109/29San Diego State21Air Force45Air Force
200011/17Air Force45San Diego State24Air Force
TeamWinsCoversO/U
San Diego State1244 Overs
Air Force953 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 92 - 72 - 30 - 4
Road Teams9 - 127 - 24 - 03 - 2

(#NR) Air Force Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: -11.7 #111
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #120
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.5 #76
Talent Rating: 198.00 #131
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -


Air Force Notes
(11/18) Rgame mauled Oreg St. Hayes good, Def great
(11/14) Have found their QB in So. Quentin Hayes
(11/3) QBs Hayes/Johnson vs Army, both bad, Rgame bad
(10/20) QB Busha started, 10-25. Rgame 3.2 ypc in CSU L
(10/18) QBs now 3 co-starters, Busha (orig #1) out of mix
(10/12) Killed by N Mex, Rgame 325 yds but Def torched
(10/8) Market hasn't caught up to how awful AFA is TY
(9/14) 10 pts in 2 losses. 3.2 ypc avg. Bad AFA team TY
Air Force     Ratings Matchup     San Diego State
Power #NR
#NR
Off #NR
#NR
Def #NR
#NR
Talent #131
#75
SP+ #111
#119
SP+ Off #120
#122
SP+ Def #76
#104

Rematch from Week 14
Air Force 6.5 (43.5)
Air Force won at San Diego State this year (31-20)

Previous Matchups
Air Force beat San Diego State last year (31-20)
Air Force beat San Diego State in 2023 (49-10)
Air Force beat San Diego State in 2022 (13-3)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Snapdragon Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 61°

Team Information
Injuries: AFA | SDSU
Depth Chart: AFA | SDSU
Rosters: AFA | SDSU
(#NR) San Diego State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 2 #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: -15.4 #119
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.7 #122
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.1 #104
Talent Rating: 596.00 #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
Expected Record: -


San Diego State Notes
(11/18) Rgame only 2 guys, one the QB O'Neil? L to Rebs
(11/3) Fought vs Boise, Pass D torched. QB/Rgame bad
(10/30) Playing better and still fighting hard for Lewis
(10/27) Off is just awful, Success, Expl, Poss Time bad
(10/27) Good fight vs Wazzu, Run D was good, Off better
(10/13) QB O'Neil good, Rgame meh, 9 more penalties
(9/26) Most penalized CFB team, 116 YPG in Wk 5.
(9/8) Shutout, only 180 yds by Oreg St. Run D bad




  
Air Force's OC Mike Thiessen
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
John Busha297937%415155.3
Quentin Hayes254358%4553210.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dylan Carson13860054.350
Quentin Hayes12646673.730
Owen Allen7733524.414
Cade Harris4827945.830
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cade Harris23368216.076
Quin Smith10207120.739
Jared Roznos5109021.852
Bruin Fleischmann5104020.843
San Diego State's OC Sean Lewis
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Danny O'Neil20933063%21811266.6
Javance Tupou'ata-Johnson203951%222225.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Marquez Cooper2921274124.447
Danny O'Neil748911.234
Cam Davis147605.438
Jaylon Armstead134203.215
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Louis Brown38620316.344
Ja'Shaun Poke5045919.246
Jordan Napier43440410.253
Nate Bennett22314114.348

Air Force's DC Brian Knorr
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Camby Goff673013
Jamari Bellamy643004
Osaro Aihie582201
Lincoln Tuioti-Mariner508212
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
David Santiago375423
Peyton Zdroik187330
Osaro Aihie582201
Lincoln Tuioti-Mariner508212
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jamari Bellamy643004
Trey Williams311004
Camby Goff673013
San Diego State's DC Eric Schmidt
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tano Letuli674220
Chris Johnson590013
Kyle Moretti583100
Trey White56191351
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Trey White56191351
Tupu Alualu215400
Marlem Louis104400
Ryan Henderson123320
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Deshawn McCuin262115
Eric Butler443003
Chris Johnson590013