App State at East Carolina Game Matchup

App State Mountaineers at East Carolina Pirates

Saturday, September 14th 2024 (4:00 PM EDT)
East Carolina -0.5 (56.5) (-105) Open: -2.5 | 57.5
App State 21 - East Carolina: 19

Mountaineers (5 - 6) (3 - 7 - 1)
Coach Shawn Clark (35 - 18)
Avg Score : 27 - 33 (24 - 40 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 6 (#83)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Rain Shower Predicted
Wind: 12.7 MPHAPP 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: East Carolina -10.5 (SP+ -7)
PPG only: APP: 27 - ECU: 33 (60)
ECU Win prob: 53% | Cover: 53%
APP Travel: 246 miles

Pirates (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Blake Harrell (5 - 0)
Avg Score : 32 - 27 (36 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Off Players
Def Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

App State's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 8/31	App State vs East Tennessee State	-35.5	58.5	W 38 - 10
Sat 9/7	App State at Clemson	+13.5	53.5	L 20 - 66
Sat 9/14	App State at East Carolina	+0.5	56.5	W 21 - 19
Thu 9/19	App State vs South Alabama	-8.0	62.5	L 14 - 48
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5	App State at Marshall	+3.0	56.5	L 37 - 52
Sat 10/12	App State at Louisiana	+10.0	64.0	L 24 - 34
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26	App State vs Georgia State	-7.5	59.0	W 33 - 26
Sat 11/2	App State vs Old Dominion	+2.5	58.0	W 28 - 20
Thu 11/7	App State at Coastal Carolina	-1.5	62.5	L 24 - 38
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	App State vs James Madison	+7.5	57.5	W 34 - 20
Sat 11/30	App State at Georgia Southern	+2.5	60.5	L 20 - 29

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

East Carolina's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 8/31	East Carolina vs Norfolk State	-31.5	51.5	W 42 - 3
Sat 9/7	East Carolina at Old Dominion	+1.5	53.5	W 20 - 14
Sat 9/14	East Carolina vs App State	-0.5	56.5	L 19 - 21
Sat 9/21	East Carolina at Liberty	+7.5	55.0	L 24 - 35
Sat 9/28	East Carolina vs UTSA	-2.0	53.5	W 30 - 20
Sat 10/5	East Carolina at Charlotte	-9.5	47.5	L 24 - 55
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19	East Carolina at Army	+17.5	54.0	L 28 - 45
Sat 10/26	East Carolina vs Temple	-8.5	48.5	W 56 - 34
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/7	East Carolina vs Florida Atlantic	-5.5	58.5	W 49 - 14
Thu 11/14	East Carolina at Tulsa	-16.0	63.5	W 38 - 31
Sat 11/23	East Carolina at North Texas	+2.5	73.5	W 40 - 28
Fri 11/29	East Carolina vs Navy	-2.5	54.0	L 20 - 34
Sat 12/28	East Carolina vs NC State	+7.5	61.5	W 26 - 21

APP's OC Frank Ponce vs ECU's DC Blake Harrell ECU's OC John David Baker vs APP's DC Scott Sloan

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
APP	#41 (.24)	46% (28)	26.6	43% (75)	3.18 (55)	172	50% (11)	273	3.8 (77)	#79 (.2)	43% (76)	32.9	45% (93)	41% (58)	3.15 (17)	40.5	1.6	1.8
ECU	#132 (.02)	33% (132)	32	35% (128)	2.85 (111)	112	32% (130)	164	2.62 (129)	#40 (.14)	34% (6)	27.3	30% (2)	39% (37)	2.84 (8)	54.3	1.8	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
APP		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ECU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
APP Offense	14	26.6	24.3	45.6%	3.8	1.6	24	445	172	273	4.5	51%	48%	43%	50%	16%	.24
ECU Defense	12	27.3	21	34.3%	2.84	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	30%	39%	20%	.14

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
APP Defense	14	32.9	39.7	42.6%	3.15	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	50%	49%	45%	41%	18%	.2
ECU Offense	12	32	36	33.3%	2.62	1.8	15	276	112	164	3.5	46%	53%	35%	32%	20%	.02

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
App State	14	31:15	23.7	42%	64%	4.4	40.5	1.6	1.8	6	2.5	2	29.3
East Carolina	12	28:59	15.1	30%	35%	5.8	54.3	1.8	1.3	6.9	1.5	2	30.6

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
APP Offense	14	51% (58)	43% (75)	38.1	171.6	4.5	23 (46)	.09 (99)	3.18 (55)	71% (92)	9% (49)	0.97 (83)
ECU Defense	12	51% (88)	30% (2)	-	-	-	-	-.01 (13)	2.53 (7)	74% (76)	13% (8)	1.19 (124)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
APP Defense	14	50% (59)	45% (93)	-	-	-	-	.23 (112)	3.41 (120)	79% (108)	11% (40)	1.1 (113)
ECU Offense	12	46% (98)	35% (128)	32.2	111.7	3.5	12 (116)	.03 (123)	2.85 (111)	71% (90)	12% (108)	0.97 (87)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
APP Offense	14	48% (75)	50% (11)	21.4	33.6	273.4	8.1	12.8	34 (9)	10 (56)	.44 (19)	1.6 (65)	29% (28)	37% (16)	.5 (19)	7% (108)	2.1 (45)
ECU Defense	12	48% (55)	39% (37)	-	-	-	-	-	-	6 (120)	.32 (100)	1.8 (126)	38% (6)	33% (107)	.43 (116)	6% (53)	2.2 (98)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
APP Defense	14	49% (72)	41% (58)	-	-	-	-	-	-	15 (15)	.2 (30)	1.5 (36)	31% (81)	33% (110)	.43 (117)	7% (29)	2.1 (89)
ECU Offense	12	53% (37)	32% (130)	17.3	32.3	163.9	5.1	9.5	7 (129)	14 (107)	.05 (129)	1.5 (92)	38% (133)	22% (129)	.11 (127)	8% (116)	2.1 (55)

App State's Power Ratings
App State's Power Rating: -8.96 #97
App State's Offense Rating: 21.99 #50
App State's Defense Rating: 17.06 #121
2024 Talent Rating: 622.00 #72
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
App State's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 6.0
App State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.1 #100
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #67
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.6 #110

App State's SP+ Ratings
App State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.1 #100
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #67
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.6 #110

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 471.71
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
App State: -8.96 East Carolina: 1.77

SP+ Ratings Matchup
App State: -8.1 East Carolina: -1.0

East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: 1.77 #65
East Carolina's Offense Rating: 20.65 #59
East Carolina's Defense Rating: 8.33 #56
2024 Talent Rating: 590.00 #78
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
East Carolina's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0

East Carolina's SP+ Ratings
East Carolina's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.0 #73
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.5 #58
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #87

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 482.57
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

App State Scoring
Offense: 26.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.3
Defense: 32.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 39.7

App State's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 6
Record vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 1
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
East Carolina 33
App State 27

Projected Total Points: 60

East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 32 PPG
Offense at Home: 36
Defense: 27.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 21

East Carolina's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/14	East Carolina	19	App State	21	App State	East Carolina -0.5	App State	56.5	Under
2023	09/16	App State	43	East Carolina	28	App State	Appalachian State -7.5	App State	48.5	Over
2021	09/02	App State	33	East Carolina	19	App State	Appalachian State -9	App State	55.5	Under
2012	09/01	East Carolina	35	App State	13	East Carolina
2009	09/05	East Carolina	29	App State	24	East Carolina

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
East Carolina	2	0	1 Overs
App State	3	3	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	4 - 1	2 - 1	2 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 4	1 - 2	0 - 0	1 - 2

(#97) App State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -8.96 #97
Offense Rating: 21.99 #50
Defense Rating: 17.06 #121
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.1 #100
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #67
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.6 #110
Talent Rating: 622.00 #72
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 5.0 - 6.0

App State Notes
(12/10) Hired HC Loggains (OC/QB S Car 23-24)
(12/2) HC Clark fired after 40-24 in 5 yrs, Huff rumors?
(11/25) Huge upset vs JMU, box score L but 2 Def TOs
(11/8) Run D bad vs C.Car, 3 TO's hurt. QB Aguilar 2 INT
(11/3) Pass D torched by ODU, Aguilar good, forced 4 TOs
(10/22) Def stop rate 42% (#127) into week 9
(10/12) OG'd ULL but 5 TO's, QB/Rgame OK, Def meh
(9/23) Clark & staff better improve, feels stale/bad

App State Ratings Matchup East Carolina

Power #97

#65

Off #50

#59

Def #121

#56

Talent #72

#78

SP+ #100

#73

SP+ Off #67

#58

SP+ Def #110

#87

Rematch from Week 3
East Carolina -0.5 (56.5)
App State won at East Carolina this year (21-19)

Previous Matchups
App State beat East Carolina last year (21-19)
App State beat East Carolina in 2023 (43-28)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
Conditions: Rain Shower
Temp: 77° - Wind: 13 mph
Rain: 0.004

Team Information
Injuries: APP | ECU
Depth Chart: APP | ECU
Rosters: APP | ECU

(#65) East Carolina Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 1.77 #65
Offense Rating: 20.65 #59
Defense Rating: 8.33 #56
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.0 #73
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.5 #58
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #87
Talent Rating: 590.00 #78
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0

East Carolina Notes
(11/29) Snapped vs Navy, Def abysmal, Rgame awful
(11/26) Interim HC Blake Harrell hired after 5-0 run
(11/25) 4 str W's under Harrell, Off mauled N. Texas
(11/8) Off rolling, 575+ yds, 343 pass/238 rush vs FAU
(10/27) Off had 56 pts in 3 Q's game after Houston fired
(10/20) Run D torched for 295 (5.3 ypc) vs Army
(10/20) HC Houston Fired after Army gm, DC Harrell Int
(10/8) Run D torched for 300+ (6 ypc) vs Char?

App State's OC Frank Ponce

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Joey Aguilar	218	390	56%	3002	23	14	7.7
Billy Wiles	0	1	0%	0	0	1	0.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ahmani Marshall	149	713	7	4.8	29
Kanye Roberts	82	332	1	4.0	18
Anderson Castle	50	246	1	4.9	21
Joey Aguilar	58	217	2	3.7	49

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kaedin Robinson	53	840	2	15.8	50
Makai Jackson	46	745	5	16.2	64
Christan Horn	19	367	1	19.3	83
Dalton Stroman	20	307	5	15.4	47

East Carolina's OC John David Baker

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Katin Houser	149	245	61%	2006	18	11	8.2
Jake Garcia	109	181	60%	1426	8	12	7.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Rahjai Harris	206	1166	11	5.7	86
London Montgomery	71	359	2	5.1	48
Marlon Gunn	61	224	3	3.7	20
Katin Houser	49	170	4	3.5	35

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Anthony Smith	41	799	6	19.5	64
Chase Sowell	34	678	3	19.9	56
Winston Wright	54	556	8	10.3	65
Yannick Smith	25	434	3	17.4	52

App State's DC Scott Sloan

Top Def	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Brendan Harrington	55	1	1	1
Kyle Arnholt	54	2	2	0
DJ Burks	52	3	0	0
Jason Chambers	37	1	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS
Michael Fletcher	16	4	4	6
Thomas Davis	35	6	4	1
Santana Hopper	30	8	4	0
Joshua Donald	31	6	3	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Jordan Favors	33	1	0	4
Ethan Johnson	22	0	1	2
Brendan Harrington	55	1	1	1

East Carolina's DC Blake Harrell

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Omar Rogers	105	6	1	2	2
Zakye Barker	81	12	2	1	1
Michael Edwards III	75	9	1	2	4
Ja'Marley Riddle	63	4	0	0	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Elijah Morris	31	6	4	2	0
Samuel Dankah	34	7	3	1	2
J.D. Lampley	25	5	2	6	0
Ryheem Craig	49	6	2	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Isaiah Brown-Murray	40	1	0	0	6
Michael Edwards III	75	9	1	2	4
Ja'Marley Riddle	63	4	0	0	4