Troy at Georgia Southern Game Matchup
Troy logo Troy Trojans at Georgia Southern EaglesGeorgia Southern logo
Saturday, November 16th 2024 (4:00 PM EST)
Georgia Southern -7 (54.0) (-278)  Open: -8.5
Troy 28 - Georgia Southern: 20  (Sun Belt)

 
Trojans (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Gerad Parker (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 28 (23 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TROY coming off BYE
GASO coming off BYE
Our Line: Georgia Southern -8    (SP+ -5)
PPG only: TROY: 27 - GASO: 28 (55)
GASO Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
TROY Travel: 248 miles, 1 hrs behind
Eagles (8 - 5) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Clay Helton (12 - 14)
Avg Score : 28 - 28 (31 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Troy's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/31 Troy vs Nevada-7.544.5L 26 - 28
Sat 9/7 Troy at Memphis+18.557.5L 17 - 38
Sat 9/14 Troy at Iowa+23.539.5L 21 - 38
Sat 9/21 Troy vs Florida A&M-21.548.5W 34 - 12
Sat 9/28 Troy vs UL Monroe-6.046.0L 9 - 13
Thu 10/3 Troy vs Texas State+14.556.0L 17 - 38
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/15 Troy at South Alabama+10.053.0L 9 - 25
Sat 10/26 Troy at Arkansas State+8.550.0L 31 - 34
Sat 11/2 Troy vs Coastal Carolina+4.052.0W 38 - 24
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Troy at Georgia Southern+7.054.0W 28 - 20
Sat 11/23 Troy at Louisiana+7.551.5L 30 - 51
Sat 11/30 Troy vs Southern Miss-17.548.5W 52 - 20
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Georgia Southern's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/31 Georgia Southern vs Boise State+13.057.5L 45 - 56
Sat 9/7 Georgia Southern at Nevada+1.556.5W 20 - 17
Sat 9/14 Georgia Southern vs South Carolina State-27.552.5W 42 - 14
Sat 9/21 Georgia Southern at Ole Miss+35.068.5L 13 - 52
Sat 9/28 Georgia Southern at Georgia State+3.557.5W 38 - 21
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Georgia Southern vs Marshall-1.058.5W 24 - 23
Sat 10/19 Georgia Southern vs James Madison+9.558.5W 28 - 14
Thu 10/24 Georgia Southern at Old Dominion-1.052.0L 19 - 47
Sat 11/2 Georgia Southern at South Alabama+5.560.0W 34 - 30
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Georgia Southern vs Troy-7.054.0L 20 - 28
Sat 11/23 Georgia Southern at Coastal Carolina+2.059.5W 26 - 6
Sat 11/30 Georgia Southern vs App State-2.560.5W 29 - 20
Thu 12/19 Georgia Southern vs Sam Houston-3.548.0L 26 - 31
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

TROY's OC Sean Reagan vs GASO's DC Brandon Bailey     GASO's OC Ryan Aplin vs TROY's DC Dontae Wright

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TROY#56 (.21)41% (78)2642% (79)3.12 (66)15441% (79)2653.78 (78)#4 (.03)38% (27)28.437% (22)40% (43)2.96 (10)46.41.31.6
GASO#55 (.21)45% (32)2848% (21)3.13 (64)11745% (40)3023.64 (88)#118 (.27)45% (107)27.645% (94)45% (115)4.45 (123)51.82.41.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TROY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
GASO0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TROY Offense142622.741.4%3.781.3214191542654.448%51%42%41%15%.21
GASO Defense1327.625.844.9%4.451.6 - - - - - 49%50%45%45%22%.27
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TROY Defense1428.434.338.1%2.961.6 - - - - - 47%52%37%40%18%.03
GASO Offense132831.345.3%3.642.423419117302435%64%48%45%17%.21

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Troy1430:5921.141%45%5.146.41.31.66.93.1130.9
Georgia Southern1331:0623.146%59%5.851.82.41.671.8430.8
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TROY Offense1448% (85)42% (79)34.6153.94.419 (69).15 (75)3.12 (66)72% (88)10% (62)1.03 (50)
GASO Defense1349% (55)45% (94) - - - - .25 (122)3.16 (85)72% (59)14% (7)1.13 (116)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TROY Defense1447% (29)37% (22) - - - - -.03 (10)2.75 (18)60% (9)13% (9)0.97 (48)
GASO Offense1335% (130)48% (21)29117.1416 (89).23 (25)3.13 (64)78% (35)10% (63)1.05 (41)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TROY Offense1451% (45)41% (79)19.932.6265.18.113.329 (18)6 (14).29 (66)1.7 (41)33% (85)29% (80).3 (78)6% (60)2.2 (31)
GASO Defense1350% (81)45% (115) - - - - - - 13 (26).3 (89)1.5 (32)31% (96)35% (120).49 (127)9% (5)2.1 (81)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TROY Defense1452% (105)40% (43) - - - - - - 10 (67).12 (11)1.4 (12)34% (36)28% (41).2 (16)5% (105)1.9 (28)
GASO Offense1364% (4)45% (40)28.944.4302.26.810.526 (31)20 (133).26 (74)1.4 (131)30% (41)34% (35).41 (42)8% (114)2.1 (62)

Troy's Power Ratings
Troy's Power Rating: -14.63 #112
Troy's Offense Rating: 20.68 #58
Troy's Defense Rating: 15.27 #111
2024 Talent Rating: 422.00 #113
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
Troy's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Troy's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.6 #96
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #93
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #90

Troy's SP+ Ratings
Troy's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.6 #96
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #93
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #90

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 471.71
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Troy: -14.63   Georgia Southern: -6.83

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Troy: -6.6   Georgia Southern: -1.7




Georgia Southern's Power Ratings
Georgia Southern's Power Rating: -6.83 #96
Georgia Southern's Offense Rating: 20.12 #66
Georgia Southern's Defense Rating: 14.04 #102
2024 Talent Rating: 502.00 #98
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Georgia Southern's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0

Georgia Southern's SP+ Ratings
Georgia Southern's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.7 #76
Georgia Southern's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #72
Georgia Southern's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #90

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 471.71
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Troy Scoring
Offense: 26 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.7
Defense: 28.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.3

Troy's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Georgia Southern 28
Troy 27

Projected Total Points: 55
Georgia Southern Scoring
Offense: 28 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.3
Defense: 27.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.8

Georgia Southern's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 1 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/16Georgia Southern20Troy28TroyGeorgia Southern -7Troy54.0Under
202110/09Troy27Georgia Southern24TroyTroy -5.5Georgia Southern51.0Push
202011/07Georgia Southern20Troy13Georgia SouthernTroy -2.5Georgia Southern51.5Under
201911/09Troy49Georgia Southern28TroyGeorgia Southern -2.5Troy57.0Over
201811/10Georgia Southern21Troy35TroyTroy -2Troy44.5Over
201710/28Troy38Georgia Southern16TroyTroy -23.5Georgia Southern49.5Over
201612/03Georgia Southern28Troy24Georgia SouthernTroy -9Georgia Southern53.0Under
201511/14Troy10Georgia Southern45Georgia SouthernGeorgia Southern -10Georgia Southern58.5Under
201410/30Georgia Southern42Troy10Georgia SouthernTroy -20.5Georgia Southern0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Georgia Southern463 Overs
Troy534 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 34 - 50 - 34 - 2
Road Teams3 - 65 - 42 - 43 - 0

(#112) Troy Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -14.63 #112
Offense Rating: 20.68 #58
Defense Rating: 15.27 #111
Overall SP+ Rating: -6.6 #96
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #93
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #90
Talent Rating: 422.00 #113
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0


Troy Notes
(11/18) 2 str W's, upset GaSo. QB Caldwell great TW
(11/3) Blasted C. Car, Rgame 344 yds, 6.4 ypc in upset
(10/27) Still fighting, close L (Ark St), Off 450+, Def bad
(10/22) QB Crowder out for season, 2 QB split for now
(10/16) Run game is awful, Run defense is almost as bad
(10/4) Runs 56% but horrible success. QB decent, D bad
(9/8) Serious Rgame issues, bad 0-2 start. Lotta flags
(9/8) QB Crower JAG, D all. 214 Ryds @ home (Nev L)
Troy     Ratings Matchup     Georgia Southern
Power #112
#96
Off #58
#66
Def #111
#102
Talent #113
#98
SP+ #96
#76
SP+ Off #93
#72
SP+ Def #90
#90

Rematch from Week 12
Georgia Southern -7.0 (54.0)
Troy won at Georgia Southern this year (28-20)

Previous Matchups
Troy beat Georgia Southern last year (28-20)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Paulson Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 66°

Team Information
Injuries: TROY | GASO
Depth Chart: TROY | GASO
Rosters: TROY | GASO
(#96) Georgia Southern Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -6.83 #96
Offense Rating: 20.12 #66
Defense Rating: 14.04 #102
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.7 #76
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #72
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #90
Talent Rating: 502.00 #98
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0


Georgia Southern Notes
(11/25) Big W @ Coastal. Beat App & help=SBC title
(11/25) French torced CC, Rgame awful, Def 3 INTs in W
(11/18) Bad L vs Troy, Rgame awful, Pass D awful
(11/3) Big W (S. Al), Outgained (100+) but forced 2 TOs
(10/24) Killed by ODU, gave up 500+ yds, 250+ rushing
(10/20) Rgame 190 (4.8 ypc), Def great in JMU upset
(10/18) QB French (concussion) cleared for JMU game
(10/13) Rgame bad vs Marshall, 21 pt 4Q comeback W




  
Troy's OC Sean Reagan
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Matthew Caldwell14122463%16081387.2
Will Crowder446370%547508.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Damien Taylor173101075.856
Gerald Green11154534.951
Tucker Kilcrease3911803.025
Will Crowder176313.712
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Devonte Ross7610441113.798
Landon Parker27350013.033
Peyton Higgins3130119.737
Zeriah Beason16208013.035
Georgia Southern's OC Ryan Aplin
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
JC French26941066%283117116.9
Dexter Williams II193063%248308.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jalen White164745144.549
OJ Arnold6231535.132
JC French11823822.019
David Mbadinga5822933.929
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Derwin Burgess Jr.59659311.248
Josh Dallas46614613.359
Dalen Cobb52599411.555
LV Bunkley-Shelton30322010.734

Troy's DC Dontae Wright
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Stringer778210
Brendan Jackson7716223
Justin Powe672104
Ian Conerly-Goodly542014
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Phillip Lee3011571
Julian Peterson255310
Jordan Stringer778210
Brendan Jackson7716223
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Damaje Yancey494208
LJ Green272016
Justin Powe672104
Georgia Southern's DC Brandon Bailey
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marques Watson-Trent1188221
Davon Gilmore625341
Jusfin Meyers613111
Chance Gamble482007
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Davion Rhodes226310
Davon Gilmore625341
Elhadj Fall205311
Marc Stampley II422207
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chance Gamble482007
Marc Stampley II422207
Isaac Walker234233