Texas State at South Alabama Game Matchup

Texas State Bobcats at South Alabama Jaguars

Friday, November 29th 2024 (3:30 PM EST)
Texas State -2.5 (60.5) (-130) Open: -1.0 | 61.5
Texas State 45 - South Alabama: 38 (Sun Belt)

Bobcats (8 - 5) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach G. J. Kinne (8 - 5)
Avg Score : 37 - 25 (34 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 16.2 MPHOur Line: Texas State -4 (SP+ -2.5)
PPG only: TXST: 31 - USA: 30 (61)
TXST Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
TXST Travel: 592 miles

Jaguars (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Major Applewhite (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 34 - 25 (44 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Off Players
Def Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Texas State's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 8/31	Texas State vs Lamar			W 34 - 27
Sat 9/7	Texas State vs UTSA	-2.5	58.5	W 49 - 10
Thu 9/12	Texas State vs Arizona State	-2.5	58.5	L 28 - 31
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28	Texas State vs Sam Houston	-11.0	55.0	L 39 - 40
Thu 10/3	Texas State at Troy	-14.5	56.0	W 38 - 17
Sat 10/12	Texas State vs Arkansas State	-13.5	66.0	W 41 - 9
Sat 10/19	Texas State at Old Dominion	-10.5	60.0	L 14 - 24
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/29	Texas State vs Louisiana	-4.0	60.5	L 17 - 23
Sat 11/9	Texas State at UL Monroe	-9.5	50.0	W 38 - 17
Sat 11/16	Texas State vs Southern Miss	-27.5	56.5	W 58 - 3
Sat 11/23	Texas State vs Georgia State	-23.0	59.5	L 44 - 52
Fri 11/29	Texas State at South Alabama	-2.5	60.5	W 45 - 38
Fri 1/3	Texas State vs North Texas	-15.5	67.5	W 30 - 28

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

South Alabama's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 8/31	South Alabama vs North Texas	-6.0	61.5	L 38 - 52
Sat 9/7	South Alabama at Ohio	-1.5	55.5	L 20 - 27
Thu 9/12	South Alabama vs Northwestern State	-36.5	60.5	W 87 - 10
Thu 9/19	South Alabama at App State	+8.0	62.5	W 48 - 14
Sat 9/28	South Alabama at LSU	+21.0	64.5	L 10 - 42
Sat 10/5	South Alabama at Arkansas State	-2.5	62.5	L 16 - 18
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/15	South Alabama vs Troy	-10.0	53.0	W 25 - 9
Sat 10/26	South Alabama vs UL Monroe	-7.0	45.0	W 46 - 17
Sat 11/2	South Alabama vs Georgia Southern	-5.5	60.0	L 30 - 34
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	South Alabama at Louisiana	+6.5	60.0	W 24 - 22
Sat 11/23	South Alabama at Southern Miss	-24.0	54.0	W 35 - 14
Fri 11/29	South Alabama vs Texas State	+2.5	60.5	L 38 - 45
Sat 12/14	South Alabama vs Western Michigan	-6.0	53.5	W 30 - 23

TXST's OC Mack Leftwich vs USA's DC Will Windham USA's OC Rob Ezell vs TXST's DC Dexter McCoil

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TXST	#23 (.29)	47% (20)	36.5	46% (36)	3.19 (53)	188	48% (15)	271	4.55 (19)	#64 (.18)	40% (45)	24.5	39% (37)	42% (77)	3.7 (59)	68	1.8	1.7
USA	#31 (.28)	43% (57)	34.4	42% (80)	3.24 (44)	172	45% (35)	268	4.67 (15)	#34 (.14)	37% (17)	25.2	35% (8)	40% (44)	3.32 (21)	57.7	1.5	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TXST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
USA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TXST Offense	13	36.5	33.8	46.7%	4.55	1.8	24	459	188	271	4.6	51%	48%	46%	48%	15%	.29
USA Defense	13	25.2	27.8	36.6%	3.32	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	35%	40%	16%	.14

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TXST Defense	13	24.5	24	40.4%	3.7	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	50%	49%	39%	42%	19%	.18
USA Offense	13	34.4	44	43%	4.67	1.5	23	440	172	268	4.8	48%	51%	42%	45%	15%	.28

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Texas State	13	29:04	23.9	44%	66%	7.2	68	1.8	1.7	7.7	2.6	4	29.1
South Alabama	13	30:30	22.6	43%	63%	6.7	57.7	1.5	1.7	5.8	2	0	31.4

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TXST Offense	13	51% (56)	46% (36)	40.5	187.8	4.6	33 (8)	.24 (21)	3.19 (53)	78% (31)	11% (84)	1.13 (15)
USA Defense	13	54% (116)	35% (8)	-	-	-	-	-.01 (12)	2.69 (14)	74% (74)	11% (33)	0.9 (27)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TXST Defense	13	50% (69)	39% (37)	-	-	-	-	.12 (56)	2.87 (28)	54% (3)	14% (6)	1.21 (127)
USA Offense	13	48% (81)	42% (80)	36	171.9	4.8	28 (25)	.18 (49)	3.24 (44)	74% (71)	10% (76)	1.18 (6)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TXST Offense	13	48% (73)	48% (15)	22.1	33	270.9	8.2	12.3	24 (41)	9 (40)	.36 (36)	1.5 (97)	32% (63)	36% (22)	.47 (24)	4% (8)	2 (80)
USA Defense	13	45% (19)	40% (44)	-	-	-	-	-	-	13 (26)	.36 (109)	1.8 (124)	36% (12)	27% (29)	.28 (47)	5% (106)	2.2 (104)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TXST Defense	13	49% (68)	42% (77)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (53)	.27 (66)	1.7 (109)	36% (10)	36% (123)	.42 (113)	5% (117)	2 (47)
USA Offense	13	51% (55)	45% (35)	22.4	32.9	268.2	8.1	12	28 (23)	11 (68)	.41 (26)	1.7 (34)	34% (104)	39% (8)	.59 (7)	5% (27)	2.2 (34)

Texas State's Power Ratings
Texas State's Power Rating: 2.50 #52
Texas State's Offense Rating: 23.07 #38
Texas State's Defense Rating: 5.36 #29
2024 Talent Rating: 456.00 #110
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Texas State's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Texas State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.4 #48
Texas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #20
Texas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.4 #82

Texas State's SP+ Ratings
Texas State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.4 #48
Texas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #20
Texas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.4 #82

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 471.71
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas State: 2.50 South Alabama: -1.64

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas State: 5.4 South Alabama: 2.8

South Alabama's Power Ratings
South Alabama's Power Rating: -1.64 #76
South Alabama's Offense Rating: 25.69 #16
South Alabama's Defense Rating: 10.70 #78
2024 Talent Rating: 512.00 #93
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
South Alabama's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0

South Alabama's SP+ Ratings
South Alabama's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.8 #61
South Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #47
South Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #71

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 471.71
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Texas State Scoring
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 33.8
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 24

Texas State's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Texas State 31
South Alabama 30

Projected Total Points: 61

South Alabama Scoring
Offense: 34.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 44
Defense: 25.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.8

South Alabama's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/29	South Alabama	38	Texas State	45	Texas State	Texas State -2.5	Texas State	60.5	Over
2023	11/25	Texas State	52	South Alabama	44	Texas State	South Alabama -6.5	Texas State	57.0	Over
2022	11/12	South Alabama	38	Texas State	21	South Alabama	South Alabama -16	South Alabama	46.0	Over
2021	10/09	Texas State	33	South Alabama	31	Texas State	South Alabama -4	Texas State	52.5	Over
2020	10/17	South Alabama	30	Texas State	20	South Alabama	South Alabama -4.5	South Alabama	57.5	Under
2019	11/09	Texas State	30	South Alabama	28	Texas State	Texas State -7	South Alabama	41.0	Over
2018	09/15	South Alabama	41	Texas State	31	South Alabama	South Alabama -10	Push	49.0	Over
2015	10/24	Texas State	36	South Alabama	18	Texas State	Texas State -5	Texas State	63.0	Under
2014	11/15	South Alabama	24	Texas State	20	South Alabama	South Alabama -4	Push	0
2013	10/26	Texas State	33	South Alabama	31	Texas State	South Alabama -1	Texas State	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
South Alabama	4	3	6 Overs
Texas State	6	5	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	9 - 1	6 - 2	3 - 1	3 - 1
Road Teams	1 - 9	2 - 6	1 - 3	1 - 3

(#52) Texas State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 2.50 #52
Offense Rating: 23.07 #38
Defense Rating: 5.36 #29
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.4 #48
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #20
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.4 #82
Talent Rating: 456.00 #110
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0

Texas State Notes
(11/29) How the fuck did this offense fail so much in 24?
(11/29) Off torched S Al, 530 yds, Def forced 3 TOs
(11/25) Awful L vs Ga St, Def torched 500+, Off 4 TOs
(11/18) 2 str W's, killed SoMiss, McCloud/Rgame great
(11/3) 2 awful L's, season slipping, McCloud replaced?
(10/20) Off/McCloud awful in bad L (ODU), 2 TOs, woof
(10/12) Off 600 yds (271 rush) killing Ark St. Def OK
(10/4) Great Pass Off, run enough. TO's an issue, fun team

Texas State Ratings Matchup South Alabama

Power #52

#76

Off #38

#16

Def #29

#78

Talent #110

#93

SP+ #48

#61

SP+ Off #20

#47

SP+ Def #82

#71

Rematch from Week 14
Texas State 2.5 (60.5)
Texas State won at South Alabama this year (45-38)

Previous Matchups
Texas State beat South Alabama last year (45-38)
Texas State beat South Alabama in 2023 (52-44)
South Alabama beat Texas State in 2022 (38-21)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Hancock Whitney Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 53° - Wind: 16 mph

Team Information
Injuries: TXST | USA
Depth Chart: TXST | USA
Rosters: TXST | USA

(#76) South Alabama Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -1.64 #76
Offense Rating: 25.69 #16
Defense Rating: 10.70 #78
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.8 #61
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #47
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #71
Talent Rating: 512.00 #93
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0

South Alabama Notes
(12/15) Rgame 267/7.2 ypc in bowl W over WMU
(12/15) Great QB depth, backup Davenport can run/throw
(11/29) Def torched, gave up 3 TOs, OG'd by 160 by T St
(11/25) Rgame good, Lopez 3 TD over awful So Miss
(11/18) Huge W @ ULL, QB good, Def barely held on
(11/3) 450+ yds but 2 TOs cost badly in GaSo loss
(10/27) Rgame great (ULM), 358 yds, 7.8 ypc. Run D bad
(10/16) Avg 17 ppg last 3 games, stopped Troy, NBD

Texas State's OC Mack Leftwich

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jordan McCloud	272	389	70%	3222	30	13	8.3
RJ Martinez	18	24	75%	148	0	1	6.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ismail Mahdi	183	991	4	5.4	45
Lincoln Pare	94	547	8	5.8	73
Torrance Burgess Jr.	60	367	2	6.1	57
Jordan McCloud	74	278	7	3.8	42

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jaden Williams	57	807	7	14.2	70
Joey Hobert	70	680	8	9.7	40
Kole Wilson	43	630	4	14.7	53
Chris Dawn Jr.	37	418	6	11.3	60

South Alabama's OC Rob Ezell

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Giovanni Lopez	205	311	66%	2557	18	5	8.2
Bishop Davenport	48	79	61%	604	3	1	7.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Fluff Bothwell	112	834	13	7.4	59
Kentrel Bullock	152	832	7	5.5	59
Giovanni Lopez	82	465	7	5.7	50
Bishop Davenport	37	161	1	4.4	50

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jamaal Pritchett	91	1126	9	12.4	75
Jeremiah Webb	36	649	5	18.0	52
Devin Voisin	34	407	0	12.0	28
Shamar Sandgren	19	208	1	10.9	21

Texas State's DC Dexter McCoil

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jordan Polk	68	6	2	5	2
Ryan Nolan	52	1	0	0	1
James Neal	50	2	0	1	1
Max Harris	44	3	1	2	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kalil Alexander	40	11	6	5	2
Steven Parker	29	9	5	1	1
Jo'Laison Landry	33	8	5	4	0
Brice Bass	43	7	3	7	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Chris Mills	33	3	1	0	7
Joshua Eaton	24	2	1	1	5
Bobby Crosby	18	1	0	0	5

South Alabama's DC Will Windham

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Blayne Myrick	101	8	2	3	2
Jaden Voisin	84	4	0	3	5
Darius McKenzie	72	4	1	0	4
Jordan Scruggs	70	5	0	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Courtney McBride	39	11	5	3	0
Parker Shattuck	11	3	3	0	1
Tyler Thomas	19	4	3	0	0
Jordan Norman	25	4	3	2	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Amarion Fortenberry	43	2	0	0	6
Jaden Voisin	84	4	0	3	5
Darius McKenzie	72	4	1	0	4