Miami (OH) at Ball State Game Matchup

Miami (OH) RedHawks at Ball State Cardinals

Tuesday, November 5th 2024 (8:00 PM EST)
Miami (OH) -12.5 (48.5) (-500) Open: -12.5 | 49.5
Miami (OH) 27 - Ball State: 21 (Mid-American)

RedHawks (9 - 5) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Chuck Martin (56 - 62)
Avg Score : 24 - 19 (23 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 5 (#28)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Heavy Rain Predicted
M-OH coming off BYE
BALL coming off BYE
Our Line: Miami (OH) -17.5 (SP+ -21)
PPG only: M-OH: 32 - BALL: 22 (54)
M-OH Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
M-OH Travel: 60 miles

Cardinals (3 - 9) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Collin Johnson (Int) (37 - 56)
Avg Score : 25 - 40 (29 - 33 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Off Players
Def Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Miami (OH)'s 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 8/31	Miami (OH) vs Northwestern	+4.0	43.0	L 6 - 13
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/14	Miami (OH) vs Cincinnati	+3.5	47.5	L 16 - 27
Sat 9/21	Miami (OH) at Notre Dame	+27.5	44.0	L 3 - 28
Sat 9/28	Miami (OH) vs Massachusetts	-15.5	44.5	W 23 - 20
Sat 10/5	Miami (OH) at Toledo	+4.5	44.0	L 20 - 30
Sat 10/12	Miami (OH) at Eastern Michigan	-3.0	45.5	W 38 - 14
Sat 10/19	Miami (OH) vs Ohio	-3.5	43.5	W 30 - 20
Sat 10/26	Miami (OH) vs Central Michigan	-10.5	48.5	W 46 - 7
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/5	Miami (OH) at Ball State	-12.5	48.5	W 27 - 21
Wed 11/13	Miami (OH) vs Kent State	-31.0	47.5	W 34 - 7
Tue 11/19	Miami (OH) vs Northern Illinois	-1.5	43.0	W 20 - 9
Fri 11/29	Miami (OH) at Bowling Green	+3.0	37.5	W 28 - 12
Sat 12/7	Miami (OH) vs Ohio	-2.5	43.5	L 3 - 38
Sat 12/28	Miami (OH) vs Colorado State	-1.0	42.5	W 43 - 17

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Ball State's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/7	Ball State vs Missouri State	-2.5	50.5	W 42 - 34
Sat 9/14	Ball State at Miami	+36.5	55.5	L 0 - 62
Sat 9/21	Ball State at Central Michigan	+6.5	51.0	L 34 - 37
Sat 9/28	Ball State at James Madison	+22.0	56.5	L 7 - 63
Sat 10/5	Ball State vs Western Michigan	+10.0	57.5	L 42 - 45
Sat 10/12	Ball State at Kent State	-3.0	58.0	W 37 - 35
Sat 10/19	Ball State at Vanderbilt	+27.5	57.5	L 14 - 24
Sat 10/26	Ball State vs Northern Illinois	+13.5	47.5	W 25 - 23
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/5	Ball State vs Miami (OH)	+12.5	48.5	L 21 - 27
Tue 11/12	Ball State at Buffalo	+3.5	55.5	L 48 - 51
Sat 11/23	Ball State vs Bowling Green	+12.5	54.5	L 13 - 38
Fri 11/29	Ball State at Ohio	+17.5	51.5	L 21 - 42

M-OH's OC Patrick Welsh vs BALL's DC Jeff Knowles BALL's OC Jared Elliott vs M-OH's DC Bill Brechin

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
M-OH	#78 (.18)	37% (122)	24.1	35% (129)	2.95 (99)	158	39% (93)	165	3.99 (57)	#20 (.1)	40% (48)	18.8	41% (47)	41% (61)	3.06 (14)	39.1	1.1	1.2
BALL	#97 (.14)	40% (95)	25.3	45% (50)	3.35 (22)	171	33% (127)	137	3.31 (105)	#70 (.18)	42% (66)	40.1	43% (65)	42% (70)	3.81 (70)	45.2	1.3	0.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
M-OH		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
BALL		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
M-OH Offense	14	24.1	23.2	36.5%	3.99	1.1	15	324	158	165	4.4	58%	41%	35%	39%	18%	.18
BALL Defense	12	40.1	33.4	41.8%	3.81	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	48%	51%	43%	42%	17%	.18

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
M-OH Defense	14	18.8	21	40.5%	3.06	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	41%	41%	17%	.1
BALL Offense	12	25.3	28.6	39.8%	3.31	1.3	18	308	171	137	4.4	58%	41%	45%	33%	17%	.14

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Miami (OH)	14	29:37	15.3	36%	31%	4.7	39.1	1.1	1.2	5.3	2.5	0	35.4
Ball State	12	32:44	18.1	38%	56%	5.2	45.2	1.3	0.9	5.7	2.1	0	28.8

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
M-OH Offense	14	58% (15)	35% (129)	35.9	158.1	4.4	23 (46)	.1 (94)	2.95 (99)	80% (20)	11% (82)	1.08 (25)
BALL Defense	12	48% (44)	43% (65)	-	-	-	-	.11 (45)	3.08 (62)	79% (102)	11% (35)	0.89 (23)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
M-OH Defense	14	52% (92)	41% (47)	-	-	-	-	.06 (23)	3.11 (70)	72% (60)	10% (69)	0.87 (19)
BALL Offense	12	58% (14)	45% (50)	39.3	171.4	4.4	15 (100)	.21 (38)	3.35 (22)	83% (8)	12% (112)	0.99 (70)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
M-OH Offense	14	41% (120)	39% (93)	11.8	21	165.4	7.9	14	16 (92)	7 (21)	.31 (59)	1.8 (18)	35% (117)	25% (119)	.21 (104)	7% (107)	1.9 (116)
BALL Defense	12	51% (93)	42% (70)	-	-	-	-	-	-	5 (126)	.27 (70)	1.5 (29)	32% (61)	28% (30)	.21 (20)	5% (97)	2 (39)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
M-OH Defense	14	47% (39)	41% (61)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (53)	.2 (27)	1.3 (1)	29% (119)	24% (10)	.15 (7)	8% (20)	1.8 (11)
BALL Offense	12	41% (119)	33% (127)	15.1	25.3	136.7	5.4	9.1	9 (126)	8 (30)	.05 (128)	1.4 (130)	33% (92)	24% (123)	.18 (110)	5% (25)	2 (104)

Miami (OH)'s Power Ratings
Miami (OH)'s Power Rating: -3.43 #75
Miami (OH)'s Offense Rating: 13.33 #115
Miami (OH)'s Defense Rating: 4.27 #21
2024 Talent Rating: 592.00 #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #97
Miami (OH)'s 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 5.0
Miami (OH)'s 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.3 #68
Miami (OH)'s Offense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #98
Miami (OH)'s Defense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #43

Miami (OH)'s SP+ Ratings
Miami (OH)'s 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.3 #68
Miami (OH)'s Offense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #98
Miami (OH)'s Defense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #43

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 516.17
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Miami (OH): -3.43 Ball State: -21.09

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Miami (OH): 1.3 Ball State: -19.8

Ball State's Power Ratings
Ball State's Power Rating: -21.09 #126
Ball State's Offense Rating: 17.16 #93
Ball State's Defense Rating: 22.27 #132
2024 Talent Rating: 514.00 #92
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Ball State's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0

Ball State's SP+ Ratings
Ball State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -19.8 #126
Ball State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #103
Ball State's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.8 #133

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 516.17
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Miami (OH) Scoring
Offense: 24.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.2
Defense: 18.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 21

Miami (OH)'s 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Miami (OH) 32
Ball State 22

Projected Total Points: 54

Ball State Scoring
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.6
Defense: 40.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 33.4

Ball State's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/05	Ball State	21	Miami (OH)	27	Miami (OH)	Miami (OH) -12.5	Ball State	48.5	Under
2023	11/25	Ball State	15	Miami (OH)	17	Miami (OH)	Miami (OH) -3.5	Ball State	34.5	Under
2022	11/22	Miami (OH)	18	Ball State	17	Miami (OH)	Miami (OH) -2.5	Ball State	45.0	Under
2021	10/23	Ball State	17	Miami (OH)	24	Miami (OH)	Ball State -3.5	Miami (OH)	53.0	Under
2020	11/04	Miami (OH)	38	Ball State	31	Miami (OH)	Ball State -1	Miami (OH)	56.5	Over
2019	11/29	Ball State	41	Miami (OH)	27	Ball State	Ball State -3	Ball State	55.5	Over
2018	11/20	Miami (OH)	42	Ball State	21	Miami (OH)	Miami (OH) -16.5	Miami (OH)	55.0	Over
2017	11/21	Ball State	7	Miami (OH)	28	Miami (OH)	Miami (OH) -17.5	Miami (OH)	54.5	Under
2016	11/22	Miami (OH)	21	Ball State	20	Miami (OH)	Miami (OH) -6	Ball State	55.0	Under
2013	11/29	Ball State	55	Miami (OH)	14	Ball State	Ball State -34	Ball State	0
2012	11/23	Miami (OH)	24	Ball State	31	Ball State
2008	11/11	Miami (OH)	16	Ball State	31	Ball State
2007	08/30	Ball State	13	Miami (OH)	14	Miami (OH)
2006	10/28	Miami (OH)	17	Ball State	20	Ball State
2003	10/18	Ball State	3	Miami (OH)	49	Miami (OH)
2001	09/29	Ball State	20	Miami (OH)	28	Miami (OH)
2000	10/06	Miami (OH)	10	Ball State	15	Ball State

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Ball State	6	6	3 Overs
Miami (OH)	11	4	6 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 11	6 - 4	3 - 3	3 - 1
Road Teams	11 - 6	4 - 6	1 - 3	3 - 3

(#75) Miami (OH) Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -3.43 #75
Offense Rating: 13.33 #115
Defense Rating: 4.27 #21
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.3 #68
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #98
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #43
Talent Rating: 592.00 #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #97
Expected Record: 9.0 - 5.0

Miami (OH) Notes
(11/25) Huge W @ N Ill. Game vs BG for MAC title game
(11/18) Rgame great vs Kent, Run Def good, QB meh
(11/8) Rgame bad vs Ball St, Gabbert eff, Run D great TW
(10/31) QB Gabbert hurt vs CMU, returned but monitor
(10/27) Off cookin (P +R) 500+ yds, 7.1 ypc in CMU drilling
(10/20) Gabbert efficient, Def good vs Ohio. 2 INTs
(10/13) Off 400+ yds in blowout of EMU. Def good
(10/4) Managed well but 0-3 vs P4. W vs UMass helps

Miami (OH) Ratings Matchup Ball State

Power #75

#126

Off #115

#93

Def #21

#132

Talent #77

#92

SP+ #68

#126

SP+ Off #98

#103

SP+ Def #43

#133

Rematch from Week 11
Miami (OH) 12.5 (48.5)
Miami (OH) won at Ball State this year (27-21)

Previous Matchups
Miami (OH) beat Ball State last year (27-21)
Miami (OH) beat Ball State in 2023 (17-15)
Miami (OH) beat Ball State in 2022 (18-17)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Scheumann Stadium
Conditions: Heavy Rain
Temp: 66° - Wind: 11 mph
Rain: 0.047

Team Information
Injuries: M-OH | BALL
Depth Chart: M-OH | BALL
Rosters: M-OH | BALL

(#126) Ball State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -21.09 #126
Offense Rating: 17.16 #93
Defense Rating: 22.27 #132
Overall SP+ Rating: -19.8 #126
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #103
Defense SP+ Rating: 40.8 #133
Talent Rating: 514.00 #92
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0

Ball State Notes
(12/18) Hired HC Mike Uremovich (Butler)
(11/29) Fr QB Semonza good vs Ohio, 333 yds, 3/0 TD/Int
(11/16) HC Neu fired, OL Colin Johnson interim
(11/8) Good fight w/ M-O, Rgame abysmal, QB great
(10/22) Def stop rate 37% (#132) into week 9
(10/20) Good fight w/ Vandy, QB 21-29 for 190 yds?
(10/13) Shootout W over Kent St. Pass Def torched
(10/4) Sched brutal, Def CFB #133. Over every game.

Miami (OH)'s OC Patrick Welsh

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Brett Gabbert	217	379	57%	2921	21	11	7.7
Henry Hesson	7	17	41%	93	1	0	5.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Keyon Mozee	178	1098	4	6.2	74
Kevin Davis	50	331	4	6.6	97
Jordan Brunson	53	299	4	5.6	75
Dylan Downing	44	152	1	3.5	15

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Javon Tracy	57	818	7	14.4	72
Reginald Virgil	41	816	9	19.9	75
Cade McDonald	52	631	3	12.1	51
Kevin Davis	29	234	2	8.1	35

Ball State's OC Jared Elliott

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Kadin Semonza	275	427	64%	2900	25	10	6.8
Aidan Leffler	2	6	33%	6	0	0	1.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Braedon Sloan	150	597	4	4.0	40
Vaughn Pemberton	61	276	2	4.5	41
Cam Pickett	17	170	2	10.0	34
TJ Horton	23	107	0	4.7	17

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tanner Koziol	94	839	8	8.9	33
Cam Pickett	49	528	2	10.8	65
Justin Bowick	20	383	3	19.2	57
Braedon Sloan	29	329	1	11.3	72

Miami (OH)'s DC Bill Brechin

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Matthew Salopek	122	8	1	2	3
Silas Walters	95	3	0	0	12
Ty Wise	89	11	5	2	1
Eli Blakey	89	1	0	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brian Ugwu	59	15	8	16	3
Corey Suttle	36	8	6	10	0
Ty Wise	89	11	5	2	1
Adam Trick	37	6	4	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Raion Strader	53	0	17
Silas Walters	95	3	12
William Hardrick	26	0	4

Ball State's DC Jeff Knowles

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
George Udo	78	2	1	1	1
Keionte Newson	73	4	0	4	4
Riley Tolsma	59	9	6	8	1
Joey Stemler	56	6	2	6	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Riley Tolsma	59	9	6	8	1
Brandon Berger	38	10	5	9	4
Sam Feeney	7	3	3	0	0
Darin Conley	16	3	2	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Myles Norwood	38	2	0	0	5
Keionte Newson	73	4	0	4	4
Brandon Berger	38	10	5	9	4