Western Michigan at Buffalo Game Matchup
Western Michigan logo Western Michigan Broncos at Buffalo BullsBuffalo logo
Saturday, October 19th 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
Western Michigan -1 (49.5) (-115)  Open: -1.0
Western Michigan 48 - Buffalo: 41  (Mid-American)

 
Broncos (6 - 7) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Lance Taylor (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 29 - 31 (22 - 34 on Road)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
BUFF 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -2    (SP+ -6)
PPG only: WMU: 28 - BUFF: 30 (58)
WMU Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
WMU Travel: 350 miles
Bulls (9 - 4) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Pete Lembo (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 29 - 26 (38 - 22 @ Home)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Western Michigan's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Fri 8/30 Western Michigan at Wisconsin+24.057.0L 14 - 28
Sat 9/7 Western Michigan at Ohio State+37.554.5L 0 - 56
Sat 9/14 Western Michigan vs Bethune-Cookman-33.554.5W 59 - 31
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 Western Michigan at Marshall+3.553.5L 20 - 27
Sat 10/5 Western Michigan at Ball State-10.057.5W 45 - 42
Sat 10/12 Western Michigan vs Akron-9.548.5W 34 - 24
Sat 10/19 Western Michigan at Buffalo-1.049.5W 48 - 41
Sat 10/26 Western Michigan vs Kent State-19.061.0W 52 - 21
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/6 Western Michigan vs Northern Illinois+2.551.5L 28 - 42
Tue 11/12 Western Michigan at Bowling Green+9.557.5L 13 - 31
Tue 11/19 Western Michigan at Central Michigan-6.056.0L 14 - 16
Sat 11/30 Western Michigan vs Eastern Michigan-6.556.5W 26 - 18
Sat 12/14 Western Michigan vs South Alabama+6.053.5L 23 - 30
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Buffalo's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Thu 8/29 Buffalo vs Lafayette-3.545.5W 30 - 13
Sat 9/7 Buffalo at Missouri+34.553.5L 0 - 38
Sat 9/14 Buffalo vs Massachusetts-3.545.5W 34 - 3
Sat 9/21 Buffalo at Northern Illinois+13.042.5W 23 - 20
Sat 9/28 Buffalo at UConn+6.044.5L 3 - 47
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Buffalo vs Toledo+10.544.5W 30 - 15
Sat 10/19 Buffalo vs Western Michigan+1.049.5L 41 - 48
Sat 10/26 Buffalo at Ohio+4.046.5L 16 - 47
Sat 11/2 Buffalo at Akron+1.049.0W 41 - 30
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/12 Buffalo vs Ball State-3.555.5W 51 - 48
Wed 11/20 Buffalo at Eastern Michigan+1.053.5W 37 - 20
Tue 11/26 Buffalo vs Kent State-23.550.5W 43 - 7
Sat 1/4 Buffalo vs Liberty-4.550.5W 26 - 7
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

WMU's OC Walt Bell vs BUFF's DC Joe Bowen     BUFF's OC Dave Patenaude vs WMU's DC Scott Power

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WMU#85 (.16)40% (90)28.941% (87)3.09 (71)15340% (87)2113.89 (72)#92 (.22)44% (101)31.346% (99)44% (99)4.15 (105)62.31.11.5
BUFF#130 (.03)37% (116)28.843% (67)2.93 (102)13432% (129)1853.54 (95)#41 (.14)39% (33)26.437% (25)42% (68)3.55 (48)41.61.61.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WMU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
BUFF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WMU Offense1228.92240.3%3.891.1203651532113.854%45%41%40%16%.16
BUFF Defense1226.422.338.7%3.551.6 - - - - - 56%43%37%42%18%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WMU Defense1231.334.444.3%4.151.5 - - - - - 50%48%46%44%19%.22
BUFF Offense1228.838.237.4%3.541.6173191341853.751%48%43%32%16%.03

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Western Michigan1229:5519.636%49%7.162.31.11.55.22028.3
Buffalo1230:3217.234%37%4.841.61.61.65.71.4229.4
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WMU Offense1254% (38)41% (87)39.9153.33.821 (54).15 (73)3.09 (71)75% (58)10% (66)1 (65)
BUFF Defense1256% (119)37% (25) - - - - .15 (76)2.82 (24)65% (25)12% (19)1.25 (131)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WMU Defense1250% (74)46% (99) - - - - .17 (91)3.48 (127)81% (112)11% (44)0.95 (40)
BUFF Offense1251% (61)43% (67)36.3133.63.715 (100).09 (102)2.93 (102)65% (119)9% (40)0.92 (103)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WMU Offense1245% (98)40% (87)20.632.8211.26.510.313 (111)9 (40).2 (96)1.5 (105)30% (29)25% (113).25 (93)6% (88)2 (96)
BUFF Defense1243% (13)42% (68) - - - - - - 11 (53).2 (29)1.4 (18)35% (32)28% (39).23 (30)5% (95)2 (54)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WMU Defense1248% (47)44% (99) - - - - - - 9 (87).33 (104)1.6 (78)31% (94)30% (71).23 (29)9% (7)1.9 (31)
BUFF Offense1248% (77)32% (129)17.732.8185.35.610.514 (106)11 (68).04 (130)1.5 (99)32% (68)26% (108).16 (116)8% (119)1.9 (109)

Western Michigan's Power Ratings
Western Michigan's Power Rating: #NR
Western Michigan's Offense Rating: #NR
Western Michigan's Defense Rating: #NR
2024 Talent Rating: 588.00 #79
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Western Michigan's 2024 Expected Record: -
Western Michigan's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.2 #105
Western Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #86
Western Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.0 #120

Western Michigan's SP+ Ratings
Western Michigan's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.2 #105
Western Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #86
Western Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.0 #120

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 516.17
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Western Michigan:    Buffalo: 2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Michigan: -10.2   Buffalo: -4.0




Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: 2 #NR
Buffalo's Offense Rating: #NR
Buffalo's Defense Rating: #NR
2024 Talent Rating: 384.00 #120
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
Buffalo's 2024 Expected Record: -

Buffalo's SP+ Ratings
Buffalo's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.0 #87
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #84
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #93

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 516.17
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Western Michigan Scoring
Offense: 28.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 22
Defense: 31.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.4

Western Michigan's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Buffalo 30
Western Michigan 28

Projected Total Points: 58
Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.2
Defense: 26.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.3

Buffalo's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/19Buffalo41Western Michigan48Western MichiganWestern Michigan -1Western Michigan49.5Over
202110/02Buffalo17Western Michigan24Western MichiganWestern Michigan -7NA59.5Under
201710/07Buffalo68Western Michigan71Western MichiganWestern Michigan -7Buffalo51.0Over
201611/19Western Michigan38Buffalo0Western MichiganWestern Michigan -34Western Michigan55.5Under
201310/12Western Michigan0Buffalo33BuffaloBuffalo -11Buffalo0
201211/10Buffalo29Western Michigan24Buffalo
200910/24Western Michigan34Buffalo31Western Michigan
200810/11Buffalo28Western Michigan34Western Michigan
200510/01Western Michigan31Buffalo21Western Michigan
200210/05Buffalo17Western Michigan31Western Michigan
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Buffalo222 Overs
Western Michigan822 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 62 - 21 - 01 - 2
Road Teams6 - 42 - 22 - 10 - 1

(#NR) Western Michigan Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.2 #105
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #86
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.0 #120
Talent Rating: 588.00 #79
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -


Western Michigan Notes
(12/15) Good fight in bowl (S Al), Run Def torched 260+
(11/25) 3 str L's, zero Rgame, QB sucked, Vs EMU 4 bowl
(11/13) QBs/Rgame awful vs BG, Run Def torched in L
(11/7) TO's, stupidity cost vs N Ill. QB Wolff a fraud
(10/22) Def stop rate 47% (#125) into week 9
(10/20) Off torched Buffalo, Def awful vs both Pass & Run
(10/18) Better than record, sched rough, close losses
(10/13) Rgame good, Pass D torched by Akron. Def 4 TOs
Western Michigan     Ratings Matchup     Buffalo
Power #NR
#NR
Off #NR
#NR
Def #NR
#NR
Talent #79
#120
SP+ #105
#87
SP+ Off #86
#84
SP+ Def #120
#93

Rematch from Week 8
Western Michigan 1.0 (49.5)
Western Michigan won at Buffalo this year (48-41)

Previous Matchups
Western Michigan beat Buffalo last year (48-41)

Weather Forecast
Playing in UB Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 65° - Wind: 9 mph


Team Information
Injuries: WMU | BUFF
Depth Chart: WMU | BUFF
Rosters: WMU | BUFF
(#NR) Buffalo Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 2 #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.0 #87
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #84
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #93
Talent Rating: 384.00 #120
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
Expected Record: -


Buffalo Notes
(11/27) Hot finish, note it was vs bottom of MAC
(11/27) Killed Kent, Rgame great, Ogbonna good
(11/25) 3 str W's, beat EMU. Alive, barely, for MAC title
(11/13) Def torched, Off & QB Semonza great in Buf L
(10/20) Def torched by WMU. Off great but bad start
(10/18) DL is really undersized but linebackers very good
(10/13) Rgame 230+ yds, Run Def great in upset W (Tol)
(10/11) This may be worst Off in CFB. #133 Success




  
Western Michigan's OC Walt Bell
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Hayden Wolff19128567%22141777.8
Broc Lowry4850%21002.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaden Nixon132874126.692
Jalen Buckley12065785.561
Zahir Abdus-Salaam10456735.570
Broc Lowry2212335.640
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kenneth Womack34456113.441
Blake Bosma37403610.955
Anthony Sambucci31376212.154
Zahir Abdus-Salaam2822718.131
Buffalo's OC Dave Patenaude
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
CJ Ogbonna19033657%23811957.1
Gunnar Gray41136%41013.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Al-Jay Henderson204107895.368
CJ Ogbonna12234682.826
Jacqez Barksdale8230623.719
Messiah Burch2915325.331
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Victor Snow55651611.846
JJ Jenkins36536414.990
Al-Jay Henderson19238112.575
Taji Johnson19215211.334

Western Michigan's DC Scott Power
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Donald Willis1097144
Tate Hallock845005
Jacob Wahlberg782111
Bilhal Kone701028
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Corey Walker387635
Mason Nelson319311
Isaiah Green283240
Donald Willis1097144
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bilhal Kone701028
Tyson Lee263135
Tate Hallock845005
Buffalo's DC Joe Bowen
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shaun Dolac16818545
Khalil Murdock15617241
Solomon Brown662006
Dion Crawford5815942
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kobe Stewart40121032
Dion Crawford5815942
Shaun Dolac16818545
Antonio Colclough144341
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marquis Cooper553018
Solomon Brown662006
Shaun Dolac16818545