Toledo at Northern Illinois Game Matchup
Toledo logo Toledo Rockets at Northern Illinois HuskiesNorthern Illinois logo
Saturday, October 19th 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
Northern Illinois -3 (42.5) (-155)  Open: -1.0
Toledo 13 - Northern Illinois: 6  (Mid-American)

 
Rockets (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Jason Candle (65 - 35)
Avg Score : 28 - 23 (22 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TOL 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: Northern Illinois -8.5    (SP+ -1)
PPG only: TOL: 23 - NIU: 24 (47)
NIU Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
TOL Travel: 267 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Huskies (8 - 5) (5 - 6 - 2)
Coach Thomas Hammock (24 - 33)
Avg Score : 25 - 19 (28 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Toledo's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Thu 8/29 Toledo vs Duquesne-27.553.5W 49 - 10
Sat 9/7 Toledo vs Massachusetts-17.550.5W 38 - 23
Sat 9/14 Toledo at Mississippi State+10.556.5W 41 - 17
Sat 9/21 Toledo at Western Kentucky-2.060.5L 21 - 26
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Toledo vs Miami (OH)-4.544.0W 30 - 20
Sat 10/12 Toledo at Buffalo-10.544.5L 15 - 30
Sat 10/19 Toledo at Northern Illinois+3.042.5W 13 - 6
Sat 10/26 Toledo vs Bowling Green-1.547.5L 26 - 41
Sat 11/2 Toledo at Eastern Michigan-10.054.5W 29 - 28
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/12 Toledo vs Central Michigan-15.052.5W 37 - 10
Wed 11/20 Toledo vs Ohio-1.547.0L 7 - 24
Tue 11/26 Toledo at Akron-9.550.5L 14 - 21
Thu 12/26 Toledo vs Pittsburgh+6.548.5W 48 - 46
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Northern Illinois's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/31 Northern Illinois vs Western Illinois-36.555.5W 54 - 15
Sat 9/7 Northern Illinois at Notre Dame+28.546.5W 16 - 14
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Northern Illinois vs Buffalo-13.042.5L 20 - 23
Sat 9/28 Northern Illinois at NC State+7.046.0L 17 - 24
Sat 10/5 Northern Illinois vs Massachusetts-14.041.0W 34 - 20
Sat 10/12 Northern Illinois at Bowling Green+3.046.5W 17 - 7
Sat 10/19 Northern Illinois vs Toledo-3.042.5L 6 - 13
Sat 10/26 Northern Illinois at Ball State-13.547.5L 23 - 25
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/6 Northern Illinois at Western Michigan-2.551.5W 42 - 28
Wed 11/13 Northern Illinois vs Akron-14.043.5W 29 - 16
Tue 11/19 Northern Illinois at Miami (OH)+1.543.0L 9 - 20
Sat 11/30 Northern Illinois vs Central Michigan-16.541.5W 24 - 16
Mon 12/23 Northern Illinois vs Fresno State-2.041.0W 28 - 20
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

TOL's OC Mike Hallett vs NIU's DC Nick Benedetto     NIU's OC Wesley Beschorner vs TOL's DC Vince Kehres

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TOL#27 (.28)45% (34)28.346% (38)3.36 (20)19945% (37)2204.44 (26)#22 (.1)38% (29)23.241% (54)36% (14)3.33 (22)61.91.51.3
NIU#54 (.21)42% (62)24.545% (45)3.21 (50)18040% (85)1903.4 (102)#36 (.14)41% (52)18.544% (84)37% (21)3.4 (32)39.81.41.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TOL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
NIU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TOL Offense1428.322.245.2%4.441.5204191992205.357%42%46%45%13%.28
NIU Defense1318.517.240.7%3.41.2 - - - - - 56%43%44%37%13%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TOL Defense1423.221.338.4%3.331.3 - - - - - 51%48%41%36%17%.1
NIU Offense1324.527.842.4%3.41.419370180190554%46%45%40%15%.21

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Toledo1427:5520.344%59%6.661.91.51.35.12.5231
Northern Illinois1331:3018.742%50%4.539.81.41.24.11.7127.5
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TOL Offense1457% (17)46% (38)37.4198.95.331 (17).2 (41)3.36 (20)81% (14)8% (24)1.05 (38)
NIU Defense1356% (122)44% (84) - - - - .14 (69)3.29 (108)83% (118)8% (114)0.94 (37)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TOL Defense1451% (82)41% (54) - - - - .14 (66)3.12 (72)73% (71)10% (73)0.99 (64)
NIU Offense1354% (39)45% (45)35.8179.8523 (46).21 (36)3.21 (50)77% (36)9% (47)1.08 (29)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TOL Offense1442% (116)45% (37)16.626.9220.28.213.326 (31)10 (56).42 (24)1.7 (24)32% (80)32% (59).38 (52)5% (35)2 (78)
NIU Defense1343% (12)37% (21) - - - - - - 10 (67).17 (18)1.4 (14)32% (66)24% (9).29 (55)5% (115)2.2 (109)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TOL Defense1448% (46)36% (14) - - - - - - 11 (53).12 (10)1.5 (43)34% (45)25% (17).2 (17)8% (16)2 (61)
NIU Offense1346% (95)40% (85)16.228.2189.86.711.715 (96)9 (40).26 (75)1.5 (96)32% (64)26% (106).29 (83)6% (63)2.3 (16)

Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: -9.50 #99
Toledo's Offense Rating: 11.69 #121
Toledo's Defense Rating: 7.63 #50
2024 Talent Rating: 612.00 #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #74
Toledo's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Toledo's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.5 #80
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #88
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64

Toledo's SP+ Ratings
Toledo's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.5 #80
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #88
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 516.17
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Toledo: -9.50   Northern Illinois: -0.77

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Toledo: -2.5   Northern Illinois: -3.5




Northern Illinois's Power Ratings
Northern Illinois's Power Rating: -0.77 #73
Northern Illinois's Offense Rating: 16.86 #97
Northern Illinois's Defense Rating: 2.99 #11
2024 Talent Rating: 538.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Northern Illinois's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0

Northern Illinois's SP+ Ratings
Northern Illinois's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.5 #84
Northern Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #115
Northern Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.6 #32

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 516.17
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Toledo Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.2
Defense: 23.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.3

Toledo's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Northern Illinois 24
Toledo 23

Projected Total Points: 47
Northern Illinois Scoring
Offense: 24.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.8
Defense: 18.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.2

Northern Illinois's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 2
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/19Northern Illinois6Toledo13ToledoNorthern Illinois -3Toledo42.5Under
202309/30Toledo35Northern Illinois33ToledoToledo -13Northern Illinois48.0Over
202210/08Northern Illinois32Toledo52ToledoToledo -6.5Toledo59.0Over
202110/09Toledo20Northern Illinois22Northern IllinoisToledo -13Northern Illinois51.5Under
202012/05Northern Illinois24Toledo41ToledoToledo -9Toledo53.5Over
201911/13Toledo28Northern Illinois31Northern IllinoisToledo -2.5Northern Illinois54.5Over
201811/07Northern Illinois38Toledo15Northern IllinoisNorthern Illinois -3.5Northern Illinois54.0Under
201711/02Toledo27Northern Illinois17ToledoToledo -7.5Toledo56.5Under
201611/09Northern Illinois24Toledo31ToledoToledo -7.5Northern Illinois69.5Under
201511/03Toledo27Northern Illinois32Northern IllinoisToledo -7Northern Illinois62.0Under
201411/11Northern Illinois27Toledo24Northern IllinoisNorthern Illinois -3.5Toledo0
201311/20Toledo17Northern Illinois35Northern IllinoisNorthern Illinois -3Northern Illinois0
201211/14Northern Illinois31Toledo24Northern Illinois
201111/01Toledo60Northern Illinois63Northern Illinois
201011/09Northern Illinois65Toledo30Northern Illinois
200910/17Toledo20Northern Illinois19Toledo
200810/18Northern Illinois38Toledo7Northern Illinois
200710/27Toledo70Northern Illinois21Toledo
200611/07Northern Illinois13Toledo17Toledo
200511/16Toledo17Northern Illinois35Northern Illinois
200411/09Northern Illinois17Toledo31Toledo
200311/15Toledo49Northern Illinois30Toledo
200109/29Toledo41Northern Illinois20Toledo
200011/03Northern Illinois24Toledo38Toledo
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Northern Illinois1174 Overs
Toledo1356 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 133 - 92 - 61 - 3
Road Teams13 - 119 - 33 - 16 - 2

(#99) Toledo Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -9.50 #99
Offense Rating: 11.69 #121
Defense Rating: 7.63 #50
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.5 #80
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #88
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64
Talent Rating: 612.00 #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #74
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0


Toledo Notes
(11/27) Awful loss @ Akron to finish. Box score W, woof
(11/27) Bad offense, bad coach, bad season
(11/27) Candle terribly conservative for GW FG, missed it
(11/13) Gleason bad, Rgame avg, Def great in CMU W
(11/2) Gleason was bad but clutch in EMU comeback
(10/21) QB Gleason inj, Richter may start vs BG
(10/20) Def great, Off awful vs NIU. 285 yds in W
(10/18) Rgame awful, Run Def torched by Buffalo
Toledo     Ratings Matchup     Northern Illinois
Power #99
#73
Off #121
#97
Def #50
#11
Talent #73
#89
SP+ #80
#84
SP+ Off #88
#115
SP+ Def #64
#32

Rematch from Week 8
Northern Illinois -3.0 (42.5)
Toledo won at Northern Illinois this year (13-6)

Previous Matchups
Toledo beat Northern Illinois last year (13-6)
Toledo beat Northern Illinois in 2023 (35-33)
Toledo beat Northern Illinois in 2022 (52-32)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Brigham Field at Huskie Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 71° - Wind: 11 mph


Team Information
Injuries: TOL | NIU
Depth Chart: TOL | NIU
Rosters: TOL | NIU
(#73) Northern Illinois Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -0.77 #73
Offense Rating: 16.86 #97
Defense Rating: 2.99 #11
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.5 #84
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #115
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.6 #32
Talent Rating: 538.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0


Northern Illinois Notes
(11/18) Rgame mauled Akron, QB meh, Run Def great
(11/8) Off healthy & improved. Rgame/QB Hampton good
(11/7) Owned WMU. Big plays, caused TO's, KR TD
(10/20) Near 400 yds and only 6 pts (Tol)? 4-19 3rd bad
(10/18) Def ranks top 25 in 13 diff stats, #4 in ypg (253)
(10/18) Great 3rd down Def 20% (#1) & Off 48% (#22)
(10/18) New QB Holst v mobile, cannot pass from pocket
(10/14) QB Hampton left BG game (concussion)




  
Toledo's OC Mike Hallett
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Tucker Gleason20733562%24572277.3
John Alan Richter436764%497407.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Connor Walendzak12245713.732
Tucker Gleason8833063.835
Jacquez Stuart6123023.826
Sevaughn Clark6220903.426
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jerjuan Newton649491114.864
Junior Vandeross73763410.573
Anthony Torres27362813.478
Jacquez Stuart15170011.334
Northern Illinois's OC Wesley Beschorner
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ethan Hampton14324558%16081266.6
Josh Holst6511159%593225.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Gavin Williams13974945.471
Antario Brown11556744.949
Telly Johnson Jr.10348044.738
Josh Holst4923014.722
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Trayvon Rudolph37403110.948
Cam Thompson27388314.454
Grayson Barnes31338410.960
Andrew McElroy26264010.242

Toledo's DC Vince Kehres
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Maxen Hook1082004
Daniel Bolden918320
Braden Awls673107
Jackson Barrow649202
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
D'Andre Ragin428551
Anthony Dunn257420
Martez Poynter257400
Darius Alexander358425
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Avery Smith5010013
Braden Awls673107
Darius Alexander358425
Northern Illinois's DC Nick Benedetto
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaden Dolphin613002
Christian Fuhrman614011
Santana Banner542014
Nate Valcarcel532248
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Devonte O'Malley3812941
Roy Williams387711
Nevaeh Sanders85520
Skyler Gill-Howard487540
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nate Valcarcel532248
Jacob Finley363108
Santana Banner542014