Bowling Green at Toledo Game Matchup

Saturday, October 26th 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
Toledo -1.5 (47.5) (-130) Open: -3.0 | 47.5
Bowling Green 41 - Toledo: 26 (Mid-American)

Falcons (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Scot Loeffler (20 - 35)
Avg Score : 27 - 22 (29 - 22 on Road)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -2 (SP+ -0.5)
PPG only: BGSU: 25 - TOL: 25 (50)
TOL Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
BGSU Travel: 19 miles

Rockets (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Jason Candle (65 - 35)
Avg Score : 28 - 23 (31 - 21 @ Home)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Off Players
Def Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Bowling Green's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Thu 8/29	Bowling Green vs Fordham	-15.5	60.5	W 41 - 17
Sat 9/7	Bowling Green at Penn State	+35.5	51.5	L 27 - 34
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21	Bowling Green at Texas A&M	+21.0	50.5	L 20 - 26
Sat 9/28	Bowling Green vs Old Dominion	-11.0	51.5	L 27 - 30
Sat 10/5	Bowling Green at Akron	-17.0	48.5	W 27 - 20
Sat 10/12	Bowling Green vs Northern Illinois	-3.0	46.5	L 7 - 17
Sat 10/19	Bowling Green vs Kent State	-24.0	54.5	W 27 - 6
Sat 10/26	Bowling Green at Toledo	+1.5	47.5	W 41 - 26
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/5	Bowling Green at Central Michigan	-14.5	47.5	W 23 - 13
Tue 11/12	Bowling Green vs Western Michigan	-9.5	57.5	W 31 - 13
Sat 11/23	Bowling Green at Ball State	-12.5	54.5	W 38 - 13
Fri 11/29	Bowling Green vs Miami (OH)	-3.0	37.5	L 12 - 28
Thu 12/26	Bowling Green vs Arkansas State	-10.5	54.5	L 31 - 38

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Toledo's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Thu 8/29	Toledo vs Duquesne	-27.5	53.5	W 49 - 10
Sat 9/7	Toledo vs Massachusetts	-17.5	50.5	W 38 - 23
Sat 9/14	Toledo at Mississippi State	+10.5	56.5	W 41 - 17
Sat 9/21	Toledo at Western Kentucky	-2.0	60.5	L 21 - 26
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5	Toledo vs Miami (OH)	-4.5	44.0	W 30 - 20
Sat 10/12	Toledo at Buffalo	-10.5	44.5	L 15 - 30
Sat 10/19	Toledo at Northern Illinois	+3.0	42.5	W 13 - 6
Sat 10/26	Toledo vs Bowling Green	-1.5	47.5	L 26 - 41
Sat 11/2	Toledo at Eastern Michigan	-10.0	54.5	W 29 - 28
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/12	Toledo vs Central Michigan	-15.0	52.5	W 37 - 10
Wed 11/20	Toledo vs Ohio	-1.5	47.0	L 7 - 24
Tue 11/26	Toledo at Akron	-9.5	50.5	L 14 - 21
Thu 12/26	Toledo vs Pittsburgh	+6.5	48.5	W 48 - 46

BGSU's OC Greg Nosal vs TOL's DC Vince Kehres TOL's OC Mike Hallett vs BGSU's DC Sammy Lawanson

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BGSU	#74 (.18)	41% (81)	27.1	45% (46)	3.06 (81)	137	39% (98)	189	3.65 (87)	#44 (.15)	42% (63)	21.6	48% (119)	36% (11)	3.71 (62)	60.9	1.5	2.2
TOL	#27 (.28)	45% (34)	28.3	46% (38)	3.36 (20)	199	45% (37)	220	4.44 (26)	#22 (.1)	38% (29)	23.2	41% (54)	36% (14)	3.33 (22)	61.9	1.5	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BGSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
TOL		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BGSU Offense	13	27.1	29.3	41.2%	3.65	1.5	17	326	137	189	4.2	48%	50%	45%	39%	18%	.18
TOL Defense	14	23.2	21.3	38.4%	3.33	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	41%	36%	17%	.1

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BGSU Defense	13	21.6	22	41.6%	3.71	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	54%	44%	48%	36%	17%	.15
TOL Offense	14	28.3	31.2	45.2%	4.44	1.5	20	419	199	220	5.3	57%	42%	46%	45%	13%	.28

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Bowling Green	13	30:30	16.8	33%	60%	6.9	60.9	1.5	2.2	4.9	2.5	3	33.8
Toledo	14	27:55	20.3	44%	59%	6.6	61.9	1.5	1.3	5.1	2.5	2	31

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BGSU Offense	13	48% (82)	45% (46)	33	137.4	4.2	22 (51)	.16 (65)	3.06 (81)	80% (18)	13% (121)	1.09 (24)
TOL Defense	14	51% (82)	41% (54)	-	-	-	-	.14 (66)	3.12 (72)	73% (71)	10% (73)	0.99 (64)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BGSU Defense	13	54% (112)	48% (119)	-	-	-	-	.22 (108)	3.28 (105)	80% (110)	10% (67)	0.95 (41)
TOL Offense	14	57% (17)	46% (38)	37.4	198.9	5.3	31 (17)	.2 (41)	3.36 (20)	81% (14)	8% (24)	1.05 (38)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BGSU Offense	13	50% (60)	39% (98)	16.5	27.5	188.8	6.9	11.5	17 (85)	14 (107)	.27 (72)	1.7 (35)	36% (127)	31% (67)	.29 (82)	6% (54)	2 (82)
TOL Defense	14	48% (46)	36% (14)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (53)	.12 (10)	1.5 (43)	34% (45)	25% (17)	.2 (17)	8% (16)	2 (61)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BGSU Defense	13	44% (17)	36% (11)	-	-	-	-	-	-	17 (3)	.21 (35)	1.7 (111)	33% (46)	28% (38)	.32 (71)	7% (21)	2.1 (72)
TOL Offense	14	42% (116)	45% (37)	16.6	26.9	220.2	8.2	13.3	26 (31)	10 (56)	.42 (24)	1.7 (24)	32% (80)	32% (59)	.38 (52)	5% (35)	2 (78)

Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: #NR
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: #NR
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: #NR
2024 Talent Rating: 478.00 #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Bowling Green's 2024 Expected Record: -
Bowling Green's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.8 #77
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #79
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #75

Bowling Green's SP+ Ratings
Bowling Green's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.8 #77
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #79
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #75

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 516.17
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: Toledo: 2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: -1.8 Toledo: -2.5

Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: 2 #NR
Toledo's Offense Rating: #NR
Toledo's Defense Rating: #NR
2024 Talent Rating: 612.00 #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
Toledo's 2024 Expected Record: -

Toledo's SP+ Ratings
Toledo's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.5 #80
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #88
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 516.17
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 27.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.3
Defense: 21.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 22

Bowling Green's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Bowling Green 25
Toledo 25

Projected Total Points: 50

Toledo Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.2
Defense: 23.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.3

Toledo's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/26	Toledo	26	Bowling Green	41	Bowling Green	Toledo -1.5	Bowling Green	47.5	Over
2023	11/14	Bowling Green	31	Toledo	32	Toledo	Toledo -9.5	Bowling Green	48.5	Over
2022	11/15	Toledo	35	Bowling Green	42	Bowling Green	Toledo -14.5	Bowling Green	47.0	Over
2021	11/10	Bowling Green	17	Toledo	49	Toledo	Toledo -10.5	Toledo	50.0	Over
2020	11/04	Toledo	38	Bowling Green	3	Toledo	Toledo -24	Toledo	63.0	Under
2019	10/12	Bowling Green	20	Toledo	7	Bowling Green	Toledo -26.5	Bowling Green	65.0	Under
2018	10/06	Toledo	52	Bowling Green	36	Toledo	Toledo -23	Bowling Green	71.0	Over
2017	11/15	Bowling Green	37	Toledo	66	Toledo	Toledo -17.5	Toledo	66.0	Over
2016	10/15	Toledo	42	Bowling Green	35	Toledo	Toledo -24	Bowling Green	71.0	Over
2015	11/17	Bowling Green	28	Toledo	44	Toledo	Bowling Green -9	Toledo	72.5	Under
2014	11/19	Toledo	27	Bowling Green	20	Toledo	Toledo -6.5	Toledo	0
2013	10/26	Bowling Green	25	Toledo	28	Toledo	Bowling Green -3	Toledo	0
2012	09/15	Toledo	27	Bowling Green	15	Toledo
2011	10/15	Bowling Green	21	Toledo	28	Toledo
2010	11/17	Toledo	33	Bowling Green	14	Toledo
2009	11/27	Bowling Green	38	Toledo	24	Bowling Green
2008	11/28	Toledo	10	Bowling Green	38	Bowling Green
2007	11/23	Bowling Green	37	Toledo	10	Bowling Green
2006	11/21	Toledo	31	Bowling Green	21	Toledo
2005	11/22	Bowling Green	41	Toledo	44	Toledo
2004	11/23	Toledo	49	Bowling Green	41	Toledo
2003	11/29	Bowling Green	31	Toledo	23	Bowling Green
2001	11/23	Bowling Green	56	Toledo	21	Bowling Green
2000	11/21	Toledo	51	Bowling Green	17	Toledo

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Toledo	16	6	7 Overs
Bowling Green	8	6	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	14 - 10	4 - 8	2 - 6	2 - 2
Road Teams	10 - 14	8 - 4	2 - 2	6 - 2

(#NR) Bowling Green Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.8 #77
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #79
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #75
Talent Rating: 478.00 #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -

Bowling Green Notes
(11/25) Bullied Ball St. Finale vs M OH for MAC title gm
(11/13) Off better, Rgame good 220+, 7.4 ypc in WMU W
(11/8) Off OK vs CMU, Rgame 181, 5.2 ypc. Def great TW
(10/20) Bazelak torched Kent St, Rgame was really bad
(10/14) QB Bazelak hurt vs N. Illinois (day to day)
(10/14) Backup QB Lucian A. cannot throw the ball
(10/13) Scored open TD and 0 after in 17-7 L (N Ill)
(9/28) Bazelak 300 yds in W over ODU, Rgame really bad

Bowling Green Ratings Matchup Toledo

Power #NR

#NR

Off #NR

#NR

Def #NR

#NR

Talent #106

#73

SP+ #77

#80

SP+ Off #79

#88

SP+ Def #75

#64

Rematch from Week 9
Toledo -1.5 (47.5)
Bowling Green won at Toledo this year (41-26)

Previous Matchups
Bowling Green beat Toledo last year (41-26)
Toledo beat Bowling Green in 2023 (32-31)
Bowling Green beat Toledo in 2022 (42-35)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Glass Bowl
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 58° - Wind: 7 mph

Team Information
Injuries: BGSU | TOL
Depth Chart: BGSU | TOL
Rosters: BGSU | TOL

(#NR) Toledo Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 2 #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.5 #80
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #88
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64
Talent Rating: 612.00 #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
Expected Record: -

Toledo Notes
(11/27) Awful loss @ Akron to finish. Box score W, woof
(11/27) Bad offense, bad coach, bad season
(11/27) Candle terribly conservative for GW FG, missed it
(11/13) Gleason bad, Rgame avg, Def great in CMU W
(11/2) Gleason was bad but clutch in EMU comeback
(10/21) QB Gleason inj, Richter may start vs BG
(10/20) Def great, Off awful vs NIU. 285 yds in W
(10/18) Rgame awful, Run Def torched by Buffalo

Bowling Green's OC Greg Nosal

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Connor Bazelak	269	402	67%	3044	18	5	7.6
Lucian Anderson III	5	12	42%	32	1	1	2.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Terion Stewart	166	898	6	5.4	73
Jaison Patterson	99	426	5	4.3	41
Jamal Johnson	26	188	1	7.2	41
Rahkeem Smith	20	128	3	6.4	40

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Harold Fannin	117	1550	10	13.2	65
Malcolm Johnson Jr.	49	573	3	11.7	50
Rahkeem Smith	25	349	3	14.0	66
Jamal Johnson	31	229	1	7.4	36

Toledo's OC Mike Hallett

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Tucker Gleason	207	335	62%	2457	22	7	7.3
John Alan Richter	43	67	64%	497	4	0	7.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Connor Walendzak	122	457	1	3.7	32
Tucker Gleason	88	330	6	3.8	35
Jacquez Stuart	61	230	2	3.8	26
Sevaughn Clark	62	209	0	3.4	26

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jerjuan Newton	64	949	11	14.8	64
Junior Vandeross	73	763	4	10.5	73
Anthony Torres	27	362	8	13.4	78
Jacquez Stuart	15	170	0	11.3	34

Bowling Green's DC Sammy Lawanson

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brock Horne	81	6	2	2	1
Joseph Sipp Jr.	79	12	7	1	2
CJ Brown	73	2	0	1	2
Charles Rosser	62	8	5	4	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Joseph Sipp Jr.	79	12	7	1	2
Charles Rosser	62	8	5	4	0
Anthony Hawkins	46	8	5	2	3
Ali Saad	40	9	4	3	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Jordan Oladokun	35	1	0	7
Ja'Corey Benjamin	26	1	0	5
Todd Bumphis	8	1	1	3

Toledo's DC Vince Kehres

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Maxen Hook	108	2	0	0	4
Daniel Bolden	91	8	3	2	0
Braden Awls	67	3	1	0	7
Jackson Barrow	64	9	2	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
D'Andre Ragin	42	8	5	5	1
Anthony Dunn	25	7	4	2	0
Martez Poynter	25	7	4	0	0
Darius Alexander	35	8	4	2	5

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Avery Smith	50	1	0	0	13
Braden Awls	67	3	1	0	7
Darius Alexander	35	8	4	2	5