Toledo at Eastern Michigan Game Matchup
Toledo logo Toledo Rockets at Eastern Michigan EaglesEastern Michigan logo
Saturday, November 2nd 2024 (12:00 PM EDT)
Toledo -10 (54.5) (-360)  Open: -6.0
Toledo 29 - Eastern Michigan: 28  (Mid-American)

 
Rockets (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Jason Candle (65 - 35)
Avg Score : 28 - 23 (22 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Toledo -5.5    (SP+ -11)
PPG only: TOL: 28 - EMU: 25 (53)
TOL Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
TOL Travel: 41 miles
Eagles (5 - 7) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Chris Creighton (52 - 68)
Avg Score : 26 - 28 (29 - 29 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Toledo's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Thu 8/29 Toledo vs Duquesne-27.553.5W 49 - 10
Sat 9/7 Toledo vs Massachusetts-17.550.5W 38 - 23
Sat 9/14 Toledo at Mississippi State+10.556.5W 41 - 17
Sat 9/21 Toledo at Western Kentucky-2.060.5L 21 - 26
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Toledo vs Miami (OH)-4.544.0W 30 - 20
Sat 10/12 Toledo at Buffalo-10.544.5L 15 - 30
Sat 10/19 Toledo at Northern Illinois+3.042.5W 13 - 6
Sat 10/26 Toledo vs Bowling Green-1.547.5L 26 - 41
Sat 11/2 Toledo at Eastern Michigan-10.054.5W 29 - 28
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/12 Toledo vs Central Michigan-15.052.5W 37 - 10
Wed 11/20 Toledo vs Ohio-1.547.0L 7 - 24
Tue 11/26 Toledo at Akron-9.550.5L 14 - 21
Thu 12/26 Toledo vs Pittsburgh+6.548.5W 48 - 46
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Eastern Michigan's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/31 Eastern Michigan at Massachusetts+2.549.0W 28 - 14
Sat 9/7 Eastern Michigan at Washington+25.048.5L 9 - 30
Sat 9/14 Eastern Michigan vs Jacksonville State+2.553.5W 37 - 34
Sat 9/21 Eastern Michigan vs St. Francis (PA)-25.545.5W 36 - 0
Sat 9/28 Eastern Michigan at Kent State-14.046.0W 52 - 33
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Eastern Michigan vs Miami (OH)+3.045.5L 14 - 38
Sat 10/19 Eastern Michigan vs Central Michigan-3.552.5W 38 - 34
Sat 10/26 Eastern Michigan at Akron-2.550.5L 21 - 25
Sat 11/2 Eastern Michigan vs Toledo+10.054.5L 28 - 29
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/13 Eastern Michigan at Ohio+10.551.5L 10 - 35
Wed 11/20 Eastern Michigan vs Buffalo-1.053.5L 20 - 37
Sat 11/30 Eastern Michigan at Western Michigan+6.556.5L 18 - 26
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

TOL's OC Mike Hallett vs EMU's DC Ben Needham     EMU's OC Mike Piatkowski vs TOL's DC Vince Kehres

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TOL#27 (.28)45% (34)28.346% (38)3.36 (20)19945% (37)2204.44 (26)#22 (.1)38% (29)23.241% (54)36% (14)3.33 (22)61.91.51.3
EMU#123 (.07)36% (127)25.939% (115)2.94 (101)11234% (122)1523.85 (74)#73 (.19)42% (74)27.947% (106)38% (24)3.68 (58)58.61.41.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TOL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
EMU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TOL Offense1428.322.245.2%4.441.5204191992205.357%42%46%45%13%.28
EMU Defense1327.928.742.4%3.681.4 - - - - - 54%45%47%38%15%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TOL Defense1423.221.338.4%3.331.3 - - - - - 51%48%41%36%17%.1
EMU Offense1325.928.835.8%3.851.4162641121523.450%48%39%34%19%.07

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Toledo1427:5520.344%59%6.661.91.51.35.12.5231
Eastern Michigan1328:5915.935%53%6.258.61.41.44.51.6328.1
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TOL Offense1457% (17)46% (38)37.4198.95.331 (17).2 (41)3.36 (20)81% (14)8% (24)1.05 (38)
EMU Defense1354% (117)47% (106) - - - - .16 (82)3.43 (121)64% (22)9% (102)0.93 (33)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TOL Defense1451% (82)41% (54) - - - - .14 (66)3.12 (72)73% (71)10% (73)0.99 (64)
EMU Offense1350% (67)39% (115)32.9112.13.418 (77).07 (109)2.94 (101)76% (48)11% (97)0.92 (104)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TOL Offense1442% (116)45% (37)16.626.9220.28.213.326 (31)10 (56).42 (24)1.7 (24)32% (80)32% (59).38 (52)5% (35)2 (78)
EMU Defense1345% (18)38% (24) - - - - - - 7 (111).26 (62)1.7 (108)31% (92)32% (101).43 (118)6% (76)2.2 (117)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TOL Defense1448% (46)36% (14) - - - - - - 11 (53).12 (10)1.5 (43)34% (45)25% (17).2 (17)8% (16)2 (61)
EMU Offense1348% (78)34% (122)15.227.51525.51010 (120)12 (85).1 (122)1.4 (129)34% (108)21% (130).09 (130)8% (115)1.8 (124)

Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: -9.50 #99
Toledo's Offense Rating: 11.69 #121
Toledo's Defense Rating: 7.63 #50
2024 Talent Rating: 612.00 #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #74
Toledo's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Toledo's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.5 #80
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #88
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64

Toledo's SP+ Ratings
Toledo's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.5 #80
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #88
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 516.17
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Toledo: -9.50   Eastern Michigan: -15.08

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Toledo: -2.5   Eastern Michigan: -13.3




Eastern Michigan's Power Ratings
Eastern Michigan's Power Rating: -15.08 #116
Eastern Michigan's Offense Rating: 13.59 #114
Eastern Michigan's Defense Rating: 13.76 #100
2024 Talent Rating: 542.00 #87
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Eastern Michigan's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0

Eastern Michigan's SP+ Ratings
Eastern Michigan's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.3 #114
Eastern Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #110
Eastern Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #115

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 516.17
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Toledo Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.2
Defense: 23.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.3

Toledo's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Toledo 28
Eastern Michigan 25

Projected Total Points: 53
Eastern Michigan Scoring
Offense: 25.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.8
Defense: 27.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.7

Eastern Michigan's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/02Eastern Michigan28Toledo29ToledoToledo -10Eastern Michigan54.5Over
202311/08Toledo49Eastern Michigan23ToledoToledo -19.5Toledo45.5Over
202210/29Eastern Michigan24Toledo27ToledoToledo -4Eastern Michigan54.0Under
202111/02Toledo49Eastern Michigan52Eastern MichiganToledo -9Eastern Michigan54.5Over
202011/18Eastern Michigan28Toledo45ToledoToledo -6.5Toledo62.5Over
201910/26Toledo37Eastern Michigan34ToledoToledo -2.5Toledo52.0Over
201810/13Eastern Michigan28Toledo26Eastern MichiganToledo -2Eastern Michigan62.0Under
201710/07Toledo20Eastern Michigan15ToledoToledo -13.5Eastern Michigan60.0Under
201610/08Eastern Michigan20Toledo35ToledoToledo -17.5Eastern Michigan65.5Under
201510/17Toledo63Eastern Michigan20ToledoToledo -28Toledo63.0Over
201411/28Eastern Michigan16Toledo52ToledoToledo -21.5Toledo0
201311/02Toledo55Eastern Michigan16ToledoToledo -28Toledo0
201210/13Eastern Michigan47Toledo52Toledo
201110/08Toledo54Eastern Michigan16Toledo
201010/30Eastern Michigan7Toledo42Toledo
200911/20Toledo47Eastern Michigan21Toledo
200809/13Eastern Michigan17Toledo41Toledo
200711/03Toledo52Eastern Michigan28Toledo
200610/21Eastern Michigan17Toledo13Eastern Michigan
200510/08Toledo30Eastern Michigan3Toledo
200409/18Eastern Michigan32Toledo42Toledo
200310/11Toledo49Eastern Michigan14Toledo
200209/07Eastern Michigan13Toledo65Toledo
200111/17Toledo28Eastern Michigan7Toledo
200010/06Eastern Michigan14Toledo42Toledo
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Eastern Michigan366 Overs
Toledo2264 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 128 - 44 - 24 - 2
Road Teams12 - 134 - 82 - 42 - 4

(#99) Toledo Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -9.50 #99
Offense Rating: 11.69 #121
Defense Rating: 7.63 #50
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.5 #80
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #88
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64
Talent Rating: 612.00 #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #74
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0


Toledo Notes
(11/27) Awful loss @ Akron to finish. Box score W, woof
(11/27) Bad offense, bad coach, bad season
(11/27) Candle terribly conservative for GW FG, missed it
(11/13) Gleason bad, Rgame avg, Def great in CMU W
(11/2) Gleason was bad but clutch in EMU comeback
(10/21) QB Gleason inj, Richter may start vs BG
(10/20) Def great, Off awful vs NIU. 285 yds in W
(10/18) Rgame awful, Run Def torched by Buffalo
Toledo     Ratings Matchup     Eastern Michigan
Power #99
#116
Off #121
#114
Def #50
#100
Talent #73
#87
SP+ #80
#114
SP+ Off #88
#110
SP+ Def #64
#115

Rematch from Week 10
Toledo 10.0 (54.5)
Toledo won at Eastern Michigan this year (29-28)

Previous Matchups
Toledo beat Eastern Michigan last year (29-28)
Toledo beat Eastern Michigan in 2023 (49-23)
Toledo beat Eastern Michigan in 2022 (27-24)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rynearson Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 51°

Team Information
Injuries: TOL | EMU
Depth Chart: TOL | EMU
Rosters: TOL | EMU
(#116) Eastern Michigan Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -15.08 #116
Offense Rating: 13.59 #114
Defense Rating: 13.76 #100
Overall SP+ Rating: -13.3 #114
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #110
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #115
Talent Rating: 542.00 #87
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0


Eastern Michigan Notes
(11/25) 4 str L's, Rgame awful vs Buff. Vs WMU for bowl
(11/18) Off was awful & Def all. 21 pts in 2H in Ohio L
(11/2) Def 22 pt 4th Q collapse cost them vs Toledo
(10/20) Synder 17-38, 300, 3 TDs, Run Def all 285 yds
(10/13) Def awful vs M-Oh. Snyder bad, Rgame bad
(10/4) Off good, Def v bad. QB Synder best in MAC?
(9/14) 52 car/152 yds vs Jax St? QB Snyder good
(9/1) Good W @ UMass. Off Ok, Def good wk 1




  
Toledo's OC Mike Hallett
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Tucker Gleason20733562%24572277.3
John Alan Richter436764%497407.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Connor Walendzak12245713.732
Tucker Gleason8833063.835
Jacquez Stuart6123023.826
Sevaughn Clark6220903.426
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jerjuan Newton649491114.864
Junior Vandeross73763410.573
Anthony Torres27362813.478
Jacquez Stuart15170011.334
Eastern Michigan's OC Mike Piatkowski
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Cole Snyder23940260%26761596.7
Jeremiah Salem81173%1261111.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Delbert Mimms III18279994.441
Cole Snyder13632242.429
Elijah Jackson-Anderson5421824.040
Joey Mattord2911814.113
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Terry Lockett46660514.379
Oran Singleton Jr.64644210.144
Markus Allen42636315.178
Max Reese2723228.634

Toledo's DC Vince Kehres
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Maxen Hook1082004
Daniel Bolden918320
Braden Awls673107
Jackson Barrow649202
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
D'Andre Ragin428551
Anthony Dunn257420
Martez Poynter257400
Darius Alexander358425
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Avery Smith5010013
Braden Awls673107
Darius Alexander358425
Eastern Michigan's DC Ben Needham
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
James Djonkam9812343
Luke Murphy945040
Quentavius Scandrett540012
Peyton Price519460
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jefferson Adam267500
Justin Jefferson345490
Peyton Price519460
James Djonkam9812343
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Daiquan White311007
James Djonkam9812343
Bryce Llewellyn80002