Ball State at Ohio Game Matchup
Ball State logo Ball State Cardinals at Ohio BobcatsOhio logo
Friday, November 29th 2024 (12:00 PM EST)
Ohio -17.5 (51.5) (-1000)  Open: -14.5 | 52.5
Ohio 42 - Ball State: 21  (Mid-American)

 
Cardinals (3 - 9) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Collin Johnson (Int) (37 - 56)
Avg Score : 25 - 40 (23 - 45 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Ohio -17    (SP+ -22)
PPG only: BALL: 22 - OHIO: 35 (57)
OHIO Win prob: 89% | Cover: 51%
BALL Travel: 186 miles
Bobcats (11 - 3) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Tim Albin (23 - 16)
Avg Score : 29 - 18 (34 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11 - 3 (#8)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Ball State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/7 Ball State vs Missouri State-2.550.5W 42 - 34
Sat 9/14 Ball State at Miami+36.555.5L 0 - 62
Sat 9/21 Ball State at Central Michigan+6.551.0L 34 - 37
Sat 9/28 Ball State at James Madison+22.056.5L 7 - 63
Sat 10/5 Ball State vs Western Michigan+10.057.5L 42 - 45
Sat 10/12 Ball State at Kent State-3.058.0W 37 - 35
Sat 10/19 Ball State at Vanderbilt+27.557.5L 14 - 24
Sat 10/26 Ball State vs Northern Illinois+13.547.5W 25 - 23
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/5 Ball State vs Miami (OH)+12.548.5L 21 - 27
Tue 11/12 Ball State at Buffalo+3.555.5L 48 - 51
Sat 11/23 Ball State vs Bowling Green+12.554.5L 13 - 38
Fri 11/29 Ball State at Ohio+17.551.5L 21 - 42
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Ohio's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/31 Ohio at Syracuse+17.547.5L 22 - 38
Sat 9/7 Ohio vs South Alabama+1.555.5W 27 - 20
Sat 9/14 Ohio vs Morgan State-24.545.5W 21 - 6
Sat 9/21 Ohio at Kentucky+19.042.0L 6 - 41
Sat 9/28 Ohio vs Akron-8.546.0W 30 - 10
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Ohio at Central Michigan-3.050.5W 27 - 25
Sat 10/19 Ohio at Miami (OH)+3.543.5L 20 - 30
Sat 10/26 Ohio vs Buffalo-4.046.5W 47 - 16
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/6 Ohio at Kent State-20.553.5W 41 - 0
Wed 11/13 Ohio vs Eastern Michigan-10.551.5W 35 - 10
Wed 11/20 Ohio at Toledo+1.547.0W 24 - 7
Fri 11/29 Ohio vs Ball State-17.551.5W 42 - 21
Sat 12/7 Ohio vs Miami (OH)+2.543.5W 38 - 3
Fri 12/20 Ohio vs Jacksonville State-6.557.5W 30 - 27
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

BALL's OC Jared Elliott vs OHIO's DC John Hauser     OHIO's OC Brian Smith vs BALL's DC Jeff Knowles

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BALL#97 (.14)40% (95)25.345% (50)3.35 (22)17133% (127)1373.31 (105)#70 (.18)42% (66)40.143% (65)42% (70)3.81 (70)45.21.30.9
OHIO#76 (.18)45% (33)29.344% (61)2.99 (90)14448% (17)2043.61 (92)#3 (.02)35% (8)18.135% (9)36% (12)2.45 (2)51.811.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BALL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
OHIO0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BALL Offense1225.32339.8%3.311.3183081711374.458%41%45%33%17%.14
OHIO Defense1318.113.835%2.451.8 - - - - - 44%54%35%36%21%.02
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BALL Defense1240.144.941.8%3.810.9 - - - - - 48%51%43%42%17%.18
OHIO Offense1329.333.745.2%3.611213481442043.952%47%44%48%15%.18

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Ball State1232:4418.138%56%5.245.21.30.95.72.1028.8
Ohio1333:2320.846%50%5.651.811.87.42.8131.2
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BALL Offense1258% (14)45% (50)39.3171.44.415 (100).21 (38)3.35 (22)83% (8)12% (112)0.99 (70)
OHIO Defense1344% (10)35% (9) - - - - -.06 (3)2.54 (8)70% (47)15% (3)1.07 (101)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BALL Defense1248% (44)43% (65) - - - - .11 (45)3.08 (62)79% (102)11% (35)0.89 (23)
OHIO Offense1352% (46)44% (61)37.3144.43.918 (77).1 (95)2.99 (90)73% (75)9% (39)0.81 (131)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BALL Offense1241% (119)33% (127)15.125.3136.75.49.19 (126)8 (30).05 (128)1.4 (130)33% (92)24% (123).18 (110)5% (25)2 (104)
OHIO Defense1354% (123)36% (12) - - - - - - 15 (15).14 (14)1.5 (30)36% (15)23% (5).19 (15)5% (94)1.9 (27)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BALL Defense1251% (93)42% (70) - - - - - - 5 (126).27 (70)1.5 (29)32% (61)28% (30).21 (20)5% (97)2 (39)
OHIO Offense1347% (91)48% (17)18.429.5203.66.911.116 (92)9 (40).31 (57)1.4 (123)30% (31)35% (30).32 (72)6% (84)1.7 (131)

Ball State's Power Ratings
Ball State's Power Rating: -23.09 #126
Ball State's Offense Rating: 17.16 #93
Ball State's Defense Rating: 22.27 #132
2024 Talent Rating: 514.00 #92
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Ball State's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Ball State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -19.8 #126
Ball State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #103
Ball State's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.8 #133

Ball State's SP+ Ratings
Ball State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -19.8 #126
Ball State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #103
Ball State's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.8 #133

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 516.17
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Ball State: -23.09   Ohio: -6.26

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ball State: -19.8   Ohio: 2.3




Ohio's Power Ratings
Ohio's Power Rating: -6.26 #93
Ohio's Offense Rating: 19.85 #68
Ohio's Defense Rating: 8.89 #63
2024 Talent Rating: 376.00 #122
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Ohio's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0

Ohio's SP+ Ratings
Ohio's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.3 #63
Ohio's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #67
Ohio's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.9 #47

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 516.17
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Ball State Scoring
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 23
Defense: 40.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 44.9

Ball State's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Ohio 35
Ball State 22

Projected Total Points: 57
Ohio Scoring
Offense: 29.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.7
Defense: 18.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.8

Ohio's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/29Ohio42Ball State21OhioOhio -17.5Ohio51.5Over
202211/15Ball State18Ohio32OhioOhio -3.5Ohio57.5Under
201910/26Ball State21Ohio34OhioBall State -1.5Ohio60.0Under
201810/25Ohio52Ball State14OhioOhio -10.5Ohio66.0Push
201511/17Ohio48Ball State31OhioOhio -7Ohio56.0Over
201211/14Ball State52Ohio27Ball State
201110/15Ohio20Ball State23Ball State
200910/31Ball State17Ohio20Ohio
200510/22Ohio38Ball State21Ohio
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Ohio752 Overs
Ball State202 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 43 - 23 - 10 - 1
Road Teams4 - 52 - 31 - 01 - 3

(#126) Ball State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -23.09 #126
Offense Rating: 17.16 #93
Defense Rating: 22.27 #132
Overall SP+ Rating: -19.8 #126
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #103
Defense SP+ Rating: 40.8 #133
Talent Rating: 514.00 #92
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0


Ball State Notes
(12/18) Hired HC Mike Uremovich (Butler)
(11/29) Fr QB Semonza good vs Ohio, 333 yds, 3/0 TD/Int
(11/16) HC Neu fired, OL Colin Johnson interim
(11/8) Good fight w/ M-O, Rgame abysmal, QB great
(10/22) Def stop rate 37% (#132) into week 9
(10/20) Good fight w/ Vandy, QB 21-29 for 190 yds?
(10/13) Shootout W over Kent St. Pass Def torched
(10/4) Sched brutal, Def CFB #133. Over every game.
Ball State     Ratings Matchup     Ohio
Power #126
#93
Off #93
#68
Def #132
#63
Talent #92
#122
SP+ #126
#63
SP+ Off #103
#67
SP+ Def #133
#47

Rematch from Week 14
Ohio -17.5 (51.5)
Ohio won vs Ball State this year (42-21)

Previous Matchups
Ohio beat Ball State last year (42-21)
Ohio beat Ball State in 2022 (32-18)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Peden Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 33° - Wind: 8 mph


Team Information
Injuries: BALL | OHIO
Depth Chart: BALL | OHIO
Rosters: BALL | OHIO
(#93) Ohio Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -6.26 #93
Offense Rating: 19.85 #68
Defense Rating: 8.89 #63
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.3 #63
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #67
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.9 #47
Talent Rating: 376.00 #122
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0


Ohio Notes
(12/18) Promoted OC Brian Smith to HC
(12/8) HC Albin left for Charlotte after MAC title?
(11/29) Killed Ball St, in MAC title. Rgame 270/6.6 ypc
(11/29) Pass Def bad vs Ball St, 333 yds, 3 TD, 0 Int
(11/25) 4 str W's, bullied Toledo. Beat Ball St=MAC title
(11/18) 3 str W's, Killed EMU, Off good enough, Def good
(11/8) Rgame mauled Kent, Run Def/Pass Def great TW
(10/20) 2 Int, no Off for 3 quarters vs M-OH. Rgame bad




  
Ball State's OC Jared Elliott
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kadin Semonza27542764%290025106.8
Aidan Leffler2633%6001.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Braedon Sloan15059744.040
Vaughn Pemberton6127624.541
Cam Pickett17170210.034
TJ Horton2310704.717
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tanner Koziol9483988.933
Cam Pickett49528210.865
Justin Bowick20383319.257
Braedon Sloan29329111.372
Ohio's OC Brian Smith
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Parker Navarro19529566%242313118.2
Nick Poulos224945%271215.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Anthony Tyus III237121595.146
Parker Navarro1601047186.555
Rickey Hunt7639325.259
Nick Poulos2814915.322
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Coleman Owen781235815.875
Chase Hendricks40471111.856
Rodney Harris II23299013.052
Mason Williams19211211.121

Ball State's DC Jeff Knowles
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
George Udo782111
Keionte Newson734044
Riley Tolsma599681
Joey Stemler566260
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Riley Tolsma599681
Brandon Berger3810594
Sam Feeney73300
Darin Conley163220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Myles Norwood382005
Keionte Newson734044
Brandon Berger3810594
Ohio's DC John Hauser
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Blake Leake945113
Dustin Johnson772004
Shay Taylor7411434
Marcel Walker568672
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bradley Weaver44169100
Marcel Walker568672
Shay Taylor7411434
Kadin Schmitz324400
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Roman Parodie5100010
DJ Walker537007
Tank Pearson502006