Navy at South Florida Game Matchup
Navy logo Navy Midshipmen at South Florida BullsSouth Florida logo
Saturday, November 9th 2024 (12:00 PM EST)
Navy -4.5 (59.5) (-185)  Open: -3.0 | 56.5
Navy 28 - South Florida: 7  (American Athletic)

 
Midshipmen (10 - 3) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Brian Newberry (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 31 - 22 (29 - 15 on Road)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
NAVY 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: -2    (SP+ -6)
PPG only: NAVY: 31 - USF: 27 (58)
NAVY Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
NAVY Travel: 835 miles
Bulls (7 - 6) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Alex Golesh (7 - 6)
Avg Score : 32 - 30 (34 - 27 @ Home)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Navy's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/31 Navy vs Bucknell-31.548.5W 49 - 21
Sat 9/7 Navy vs Temple-11.543.5W 38 - 11
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Navy vs Memphis+9.547.0W 56 - 44
Sat 9/28 Navy at UAB-4.556.5W 41 - 18
Sat 10/5 Navy at Air Force-10.037.0W 34 - 7
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Navy vs Charlotte-16.557.5W 51 - 17
Sat 10/26 Navy vs Notre Dame+14.050.5L 14 - 51
Sat 11/2 Navy at Rice-12.549.0L 10 - 24
Sat 11/9 Navy at South Florida-4.559.5W 28 - 7
Sat 11/16 Navy vs Tulane+7.549.0L 0 - 35
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/29 Navy at East Carolina+2.554.0W 34 - 20
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/14 Navy vs Army+6.039.5W 31 - 13
Fri 12/27 Navy vs Oklahoma-1.044.0W 21 - 20
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
South Florida's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/31 South Florida vs Bethune-Cookman W 48 - 3
Sat 9/7 South Florida at Alabama+33.565.5L 16 - 42
Sat 9/14 South Florida at Southern Miss-13.058.5W 49 - 24
Sat 9/21 South Florida vs Miami+17.064.5L 15 - 50
Sat 9/28 South Florida at Tulane+4.060.5L 10 - 45
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 South Florida vs Memphis+10.061.0L 3 - 21
Sat 10/19 South Florida vs UAB-14.055.5W 35 - 25
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/1 South Florida at Florida Atlantic-1.548.0W 44 - 21
Sat 11/9 South Florida vs Navy+4.559.5L 7 - 28
Sat 11/16 South Florida at Charlotte+1.553.5W 59 - 24
Sat 11/23 South Florida vs Tulsa-17.560.0W 63 - 30
Sat 11/30 South Florida at Rice-5.553.5L 28 - 35
Tue 12/24 South Florida vs San José State-1.566.5W 41 - 39
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

NAVY's OC Drew Cronic vs USF's DC Todd Orlando     USF's OC Joel Gordon vs NAVY's DC P.J. Volker

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NAVY#121 (.07)37% (117)31.339% (111)2.86 (108)19532% (131)1062.38 (133)#45 (.15)41% (51)22.237% (23)45% (114)2.84 (7)4612
USF#79 (.17)39% (106)32.239% (112)2.99 (92)18340% (82)2693.63 (89)#97 (.23)40% (41)29.840% (44)40% (47)3.7 (60)65.51.61.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NAVY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
USF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NAVY Offense1231.329.437.1%2.381153001951064.371%29%39%32%14%.07
USF Defense1329.827.239.8%3.71.9 - - - - - 45%54%40%40%19%.23
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NAVY Defense1222.215.240.6%2.842 - - - - - 50%49%37%45%17%.15
USF Offense1332.233.639.2%3.631.6234521832694.152%47%39%40%16%.17

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Navy1231:1514.529%62%5.746125.22.3132.4
South Florida1328:3523.138%43%7.565.51.61.97.51.8129.9
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NAVY Offense1271% (3)39% (111)45.7194.64.316 (89).07 (110)2.86 (108)72% (83)12% (101)1.02 (57)
USF Defense1345% (16)40% (44) - - - - .11 (44)2.73 (16)69% (44)12% (15)1.19 (125)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NAVY Defense1250% (67)37% (23) - - - - .02 (15)2.87 (30)67% (34)11% (36)0.86 (16)
USF Offense1352% (49)39% (112)44.6182.84.123 (46).15 (68)2.99 (92)81% (12)11% (92)1.16 (8)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NAVY Offense1229% (131)32% (131)8.516.6105.76.412.410 (120)5 (6).11 (121)1.8 (15)31% (61)21% (132).06 (131)2% (3)2 (88)
USF Defense1354% (117)40% (47) - - - - - - 14 (21).37 (112)1.8 (128)35% (33)29% (56).37 (96)7% (46)2.3 (126)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NAVY Defense1249% (65)45% (114) - - - - - - 10 (67).33 (103)1.6 (75)31% (97)28% (40).34 (83)6% (88)2.2 (113)
USF Offense1347% (87)40% (82)22.134.4268.87.812.227 (25)11 (68).26 (73)1.6 (64)36% (121)27% (95).31 (76)5% (39)2.3 (15)

Navy's Power Ratings
Navy's Power Rating: #NR
Navy's Offense Rating: #NR
Navy's Defense Rating: #NR
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #134
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Navy's 2024 Expected Record: -
Navy's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.5 #57
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #51
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #53

Navy's SP+ Ratings
Navy's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.5 #57
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #51
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #53

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 482.57
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Navy:    South Florida: 2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Navy: 3.5   South Florida: -2.3




South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: 2 #NR
South Florida's Offense Rating: #NR
South Florida's Defense Rating: #NR
2024 Talent Rating: 486.00 #102
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
South Florida's 2024 Expected Record: -

South Florida's SP+ Ratings
South Florida's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.3 #79
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #51
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #108

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 482.57
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Navy Scoring
Offense: 31.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.4
Defense: 22.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 15.2

Navy's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Navy 31
South Florida 27

Projected Total Points: 58
South Florida Scoring
Offense: 32.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.6
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2

South Florida's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/09South Florida7Navy28NavyNavy -4.5Navy59.5Under
202309/30Navy30South Florida44South FloridaNavy -4South Florida54.0Over
201910/19Navy35South Florida3NavyNavy -15.5Navy52.0Under
201610/28South Florida52Navy45South FloridaSouth Florida -9Navy66.0Over
201510/31Navy29South Florida17NavyNavy -11Navy51.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
South Florida212 Overs
Navy343 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 22 - 32 - 20 - 1
Road Teams2 - 33 - 21 - 02 - 2

(#NR) Navy Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.5 #57
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #51
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #53
Talent Rating: 96.00 #134
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -


Navy Notes
(12/28) Beat OU in bowl, 225+ rushing. Great season
(12/14) Dominated Army, Rgame 275+, Def was perfect
(11/29) Backup QB Woodson torched ECU in finale
(11/29) Run Def great, held ECU to 4-15 on 3rd, 1-3 4th
(11/18) Off abysmal vs Tulane, can't play with quality opps
(11/3) Horvath playing hurt (thumb) not the same
(11/3) Sinking L (Rice), 2 TOs, Rgame was really bad
(10/28) 7.5 ppg via TOs even after the ND game (6 TOs)
Navy     Ratings Matchup     South Florida
Power #NR
#NR
Off #NR
#NR
Def #NR
#NR
Talent #134
#102
SP+ #57
#79
SP+ Off #51
#51
SP+ Def #53
#108

Rematch from Week 11
Navy 4.5 (59.5)
Navy won at South Florida this year (28-7)

Previous Matchups
Navy beat South Florida last year (28-7)
South Florida beat Navy in 2023 (44-30)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Raymond James Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 86° - Wind: 8 mph


Team Information
Injuries: NAVY | USF
Depth Chart: NAVY | USF
Rosters: NAVY | USF
(#NR) South Florida Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 2 #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.3 #79
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #51
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #108
Talent Rating: 486.00 #102
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
Expected Record: -


South Florida Notes
(11/18) Rgame mailed Char. 425 yds, 8.9 ypc. Def avg
(11/9) Golesh is a f'ing idiot. In game decisions -6
(11/4) Rgame mauled FAU. QB Archie good, D avg, flags
(11/4) Golesh big timed FAU Herman, crootin beef
(10/20) Outplayed by UAB, lucky W. New QB Archie statue
(10/14) QB Brown may have broken leg, out since Tulane
(10/13) Rgame is abysmal, QB not much better in L (Mem)
(10/11) Hiding injuries but team may be very beat up




  
Navy's OC Drew Cronic
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Blake Horvath8013958%13531349.7
Braxton Woodson183650%243226.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Blake Horvath1761254177.195
Alex Tecza12355684.565
Eli Heidenreich6544436.860
Daba Fofana6026324.449
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eli Heidenreich39671617.274
Brandon Chatman18257414.346
Alex Tecza12229219.146
Nathan Kent10222222.277
South Florida's OC Joel Gordon
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Bryce Archie17229059%19149106.6
Byrum Brown7813259%836206.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kelley Joiner Jr.121799126.654
Nay'Quan Wright10951084.764
Taron Keith7841985.442
Byrum Brown6826934.042
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Sean Atkins80799210.052
Keshaun Singleton27428315.967
Mike Brown-Stephens28350412.532
Abdur-Rahmaan Yaseen21254012.151

Navy's DC P.J. Volker
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Colin Ramos1299342
Kyle Jacob1025122
Rayuan Lane701004
Luke Pirris686351
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Justin Reed4911641
Landon Robinson616570
Colin Ramos1299342
Luke Pirris686351
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dashaun Peele454205
Rayuan Lane701004
Andrew Duhart292004
South Florida's DC Todd Orlando
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mac Harris8212462
Tavin Ward612003
Jhalyn Shuler607441
Jamie Pettway567222
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mac Harris8212462
Jhalyn Shuler607441
Ira Singleton123310
Ricardo Watson368320
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brent Austin4800010
De'Shawn Rucker412007
Ben Knox221106