East Carolina at Tulsa Game Matchup

East Carolina Pirates at Tulsa Golden Hurricane

Thursday, November 14th 2024 (7:30 PM EST)
East Carolina -16 (63.5) (-800) Open: -11.0
East Carolina 38 - Tulsa: 31 (American Athletic)

Pirates (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Blake Harrell (5 - 0)
Avg Score : 32 - 27 (29 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

TLSA coming off BYE
Our Line: East Carolina -24 (SP+ -19.5)
PPG only: ECU: 37 - TLSA: 26 (63)
ECU Win prob: 88% | Cover: 54%
ECU Travel: 1039 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Golden Hurricane (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Ryan Switzer (Int) (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 25 - 43 (29 - 45 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Off Players
Def Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

East Carolina's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 8/31	East Carolina vs Norfolk State	-31.5	51.5	W 42 - 3
Sat 9/7	East Carolina at Old Dominion	+1.5	53.5	W 20 - 14
Sat 9/14	East Carolina vs App State	-0.5	56.5	L 19 - 21
Sat 9/21	East Carolina at Liberty	+7.5	55.0	L 24 - 35
Sat 9/28	East Carolina vs UTSA	-2.0	53.5	W 30 - 20
Sat 10/5	East Carolina at Charlotte	-9.5	47.5	L 24 - 55
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19	East Carolina at Army	+17.5	54.0	L 28 - 45
Sat 10/26	East Carolina vs Temple	-8.5	48.5	W 56 - 34
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/7	East Carolina vs Florida Atlantic	-5.5	58.5	W 49 - 14
Thu 11/14	East Carolina at Tulsa	-16.0	63.5	W 38 - 31
Sat 11/23	East Carolina at North Texas	+2.5	73.5	W 40 - 28
Fri 11/29	East Carolina vs Navy	-2.5	54.0	L 20 - 34
Sat 12/28	East Carolina vs NC State	+7.5	61.5	W 26 - 21

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Tulsa's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Thu 8/29	Tulsa vs Northwestern State	-37.5	55.5	W 62 - 28
Sat 9/7	Tulsa at Arkansas State	+9.5	65.5	L 24 - 28
Sat 9/14	Tulsa vs Oklahoma State	+17.5	62.5	L 10 - 45
Sat 9/21	Tulsa at Louisiana Tech	+3.0	56.5	W 23 - 20
Sat 9/28	Tulsa at North Texas	+7.0	65.5	L 20 - 52
Sat 10/5	Tulsa vs Army	+13.5	50.5	L 7 - 49
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19	Tulsa at Temple	+3.5	51.5	L 10 - 20
Sat 10/26	Tulsa vs UTSA	+9.5	52.5	W 46 - 45
Sat 11/2	Tulsa at UAB	+2.5	57.5	L 21 - 59
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/14	Tulsa vs East Carolina	+16.0	63.5	L 31 - 38
Sat 11/23	Tulsa at South Florida	+17.5	60.0	L 30 - 63
Sat 11/30	Tulsa vs Florida Atlantic	+2.5	57.5	L 16 - 63

ECU's OC John David Baker vs TLSA's DC Chris Polizzi TLSA's OC Steve Spurrier Jr. vs ECU's DC Blake Harrell

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ECU	#132 (.02)	33% (132)	32	35% (128)	2.85 (111)	112	32% (130)	164	2.62 (129)	#40 (.14)	34% (6)	27.3	30% (2)	39% (37)	2.84 (8)	54.3	1.8	1.3
TLSA	#77 (.18)	41% (83)	25	40% (99)	3.16 (59)	181	44% (50)	205	4.23 (34)	#120 (.29)	44% (96)	42.5	43% (67)	46% (121)	3.95 (82)	43.3	2	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ECU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
TLSA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ECU Offense	12	32	29	33.3%	2.62	1.8	15	276	112	164	3.5	46%	53%	35%	32%	20%	.02
TLSA Defense	12	42.5	44.7	43.9%	3.95	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	47%	51%	43%	46%	14%	.29

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ECU Defense	12	27.3	34.7	34.3%	2.84	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	30%	39%	20%	.14
TLSA Offense	12	25	28.7	41%	4.23	2	20	386	181	205	4.1	57%	41%	40%	44%	17%	.18

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
East Carolina	12	28:59	15.1	30%	35%	5.8	54.3	1.8	1.3	6.9	1.5	2	30.6
Tulsa	12	29:42	19.8	45%	44%	5.1	43.3	2	1.7	5.4	1.8	0	28.1

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ECU Offense	12	46% (98)	35% (128)	32.2	111.7	3.5	12 (116)	.03 (123)	2.85 (111)	71% (90)	12% (108)	0.97 (87)
TLSA Defense	12	47% (37)	43% (67)	-	-	-	-	.21 (107)	3.18 (89)	67% (30)	10% (74)	1.13 (115)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ECU Defense	12	51% (88)	30% (2)	-	-	-	-	-.01 (13)	2.53 (7)	74% (76)	13% (8)	1.19 (124)
TLSA Offense	12	57% (16)	40% (99)	43.9	180.9	4.1	13 (108)	.1 (96)	3.16 (59)	79% (27)	11% (87)	0.88 (120)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ECU Offense	12	53% (37)	32% (130)	17.3	32.3	163.9	5.1	9.5	7 (129)	14 (107)	.05 (129)	1.5 (92)	38% (133)	22% (129)	.11 (127)	8% (116)	2.1 (55)
TLSA Defense	12	51% (89)	46% (121)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (67)	.43 (124)	1.7 (100)	30% (103)	29% (43)	.41 (111)	5% (113)	2.6 (133)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ECU Defense	12	48% (55)	39% (37)	-	-	-	-	-	-	6 (120)	.32 (100)	1.8 (126)	38% (6)	33% (107)	.43 (116)	6% (53)	2.2 (98)
TLSA Offense	12	41% (118)	44% (50)	15.8	27.8	204.7	7.4	12.9	20 (70)	19 (131)	.36 (37)	1.8 (13)	34% (95)	32% (57)	.33 (68)	6% (73)	2.1 (66)

East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: -0.23 #65
East Carolina's Offense Rating: 20.65 #59
East Carolina's Defense Rating: 8.33 #56
2024 Talent Rating: 590.00 #78
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
East Carolina's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
East Carolina's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.0 #73
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.5 #58
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #87

East Carolina's SP+ Ratings
East Carolina's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.0 #73
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.5 #58
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #87

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 482.57
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
East Carolina: -0.23 Tulsa: -24.23

SP+ Ratings Matchup
East Carolina: -1.0 Tulsa: -20.6

Tulsa's Power Ratings
Tulsa's Power Rating: -24.23 #132
Tulsa's Offense Rating: 11.18 #125
Tulsa's Defense Rating: 19.20 #127
2024 Talent Rating: 510.00 #94
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Tulsa's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0

Tulsa's SP+ Ratings
Tulsa's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -20.6 #128
Tulsa's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.2 #105
Tulsa's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #129

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 482.57
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 32 PPG
Offense on Road: 29
Defense: 27.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.7

East Carolina's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
East Carolina 37
Tulsa 26

Projected Total Points: 63

Tulsa Scoring
Offense: 25 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.7
Defense: 42.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 44.7

Tulsa's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/14	Tulsa	31	East Carolina	38	East Carolina	East Carolina -16	Tulsa	63.5	Over
2023	11/25	East Carolina	27	Tulsa	29	Tulsa	East Carolina -4.5	Tulsa	44.5	Over
2020	10/30	Tulsa	34	East Carolina	30	Tulsa	Tulsa -17	East Carolina	59.5	Over
2019	11/30	East Carolina	24	Tulsa	49	Tulsa	Tulsa -7	Tulsa	64.0	Over
2016	11/05	Tulsa	45	East Carolina	24	Tulsa	Tulsa -10	Tulsa	76.5	Under
2015	10/17	East Carolina	30	Tulsa	17	East Carolina	East Carolina -11	East Carolina	77.0	Under
2014	11/28	Tulsa	32	East Carolina	49	East Carolina	East Carolina -17.5	Tulsa	0
2013	11/09	East Carolina	58	Tulsa	24	East Carolina	East Carolina -14	East Carolina	0
2010	09/05	East Carolina	51	Tulsa	49	East Carolina
2009	11/15	Tulsa	17	East Carolina	44	East Carolina
2008	12/06	Tulsa	24	East Carolina	27	East Carolina
2006	10/14	East Carolina	10	Tulsa	31	Tulsa
2005	11/12	Tulsa	45	East Carolina	13	Tulsa

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Tulsa	6	5	4 Overs
East Carolina	7	3	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 7	5 - 3	3 - 2	2 - 1
Road Teams	7 - 6	3 - 5	1 - 2	2 - 3

(#65) East Carolina Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -0.23 #65
Offense Rating: 20.65 #59
Defense Rating: 8.33 #56
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.0 #73
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.5 #58
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #87
Talent Rating: 590.00 #78
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0

East Carolina Notes
(11/29) Snapped vs Navy, Def abysmal, Rgame awful
(11/26) Interim HC Blake Harrell hired after 5-0 run
(11/25) 4 str W's under Harrell, Off mauled N. Texas
(11/8) Off rolling, 575+ yds, 343 pass/238 rush vs FAU
(10/27) Off had 56 pts in 3 Q's game after Houston fired
(10/20) Run D torched for 295 (5.3 ypc) vs Army
(10/20) HC Houston Fired after Army gm, DC Harrell Int
(10/8) Run D torched for 300+ (6 ypc) vs Char?

East Carolina Ratings Matchup Tulsa

Power #65

#132

Off #59

#125

Def #56

#127

Talent #78

#94

SP+ #73

#128

SP+ Off #58

#105

SP+ Def #87

#129

Rematch from Week 12
East Carolina 16.0 (63.5)
East Carolina won at Tulsa this year (38-31)

Previous Matchups
East Carolina beat Tulsa last year (38-31)
Tulsa beat East Carolina in 2023 (29-27)

Weather Forecast
Playing in at H. A. Chapman Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 51° - Wind: 6 mph

Team Information
Injuries: ECU | TLSA
Depth Chart: ECU | TLSA
Rosters: ECU | TLSA

(#132) Tulsa Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -24.23 #132
Offense Rating: 11.18 #125
Defense Rating: 19.20 #127
Overall SP+ Rating: -20.6 #128
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.2 #105
Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #129
Talent Rating: 510.00 #94
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0

Tulsa Notes
(12/8) Hired HC Tre Lamb (ETSU/Gar Web)
(11/24) HC Wilson fired, WR coach Ryan Switzer in
(11/4) Wilson is 3-10 in AAC play, 7-14 overall
(11/3) Killed by UAB? Def torched 400+ pass? Run awful
(10/28) Down 35-7, season saving comeback vs UTSA
(10/20) L to Temple after Bye? QB meh, Rgame abysmal
(10/20) Pass D torched by Temple for 300+, QBs awful
(10/20) Not sure what plan is or level of give a shit

East Carolina's OC John David Baker

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Katin Houser	149	245	61%	2006	18	11	8.2
Jake Garcia	109	181	60%	1426	8	12	7.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Rahjai Harris	206	1166	11	5.7	86
London Montgomery	71	359	2	5.1	48
Marlon Gunn	61	224	3	3.7	20
Katin Houser	49	170	4	3.5	35

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Anthony Smith	41	799	6	19.5	64
Chase Sowell	34	678	3	19.9	56
Winston Wright	54	556	8	10.3	65
Yannick Smith	25	434	3	17.4	52

Tulsa's OC Steve Spurrier Jr.

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Kirk Francis	149	253	59%	1585	9	6	6.3
Cooper Legas	87	162	54%	1144	12	6	7.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Anthony Watkins	87	402	4	4.6	77
Viron Ellison Jr.	62	353	1	5.7	32
Bill Jackson	67	319	0	4.8	37
Lloyd Avant	76	259	1	3.4	16

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kamdyn Benjamin	70	822	6	11.7	74
Joseph Williams	30	588	5	19.6	72
Luke Mcgary	17	231	1	13.6	32
Zion Steptoe	15	203	0	13.5	34

East Carolina's DC Blake Harrell

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Omar Rogers	105	6	1	2	2
Zakye Barker	81	12	2	1	1
Michael Edwards III	75	9	1	2	4
Ja'Marley Riddle	63	4	0	0	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Elijah Morris	31	6	4	2	0
Samuel Dankah	34	7	3	1	2
J.D. Lampley	25	5	2	6	0
Ryheem Craig	49	6	2	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Isaiah Brown-Murray	40	1	0	0	6
Michael Edwards III	75	9	1	2	4
Ja'Marley Riddle	63	4	0	0	4

Tulsa's DC Chris Polizzi

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Gavin Potter	75	11	1	4	0
Dayne Hodge	60	1	0	0	3
Malachi Jones	49	0	0	0	3
Zach Marcheselli	47	10	1	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
R.J. Jackson	35	4	3	0	2
Owen Ostroski	35	8	2	4	0
Vontroy Malone	25	5	2	1	0
Myles Jackson	36	6	2	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Keuan Parker	20	0	4
Buddha Garrett	38	1	3
Dayne Hodge	60	1	3