Penn State vs Oregon Game Matchup

Penn State Nittany Lions vs Oregon Ducks

Saturday, December 7th 2024 (8:00 PM EST)
Oregon -3.5 (51.5) (-170) Open: -3.5 | 49.5
Oregon 45 - Penn State: 37 (Big Ten Championship)

Nittany Lions (13 - 3) (8 - 8 - 0)
Coach James Franklin (88 - 39)
Avg Score : 33 - 17 (34 - 18 on Road)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 16.1 MPHORE 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -0 (SP+ -1)
PPG only: PSU: 26 - ORE: 26 (52)
ORE Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
PSU Travel: 2288 miles, 3 hrs ahead

Ducks (13 - 1) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Dan Lanning (22 - 5)
Avg Score : 35 - 19 (36 - 20 @ Home)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Off Players
Def Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Penn State's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 8/31	Penn State at West Virginia	-7.5	48.0	W 34 - 12
Sat 9/7	Penn State vs Bowling Green	-35.5	51.5	W 34 - 27
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21	Penn State vs Kent State	-49.0	58.0	W 56 - 0
Sat 9/28	Penn State vs Illinois	-19.5	48.0	W 21 - 7
Sat 10/5	Penn State vs UCLA	-30.0	48.0	W 27 - 11
Sat 10/12	Penn State at USC	-3.5	51.5	W 33 - 30
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26	Penn State at Wisconsin	-6.5	47.0	W 28 - 13
Sat 11/2	Penn State vs Ohio State	+3.0	47.5	L 13 - 20
Sat 11/9	Penn State vs Washington	-13.5	48.0	W 35 - 6
Sat 11/16	Penn State at Purdue	-30.0	51.5	W 49 - 10
Sat 11/23	Penn State at Minnesota	-11.0	45.0	W 26 - 25
Sat 11/30	Penn State vs Maryland	-26.5	50.5	W 44 - 7
Sat 12/7	Penn State vs Oregon	+3.5	51.5	L 37 - 45
Sat 12/21	Penn State vs SMU	-9.0	52.5	W 38 - 10
Tue 12/31	Penn State vs Boise State	-11.5	54.5	W 31 - 14
Thu 1/9	Penn State vs Notre Dame	-1.5	45.5	L 24 - 27

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Oregon's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 8/31	Oregon vs Idaho			W 24 - 14
Sat 9/7	Oregon vs Boise State	-17.5	60.5	W 37 - 34
Sat 9/14	Oregon at Oregon State	-16.0	50.0	W 49 - 14
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28	Oregon at UCLA	-23.5	54.5	W 34 - 13
Fri 10/4	Oregon vs Michigan State	-22.5	53.0	W 31 - 10
Sat 10/12	Oregon vs Ohio State	+3.5	54.5	W 32 - 31
Fri 10/18	Oregon at Purdue	-30.0	61.0	W 35 - 0
Sat 10/26	Oregon vs Illinois	-22.5	54.0	W 38 - 9
Sat 11/2	Oregon at Michigan	-14.5	45.5	W 38 - 17
Sat 11/9	Oregon vs Maryland	-24.0	58.0	W 39 - 18
Sat 11/16	Oregon at Wisconsin	-13.5	49.5	W 16 - 13
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/30	Oregon vs Washington	-17.5	50.5	W 49 - 21
Sat 12/7	Oregon vs Penn State	-3.5	51.5	W 45 - 37
Wed 1/1	Oregon vs Ohio State	+2.5	55.5	L 21 - 41

PSU's OC Andy Kotelnicki vs ORE's DC Tosh Lupoi ORE's OC Will Stein vs PSU's DC Tom Allen

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
PSU	#40 (.25)	46% (25)	33.1	49% (17)	3.38 (14)	185	43% (53)	215	4.96 (5)	#8 (.04)	33% (3)	16.5	31% (3)	36% (10)	3.09 (15)	43.3	0.6	1.8
ORE	#2 (.49)	57% (1)	34.9	57% (2)	3.69 (4)	171	57% (1)	318	5.11 (1)	#19 (.1)	38% (30)	19.4	39% (35)	39% (27)	3.33 (24)	59.1	0.5	1.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
PSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ORE		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
PSU Offense	13	33.1	34	46.3%	4.96	0.6	23	400	185	215	4.7	50%	49%	49%	43%	11%	.25
ORE Defense	14	19.4	19.6	38.4%	3.33	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	39%	59%	39%	39%	17%	.1

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
PSU Defense	13	16.5	18	33.1%	3.09	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	31%	36%	23%	.04
ORE Offense	14	34.9	35.7	56.9%	5.11	0.5	24	490	171	318	5.9	44%	56%	57%	57%	9%	.49

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Penn State	13	32:30	22.5	41%	77%	5	43.3	0.6	1.8	7.8	3.8	3	33.8
Oregon	14	28:31	24.4	51%	74%	6.5	59.1	0.5	1.1	4.8	2.4	1	29.5

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
PSU Offense	13	50% (65)	49% (17)	39.6	184.8	4.7	26 (30)	.19 (46)	3.38 (14)	73% (77)	7% (8)	0.85 (123)
ORE Defense	14	39% (2)	39% (35)	-	-	-	-	.08 (32)	3.08 (60)	55% (6)	9% (96)	0.97 (54)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
PSU Defense	13	49% (52)	31% (3)	-	-	-	-	-.04 (7)	2.23 (2)	76% (89)	18% (1)	0.96 (46)
ORE Offense	14	44% (107)	57% (2)	29.1	171.4	5.9	32 (10)	.37 (2)	3.69 (4)	78% (32)	6% (3)	1.05 (37)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
PSU Offense	13	49% (63)	43% (53)	18.9	31.7	215	6.8	11.4	30 (16)	2 (1)	.3 (62)	1.5 (115)	27% (9)	35% (23)	.38 (50)	4% (7)	1.7 (129)
ORE Defense	14	59% (132)	39% (27)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (53)	.16 (16)	1.5 (45)	32% (70)	30% (60)	.33 (78)	8% (13)	2 (45)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
PSU Defense	13	50% (77)	36% (10)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (37)	.2 (25)	1.7 (94)	39% (2)	26% (19)	.21 (21)	6% (86)	2.1 (74)
ORE Offense	14	56% (22)	57% (1)	26	33.7	318.3	9.4	12.2	44 (1)	5 (6)	.59 (3)	1.5 (112)	24% (3)	43% (3)	.73 (2)	3% (4)	2 (70)

Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: #NR
Penn State's Offense Rating: #NR
Penn State's Defense Rating: #NR
2024 Talent Rating: 936.00 #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Penn State's 2024 Expected Record: -
Penn State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.6 #5
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.5 #9
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.1 #4

Penn State's SP+ Ratings
Penn State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.6 #5
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.5 #9
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.1 #4

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 830.11
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Penn State: Oregon:

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Penn State: 24.6 Oregon: 26.0

Oregon's Power Ratings
Oregon's Power Rating: #NR
Oregon's Offense Rating: #NR
Oregon's Defense Rating: #NR
2024 Talent Rating: 1068.00 #4
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
Oregon's 2024 Expected Record: -

Oregon's SP+ Ratings
Oregon's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 26.0 #3
Oregon's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.8 #2
Oregon's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.3 #14

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 830.11
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Penn State Scoring
Offense: 33.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 34
Defense: 16.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 18

Penn State's 2024 Record
Record: 13 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Penn State 26
Oregon 26

Projected Total Points: 52

Oregon Scoring
Offense: 34.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.7
Defense: 19.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.6

Oregon's 2024 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	12/07	Oregon	45	Penn State	37	Oregon	Oregon -3.5	Oregon	51.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Oregon	1	1	1 Overs
Penn State	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#NR) Penn State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: 24.6 #5
Offense SP+ Rating: 37.5 #9
Defense SP+ Rating: 13.1 #4
Talent Rating: 936.00 #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -

Penn State Notes
(11/26) Star OT Donkoh out for season (knee)
(11/23) Dog fight @ Minn. 2 kicks blocked. 3.5 ypc
(11/13) Off much better vs Wash, 220 pass, 266 run
(11/3) WR are bad. Allar OK but has no weapons w/o TE
(11/2) Franklin 1-10 vs top 10. Same shit, diff year
(11/2) Off did not score vs OSU. Allar meh, WR awful
(10/27) QB Allar missed 2nd H Wisconsin game
(10/27) Off efficient and spread out vs Wisky, Def good

Penn State Ratings Matchup Oregon

Power #NR

#NR

Off #NR

#NR

Def #NR

#NR

Talent #11

SP+ #5

SP+ Off #9

SP+ Def #4

#14

Rematch from Week 15
Oregon -3.5 (51.5)
Oregon won vs Penn State this year (45-37)

Previous Matchups
Oregon beat Penn State last year (45-37)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Lucas Oil Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 38° - Wind: 16 mph

Team Information
Injuries: PSU | ORE
Depth Chart: PSU | ORE
Rosters: PSU | ORE

(#NR) Oregon Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: 26.0 #3
Offense SP+ Rating: 40.8 #2
Defense SP+ Rating: 16.3 #14
Talent Rating: 1068.00 #4
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
Expected Record: -

Oregon Notes
(11/18) Rgame bad vs Wisc, Gabriel OK, missed WR Tez
(11/4) Tez Johnson inj (Mich), out weeks, not year
(10/27) Rgame mauled Illinois, 229 yds, 5.9 ypc in blowout
(10/19) Rgame bad vs Purdue, Run Def bad, still shutout
(10/12) Off torched Ohio St. Gabriel/Rgame great
(9/14) Dominanted Beavs. 240 yds rushing, Gabriel good
(9/9) OL & DL are a big issue, outgained by Boise but won
(9/1) Run game a big ? after 2.9 YPC vs Idaho.

Penn State's OC Andy Kotelnicki

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Drew Allar	262	394	67%	3327	24	8	8.4
Beau Pribula	26	35	74%	275	5	1	7.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kaytron Allen	220	1108	8	5.0	32
Nicholas Singleton	172	1099	12	6.4	58
Drew Allar	96	302	6	3.1	22
Beau Pribula	38	242	4	6.4	49

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tyler Warren	104	1233	8	11.9	38
Harrison Wallace III	47	732	4	15.6	50
Omari Evans	20	403	5	20.2	59
Nicholas Singleton	41	375	5	9.1	27

Oregon's OC Will Stein

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Dillon Gabriel	326	447	73%	3857	30	6	8.6
Dante Moore	7	8	88%	49	0	0	6.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jordan James	233	1267	15	5.4	41
Noah Whittington	118	540	6	4.6	28
Dillon Gabriel	75	149	7	2.0	54
Da'Jaun Riggs	11	82	1	7.5	24

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tez Johnson	83	898	10	10.8	52
Traeshon Holden	45	718	5	16.0	59
Evan Stewart	48	613	5	12.8	69
Terrance Ferguson	43	591	3	13.7	62

Penn State's DC Tom Allen

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jaylen Reed	95	7	3	1	2
Kobe King	87	8	3	1	1
Zakee Wheatley	86	3	1	0	4
Abdul Carter	62	24	12	9	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Abdul Carter	62	24	12	9	4
Dani Dennis-Sutton	40	13	9	9	3
Amin Vanover	21	5	4	3	1
Jaylen Reed	95	7	3	1	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Elliot Washington II	25	1	0	6
A.J. Harris	41	3	0	5
Cam Miller	23	3	2	5

Oregon's DC Tosh Lupoi

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bryce Boettcher	87	7	2	0	4
Tysheem Johnson	58	3	0	0	0
Kobe Savage	57	3	0	0	1
Teitum Tuioti	53	8	6	3	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Matayo Uiagalelei	37	11	9	6	1
Jordan Burch	29	11	9	4	5
Teitum Tuioti	53	8	6	3	1
Derrick Harmon	43	11	5	10	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jabbar Muhammad	38	1	0	0	10
Dontae Manning	18	1	0	0	6
Jordan Burch	29	11	9	4	5