Arkansas State vs Bowling Green Game Matchup
Arkansas State logo Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Bowling Green FalconsBowling Green logo
Thursday, December 26th 2024 (9:00 PM EST)
Bowling Green -10.5 (54.5) (-380)  Open: -6.5
Arkansas State 38 - Bowling Green: 31  (68 Ventures Bowl)

 
Red Wolves (8 - 5) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Butch Jones (11 - 26)
Avg Score : 26 - 32 (21 - 37 on Road)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 14.9 MPHBowl Game Opt OutsOur Line: -0    (SP+ -8)
PPG only: ARST: 24 - BGSU: 30 (54)
BGSU Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
ARST Travel: 539 miles, 1 hrs behind
Falcons (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Scot Loeffler (20 - 35)
Avg Score : 27 - 22 (24 - 19 @ Home)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
 
Arkansas State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/31 Arkansas State vs Central Arkansas W 34 - 31
Sat 9/7 Arkansas State vs Tulsa-9.565.5W 28 - 24
Sat 9/14 Arkansas State at Michigan+22.047.5L 18 - 28
Sat 9/21 Arkansas State at Iowa State+20.552.0L 7 - 52
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Arkansas State vs South Alabama+2.562.5W 18 - 16
Sat 10/12 Arkansas State at Texas State+13.566.0L 9 - 41
Sat 10/19 Arkansas State at Southern Miss-7.057.0W 44 - 28
Sat 10/26 Arkansas State vs Troy-8.550.0W 34 - 31
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Arkansas State at Louisiana+14.060.0L 19 - 55
Sat 11/16 Arkansas State at Georgia State+2.560.0W 27 - 20
Sat 11/23 Arkansas State vs UL Monroe-3.051.5W 28 - 21
Sat 11/30 Arkansas State vs Old Dominion+5.558.5L 32 - 40
Thu 12/26 Arkansas State vs Bowling Green+10.554.5W 38 - 31
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 6
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 6
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 3, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Bowling Green's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Thu 8/29 Bowling Green vs Fordham-15.560.5W 41 - 17
Sat 9/7 Bowling Green at Penn State+35.551.5L 27 - 34
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Bowling Green at Texas A&M+21.050.5L 20 - 26
Sat 9/28 Bowling Green vs Old Dominion-11.051.5L 27 - 30
Sat 10/5 Bowling Green at Akron-17.048.5W 27 - 20
Sat 10/12 Bowling Green vs Northern Illinois-3.046.5L 7 - 17
Sat 10/19 Bowling Green vs Kent State-24.054.5W 27 - 6
Sat 10/26 Bowling Green at Toledo+1.547.5W 41 - 26
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/5 Bowling Green at Central Michigan-14.547.5W 23 - 13
Tue 11/12 Bowling Green vs Western Michigan-9.557.5W 31 - 13
Sat 11/23 Bowling Green at Ball State-12.554.5W 38 - 13
Fri 11/29 Bowling Green vs Miami (OH)-3.037.5L 12 - 28
Thu 12/26 Bowling Green vs Arkansas State-10.554.5L 31 - 38
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 7
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 6
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 3, Poor: 1

ARST's OC Keith Heckendorf vs BGSU's DC Sammy Lawanson     BGSU's OC Greg Nosal vs ARST's DC Rob Harley

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARST#82 (.17)42% (73)25.843% (71)3.12 (65)14841% (80)2253.21 (114)#110 (.25)42% (72)32.244% (80)41% (59)4.05 (92)60.911.2
BGSU#74 (.18)41% (81)27.145% (46)3.06 (81)13739% (98)1893.65 (87)#44 (.15)42% (63)21.648% (119)36% (11)3.71 (62)60.91.52.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
BGSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARST Offense1325.820.741.6%3.211203741482254.250%49%43%41%16%.17
BGSU Defense1321.618.541.6%3.712.2 - - - - - 54%44%48%36%17%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARST Defense1332.237.342.3%4.051.2 - - - - - 50%49%44%41%15%.25
BGSU Offense1327.124.241.2%3.651.5173261371894.248%50%45%39%18%.18

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Arkansas State1326:1719.836%35%6.260.911.26.21.8430.4
Bowling Green1330:3016.833%60%6.960.91.52.24.92.5333.8
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARST Offense1350% (72)43% (71)35.3148.24.220 (61).16 (66)3.12 (65)69% (104)9% (58)1.05 (43)
BGSU Defense1354% (112)48% (119) - - - - .22 (108)3.28 (105)80% (110)10% (67)0.95 (41)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARST Defense1350% (65)44% (80) - - - - .17 (88)3.09 (66)85% (124)10% (71)1.01 (78)
BGSU Offense1348% (82)45% (46)33137.44.222 (51).16 (65)3.06 (81)80% (18)13% (121)1.09 (24)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARST Offense1349% (65)41% (80)1628.5225.57.914.117 (85)9 (40).24 (83)1.7 (40)31% (59)31% (68).28 (88)6% (87)2.1 (53)
BGSU Defense1344% (17)36% (11) - - - - - - 17 (3).21 (35)1.7 (111)33% (46)28% (38).32 (71)7% (21)2.1 (72)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARST Defense1349% (73)41% (59) - - - - - - 8 (100).34 (105)1.6 (59)31% (83)24% (11).3 (66)5% (111)2.2 (116)
BGSU Offense1350% (60)39% (98)16.527.5188.86.911.517 (85)14 (107).27 (72)1.7 (35)36% (127)31% (67).29 (82)6% (54)2 (82)

Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: #NR
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: #NR
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: #NR
2024 Talent Rating: 646.00 #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Arkansas State's 2024 Expected Record: -
Arkansas State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.9 #104
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #87
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.2 #119

Arkansas State's SP+ Ratings
Arkansas State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.9 #104
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #87
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.2 #119

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 471.71
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State:    Bowling Green:

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State: -9.9   Bowling Green: -1.8




Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: #NR
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: #NR
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: #NR
2024 Talent Rating: 478.00 #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
Bowling Green's 2024 Expected Record: -

Bowling Green's SP+ Ratings
Bowling Green's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.8 #77
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #79
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #75

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 516.17
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.7
Defense: 32.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.3

Arkansas State's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Bowling Green 30
Arkansas State 24

Projected Total Points: 54
Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 27.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.2
Defense: 21.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.5

Bowling Green's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202412/26Bowling Green31Arkansas State38Arkansas StateBowling Green -10.5Arkansas State54.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Bowling Green001 Overs
Arkansas State110 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams1 - 01 - 00 - 01 - 0

Arkansas State Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2024Ventures Bowl Arkansas State vs Bowling Green+10.554.5W 38 - 31
2023Camellia Bowl Arkansas State vs Northern Illinois-2.554.0L 19 - 21
2019Camellia Bowl Arkansas State vs Florida International+1.560.0W 34 - 26
2018N/A Arkansas State vs Nevada+1.556.5L 13 - 16
Bowling Green Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2024Ventures Bowl Bowling Green vs Arkansas State-10.554.5L 31 - 38
2023Lane Bowl Bowling Green vs Minnesota+2.545.0L 24 - 30
2022Lane Bowl Bowling Green vs New Mexico State-3.051.0L 19 - 24
  
(#NR) Arkansas State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.9 #104
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #87
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.2 #119
Talent Rating: 646.00 #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -

Arkansas State has played in 3 Bowls in the last 5 years (2 - 1)
Arkansas State has played in 12 Bowls since 2000 (5 - 7)

Arkansas State Notes
(11/18) Close W @ GaSt, QB Rynor sucks, Rgame great
(10/27) Worst Def in CFB? Near L to Troy? Raynor great
(10/26) Off improving, will be a threat to win out
(10/12) Killed by Tex St, gave up 600 yds, 2 TO's
(10/12) QB Raynor torched S Al, Def enough 4 upset W
(9/1) Lines beaten badly vs C Ark, RG 140 (3.3) vs 235 (7.3)
(7/30) Vet. staff saved themselves LY to bowl game
(7/30) Def was poor LY, took a lot of P4 portals
Arkansas State     Ratings Matchup     Bowling Green
Power #NR
#NR
Off #NR
#NR
Def #NR
#NR
Talent #65
#106
SP+ #104
#77
SP+ Off #87
#79
SP+ Def #119
#75

Rematch from Week 1
Bowling Green -10.5 (54.5)
Arkansas State won at Bowling Green this year (38-31)

Previous Matchups
Arkansas State beat Bowling Green last year (38-31)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Hancock Whitney Stadium
Conditions: Overcast
Temp: 62° - Wind: 15 mph


Team Information
Injuries: ARST | BGSU
Depth Chart: ARST | BGSU
Rosters: ARST | BGSU
(#NR) Bowling Green Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.8 #77
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #79
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #75
Talent Rating: 478.00 #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
Expected Record: -

Bowling Green has played in 3 Bowls in the last 5 years (0 - 3)
Bowling Green has played in 11 Bowls since 2000 (3 - 8)

Bowling Green Notes
(11/25) Bullied Ball St. Finale vs M OH for MAC title gm
(11/13) Off better, Rgame good 220+, 7.4 ypc in WMU W
(11/8) Off OK vs CMU, Rgame 181, 5.2 ypc. Def great TW
(10/20) Bazelak torched Kent St, Rgame was really bad
(10/14) QB Bazelak hurt vs N. Illinois (day to day)
(10/14) Backup QB Lucian A. cannot throw the ball
(10/13) Scored open TD and 0 after in 17-7 L (N Ill)
(9/28) Bazelak 300 yds in W over ODU, Rgame really bad




  
Arkansas State's OC Keith Heckendorf
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jaylen Raynor25942062%278316106.6
Timmy McClain142167%163307.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Zak Wallace154721114.757
Ja'Quez Cross11563825.549
Jaylen Raynor13738732.840
Devin Spencer4020605.223
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Corey Rucker691053715.379
Courtney Jackson42494211.844
Reagan Ealy23262011.422
Adam Jones21255312.146
Bowling Green's OC Greg Nosal
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Connor Bazelak26940267%30441857.6
Lucian Anderson III51242%32112.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Terion Stewart16689865.473
Jaison Patterson9942654.341
Jamal Johnson2618817.241
Rahkeem Smith2012836.440
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Harold Fannin11715501013.265
Malcolm Johnson Jr.49573311.750
Rahkeem Smith25349314.066
Jamal Johnson3122917.436

Arkansas State's DC Rob Harley
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marvin Ham II9810211
Justin Parks966033
Charles Willekes929123
Trevian Thomas791004
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryan Whitehead II24114150
Jayden Jones257440
Ian Jeffries215450
Noah Collins265220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dontay Joyner501017
Websley Etienne562005
Trevian Thomas791004
Bowling Green's DC Sammy Lawanson
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brock Horne816221
Joseph Sipp Jr.7912712
CJ Brown732012
Charles Rosser628540
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Joseph Sipp Jr.7912712
Charles Rosser628540
Anthony Hawkins468523
Ali Saad409430
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Oladokun351007
Ja'Corey Benjamin261005
Todd Bumphis81103