Iowa State vs Miami Game Matchup
Iowa State logo Iowa State Cyclones vs Miami HurricanesMiami logo
Saturday, December 28th 2024 (3:30 PM EST)
Miami -5 (62.0) (-218)  Open: -1.0
Iowa State 42 - Miami: 41  (Pop-Tarts Bowl)

 
Cyclones (11 - 3) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Matt Campbell (53 - 48)
Avg Score : 31 - 23 (25 - 16 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11 - 3 (#8)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 15 MPHBowl Game Opt OutsOur Line: Miami -7    (SP+ -11)
PPG only: ISU: 28 - MIAMI: 33 (61)
MIAMI Win prob: 63% | Cover: 48%
ISU Travel: 1345 miles, 1 hrs behind
Hurricanes (10 - 3) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Mario Cristobal (12 - 13)
Avg Score : 44 - 25 (48 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
 
Iowa State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/31 Iowa State vs North Dakota-30.551.5W 21 - 3
Sat 9/7 Iowa State at Iowa+3.035.0W 20 - 19
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Iowa State vs Arkansas State-20.552.0W 52 - 7
Sat 9/28 Iowa State at Houston-16.043.0W 20 - 0
Sat 10/5 Iowa State vs Baylor-13.045.0W 43 - 21
Sat 10/12 Iowa State at West Virginia-3.054.0W 28 - 16
Sat 10/19 Iowa State vs UCF-13.049.5W 38 - 35
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2 Iowa State vs Texas Tech-13.555.0L 22 - 23
Sat 11/9 Iowa State vs Kansas-2.550.5L 36 - 45
Sat 11/16 Iowa State vs Cincinnati-7.052.5W 34 - 17
Sat 11/23 Iowa State at Utah-6.542.5W 31 - 28
Sat 11/30 Iowa State vs Kansas State-2.551.5W 29 - 21
Sat 12/7 Iowa State vs Arizona State-1.551.5L 19 - 45
Sat 12/28 Iowa State vs Miami+5.062.0W 42 - 41
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 6, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 6, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg: 4, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Miami's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/31 Miami at Florida-2.554.5W 41 - 17
Sat 9/7 Miami vs Florida A&M-46.555.5W 56 - 9
Sat 9/14 Miami vs Ball State-36.555.5W 62 - 0
Sat 9/21 Miami at South Florida-17.064.5W 50 - 15
Fri 9/27 Miami vs Virginia Tech-17.555.5W 38 - 34
Sat 10/5 Miami at California-10.054.0W 39 - 38
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Miami at Louisville-4.561.5W 52 - 45
Sat 10/26 Miami vs Florida State-22.555.0W 36 - 14
Sat 11/2 Miami vs Duke-21.055.5W 53 - 31
Sat 11/9 Miami at Georgia Tech-9.564.5L 23 - 28
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Miami vs Wake Forest-23.567.0W 42 - 14
Sat 11/30 Miami at Syracuse-12.565.5L 38 - 42
Sat 12/28 Miami vs Iowa State-5.062.0L 41 - 42
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 6, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 6, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg: 3, Bad: 1, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

ISU's OC Taylor Mouser vs MIAMI's DC Lance Guidry     MIAMI's OC Shannon Dawson vs ISU's DC Jon Heacock

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ISU#57 (.21)37% (119)31.132% (132)2.34 (133)12041% (72)2453.72 (83)#32 (.13)39% (36)22.941% (46)39% (35)3.35 (27)43.50.81.5
MIAMI#37 (.27)43% (52)43.943% (64)3.35 (24)17344% (43)2583.99 (56)#37 (.14)39% (31)25.338% (27)39% (38)4.53 (125)57.81.71.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ISU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MIAMI0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ISU Offense1331.124.836.8%3.720.8163651202454.148%52%32%41%14%.21
MIAMI Defense1325.31738.5%4.531.4 - - - - - 47%52%38%39%17%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ISU Defense1322.915.839.2%3.351.5 - - - - - 48%50%41%39%16%.13
MIAMI Offense1343.947.843.3%3.991.7224311732585.147%52%43%44%14%.27

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Iowa State1329:0916.339%63%4.843.50.81.54.81.6130.2
Miami1331:5221.941%52%6.157.81.71.462.6229.4
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ISU Offense1348% (87)32% (132)29.4119.94.116 (89).01 (126)2.34 (133)59% (130)9% (44)1.18 (5)
MIAMI Defense1347% (36)38% (27) - - - - .07 (28)2.65 (12)70% (45)12% (27)1 (71)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ISU Defense1348% (43)41% (46) - - - - .05 (20)2.77 (20)68% (38)8% (123)0.9 (28)
MIAMI Offense1347% (96)43% (64)33.8173.25.124 (41).2 (44)3.35 (24)82% (10)8% (21)1.03 (51)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ISU Offense1352% (44)41% (72)18.529.32458.413.223 (51)8 (30).42 (25)1.8 (11)37% (132)30% (76).26 (91)5% (44)2 (100)
MIAMI Defense1352% (102)39% (38) - - - - - - 12 (37).22 (41)1.6 (60)33% (47)28% (33).3 (62)5% (104)2.2 (112)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ISU Defense1350% (84)39% (35) - - - - - - 16 (9).28 (74)1.7 (116)34% (41)28% (35).23 (24)8% (9)2 (60)
MIAMI Offense1352% (42)44% (43)21.833.62587.711.923 (51)14 (107).39 (28)1.6 (55)30% (36)32% (63).36 (60)6% (91)2 (87)

Iowa State's Power Ratings
Iowa State's Power Rating: 12.07 #23
Iowa State's Offense Rating: 22.95 #42
Iowa State's Defense Rating: 6.20 #37
2024 Talent Rating: 676.00 #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #97
Iowa State's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
Iowa State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3 #28
Iowa State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #44
Iowa State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.2 #24

Iowa State's SP+ Ratings
Iowa State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3 #28
Iowa State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #44
Iowa State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.2 #24

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 719.13
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Iowa State: 12.07   Miami: 19.13

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Iowa State: 10.3   Miami: 21.6




Miami's Power Ratings
Miami's Power Rating: 19.13 #8
Miami's Offense Rating: 31.60 #1
Miami's Defense Rating: 7.71 #52
2024 Talent Rating: 932.00 #12
Blue Chip Ratio: 43 #13
Miami's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0

Miami's SP+ Ratings
Miami's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 21.6 #10
Miami's Offense SP+ Rating: 44.2 #1
Miami's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #51

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 773.18
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Iowa State Scoring
Offense: 31.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.8
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 15.8

Iowa State's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Miami 33
Iowa State 28


Projected Total Points: 61
Miami Scoring
Offense: 43.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 47.8
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 17

Miami's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202412/28Miami41Iowa State42Iowa StateMiami -5Iowa State62.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Miami001 Overs
Iowa State110 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams1 - 01 - 00 - 01 - 0

Iowa State Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2024Tarts Bowl Iowa State vs Miami+5.062.0W 42 - 41
2023Liberty Bowl Iowa State vs Memphis-10.558.0L 26 - 36
2021It Bowl Iowa State vs Clemson+1.544.0L 13 - 20
2020Fiesta Bowl Iowa State vs Oregon-4.557.5W 34 - 17
2019World Bowl Iowa State vs Notre Dame+4.055.0L 9 - 33
2018Alamo Bowl Iowa State vs Washington State+2.556.5L 26 - 28
Miami Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2024Tarts Bowl Miami vs Iowa State-5.062.0L 41 - 42
2023Pinstripe Bowl Miami vs Rutgers+3.041.0L 24 - 31
2020It Bowl Miami vs Oklahoma State+2.558.5L 34 - 37
2019Independence Bowl Miami vs Louisiana Tech-7.049.5L 0 - 14
2018Pinstripe Bowl Miami vs Wisconsin-2.543.5L 3 - 35
  
(#23) Iowa State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 12.07 #23
Offense Rating: 22.95 #42
Defense Rating: 6.20 #37
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3 #28
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #44
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.2 #24
Talent Rating: 676.00 #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #97
Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0

Iowa State has played in 5 Bowls in the last 5 years (2 - 3)
Iowa State has played in 15 Bowls since 2000 (6 - 9)

Iowa State Notes
(11/30) Even w/ KSU, forced 2 TOs, Becht 13/35 for 137?
(11/23) OG'd Utah 405-224. Beat K St = B12 title game
(11/18) Bounce back vs Cincy, Off better, Pass D great
(11/13) Run Def mauled by KU, Rgame abysmal, all Becht
(11/2) Bad L vs T.T., Outgained TT, but TOs, 3rd down bad
(10/22) Def stop rate is 77%, #6 in CFB but bad Offs so far
(10/13) Even w/ WVU, clean game, 9-14 3rd down in W
(10/11) LB's are really beat up going into WVU game
Iowa State     Ratings Matchup     Miami
Power #23
#8
Off #42
#1
Def #37
#52
Talent #61
#12
SP+ #28
#10
SP+ Off #44
#1
SP+ Def #24
#51

Rematch from Week 1
Miami -5.0 (62.0)
Iowa State won at Miami this year (42-41)

Previous Matchups
Iowa State beat Miami last year (42-41)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Camping World Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 75° - Wind: 15 mph


Team Information
Injuries: ISU | MIAMI
Depth Chart: ISU | MIAMI
Rosters: ISU | MIAMI
(#8) Miami Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 19.13 #8
Offense Rating: 31.60 #1
Defense Rating: 7.71 #52
Overall SP+ Rating: 21.6 #10
Offense SP+ Rating: 44.2 #1
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #51
Talent Rating: 932.00 #12
Blue Chip Ratio: 43 #13
Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0

Miami has played in 4 Bowls in the last 5 years (0 - 4)
Miami has played in 20 Bowls since 2000 (6 - 14)

Miami Notes
(12/31) Fired DC Guidry (2 years at U)
(12/31) QB E Williams cannot be the answer
(12/1) Def torched by Cuse. L 28-17 2H to gag ACC shot
(11/25) Def great vs Wake. Rgame great, Ward good
(11/13) Run Def torched by GT, Rgame was abysmal in L
(11/2) Pass D torched by Duke? Off great but fraud alert
(10/19) Off 38+ pts every game. Def rough, Ward great
(9/27) Outgained VT by 100 yds, 3 TOs. Ward incredible




  
Iowa State's OC Taylor Mouser
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Rocco Becht27245760%35052597.7
Connor Moberly51050%49014.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Carson Hansen151752135.057
Abu Sama III12458724.777
Jaylon Jackson9338824.251
Rocco Becht9831883.232
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaylin Noel811194814.775
Jayden Higgins871183913.639
Gabe Burkle26296111.432
Benjamin Brahmer10179117.939
Miami's OC Shannon Dawson
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Cameron Ward30545467%43133979.5
Emory Williams162662%187117.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Damien Martinez1591002106.375
Mark Fletcher Jr.11260795.430
Jordan Lyle5440047.491
Cameron Ward6020443.424
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Xavier Restrepo6911271116.377
Jacolby George53752814.249
Isaiah Horton56616511.030
Elijah Arroyo35590716.974

Iowa State's DC Jon Heacock
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Beau Freyler843004
Malik Verdon754115
Kooper Ebel696110
Jeremiah Cooper481008
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
J.R. Singleton325471
Kenard Snyder82200
Joey Petersen466290
Domonique Orange245131
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jeremiah Cooper481008
Myles Purchase354006
Malik Verdon754115
Miami's DC Lance Guidry
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Francisco Mauigoa9611255
Wesley Bissainthe595211
Jaden Harris404202
Tyler Baron3811660
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Akheem Mesidor329620
Tyler Baron3811660
Simeon Barrow Jr.308631
Rueben Bain Jr.236410
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Daryl Porter Jr.280027
Mishael Powell382116
OJ Frederique Jr.231006