Penn State vs Boise State Game Matchup
Penn State logo Penn State Nittany Lions vs Boise State BroncosBoise State logo
Tuesday, December 31st 2024 (7:30 PM EST)
Penn State -11.5 (54.5) (-500)  Open: -10.5 | 53.5
Penn State 31 - Boise State: 14  (CFP Quarterfinal at the Vrbo Fiesta Bowl)

 
Nittany Lions (13 - 3) (8 - 8 - 0)
Coach James Franklin (88 - 39)
Avg Score : 33 - 17 (34 - 18 on Road)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Bowl Game Opt OutsOur Line: -0    (SP+ -14.5)
PPG only: PSU: 28 - BSU: 27 (55)
PSU Win prob: 77% | Cover: 45%
PSU Travel: 1954 miles, 2 hrs ahead
Broncos (12 - 2) (7 - 6 - 1)
Coach Spencer Danielson (3 - 1)
Avg Score : 37 - 23 (43 - 20 @ Home)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
 
Penn State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/31 Penn State at West Virginia-7.548.0W 34 - 12
Sat 9/7 Penn State vs Bowling Green-35.551.5W 34 - 27
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Penn State vs Kent State-49.058.0W 56 - 0
Sat 9/28 Penn State vs Illinois-19.548.0W 21 - 7
Sat 10/5 Penn State vs UCLA-30.048.0W 27 - 11
Sat 10/12 Penn State at USC-3.551.5W 33 - 30
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26 Penn State at Wisconsin-6.547.0W 28 - 13
Sat 11/2 Penn State vs Ohio State+3.047.5L 13 - 20
Sat 11/9 Penn State vs Washington-13.548.0W 35 - 6
Sat 11/16 Penn State at Purdue-30.051.5W 49 - 10
Sat 11/23 Penn State at Minnesota-11.045.0W 26 - 25
Sat 11/30 Penn State vs Maryland-26.550.5W 44 - 7
Sat 12/7 Penn State vs Oregon+3.551.5L 37 - 45
Sat 12/21 Penn State vs SMU-9.052.5W 38 - 10
Tue 12/31 Penn State vs Boise State-11.554.5W 31 - 14
Thu 1/9 Penn State vs Notre Dame-1.545.5L 24 - 27
Total: Elite: 3, Good: 5, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 3, Good: 5, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg: 3, Bad: 3, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 3, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Boise State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/31 Boise State at Georgia Southern-13.057.5W 56 - 45
Sat 9/7 Boise State at Oregon+17.560.5L 34 - 37
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Boise State vs Portland State-43.069.5W 56 - 14
Sat 9/28 Boise State vs Washington State-6.566.0W 45 - 24
Sat 10/5 Boise State vs Utah State-28.066.5W 62 - 30
Sat 10/12 Boise State at Hawai'i-21.060.0W 28 - 7
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/25 Boise State at UNLV-4.064.0W 29 - 24
Fri 11/1 Boise State vs San Diego State-24.555.5W 56 - 24
Sat 11/9 Boise State vs Nevada-23.560.5W 28 - 21
Sat 11/16 Boise State at San José State-14.562.0W 42 - 21
Sat 11/23 Boise State at Wyoming-22.054.0W 17 - 13
Fri 11/29 Boise State vs Oregon State-17.558.5W 34 - 18
Fri 12/6 Boise State vs UNLV-3.557.5W 21 - 7
Tue 12/31 Boise State vs Penn State+11.554.5L 14 - 31
Total: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 6
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 4, Poor: 6
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

PSU's OC Andy Kotelnicki vs BSU's DC Erik Chinander     BSU's OC Dirk Koetter vs PSU's DC Tom Allen

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PSU#40 (.25)46% (25)33.149% (17)3.38 (14)18543% (53)2154.96 (5)#8 (.04)33% (3)16.531% (3)36% (10)3.09 (15)43.30.61.8
BSU#19 (.3)47% (21)37.351% (10)3.46 (9)21542% (69)2214.2 (38)#90 (.22)41% (59)22.644% (79)40% (42)4.04 (90)321.51.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
BSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PSU Offense1333.13446.3%4.960.6234001852154.750%49%49%43%11%.25
BSU Defense1422.619.741.3%4.041.4 - - - - - 46%53%44%40%17%.22
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PSU Defense1316.51833.1%3.091.8 - - - - - 49%50%31%36%23%.04
BSU Offense1437.343.146.6%4.21.5214362152215.457%42%51%42%14%.3

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Penn State1332:3022.541%77%543.30.61.87.83.8333.8
Boise State1431:1121.446%82%3.7321.51.45.92.5029.4
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PSU Offense1350% (65)49% (17)39.6184.84.726 (30).19 (46)3.38 (14)73% (77)7% (8)0.85 (123)
BSU Defense1446% (24)44% (79) - - - - .19 (95)3.08 (59)66% (29)11% (34)1.09 (108)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PSU Defense1349% (52)31% (3) - - - - -.04 (7)2.23 (2)76% (89)18% (1)0.96 (46)
BSU Offense1457% (19)51% (10)40214.95.434 (7).3 (6)3.46 (9)84% (6)8% (34)1.07 (31)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PSU Offense1349% (63)43% (53)18.931.72156.811.430 (16)2 (1).3 (62)1.5 (115)27% (9)35% (23).38 (50)4% (7)1.7 (129)
BSU Defense1453% (112)40% (42) - - - - - - 11 (53).28 (72)1.7 (91)33% (48)32% (91).37 (95)6% (72)2.1 (80)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PSU Defense1350% (77)36% (10) - - - - - - 12 (37).2 (25)1.7 (94)39% (2)26% (19).21 (21)6% (86)2.1 (74)
BSU Offense1442% (117)42% (69)15.426.6221.38.314.320 (70)13 (97).38 (29)1.8 (12)29% (16)34% (38).38 (56)6% (66)2.1 (57)

Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: #NR
Penn State's Offense Rating: #NR
Penn State's Defense Rating: #NR
2024 Talent Rating: 936.00 #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Penn State's 2024 Expected Record: -
Penn State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.6 #5
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.5 #9
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.1 #4

Penn State's SP+ Ratings
Penn State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.6 #5
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.5 #9
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.1 #4

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 830.11
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Penn State:    Boise State:

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Penn State: 24.6   Boise State: 10.1




Boise State's Power Ratings
Boise State's Power Rating: #NR
Boise State's Offense Rating: #NR
Boise State's Defense Rating: #NR
2024 Talent Rating: 626.00 #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
Boise State's 2024 Expected Record: -

Boise State's SP+ Ratings
Boise State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.1 #29
Boise State's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.3 #17
Boise State's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #50

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 443.33
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Penn State Scoring
Offense: 33.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 34
Defense: 16.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 18

Penn State's 2024 Record
Record: 13 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Penn State 28
Boise State 27

Projected Total Points: 55
Boise State Scoring
Offense: 37.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.1
Defense: 22.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.7

Boise State's 2024 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 1
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202412/31Boise State14Penn State31Penn StatePenn State -11.5Penn State54.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Boise State000 Overs
Penn State111 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1
Road Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0

Penn State Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2024CFP Semifinal Penn State vs Notre Dame-1.545.5L 24 - 27
2024CFP Quarterfinal Penn State vs Boise State-11.554.5W 31 - 14
2024CFP 1st Round Penn State vs SMU-9.052.5W 38 - 10
2023Peach Bowl Penn State vs Ole Miss-5.553.0L 25 - 38
2022Rose Bowl Penn State vs Utah-1.555.5W 35 - 21
2021Outback Bowl Penn State vs Arkansas+3.551.0L 10 - 24
2019Cotton Bowl Penn State vs Memphis-7.059.5W 53 - 39
2018Citrus Bowl Penn State vs Kentucky-4.547.5L 24 - 27
Boise State Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2024CFP Quarterfinal Boise State vs Penn State+11.554.5L 14 - 31
2023La Bowl Boise State vs UCLA+6.546.0L 22 - 35
2022Frisco Bowl Boise State vs North Texas-12.063.0W 35 - 32
2019Vegas Bowl Boise State vs Washington+4.048.0L 7 - 38
  
(#NR) Penn State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: 24.6 #5
Offense SP+ Rating: 37.5 #9
Defense SP+ Rating: 13.1 #4
Talent Rating: 936.00 #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -

Penn State has played in 3 CFP Playoff Games (2 - 1)
Penn State has played in 7 Bowls in the last 5 years (4 - 3)
Penn State has played in 20 Bowls since 2000 (10 - 10)

Penn State Notes
(11/26) Star OT Donkoh out for season (knee)
(11/23) Dog fight @ Minn. 2 kicks blocked. 3.5 ypc
(11/13) Off much better vs Wash, 220 pass, 266 run
(11/3) WR are bad. Allar OK but has no weapons w/o TE
(11/2) Franklin 1-10 vs top 10. Same shit, diff year
(11/2) Off did not score vs OSU. Allar meh, WR awful
(10/27) QB Allar missed 2nd H Wisconsin game
(10/27) Off efficient and spread out vs Wisky, Def good
Penn State     Ratings Matchup     Boise State
Power #NR
#NR
Off #NR
#NR
Def #NR
#NR
Talent #11
#69
SP+ #5
#29
SP+ Off #9
#17
SP+ Def #4
#50

Rematch from Week 1
Penn State 11.5 (54.5)
Penn State won at Boise State this year (31-14)

Previous Matchups
Penn State beat Boise State last year (31-14)

Weather Forecast
Playing in State Farm Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 59°

Team Information
Injuries: PSU | BSU
Depth Chart: PSU | BSU
Rosters: PSU | BSU
(#NR) Boise State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.1 #29
Offense SP+ Rating: 35.3 #17
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #50
Talent Rating: 626.00 #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
Expected Record: -

Boise State has played in 1 CFP Playoff Games (0 - 1)
Boise State has played in 4 Bowls in the last 5 years (1 - 3)
Boise State has played in 21 Bowls since 2000 (12 - 9)

Boise State Notes
(11/29) Beat down Beavs, Jeanty great, Madsen meh
(11/25) Awful perf vs Wym, Jeanty hurt? In MWC title
(11/18) Rgame OK, QB good, Pass D torched in SJSU W
(11/3) Maddux torched SDSU, coming on. Def meh
(10/26) Even w/ UNLV, Madsen was avg but no TOs
(9/8) QB Madsen brutal vs Oreg. Def held up well
(9/1) Jeanty torched GSU, Def was really bad though
(8/18) QB Madson (PT LY) beat out 5* Nelson (USC)




  
Penn State's OC Andy Kotelnicki
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Drew Allar26239467%33272488.4
Beau Pribula263574%275517.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kaytron Allen220110885.032
Nicholas Singleton1721099126.458
Drew Allar9630263.122
Beau Pribula3824246.449
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tyler Warren1041233811.938
Harrison Wallace III47732415.650
Omari Evans20403520.259
Nicholas Singleton4137559.127
Boise State's OC Dirk Koetter
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Maddux Madsen24739662%30182367.6
Malachi Nelson121771%128017.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ashton Jeanty3742601297.077
Maddux Madsen5722153.949
Sire Gaines2015617.838
Dylan Riley2213526.164
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cam Camper58903415.653
Matt Lauter48629713.153
Latrell Caples38473512.436
Prince Strachan25304112.237

Penn State's DC Tom Allen
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaylen Reed957312
Kobe King878311
Zakee Wheatley863104
Abdul Carter62241294
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Abdul Carter62241294
Dani Dennis-Sutton4013993
Amin Vanover215431
Jaylen Reed957312
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elliot Washington II251006
A.J. Harris413005
Cam Miller233025
Boise State's DC Erik Chinander
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ty Benefield825013
Seyi Oladipo6811712
Zion Washington674006
Marco Notarainni608433
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jayden Virgin40161050
Ahmed Hassanein48161030
Seyi Oladipo6811712
Braxton Fely249610
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
A'Marion McCoy6020112
Zion Washington674006
Jeremiah Earby341006