Georgia State at Ole Miss Game Matchup

Georgia State Panthers at Ole Miss Rebels

Saturday, August 30th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Vaught-Hemingway Stadium - Oxford, MS

Panthers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Dell McGee (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 24 - 34 (24 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 0.2 - 1.8 (#113)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Ole Miss -30.5 (SP+ -34)
PPG only: GAST: 19 - MISS: 36 (55)
GAST Win prob: 49% | Cover: 49%
GAST Travel: 298 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Rebels (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Lane Kiffin (43 - 18)
Avg Score : 39 - 14 (40 - 11 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.1 - 2.9 (#16)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 3) (Good: 4) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)

Matchup
Schedules
Off Players
Def Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Georgia State's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 8/30	Georgia State at Ole Miss
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20	Georgia State at Vanderbilt

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Ole Miss's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 8/30	Ole Miss vs Georgia State
Sat 9/6	Ole Miss at Kentucky
Sat 9/13	Ole Miss vs Arkansas
Sat 9/20	Ole Miss vs Tulane
Sat 9/27	Ole Miss vs LSU
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11	Ole Miss vs Washington State
Sat 10/18	Ole Miss at Georgia
Sat 10/25	Ole Miss at Oklahoma
Sat 11/1	Ole Miss vs South Carolina
Sat 11/8	Ole Miss vs The Citadel
Sat 11/15	Ole Miss vs Florida
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29	Ole Miss at Mississippi State

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

GAST's OC Jim Chaney vs MISS's DC Pete Golding MISS's OC Charlie Weis Jr. vs GAST's DC Travis Pearson

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
GAST	#92 (.15)	41% (91)	23.8	42% (93)	2.94 (86)	134	41% (79)	256	3.85 (76)	#121 (.28)	48% (123)	33.8	49% (118)	46% (118)	4.42 (120)	49.1	1.6	1.4
MISS	#4 (.34)	47% (19)	38.6	44% (75)	3.02 (73)	164	51% (3)	317	4 (59)	#6 (.04)	35% (3)	14.4	35% (6)	36% (13)	2.98 (8)	68.5	0.9	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
GAST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MISS		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
GAST Offense	12	23.8	24	41.2%	3.85	1.6	21	390	134	256	4.5	42%	58%	42%	41%	18%	.15
MISS Defense	13	14.4	10.6	35.3%	2.98	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	47%	53%	35%	36%	25%	.04

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
GAST Defense	12	33.8	36.5	47.6%	4.42	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	58%	42%	49%	46%	14%	.28
MISS Offense	13	38.6	39.6	47.4%	4	0.9	23	481	164	317	4.6	50%	50%	44%	51%	15%	.34

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Georgia State	12	29:58	20.7	36%	37%	5.1	49.1	1.6	1.4	4	1.5	0	30.6
Ole Miss	13	26:04	22.7	41%	59%	6.8	68.5	0.9	1.6	8.9	4.1	0	29.7

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
GAST Offense	12	42% (118)	42% (93)	30	134	4.5	13 (105)	.06 (105)	2.94 (86)	67% (108)	10% (83)	0.95 (76)
MISS Defense	13	47% (25)	35% (6)	-	-	-	-	-.04 (4)	2.49 (7)	74% (70)	16% (1)	0.88 (24)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
GAST Defense	12	58% (130)	49% (118)	-	-	-	-	.22 (115)	3.36 (117)	79% (104)	8% (124)	0.95 (51)
MISS Offense	13	50% (75)	44% (75)	35.8	164.2	4.6	27 (30)	.15 (59)	3.02 (73)	71% (85)	10% (69)	1.09 (26)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
GAST Offense	12	58% (15)	41% (79)	22.6	37.4	255.8	6.8	11.3	21 (51)	13 (103)	.24 (78)	1.6 (66)	33% (98)	32% (61)	.37 (56)	7% (114)	2.1 (53)
MISS Defense	13	53% (115)	36% (13)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (52)	.12 (21)	1.6 (86)	37% (5)	23% (1)	.1 (3)	8% (3)	2.1 (68)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
GAST Defense	12	42% (5)	46% (118)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (76)	.38 (124)	1.6 (81)	29% (108)	38% (125)	.46 (123)	6% (60)	1.8 (11)
MISS Offense	13	50% (59)	51% (3)	20.5	30.5	317.2	10.4	15.4	27 (20)	6 (10)	.53 (3)	1.6 (46)	29% (28)	38% (7)	.63 (2)	5% (53)	2.3 (12)

Georgia State's Power Ratings
Georgia State's Power Rating: -6.39 #91
Georgia State's Offense Rating: 13.33 #77
Georgia State's Defense Rating: 19.72 #106
2025 Talent Rating: 694.00 #72
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #69
Georgia State's 2025 Expected Record: 0.2 - 1.8
Georgia State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.7 #113
Georgia State's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.4 #97
Georgia State's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.2 #122

Georgia State's SP+ Ratings
Georgia State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.7 #113
Georgia State's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.4 #97
Georgia State's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.2 #122

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 566.5
Average Power Five Talent: 862.84
Average FBS Talent: 688.93

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia State: -6.39 Ole Miss: 24.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia State: -13.7 Ole Miss: 20.2

Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: 24.2 #13
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: 24.82 #12
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: 2.62 #20
2025 Talent Rating: 890.00 #22
Blue Chip Ratio: 36 #19
Ole Miss's 2025 Expected Record: 9.1 - 2.9

Ole Miss's SP+ Ratings
Ole Miss's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 20.2 #9
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.5 #19
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.3 #9

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 945.13
Average Power Five Talent: 862.84
Average FBS Talent: 688.93

Georgia State Scoring
Offense: 23.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 24
Defense: 33.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.5

Georgia State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Ole Miss 36
Georgia State 19

Projected Total Points: 55

Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 38.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.6
Defense: 14.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 10.6

Ole Miss's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Ole Miss	0	0	0 Overs
Georgia State	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0

(#91) Georgia State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -6.39 #91
Offense Rating: 13.33 #77
Defense Rating: 19.72 #106
Overall SP+ Rating: -13.7 #113
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.4 #97
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.2 #122
Talent Rating: 694.00 #72
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #69
Expected Record: 0.2 - 1.8

Georgia State Ratings Matchup Ole Miss

Power #91

#13

Off #77

#12

Def #106

#20

Talent #72

#22

SP+ #113

SP+ Off #97

#19

SP+ Def #122

Weather Forecast
Playing in Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: GAST | MISS
Depth Chart: GAST | MISS
Rosters: GAST | MISS

(#13) Ole Miss Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 24.2 #13
Offense Rating: 24.82 #12
Defense Rating: 2.62 #20
Overall SP+ Rating: 20.2 #9
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.5 #19
Defense SP+ Rating: 14.3 #9
Talent Rating: 890.00 #22
Blue Chip Ratio: 36 #19
Expected Record: 9.1 - 2.9

Georgia State's OC Jim Chaney

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Christian Veilleux	166	291	57%	2047	13	11	7.0
Cameran Brown	4	9	44%	11	0	1	1.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Freddie Brock	151	819	8	5.4	57
Michel Dukes	63	365	2	5.8	35
Sy'veon Wilkerson	23	97	0	4.2	41
Cameran Brown	8	83	0	10.4	22

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ted Hurst	56	961	9	17.2	76
Michel Dukes	43	354	3	8.2	26
DJ Riles	20	172	0	8.6	27
Freddie Brock	21	166	1	7.9	31

Ole Miss's OC Charlie Weis Jr.

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Austin Simmons	19	32	59%	282	2	0	8.8
Pierce Clarkson	3	4	75%	11	0	0	2.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jordan Simmons	110	664	2	6.0	73
Domonique Thomas	42	197	1	4.7	22
Kewan Lacy	23	104	0	4.5	13
Cayden Lee	2	18	0	9.0	13

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
De'Zhaun Stribling	52	892	6	17.2	77
Cayden Lee	57	874	2	15.3	58
Harrison Wallace III	47	732	4	15.6	50
Traylon Ray	28	426	4	15.2	54

Georgia State's DC Travis Pearson

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Josiah Robinson	62	7	4	2	3
Xavier Robinson	60	5	2	1	0
Jyron Gilmore	54	2	0	1	1
Kevin Swint	48	10	5	1	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kevin Swint	48	10	5	1	4
Henry Bryant	30	6	4	2	1
Josiah Robinson	62	7	4	2	3
K.D. McDaniel	42	3	2	3	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Gavin Pringle	34	2	0	0	8
Izaiah Guy	30	0	0	0	5
Kevin Swint	48	10	5	1	4

Ole Miss's DC Pete Golding

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jaden Yates	114	7	1	6	2
Suntarine Perkins	60	14	11	8	0
Kapena Gushiken	48	3	0	0	6
Sage Ryan	42	2	1	0	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Suntarine Perkins	60	14	11	8	0
Kamarion Franklin	11	5	3	3	0
Zxavian Harris	31	5	2	2	0
Akelo Stone	14	2	2	1	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kapena Gushiken	48	3	0	0	6
Da'Shawn Womack	8	1	1	2	4
Sage Ryan	42	2	1	0	4