South Florida at Florida Game Matchup
South Florida logo South Florida Bulls at Florida GatorsFlorida logo
Saturday, September 6th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Ben Hill Griffin Stadium - Gainesville, FL

 
Bulls (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Alex Golesh (13 - 12)
Avg Score : 32 - 30 (34 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 0.1 - 1.9 (#116)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
FLA 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Florida -21.5    (SP+ -19)
PPG only: USF: 28 - FLA: 29 (57)
USF Win prob: 49% | Cover: 49%
USF Travel: 116 miles
Gators (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Billy Napier (18 - 19)
Avg Score : 28 - 23 (29 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.1 - 4.9 (#39)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 7) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
 
South Florida's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/6 South Florida at Florida
Sat 9/13 South Florida at Miami
Total: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Florida's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/30 Florida vs Long Island University
Sat 9/6 Florida vs South Florida
Sat 9/13 Florida at LSU
Sat 9/20 Florida at Miami
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Florida vs Texas
Sat 10/11 Florida at Texas A&M
Sat 10/18 Florida vs Mississippi State
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Florida vs Georgia
Sat 11/8 Florida at Kentucky
Sat 11/15 Florida at Ole Miss
Sat 11/22 Florida vs Tennessee
Sat 11/29 Florida vs Florida State
Total: Elite: 7, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 7, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

USF's OC Joel Gordon vs FLA's DC Ron Roberts     FLA's OC Rob Sale vs USF's DC Todd Orlando

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USF#83 (.17)38% (118)32.239% (112)3.06 (62)18138% (106)2273.88 (73)#66 (.16)39% (36)29.838% (17)40% (69)4 (88)70.91.42.1
FLA#72 (.18)43% (64)28.345% (52)3.04 (68)16441% (81)2264.17 (45)#53 (.14)44% (95)23.149% (117)39% (44)3.12 (15)541.41.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
FLA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USF Offense1332.234.338.3%3.881.4204081812274.848%52%39%38%15%.17
FLA Defense1323.12143.9%3.121.9 - - - - - 51%49%49%39%18%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USF Defense1329.831.839.2%42.1 - - - - - 49%51%38%40%20%.16
FLA Offense1328.329.343%4.171.4193891642264.654%46%45%41%16%.18

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
South Florida1325:1020.439%56%8.170.91.42.18.12.5230.7
Florida1328:3519.239%47%5.9541.41.96.43.1130.2
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USF Offense1348% (82)39% (112)37.8180.84.834 (10).2 (33)3.06 (62)66% (115)10% (63)1.26 (3)
FLA Defense1351% (72)49% (117) - - - - .13 (73)3.06 (78)67% (30)11% (37)0.84 (10)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USF Defense1349% (47)38% (17) - - - - .04 (25)2.63 (18)70% (48)13% (11)1.13 (121)
FLA Offense1354% (44)45% (52)35.4163.74.626 (36).14 (65)3.04 (68)79% (27)9% (56)0.94 (83)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USF Offense1352% (51)38% (106)20.234.1227.56.711.316 (87)10 (63).13 (113)1.5 (109)34% (114)25% (121).22 (105)6% (68)2.2 (21)
FLA Defense1349% (66)39% (44) - - - - - - 14 (23).16 (34)1.6 (87)31% (86)37% (124).42 (108)7% (44)2 (58)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USF Defense1351% (91)40% (69) - - - - - - 13 (31).28 (89)1.6 (79)34% (32)32% (87).3 (63)7% (47)1.9 (32)
FLA Offense1346% (89)41% (81)1626.1225.78.714.118 (68)14 (115).25 (73)1.6 (48)31% (54)28% (105).22 (107)7% (89)1.8 (119)

South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: 1.35 #66
South Florida's Offense Rating: 14.85 #58
South Florida's Defense Rating: 13.50 #67
2025 Talent Rating: 726.00 #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #61
South Florida's 2025 Expected Record: 0.1 - 1.9
South Florida's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.3 #80
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #43
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.0 #111

South Florida's SP+ Ratings
South Florida's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.3 #80
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #43
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.0 #111

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 513.43
Average Power Five Talent: 862.84
Average FBS Talent: 688.93

Power Ratings Matchup
South Florida: 1.35   Florida: 22.74

SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Florida: -4.3   Florida: 14.4




Florida's Power Ratings
Florida's Power Rating: 22.74 #15
Florida's Offense Rating: 26.09 #11
Florida's Defense Rating: 5.35 #26
2025 Talent Rating: 984.00 #14
Blue Chip Ratio: 47 #12
Florida's 2025 Expected Record: 7.1 - 4.9

Florida's SP+ Ratings
Florida's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.4 #17
Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.6 #22
Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #22

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 945.13
Average Power Five Talent: 862.84
Average FBS Talent: 688.93


South Florida Scoring
Offense: 32.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.3
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.8

South Florida's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Florida 29
South Florida 28

Projected Total Points: 57
Florida Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.3
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 21

Florida's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202209/17Florida31South Florida28FloridaFlorida -23.5South Florida58.0Over
202109/11South Florida20Florida42FloridaFlorida -29South Florida57.0Over
201009/11Florida38South Florida14Florida
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Florida302 Overs
South Florida020 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 11 - 10 - 11 - 0
Road Teams1 - 21 - 10 - 11 - 0

(#66) South Florida Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 1.35 #66
Offense Rating: 14.85 #58
Defense Rating: 13.50 #67
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.3 #80
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #43
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.0 #111
Talent Rating: 726.00 #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #61
Expected Record: 0.1 - 1.9

South Florida     Ratings Matchup     Florida
Power #66
#15
Off #58
#11
Def #67
#26
Talent #65
#14
SP+ #80
#17
SP+ Off #43
#22
SP+ Def #111
#22

Previous Matchups
Florida beat South Florida in 2022 (31-28)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: USF | FLA
Depth Chart: USF | FLA
Rosters: USF | FLA
(#15) Florida Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 22.74 #15
Offense Rating: 26.09 #11
Defense Rating: 5.35 #26
Overall SP+ Rating: 14.4 #17
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.6 #22
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #22
Talent Rating: 984.00 #14
Blue Chip Ratio: 47 #12
Expected Record: 7.1 - 4.9





  
South Florida's OC Joel Gordon
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Bryce Archie17229059%19149106.6
Byrum Brown7813259%836206.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cartevious Norton12952574.162
Byrum Brown6826934.042
Bryce Archie6813722.035
Alvon Isaac65018.325
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Keshaun Singleton27428315.967
Joshua Porter2421008.832
Wyatt Sullivan13155211.938
Chas Nimrod10121012.127
Florida's OC Rob Sale
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
D.J. Lagway11519260%191512910.0
Aidan Warner215042%228034.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jadan Baugh13367375.155
Ja'Kobi Jackson9350075.420
D.J. Lagway5110102.022
Treyaun Webb219314.414
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
J.Michael Sturdivant22315214.345
Eugene Wilson19266114.085
Hayden Hansen15207113.840
Aidan Mizell17202211.943

South Florida's DC Todd Orlando
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mac Harris8212462
Tavin Ward612003
Jhalyn Shuler607441
Brent Austin4800010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mac Harris8212462
Jhalyn Shuler607441
Ira Singleton123310
Jacob Merrifield154320
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brent Austin4800010
De'Shawn Rucker412007
Ben Knox221106
Florida's DC Ron Roberts
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Castell551009
Jaden Robinson524410
Tyreak Sapp4613750
Bryce Thornton412013
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyreak Sapp4613750
George Gumbs369642
Caleb Banks217561
Jaden Robinson524410
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Castell551009
Bryce Thornton412013
Aaron Gates274013