Florida at LSU Game Matchup
Florida logo Florida Gators at LSU TigersLSU logo
Saturday, September 13th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Tiger Stadium - Baton Rouge, LA  (SEC)

 
Gators (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Billy Napier (18 - 19)
Avg Score : 28 - 23 (28 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.1 - 4.9 (#39)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 7) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
LSU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: LSU -6    (SP+ -5)
PPG only: FLA: 26 - LSU: 27 (53)
FLA Win prob: 49% | Cover: 49%
FLA Travel: 531 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Tigers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Brian Kelly (28 - 11)
Avg Score : 31 - 24 (32 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 3.5 (#19)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 5) (Good: 4) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
 
Florida's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/30 Florida vs Long Island University
Sat 9/6 Florida vs South Florida
Sat 9/13 Florida at LSU
Sat 9/20 Florida at Miami
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Florida vs Texas
Sat 10/11 Florida at Texas A&M
Sat 10/18 Florida vs Mississippi State
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Florida vs Georgia
Sat 11/8 Florida at Kentucky
Sat 11/15 Florida at Ole Miss
Sat 11/22 Florida vs Tennessee
Sat 11/29 Florida vs Florida State
Total: Elite: 7, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 7, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
LSU's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/30 LSU at Clemson
Sat 9/6 LSU vs Louisiana Tech
Sat 9/13 LSU vs Florida
Sat 9/20 LSU vs SE Louisiana
Sat 9/27 LSU at Ole Miss
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 LSU vs South Carolina
Sat 10/18 LSU at Vanderbilt
Sat 10/25 LSU vs Texas A&M
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 LSU at Alabama
Sat 11/15 LSU vs Arkansas
Sat 11/22 LSU vs Western Kentucky
Sat 11/29 LSU at Oklahoma
Total: Elite: 5, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

FLA's OC Rob Sale vs LSU's DC Blake Baker     LSU's OC Joe Sloan vs FLA's DC Ron Roberts

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FLA#72 (.18)43% (64)28.345% (52)3.04 (68)16441% (81)2264.17 (45)#53 (.14)44% (95)23.149% (117)39% (44)3.12 (15)541.41.9
LSU#32 (.25)45% (38)30.542% (90)2.92 (89)10847% (25)2913.99 (61)#92 (.21)41% (60)24.341% (55)41% (73)3.44 (30)45.71.21
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FLA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
LSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FLA Offense1328.327.543%4.171.4193891642264.654%46%45%41%16%.18
LSU Defense1324.321.441.1%3.441 - - - - - 51%49%41%41%18%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FLA Defense1323.127.843.9%3.121.9 - - - - - 51%49%49%39%18%.14
LSU Offense1330.531.944.9%3.991.2223991082914.139%61%42%47%13%.25

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Florida1328:3519.239%47%5.9541.41.96.43.1130.2
LSU1329:4722.150%50%5.845.71.215.12.5127.9
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FLA Offense1354% (44)45% (52)35.4163.74.626 (36).14 (65)3.04 (68)79% (27)9% (56)0.94 (83)
LSU Defense1351% (68)41% (55) - - - - .18 (97)2.94 (54)84% (126)12% (29)1.23 (132)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FLA Defense1351% (72)49% (117) - - - - .13 (73)3.06 (78)67% (30)11% (37)0.84 (10)
LSU Offense1339% (128)42% (90)26.4108.24.114 (98).12 (80)2.92 (89)82% (13)6% (5)0.89 (103)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FLA Offense1346% (89)41% (81)1626.1225.78.714.118 (68)14 (115).25 (73)1.6 (48)31% (54)28% (105).22 (107)7% (89)1.8 (119)
LSU Defense1349% (68)41% (73) - - - - - - 5 (117).25 (74)1.6 (68)35% (27)31% (76).36 (93)7% (42)2.2 (104)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FLA Defense1349% (66)39% (44) - - - - - - 14 (23).16 (34)1.6 (87)31% (86)37% (124).42 (108)7% (44)2 (58)
LSU Offense1361% (7)47% (25)24.538.4290.87.611.926 (26)11 (72).33 (37)1.5 (95)33% (90)37% (16).42 (29)7% (97)2 (84)

Florida's Power Ratings
Florida's Power Rating: 20.74 #15
Florida's Offense Rating: 26.09 #11
Florida's Defense Rating: 5.35 #26
2025 Talent Rating: 984.00 #14
Blue Chip Ratio: 47% #12
Florida's 2025 Expected Record: 7.1 - 4.9
Florida's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.4 #17
Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.6 #22
Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #22

Florida's SP+ Ratings
Florida's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.4 #17
Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.6 #22
Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #22

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 945.13
Average Power Five Talent: 862.84
Average FBS Talent: 688.93

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida: 20.74   LSU: 26.67

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida: 14.4   LSU: 19.5




LSU's Power Ratings
LSU's Power Rating: 26.67 #10
LSU's Offense Rating: 28.31 #7
LSU's Defense Rating: 3.64 #21
2025 Talent Rating: 1008.00 #10
Blue Chip Ratio: 61 #4
LSU's 2025 Expected Record: 8.5 - 3.5

LSU's SP+ Ratings
LSU's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 19.5 #10
LSU's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.7 #2
LSU's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.2 #26

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 945.13
Average Power Five Talent: 862.84
Average FBS Talent: 688.93


Florida Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.5
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.8

Florida's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
LSU 27
Florida 26

Projected Total Points: 53
LSU Scoring
Offense: 30.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.9
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.4

LSU's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/16Florida27LSU16FloridaLSU -3Florida57.0Under
202311/11LSU52Florida35LSULSU -14LSU68.5Over
202210/15Florida35LSU45LSUFlorida -2LSU51.5Over
202110/16LSU49Florida42LSUFlorida -12.5LSU61.0Over
202012/12Florida34LSU37LSUFlorida -23LSU65.5Over
201910/12LSU42Florida28LSULSU -14Push55.5Over
201810/06Florida27LSU19FloridaLSU -1Florida44.0Over
201710/07Florida16LSU17LSULSU -1.5Florida44.0Under
201611/19LSU10Florida16FloridaLSU -10.5Florida38.0Under
201510/17LSU35Florida28LSULSU -6.5LSU43.5Over
201410/11Florida27LSU30LSULSU -1LSU0
201310/12LSU17Florida6LSULSU -5LSU0
201210/06Florida14LSU6Florida
201110/08LSU41Florida11LSU
201010/09Florida29LSU33LSU
200910/10LSU3Florida13Florida
200810/11Florida51LSU21Florida
200710/06LSU28Florida24LSU
200610/07Florida23LSU10Florida
200510/15LSU21Florida17LSU
200410/09Florida21LSU24LSU
200310/11LSU7Florida19Florida
200210/12Florida7LSU36LSU
200110/06LSU15Florida44Florida
200010/06Florida41LSU9Florida
TeamWinsCoversO/U
LSU1577 Overs
Florida1043 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 117 - 43 - 34 - 1
Road Teams11 - 144 - 71 - 43 - 3

(#15) Florida Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 20.74 #15
Offense Rating: 26.09 #11
Defense Rating: 5.35 #26
Overall SP+ Rating: 14.4 #17
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.6 #22
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #22
Talent Rating: 984.00 #14
Blue Chip Ratio: 47% #12
Expected Record: 7.1 - 4.9

Florida     Ratings Matchup     LSU
Power #15
#10
Off #11
#7
Def #26
#21
Talent #14
#10
SP+ #17
#10
SP+ Off #22
#2
SP+ Def #22
#26

Previous Matchups
Florida beat LSU last year (27-16)
LSU beat Florida in 2023 (52-35)
LSU beat Florida in 2022 (45-35)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Tiger Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: FLA | LSU
Depth Chart: FLA | LSU
Rosters: FLA | LSU
(#10) LSU Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 26.67 #10
Offense Rating: 28.31 #7
Defense Rating: 3.64 #21
Overall SP+ Rating: 19.5 #10
Offense SP+ Rating: 39.7 #2
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.2 #26
Talent Rating: 1008.00 #10
Blue Chip Ratio: 61 #4
Expected Record: 8.5 - 3.5





  
Florida's OC Rob Sale
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
D.J. Lagway11519260%191512910.0
Aidan Warner215042%228034.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jadan Baugh13367375.155
Ja'Kobi Jackson9350075.420
D.J. Lagway5110102.022
Treyaun Webb219314.414
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
J.Michael Sturdivant22315214.345
Eugene Wilson19266114.085
Hayden Hansen15207113.840
Aidan Mizell17202211.943
LSU's OC Joe Sloan
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Garrett Nussmeier33652464%403929127.7
Michael Van Buren Jr.14025655%18861177.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Caden Durham13875465.586
Kaleb Jackson4714903.219
Zavion Thomas97608.426
Barion Brown135013.823
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Aaron Anderson61875514.376
Barion Brown29361312.463
Bauer Sharp4232427.743
Caden Durham2826029.371

Florida's DC Ron Roberts
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Castell551009
Jaden Robinson524410
Tyreak Sapp4613750
Bryce Thornton412013
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyreak Sapp4613750
George Gumbs369642
Caleb Banks217561
Jaden Robinson524410
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Castell551009
Bryce Thornton412013
Aaron Gates274013
LSU's DC Blake Baker
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Whit Weeks1118344
Jack Pyburn604100
Mansoor Delane541007
Jardin Gilbert522102
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Patrick Payton3210440
Whit Weeks1118344
Dominick McKinley73310
Jimari Butler227250
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ashton Stamps5000211
Mansoor Delane541007
Tamarcus Cooley393126