Florida at Miami Game Matchup
Florida logo Florida Gators at Miami HurricanesMiami logo
Saturday, September 20th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Hard Rock Stadium - Miami Gardens, FL

 
Gators (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Billy Napier (18 - 19)
Avg Score : 28 - 23 (28 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.1 - 4.9 (#39)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 7) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
FLA 2nd straight Road Game
MIAMI 4th straight Home Game
Our Line: Miami -2    (SP+ -3)
PPG only: FLA: 27 - MIAMI: 34 (61)
FLA Win prob: 49% | Cover: 49%
FLA Travel: 286 miles
Hurricanes (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Mario Cristobal (22 - 15)
Avg Score : 44 - 25 (48 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.4 - 2.6 (#10)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 5) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
 
Florida's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/30 Florida vs Long Island University
Sat 9/6 Florida vs South Florida
Sat 9/13 Florida at LSU
Sat 9/20 Florida at Miami
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Florida vs Texas
Sat 10/11 Florida at Texas A&M
Sat 10/18 Florida vs Mississippi State
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Florida vs Georgia
Sat 11/8 Florida at Kentucky
Sat 11/15 Florida at Ole Miss
Sat 11/22 Florida vs Tennessee
Sat 11/29 Florida vs Florida State
Total: Elite: 7, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 7, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Miami's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sun 8/31 Miami vs Notre Dame
Sat 9/6 Miami vs Bethune-Cookman
Sat 9/13 Miami vs South Florida
Sat 9/20 Miami vs Florida
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Miami at Florida State
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/17 Miami vs Louisville
Sat 10/25 Miami vs Stanford
Sat 11/1 Miami at SMU
Sat 11/8 Miami vs Syracuse
Sat 11/15 Miami vs NC State
Sat 11/22 Miami at Virginia Tech
Sat 11/29 Miami at Pittsburgh
Total: Elite: 2, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

FLA's OC Rob Sale vs MIAMI's DC Corey Hetherman     MIAMI's OC Shannon Dawson vs FLA's DC Ron Roberts

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FLA#72 (.18)43% (64)28.345% (52)3.04 (68)16441% (81)2264.17 (45)#53 (.14)44% (95)23.149% (117)39% (44)3.12 (15)541.41.9
MIAMI#2 (.4)52% (1)43.956% (1)3.59 (4)16550% (7)3324.96 (2)#69 (.16)38% (25)25.338% (16)38% (41)4.02 (91)63.111.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FLA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MIAMI0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FLA Offense1328.327.543%4.171.4193891642264.654%46%45%41%16%.18
MIAMI Defense1325.31738.1%4.021.4 - - - - - 45%55%38%38%18%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FLA Defense1323.127.843.9%3.121.9 - - - - - 51%49%49%39%18%.14
MIAMI Offense1343.947.852.5%4.961254971653325.543%57%56%50%10%.4

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Florida1328:3519.239%47%5.9541.41.96.43.1130.2
Miami1330:1325.256%65%6.263.111.45.92.6129.7
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FLA Offense1354% (44)45% (52)35.4163.74.626 (36).14 (65)3.04 (68)79% (27)9% (56)0.94 (83)
MIAMI Defense1345% (11)38% (16) - - - - .08 (49)2.6 (16)57% (4)11% (43)1.15 (125)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FLA Defense1351% (72)49% (117) - - - - .13 (73)3.06 (78)67% (30)11% (37)0.84 (10)
MIAMI Offense1343% (114)56% (1)30.1165.55.528 (25).32 (5)3.59 (4)90% (1)6% (3)0.95 (75)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FLA Offense1346% (89)41% (81)1626.1225.78.714.118 (68)14 (115).25 (73)1.6 (48)31% (54)28% (105).22 (107)7% (89)1.8 (119)
MIAMI Defense1355% (125)38% (41) - - - - - - 14 (23).23 (64)1.7 (113)36% (9)36% (123).45 (115)7% (34)2.1 (83)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FLA Defense1349% (66)39% (44) - - - - - - 14 (23).16 (34)1.6 (87)31% (86)37% (124).42 (108)7% (44)2 (58)
MIAMI Offense1357% (20)50% (7)23.935.1331.69.513.938 (1)7 (26).47 (6)1.7 (26)27% (4)42% (1).69 (1)4% (16)2.3 (6)

Florida's Power Ratings
Florida's Power Rating: 20.74 #15
Florida's Offense Rating: 26.09 #11
Florida's Defense Rating: 5.35 #26
2025 Talent Rating: 984.00 #14
Blue Chip Ratio: 47% #12
Florida's 2025 Expected Record: 7.1 - 4.9
Florida's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.4 #17
Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.6 #22
Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #22

Florida's SP+ Ratings
Florida's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.4 #17
Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.6 #22
Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #22

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 945.13
Average Power Five Talent: 862.84
Average FBS Talent: 688.93

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida: 20.74   Miami: 22.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida: 14.4   Miami: 16.9




Miami's Power Ratings
Miami's Power Rating: 22.55 #16
Miami's Offense Rating: 28.80 #6
Miami's Defense Rating: 8.25 #38
2025 Talent Rating: 956.00 #16
Blue Chip Ratio: 52 #7
Miami's 2025 Expected Record: 9.4 - 2.6

Miami's SP+ Ratings
Miami's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.9 #14
Miami's Offense SP+ Rating: 42.5 #1
Miami's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #49

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 825.88
Average Power Five Talent: 862.84
Average FBS Talent: 688.93


Florida Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.5
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.8

Florida's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Miami 34
Florida 27

Projected Total Points: 61
Miami Scoring
Offense: 43.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 47.8
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 17

Miami's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202408/31Florida17Miami41MiamiMiami -2.5Miami54.5Over
201908/24Florida24Miami20FloridaFlorida -7Miami46.0Under
201309/07Miami21Florida16MiamiFlorida -2Miami0
200809/06Florida26Miami3Florida
200412/31Florida10Miami27Miami
200309/06Miami38Florida33Miami
200209/07Florida16Miami41Miami
200001/01Miami37Florida20Miami
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Miami631 Overs
Florida201 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 31 - 20 - 11 - 1
Road Teams3 - 52 - 11 - 11 - 0

(#15) Florida Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 20.74 #15
Offense Rating: 26.09 #11
Defense Rating: 5.35 #26
Overall SP+ Rating: 14.4 #17
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.6 #22
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #22
Talent Rating: 984.00 #14
Blue Chip Ratio: 47% #12
Expected Record: 7.1 - 4.9

Florida     Ratings Matchup     Miami
Power #15
#16
Off #11
#6
Def #26
#38
Talent #14
#16
SP+ #17
#14
SP+ Off #22
#1
SP+ Def #22
#49

Previous Matchups
Miami beat Florida last year (41-17)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Hard Rock Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: FLA | MIAMI
Depth Chart: FLA | MIAMI
Rosters: FLA | MIAMI
(#16) Miami Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 22.55 #16
Offense Rating: 28.80 #6
Defense Rating: 8.25 #38
Overall SP+ Rating: 16.9 #14
Offense SP+ Rating: 42.5 #1
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #49
Talent Rating: 956.00 #16
Blue Chip Ratio: 52 #7
Expected Record: 9.4 - 2.6





  
Florida's OC Rob Sale
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
D.J. Lagway11519260%191512910.0
Aidan Warner215042%228034.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jadan Baugh13367375.155
Ja'Kobi Jackson9350075.420
D.J. Lagway5110102.022
Treyaun Webb219314.414
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
J.Michael Sturdivant22315214.345
Eugene Wilson19266114.085
Hayden Hansen15207113.840
Aidan Mizell17202211.943
Miami's OC Shannon Dawson
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Carson Beck29044865%348528127.8
Emory Williams162662%187117.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Mark Fletcher Jr.11260795.430
Jordan Lyle5440047.491
Carson Beck557111.314
Elija Lofton230115.028
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
C.J. Daniels42480011.434
Alex Bauman15171611.436
Elija Lofton9150116.740
Mark Fletcher Jr.10106010.622

Florida's DC Ron Roberts
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Castell551009
Jaden Robinson524410
Tyreak Sapp4613750
Bryce Thornton412013
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyreak Sapp4613750
George Gumbs369642
Caleb Banks217561
Jaden Robinson524410
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Castell551009
Bryce Thornton412013
Aaron Gates274013
Miami's DC Corey Hetherman
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zechariah Poyser773008
Wesley Bissainthe595211
David Blay4510620
Akheem Mesidor329620
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
David Blay4510620
Akheem Mesidor329620
Rueben Bain Jr.236410
Wesley Bissainthe595211
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zechariah Poyser773008
Ethan O'Connor301018
Charles Brantley272007