Mississippi State at Texas A&M Game Matchup
Mississippi State logo Mississippi State Bulldogs at Texas A&M AggiesTexas A&M logo
Saturday, October 4th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Kyle Field - College Station, TX  (SEC)

 
Bulldogs (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jeff Lebby (2 - 10)
Avg Score : 26 - 34 (19 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.7 - 8.3 (#77)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 7) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
TA&M 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Texas A&M -27.5    (SP+ -19)
PPG only: MSST: 24 - TA&M: 32 (56)
MSST Win prob: 49% | Cover: 49%
MSST Travel: 484 miles
Aggies (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Mike Elko (8 - 4)
Avg Score : 30 - 22 (31 - 15 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 0 - 0 (#126)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
 
Mississippi State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/30 Mississippi State at Southern Miss
Sat 9/6 Mississippi State vs Arizona State
Sat 9/13 Mississippi State vs Alcorn State
Sat 9/20 Mississippi State vs Northern Illinois
Sat 9/27 Mississippi State vs Tennessee
Sat 10/4 Mississippi State at Texas A&M
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Mississippi State at Florida
Sat 10/25 Mississippi State vs Texas
Sat 11/1 Mississippi State at Arkansas
Sat 11/8 Mississippi State vs Georgia
Sat 11/15 Mississippi State at Missouri
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 Mississippi State vs Ole Miss
Total: Elite: 7, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 7, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Texas A&M's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/30 Texas A&M vs UTSA
Sat 9/6 Texas A&M vs Utah State
Sat 9/13 Texas A&M at Notre Dame
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Texas A&M vs Auburn
Sat 10/4 Texas A&M vs Mississippi State
Sat 10/11 Texas A&M vs Florida
Sat 10/18 Texas A&M at Arkansas
Sat 10/25 Texas A&M at LSU
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Texas A&M at Missouri
Sat 11/15 Texas A&M vs South Carolina
Sat 11/22 Texas A&M vs Samford
Sat 11/29 Texas A&M at Texas
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

MSST's OC Jeff Lebby vs TA&M's DC Jay Bateman     TA&M's OC Collin Klein vs MSST's DC Coleman Hutzler

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MSST#78 (.17)39% (109)25.840% (105)2.9 (93)13938% (104)2393.75 (85)#130 (.32)50% (133)34.147% (108)55% (134)4.32 (113)60.31.50.9
TA&M#54 (.21)45% (41)30.446% (38)3.29 (28)18543% (58)1883.63 (93)#67 (.16)38% (22)22.240% (37)37% (21)3.03 (9)60.711.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MSST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TA&M0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MSST Offense1225.81939.2%3.751.520378139239450%50%40%38%21%.17
TA&M Defense1322.215.138.1%3.031.3 - - - - - 47%53%40%37%20%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MSST Defense1234.13350.4%4.320.9 - - - - - 59%41%47%55%11%.32
TA&M Offense1330.430.744.8%3.631203721851884.957%43%46%43%12%.21

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Mississippi State1225:4120.337%57%6.860.31.50.93.90.8228.1
Texas A&M1329:1319.645%41%6.960.711.36.61.8238.6
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MSST Offense1250% (73)40% (105)34.8138.6419 (73).09 (92)2.9 (93)73% (71)13% (121)1.08 (28)
TA&M Defense1347% (35)40% (37) - - - - .1 (60)2.55 (10)77% (89)11% (45)1.11 (117)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MSST Defense1259% (132)47% (108) - - - - .15 (80)3.3 (113)71% (57)7% (132)0.85 (13)
TA&M Offense1357% (21)46% (38)37.8184.54.926 (36).19 (37)3.29 (28)73% (68)7% (12)0.97 (68)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MSST Offense1250% (62)38% (104)17.930.6239.37.813.419 (65)8 (40).25 (76)1.8 (18)34% (113)32% (63).33 (74)8% (116)2.1 (56)
TA&M Defense1353% (105)37% (21) - - - - - - 13 (31).22 (61)1.8 (131)36% (12)30% (69).37 (94)8% (2)2.3 (131)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MSST Defense1241% (3)55% (134) - - - - - - 7 (104).58 (134)1.5 (48)24% (134)39% (131).55 (130)4% (123)1.9 (38)
TA&M Offense1343% (112)43% (58)14.624.5187.87.712.916 (87)9 (48).25 (70)1.6 (73)30% (49)34% (43).35 (64)5% (28)1.9 (113)

Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: 2.59 #59
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: 18.69 #44
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: 16.10 #81
2025 Talent Rating: 778.00 #50
Blue Chip Ratio: 17% #28
Mississippi State's 2025 Expected Record: 3.7 - 8.3
Mississippi State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.0 #63
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.0 #59
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.0 #67

Mississippi State's SP+ Ratings
Mississippi State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.0 #63
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.0 #59
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.0 #67

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 945.13
Average Power Five Talent: 862.84
Average FBS Talent: 688.93

Power Ratings Matchup
Mississippi State: 2.59   Texas A&M: 29.84

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Mississippi State: 0.0   Texas A&M: 18.5




Texas A&M's Power Ratings
Texas A&M's Power Rating: 29.84 #7
Texas A&M's Offense Rating: 26.31 #10
Texas A&M's Defense Rating: -1.53 #5
2025 Talent Rating: 1046.00 #8
Blue Chip Ratio: 50 #9
Texas A&M's 2025 Expected Record: 0.0 - 0.0

Texas A&M's SP+ Ratings
Texas A&M's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.5 #12
Texas A&M's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.7 #12
Texas A&M's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.1 #16

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 945.13
Average Power Five Talent: 862.84
Average FBS Talent: 688.93


Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 19
Defense: 34.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 33

Mississippi State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Texas A&M 32
Mississippi State 24

Projected Total Points: 56
Texas A&M Scoring
Offense: 30.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.7
Defense: 22.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.1

Texas A&M's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/19Mississippi State24Texas A&M34Texas A&MTexas A&M -21Mississippi State55.5Over
202311/11Texas A&M51Mississippi State10Texas A&MTexas A&M -16.5Texas A&M40.5Over
202210/01Mississippi State42Texas A&M24Mississippi StateMississippi State -4Mississippi State45.0Over
202110/02Texas A&M22Mississippi State26Mississippi StateTexas A&M -7Mississippi State45.5Over
202010/17Mississippi State14Texas A&M28Texas A&MTexas A&M -4.5Texas A&M56.0Under
201910/26Texas A&M49Mississippi State30Texas A&MTexas A&M -10.5Texas A&M50.0Over
201810/27Mississippi State28Texas A&M13Mississippi StateMississippi State -1.5Mississippi State42.5Under
201710/28Texas A&M14Mississippi State35Mississippi StateMississippi State -3.5Mississippi State55.5Under
201611/05Mississippi State35Texas A&M28Mississippi StateTexas A&M -13Mississippi State61.0Over
201510/03Texas A&M30Mississippi State17Texas A&MTexas A&M -6Texas A&M62.5Under
201410/04Mississippi State48Texas A&M31Mississippi StateTexas A&M -1Mississippi State0
201311/09Texas A&M51Mississippi State41Texas A&MTexas A&M -19Mississippi State0
201211/03Mississippi State13Texas A&M38Texas A&M
200012/30Mississippi State43Texas A&M41Mississippi State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas A&M746 Overs
Mississippi State784 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 58 - 45 - 23 - 2
Road Teams5 - 94 - 82 - 32 - 5

(#59) Mississippi State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 2.59 #59
Offense Rating: 18.69 #44
Defense Rating: 16.10 #81
Overall SP+ Rating: 0.0 #63
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.0 #59
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.0 #67
Talent Rating: 778.00 #50
Blue Chip Ratio: 17% #28
Expected Record: 3.7 - 8.3

Mississippi State     Ratings Matchup     Texas A&M
Power #59
#7
Off #44
#10
Def #81
#5
Talent #50
#8
SP+ #63
#12
SP+ Off #59
#12
SP+ Def #67
#16

Previous Matchups
Texas A&M beat Mississippi State last year (34-24)
Texas A&M beat Mississippi State in 2023 (51-10)
Mississippi State beat Texas A&M in 2022 (42-24)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kyle Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: MSST | TA&M
Depth Chart: MSST | TA&M
Rosters: MSST | TA&M
(#7) Texas A&M Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 29.84 #7
Offense Rating: 26.31 #10
Defense Rating: -1.53 #5
Overall SP+ Rating: 18.5 #12
Offense SP+ Rating: 35.7 #12
Defense SP+ Rating: 17.1 #16
Talent Rating: 1046.00 #8
Blue Chip Ratio: 50 #9
Expected Record: 0.0 - 0.0





  
Mississippi State's OC Jeff Lebby
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Blake Shapen7410869%974819.0
Luke Kromenhoek448452%502326.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Fluff Bothwell112834137.459
Davon Booth15275955.043
Johnnie Daniels10854045.036
Xavier Gayten8115114.472
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Markus Allen42636315.178
Jordan Mosley23405317.665
Cam Thompson27388314.454
Seydou Traore34361110.632
Texas A&M's OC Collin Klein
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Marcel Reed14724061%18641567.8
Jacob Zeno8211870%819656.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Le'Veon Moss121765106.375
Amari Daniels13966184.871
Marcel Reed11654774.731
E.J. Smith5420703.817
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kevin Concepcion5345968.742
Mario Craver17368321.672
Terry Bussey17216012.733
Theo Melin Ohrstrom10184218.430

Mississippi State's DC Coleman Hutzler
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaac Smith1272003
Jahron Manning856103
Nic Mitchell803012
Branden Jennings565242
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nevaeh Sanders85520
Zakari Tillman304412
Will Whitson204220
Malick Sylla63200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jayven Williams292214
Isaac Smith1272003
Jahron Manning856103
Texas A&M's DC Jay Bateman
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Taurean York8310324
Dalton Brooks596132
Marcus Ratcliffe484010
Scooby Williams438024
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cashius Howell409487
T.J. Searcy344310
Taurean York8310324
Dayon Hayes164200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Will Lee III4210010
Cashius Howell409487
Jordan Shaw374016