New Mexico State at Tennessee Game Matchup
New Mexico State logo New Mexico State Aggies at Tennessee VolunteersTennessee logo
Saturday, November 15th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Neyland Stadium - Knoxville, TN

 
Aggies (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Tony Sanchez (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 22 - 36 (13 - 38 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.5 - 6.5 (#58)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 9)
TENN coming off BYE
Our Line: Tennessee -42    (SP+ -36)
PPG only: NMSU: 19 - TENN: 36 (55)
NMSU Win prob: 49% | Cover: 49%
NMSU Travel: 1326 miles, 2 hrs behind
Volunteers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Josh Heupel (37 - 14)
Avg Score : 36 - 16 (43 - 10 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.3 - 2.7 (#12)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 3) (Good: 3) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 3)
 
New Mexico State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/30 New Mexico State vs Bryant
Sat 9/6 New Mexico State vs Tulsa
Sat 9/13 New Mexico State at Louisiana Tech
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 New Mexico State at New Mexico
Thu 10/2 New Mexico State vs Sam Houston
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/14 New Mexico State at Liberty
Wed 10/22 New Mexico State vs Missouri State
Sat 11/1 New Mexico State at Western Kentucky
Sat 11/8 New Mexico State vs Kennesaw State
Sat 11/15 New Mexico State at Tennessee
Sat 11/22 New Mexico State at UTEP
Sat 11/29 New Mexico State vs Middle Tennessee
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 8
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Tennessee's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/30 Tennessee vs Syracuse
Sat 9/6 Tennessee vs East Tennessee State
Sat 9/13 Tennessee vs Georgia
Sat 9/20 Tennessee vs UAB
Sat 9/27 Tennessee at Mississippi State
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Tennessee vs Arkansas
Sat 10/18 Tennessee at Alabama
Sat 10/25 Tennessee at Kentucky
Sat 11/1 Tennessee vs Oklahoma
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Tennessee vs New Mexico State
Sat 11/22 Tennessee at Florida
Sat 11/29 Tennessee vs Vanderbilt
Total: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

NMSU's OC Tyler Wright vs TENN's DC Tim Banks     TENN's OC Joey Halzle vs NMSU's DC Joe Morris

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NMSU#119 (.08)39% (106)21.646% (41)3.33 (21)17930% (132)1433.8 (82)#115 (.26)41% (65)36.343% (69)40% (68)3.7 (60)48.11.90.8
TENN#47 (.23)47% (18)35.748% (24)3.4 (13)22747% (20)2214.02 (56)#13 (.07)38% (16)16.136% (9)39% (48)3.03 (10)66.81.21.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NMSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TENN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NMSU Offense1221.612.639.3%3.81.9193221791434.458%42%46%30%18%.08
TENN Defense1316.19.937.6%3.031.6 - - - - - 48%51%36%39%21%.07
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NMSU Defense1236.338.441.3%3.70.8 - - - - - 50%50%43%40%12%.26
TENN Offense1335.743.447.4%4.021.2234482272215.157%43%48%47%12%.23

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
New Mexico State1229:2619.338%38%5.448.11.90.83.81.2127
Tennessee1329:3523.347%61%8.166.81.21.67.22.2231.6
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NMSU Offense1258% (20)46% (41)41.3179.34.416 (90).11 (82)3.33 (21)77% (37)11% (103)0.98 (62)
TENN Defense1348% (43)36% (9) - - - - .01 (17)2.61 (17)62% (15)14% (6)0.98 (65)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NMSU Defense1250% (55)43% (69) - - - - .18 (98)3.17 (92)58% (5)7% (134)1.04 (95)
TENN Offense1357% (23)48% (24)44.7226.85.134 (10).18 (39)3.4 (13)86% (2)8% (33)0.87 (115)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NMSU Offense1242% (116)30% (132)11.826.7143.25.412.212 (118)12 (85).05 (128)1.8 (17)33% (100)30% (88).13 (131)7% (104)1.7 (132)
TENN Defense1351% (88)39% (48) - - - - - - 12 (39).16 (32)1.5 (39)33% (47)31% (74).33 (80)7% (39)2 (43)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NMSU Defense1250% (75)40% (68) - - - - - - 9 (76).36 (118)1.9 (132)31% (80)29% (40).42 (107)6% (79)2.3 (126)
TENN Offense1343% (111)47% (20)18.228.7221.27.712.221 (51)7 (26).29 (52)1.5 (113)29% (25)34% (41).38 (52)4% (13)1.9 (115)

New Mexico State's Power Ratings
New Mexico State's Power Rating: -18.11 #119
New Mexico State's Offense Rating: 4.84 #115
New Mexico State's Defense Rating: 22.95 #114
2025 Talent Rating: 264.00 #125
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #47
New Mexico State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.5 - 6.5
New Mexico State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.9 #118
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #106
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.2 #119

New Mexico State's SP+ Ratings
New Mexico State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.9 #118
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #106
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.2 #119

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 371.82
Average Power Five Talent: 862.84
Average FBS Talent: 688.93

Power Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State: -18.11   Tennessee: 23.98

SP+ Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State: -14.9   Tennessee: 21.3




Tennessee's Power Ratings
Tennessee's Power Rating: 23.98 #14
Tennessee's Offense Rating: 22.68 #23
Tennessee's Defense Rating: 0.70 #16
2025 Talent Rating: 952.00 #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 40 #17
Tennessee's 2025 Expected Record: 9.3 - 2.7

Tennessee's SP+ Ratings
Tennessee's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 21.3 #8
Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.6 #22
Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 12.3 #4

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 945.13
Average Power Five Talent: 862.84
Average FBS Talent: 688.93


New Mexico State Scoring
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 12.6
Defense: 36.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.4

New Mexico State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Tennessee 36
New Mexico State 19

Projected Total Points: 55
Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 35.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.4
Defense: 16.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 9.9

Tennessee's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Tennessee000 Overs
New Mexico State000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#119) New Mexico State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -18.11 #119
Offense Rating: 4.84 #115
Defense Rating: 22.95 #114
Overall SP+ Rating: -14.9 #118
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #106
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.2 #119
Talent Rating: 264.00 #125
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #47
Expected Record: 5.5 - 6.5

New Mexico State     Ratings Matchup     Tennessee
Power #119
#14
Off #115
#23
Def #114
#16
Talent #125
#17
SP+ #118
#8
SP+ Off #106
#22
SP+ Def #119
#4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Neyland Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: NMSU | TENN
Depth Chart: NMSU | TENN
Rosters: NMSU | TENN
(#14) Tennessee Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 23.98 #14
Offense Rating: 22.68 #23
Defense Rating: 0.70 #16
Overall SP+ Rating: 21.3 #8
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.6 #22
Defense SP+ Rating: 12.3 #4
Talent Rating: 952.00 #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 40 #17
Expected Record: 9.3 - 2.7





  
New Mexico State's OC Tyler Wright
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Parker Awad7415947%1079746.8
Santino Marucci4911244%519354.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Seth McGowan15381335.338
Santino Marucci3713113.538
Larenzo McMillan7111115.984
Parker Awad6010911.825
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
TJ Pride34374211.053
Glynn Johnson Jr19346218.254
Seth McGowan23277312.043
Tyler King17236013.936
Tennessee's OC Joey Halzle
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Nico Iamaleava21333464%26161957.8
Jake Merklinger6967%48005.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Star Thomas21387174.144
DeSean Bishop7445536.153
Nico Iamaleava10936433.331
Peyton Lewis6433935.335
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chris Brazzell II29333211.553
Miles Kitselman22301413.731
Star Thomas2015317.729
Ethan Davis1310027.718

New Mexico State's DC Joe Morris
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyler Martinez943101
Da'Marcus Crosby812003
Sone Aupiu554025
Dakerric Hobbs363016
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyler Martinez943101
Malaki Ta'ase332152
Justin Beadles204110
Gabe Peterson61100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dakerric Hobbs363016
Sone Aupiu554025
Nicolas Sessions301003
Tennessee's DC Tim Banks
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Arion Carter687036
Jermod McCoy441007
Jeremiah Telander434111
Joshua Josephs399283
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaxson Moi165201
Dominic Bailey254250
Tyre West165220
Joshua Josephs399283
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jermod McCoy441007
Arion Carter687036
Jalen Mcmurray140004