Buffalo at Minnesota Game Matchup
Buffalo logo Buffalo Bulls at Minnesota Golden GophersMinnesota logo
Thursday, August 28th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Huntington Bank Stadium - Minneapolis, MN

 
Bulls (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Pete Lembo (8 - 4)
Avg Score : 29 - 26 (20 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 0.5 - 1.5 (#101)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Our Line: Minnesota -25    (SP+ -16)
PPG only: BUFF: 23 - MINN: 26 (49)
BUFF Win prob: 49% | Cover: 49%
BUFF Travel: 730 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Golden Gophers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach P. J. Fleck (57 - 39)
Avg Score : 26 - 17 (29 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 4 (#24)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 3) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 3)
 
Buffalo's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Thu 8/28 Buffalo at Minnesota
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Buffalo vs UConn
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Minnesota's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Thu 8/28 Minnesota vs Buffalo
Sat 9/6 Minnesota vs Northwestern State
Sat 9/13 Minnesota at California
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Minnesota vs Rutgers
Sat 10/4 Minnesota at Ohio State
Sat 10/11 Minnesota vs Purdue
Sat 10/18 Minnesota vs Nebraska
Sat 10/25 Minnesota at Iowa
Sat 11/1 Minnesota vs Michigan State
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Minnesota at Oregon
Sat 11/22 Minnesota vs Northwestern
Sat 11/29 Minnesota vs Wisconsin
Total: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 0, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 0, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

BUFF's OC Dave Patenaude vs MINN's DC Corey Hetherman     MINN's OC Greg Harbaugh Jr. vs BUFF's DC Joe Bowen

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BUFF#77 (.17)40% (104)28.838% (115)2.7 (117)15342% (70)1764.22 (40)#73 (.17)43% (82)26.443% (71)43% (97)3.84 (74)39.311.5
MINN#64 (.2)45% (39)26.244% (63)2.7 (119)10346% (30)2044.38 (27)#16 (.08)39% (35)16.936% (8)42% (80)3.32 (25)35.60.81.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BUFF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MINN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BUFF Offense1328.82039.6%4.221173291531764.255%45%38%42%17%.17
MINN Defense1316.916.638.9%3.321.5 - - - - - 50%50%36%42%19%.08
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BUFF Defense1326.433.742.8%3.841.5 - - - - - 46%53%43%43%18%.17
MINN Offense1326.22944.9%4.380.8193071032043.744%56%44%46%16%.2

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Buffalo1326:2017.234%52%439.311.56.32.2231.2
Minnesota1329:1318.545%90%4.535.60.81.54.41.8228.6
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BUFF Offense1355% (36)38% (115)36.2153.34.223 (52).08 (96)2.7 (117)61% (122)10% (84)1.11 (17)
MINN Defense1350% (63)36% (8) - - - - .02 (19)2.71 (22)74% (68)9% (90)0.95 (50)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BUFF Defense1346% (21)43% (71) - - - - .08 (46)3.01 (68)63% (16)12% (35)0.94 (44)
MINN Offense1344% (111)44% (63)28.2102.93.717 (84).11 (81)2.7 (119)73% (69)10% (80)0.88 (113)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BUFF Offense1345% (99)42% (70)14.225.2175.8712.419 (65)6 (10).29 (48)1.5 (80)33% (97)31% (76).34 (67)6% (88)1.9 (106)
MINN Defense1350% (71)42% (80) - - - - - - 16 (10).15 (28)1.3 (6)33% (43)26% (16).15 (10)10% (1)1.8 (19)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BUFF Defense1353% (109)43% (97) - - - - - - 12 (39).28 (91)1.7 (97)32% (59)29% (38).18 (18)7% (38)2.2 (100)
MINN Offense1356% (25)46% (30)19.529.2204.1710.518 (68)5 (6).27 (59)1.4 (129)30% (46)31% (82).32 (77)6% (70)2 (75)

Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: -8.75 #96
Buffalo's Offense Rating: 7.51 #99
Buffalo's Defense Rating: 16.26 #83
2025 Talent Rating: 552.00 #94
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Buffalo's 2025 Expected Record: 0.5 - 1.5
Buffalo's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.9 #96
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #102
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.6 #83

Buffalo's SP+ Ratings
Buffalo's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.9 #96
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #102
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.6 #83

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 544.83
Average Power Five Talent: 862.84
Average FBS Talent: 688.93

Power Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: -8.75   Minnesota: 16.01

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: -7.9   Minnesota: 7.9




Minnesota's Power Ratings
Minnesota's Power Rating: 16.01 #26
Minnesota's Offense Rating: 19.09 #41
Minnesota's Defense Rating: 5.08 #25
2025 Talent Rating: 884.00 #23
Blue Chip Ratio: 9 #39
Minnesota's 2025 Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0

Minnesota's SP+ Ratings
Minnesota's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.9 #37
Minnesota's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.4 #97
Minnesota's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.5 #11

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 903.22
Average Power Five Talent: 862.84
Average FBS Talent: 688.93


Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 20
Defense: 26.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.7

Buffalo's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Minnesota 26.3
Buffalo 22.9

Projected Total Points: 49
Minnesota Scoring
Offense: 26.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 16.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.6

Minnesota's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201708/31Minnesota17Buffalo7MinnesotaMinnesota -23Buffalo51.0Under
200209/21Minnesota41Buffalo17Minnesota
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Minnesota200 Overs
Buffalo011 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 21 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#96) Buffalo Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -8.75 #96
Offense Rating: 7.51 #99
Defense Rating: 16.26 #83
Overall SP+ Rating: -7.9 #96
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #102
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.6 #83
Talent Rating: 552.00 #94
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 0.5 - 1.5

Buffalo     Ratings Matchup     Minnesota
Power #96
#26
Off #99
#41
Def #83
#25
Talent #94
#23
SP+ #96
#37
SP+ Off #102
#97
SP+ Def #83
#11

Weather Forecast
Playing in Huntington Bank Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: BUFF | MINN
Depth Chart: BUFF | MINN
Rosters: BUFF | MINN
(#26) Minnesota Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 16.01 #26
Offense Rating: 19.09 #41
Defense Rating: 5.08 #25
Overall SP+ Rating: 7.9 #37
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.4 #97
Defense SP+ Rating: 15.5 #11
Talent Rating: 884.00 #23
Blue Chip Ratio: 9 #39
Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0





  
Buffalo's OC Dave Patenaude
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Gunnar Gray41136%41013.7
Ta'Quan Roberson3743%18002.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Al-Jay Henderson204107895.368
Messiah Burch2915325.331
Lamar Sperling3915013.822
Terrance Shelton Jr.238803.817
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Victor Snow55651611.846
Al-Jay Henderson19238112.575
Messiah Burch999011.030
Nik McMillan576115.231
Minnesota's OC Greg Harbaugh Jr.
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Zach Pyron356554%409236.3
Drake Lindsey4580%501010.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Darius Taylor205986104.880
A.J. Turner10486468.388
Cameron Davis4419004.320
Zach Pyron3611543.220
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Javon Tracy57818714.472
Darius Taylor5435026.522
Logan Loya29348412.029
Jameson Geers27286410.623

Buffalo's DC Joe Bowen
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Khalil Murdock15617241
Solomon Brown662006
Dion Crawford5815942
Marquis Cooper553018
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kobe Stewart40121032
Dion Crawford5815942
Khalil Murdock15617241
Malin White213240
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marquis Cooper553018
Solomon Brown662006
Eddie Pleasant III110005
Minnesota's DC Corey Hetherman
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Maverick Baranowski655112
Kerry Brown633004
Jeff Roberson589370
Koi Perich463012
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Anthony Smith27126101
Jeff Roberson589370
Deven Eastern275222
Maverick Baranowski655112
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Za'Quan Bryan191005
Jalen Logan-Redding272054
Kerry Brown633004