Missouri State at USC Game Matchup
Missouri State logo Missouri State Bears at USC TrojansUSC logo
Saturday, August 30th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum - Los Angeles, CA

 
Bears (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Ryan Beard (12 - 11)
Avg Score : 34 - 42 (34 - 42 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2.2 - 8.8 (#81)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
Our Line: USC -41.5    (SP+ -26)
PPG only: MOST: 29 - USC: 36 (65)
MOST Win prob: 49% | Cover: 49%
MOST Travel: 1418 miles, 2 hrs ahead
Trojans (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Lincoln Riley (25 - 14)
Avg Score : 30 - 24 (37 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.2 - 4.8 (#36)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 3) (Good: 3) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 4)
 
Missouri State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/30 Missouri State at USC
Sat 9/6 Missouri State at Marshall
Sat 9/13 Missouri State vs SMU
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Missouri State vs Western Kentucky
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/8 Missouri State at Middle Tennessee
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/22 Missouri State at New Mexico State
Wed 10/29 Missouri State vs Florida International
Sat 11/8 Missouri State at Liberty
Sat 11/15 Missouri State vs UTEP
Sat 11/22 Missouri State at Kennesaw State
Sat 11/29 Missouri State vs Louisiana Tech
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 8
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
USC's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/30 USC vs Missouri State
Sat 9/6 USC vs Georgia Southern
Sat 9/13 USC at Purdue
Sat 9/20 USC vs Michigan State
Sat 9/27 USC at Illinois
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 USC vs Michigan
Sat 10/18 USC at Notre Dame
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 USC at Nebraska
Sat 11/8 USC vs Northwestern
Sat 11/15 USC vs Iowa
Sat 11/22 USC at Oregon
Sat 11/29 USC vs UCLA
Total: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

MOST's OC Nick Petrino vs USC's DC D'Anton Lynn     USC's OC Josh Henson vs MOST's DC L.D. Scott

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MOST0%340%000%000%420%0%0000
USC#42 (.24)48% (11)30.252% (10)3.49 (9)13846% (27)2693.76 (84)#77 (.18)44% (94)24.144% (78)44% (103)3.64 (49)461.41.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MOST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
USC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MOST Offense134340%00000000%0%0%0%0%
USC Defense1324.123.843.8%3.641.2 - - - - - 46%53%44%44%14%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MOST Defense142420%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
USC Offense1330.236.848.4%3.761.4214081382695.540%60%52%46%18%.24

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Missouri State10:000NAN%0%0000000100
USC1328:1221.345%47%5.3461.41.23.91.5133.7
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MOST Offense10%0%000000%0%0
USC Defense1346% (22)44% (78) - - - - .18 (96)3.17 (91)76% (82)7% (127)1 (77)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MOST Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
USC Offense1340% (126)52% (10)25.2138.45.519 (73).23 (21)3.49 (9)85% (6)8% (26)0.89 (106)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MOST Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
USC Defense1353% (113)44% (103) - - - - - - 10 (66).2 (49)1.3 (4)28% (122)27% (27).14 (6)7% (43)1.8 (8)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MOST Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
USC Offense1360% (9)46% (27)24.138269.27.111.225 (31)12 (85).25 (74)1.5 (108)29% (24)36% (18).4 (37)10% (134)2 (74)

Missouri State's Power Ratings
Missouri State's Power Rating: -26.94 #134
Missouri State's Offense Rating: 4.77 #116
Missouri State's Defense Rating: 31.71 #134
2025 Talent Rating: 164.00 #129
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Missouri State's 2025 Expected Record: 2.2 - 8.8
Missouri State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.6 #123
Missouri State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #72
Missouri State's Defense SP+ Rating: 43.2 #134

Missouri State's SP+ Ratings
Missouri State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.6 #123
Missouri State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #72
Missouri State's Defense SP+ Rating: 43.2 #134

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 371.82
Average Power Five Talent: 862.84
Average FBS Talent: 688.93

Power Ratings Matchup
Missouri State: -26.94   USC: 14.69

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Missouri State: -16.6   USC: 9.7




USC's Power Ratings
USC's Power Rating: 14.69 #28
USC's Offense Rating: 21.58 #31
USC's Defense Rating: 8.89 #40
2025 Talent Rating: 876.00 #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 40 #17
USC's 2025 Expected Record: 7.2 - 4.8

USC's SP+ Ratings
USC's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.7 #30
USC's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.4 #14
USC's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #52

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 903.22
Average Power Five Talent: 862.84
Average FBS Talent: 688.93


Missouri State Scoring
Offense: 34 PPG
Offense on Road: 34
Defense: 42 PPG
Defense on Road: 42

Missouri State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
USC 36.1
Missouri State 29.1

Projected Total Points: 65
USC Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.8
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.8

USC's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
TeamWinsCoversO/U
USC000 Overs
Missouri State000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#134) Missouri State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -26.94 #134
Offense Rating: 4.77 #116
Defense Rating: 31.71 #134
Overall SP+ Rating: -16.6 #123
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #72
Defense SP+ Rating: 43.2 #134
Talent Rating: 164.00 #129
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 2.2 - 8.8

Missouri State     Ratings Matchup     USC
Power #134
#28
Off #116
#31
Def #134
#40
Talent #129
#27
SP+ #123
#30
SP+ Off #72
#14
SP+ Def #134
#52

Weather Forecast
Playing in Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: MOST | USC
Depth Chart: MOST | USC
Rosters: MOST | USC
(#28) USC Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 14.69 #28
Offense Rating: 21.58 #31
Defense Rating: 8.89 #40
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.7 #30
Offense SP+ Rating: 35.4 #14
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #52
Talent Rating: 876.00 #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 40 #17
Expected Record: 7.2 - 4.8





  
Missouri State's OC Nick Petrino
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jacob Clark25736970%35482669.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Shomari Lawrence4717713.815
Iverson Young85907.428
Jmariyae Robinson84735.923
Reggie Branch61803.010
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jmariyae Robinson38585415.444
Lance Mason32569617.882
James BlackStrain23353315.337
Alred Luke14194213.932
USC's OC Josh Henson
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jayden Maiava10116960%12011167.1
Makai Lemon11100%390039.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Eli Sanders147106497.275
Bryan Jackson3618815.223
A'Marion Peterson166514.114
Jayden Maiava204542.313
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Makai Lemon52764314.770
Ja'Kobi Lane435251212.233
Prince Strachan25304112.237
Lake McRee24245010.234

Missouri State's DC L.D. Scott
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Todric McGee161000
Michael Teason62000
Kanye Young53200
Dylan Simmons31002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kanye Young53200
Todric McGee161000
Michael Teason62000
Dylan Simmons31002
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dylan Simmons31002
Ryan Williams20001
Todric McGee161000
USC's DC D'Anton Lynn
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kamari Ramsey606215
D.J. Harvey587206
Bishop Fitzgerald557028
Eric Gentry337201
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Braylan Shelby285321
Kamari Ramsey606215
D.J. Harvey587206
Kameryn Fountain195210
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bishop Fitzgerald557028
D.J. Harvey587206
Kamari Ramsey606215