Illinois at Duke Game Matchup
Illinois logo Illinois Fighting Illini at Duke Blue DevilsDuke logo
Saturday, September 6th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Wallace Wade Stadium - Durham, NC

 
Fighting Illini (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Bret Bielema (27 - 22)
Avg Score : 28 - 22 (21 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 3.5 (#19)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 6) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 5)
DUKE 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Illinois -5.5    (SP+ -4.5)
PPG only: ILL: 26 - DUKE: 24 (50)
ILL Win prob: 49% | Cover: 49%
ILL Travel: 579 miles, 1 hrs behind
Blue Devils (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Manny Diaz (9 - 3)
Avg Score : 26 - 25 (26 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 4.7 (#34)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 7) (Bad: 3)
 
Illinois's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/30 Illinois vs Western Illinois
Sat 9/6 Illinois at Duke
Sat 9/13 Illinois vs Western Michigan
Sat 9/20 Illinois at Indiana
Sat 9/27 Illinois vs USC
Sat 10/4 Illinois at Purdue
Sat 10/11 Illinois vs Ohio State
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Illinois at Washington
Sat 11/1 Illinois vs Rutgers
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Illinois vs Maryland
Sat 11/22 Illinois at Wisconsin
Sat 11/29 Illinois vs Northwestern
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Duke's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/30 Duke vs Elon
Sat 9/6 Duke vs Illinois
Sat 9/13 Duke at Tulane
Sat 9/20 Duke vs NC State
Sat 9/27 Duke at Syracuse
Sat 10/4 Duke at California
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Duke vs Georgia Tech
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Duke at Clemson
Sat 11/8 Duke at UConn
Sat 11/15 Duke vs Virginia
Sat 11/22 Duke at North Carolina
Sat 11/29 Duke vs Wake Forest
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 7, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 7, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

ILL's OC Barry Lunney Jr. vs DUKE's DC Jonathan Patke     DUKE's OC Jonathan Brewer vs ILL's DC Aaron Henry

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ILL#25 (.25)45% (55)28.345% (66)3.14 (51)14044% (41)1984.23 (37)#79 (.18)46% (116)21.750% (129)43% (88)3.48 (41)390.91.5
DUKE#109 (.12)39% (116)26.335% (129)2.47 (131)8942% (69)2263.7 (90)#9 (.06)38% (15)24.541% (52)34% (5)3.19 (17)48.91.42
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ILL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
DUKE0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ILL Offense1328.321.344.6%4.230.9193381401984.453%47%45%44%18%.25
DUKE Defense1324.519.337.6%3.192 - - - - - 52%48%41%34%23%.06
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ILL Defense1321.728.546.3%3.481.5 - - - - - 48%52%50%43%13%.18
DUKE Offense1326.325.738.6%3.71.416315892263.344%56%35%42%19%.12

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Illinois1326:5218.744%50%5.1390.91.53.82.2130.2
Duke1325:0516.329%38%5.148.91.428.53.2131.2
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ILL Offense1353% (53)45% (66)31.81404.420 (67).13 (57)3.14 (51)81% (22)11% (118)0.91 (57)
DUKE Defense1352% (83)41% (52) - - - - .06 (35)2.74 (29)59% (6)15% (2)0.91 (38)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ILL Defense1348% (37)50% (129) - - - - .19 (113)3.57 (133)75% (74)8% (119)0.8 (5)
DUKE Offense1344% (110)35% (129)27.589.23.313 (105)-.07 (133)2.47 (131)78% (32)10% (78)0.74 (131)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ILL Offense1347% (82)44% (41)15.425.5197.87.812.921 (51)5 (6).38 (17)1.8 (15)31% (73)31% (77).42 (25)6% (94)2.3 (3)
DUKE Defense1348% (51)34% (5) - - - - - - 12 (39).06 (7)1.5 (40)34% (35)29% (39).27 (52)7% (29)2.1 (69)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ILL Defense1352% (98)43% (88) - - - - - - 12 (39).19 (44)1.4 (19)28% (120)34% (113).37 (103)6% (68)1.9 (45)
DUKE Offense1356% (24)42% (69)19.632.5226.1711.526 (26)12 (85).28 (56)1.6 (56)32% (74)29% (98).3 (83)9% (129)2 (78)

Illinois's Power Ratings
Illinois's Power Rating: 14.56 #23
Illinois's Offense Rating: 24.66 #13
Illinois's Defense Rating: 10.10 #47
2025 Talent Rating: 834.00 #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 9% #39
Illinois's 2025 Expected Record: 8.5 - 3.5
Illinois's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.2 #25
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.5 #37
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.3 #23

Illinois's SP+ Ratings
Illinois's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.2 #25
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.5 #37
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.3 #23

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 903.22
Average Power Five Talent: 862.84
Average FBS Talent: 688.93

Power Ratings Matchup
Illinois: 14.56   Duke: 8.98

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Illinois: 11.2   Duke: 6.5




Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: 8.98 #48
Duke's Offense Rating: 12.76 #79
Duke's Defense Rating: 5.78 #28
2025 Talent Rating: 822.00 #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 5 #54
Duke's 2025 Expected Record: 7.3 - 4.7

Duke's SP+ Ratings
Duke's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.5 #39
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #60
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #30

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 825.88
Average Power Five Talent: 862.84
Average FBS Talent: 688.93


Illinois Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.3
Defense: 21.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.5

Illinois's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Illinois 26
Duke 24

Projected Total Points: 50
Duke Scoring
Offense: 26.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.7
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.3

Duke's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Duke000 Overs
Illinois000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#23) Illinois Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 14.56 #23
Offense Rating: 24.66 #13
Defense Rating: 10.10 #47
Overall SP+ Rating: 11.2 #25
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.5 #37
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.3 #23
Talent Rating: 834.00 #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 9% #39
Expected Record: 8.5 - 3.5

Illinois     Ratings Matchup     Duke
Power #23
#48
Off #13
#79
Def #47
#28
Talent #35
#40
SP+ #25
#39
SP+ Off #37
#60
SP+ Def #23
#30

Weather Forecast
Playing in Wallace Wade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: ILL | DUKE
Depth Chart: ILL | DUKE
Rosters: ILL | DUKE
(#48) Duke Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 8.98 #48
Offense Rating: 12.76 #79
Defense Rating: 5.78 #28
Overall SP+ Rating: 6.5 #39
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #60
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #30
Talent Rating: 822.00 #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 5 #54
Expected Record: 7.3 - 4.7





  
Illinois's OC Barry Lunney Jr.
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Luke Altmyer21134761%27172267.8
Ethan Hampton14324558%16081266.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Joshua McCray117609105.260
Aidan Laughery9758946.164
Kaden Feagin6730634.634
Luke Altmyer9921742.237
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Hudson Clement51741514.544
Justin Bowick20383319.257
Hank Beatty20294114.759
Collin Dixon18264014.741
Duke's OC Jonathan Brewer
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Darian Mensah17226266%25142059.6
Henry Belin IV264558%243215.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Peyton Jones8231733.927
Anderson Castle5024614.921
Darian Mensah509111.822
Jaquez Moore328612.718
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Que'Sean Brown41445210.943
Sahmir Hagans4741338.865
Peyton Jones894111.840
Anderson Castle138806.820

Illinois's DC Aaron Henry
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matthew Bailey942005
Gabe Jacas7113890
Dylan Rosiek613201
Miles Scott540004
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Gabe Jacas7113890
Alec Bryant222212
Malachi Hood142201
Kenenna Odeluga72200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xavier Scott492106
Matthew Bailey942005
Jaheim Clarke341015
Duke's DC Jonathan Patke
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Caleb Weaver863016
Terry Moore717105
Tre Freeman674132
DaShawn Stone540011
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Wesley Williams4713792
Vincent Anthony25105133
Aaron Hall439462
Tyshon Reed52110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chandler Rivers548138
Caleb Weaver863016
Terry Moore717105