USC at Illinois Game Matchup
USC logo USC Trojans at Illinois Fighting IlliniIllinois logo
Saturday, September 27th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Memorial Stadium - Champaign, IL  (Big Ten)

 
Trojans (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Lincoln Riley (25 - 14)
Avg Score : 30 - 24 (22 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.2 - 4.8 (#36)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 3) (Good: 3) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 4)
Our Line: Illinois -4    (SP+ -2)
PPG only: USC: 26 - ILL: 26 (52)
USC Win prob: 49% | Cover: 49%
USC Travel: 1701 miles, 2 hrs behind
Fighting Illini (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Bret Bielema (27 - 22)
Avg Score : 28 - 22 (32 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 3.5 (#19)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 6) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 5)
 
USC's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/30 USC vs Missouri State
Sat 9/6 USC vs Georgia Southern
Sat 9/13 USC at Purdue
Sat 9/20 USC vs Michigan State
Sat 9/27 USC at Illinois
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 USC vs Michigan
Sat 10/18 USC at Notre Dame
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 USC at Nebraska
Sat 11/8 USC vs Northwestern
Sat 11/15 USC vs Iowa
Sat 11/22 USC at Oregon
Sat 11/29 USC vs UCLA
Total: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Illinois's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/30 Illinois vs Western Illinois
Sat 9/6 Illinois at Duke
Sat 9/13 Illinois vs Western Michigan
Sat 9/20 Illinois at Indiana
Sat 9/27 Illinois vs USC
Sat 10/4 Illinois at Purdue
Sat 10/11 Illinois vs Ohio State
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Illinois at Washington
Sat 11/1 Illinois vs Rutgers
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Illinois vs Maryland
Sat 11/22 Illinois at Wisconsin
Sat 11/29 Illinois vs Northwestern
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

USC's OC Josh Henson vs ILL's DC Aaron Henry     ILL's OC Barry Lunney Jr. vs USC's DC D'Anton Lynn

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USC#42 (.24)48% (11)30.252% (10)3.49 (9)13846% (27)2693.76 (84)#77 (.18)44% (94)24.144% (78)44% (103)3.64 (49)461.41.2
ILL#25 (.25)45% (55)28.345% (66)3.14 (51)14044% (41)1984.23 (37)#79 (.18)46% (116)21.750% (129)43% (88)3.48 (41)390.91.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ILL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USC Offense1330.221.848.4%3.761.4214081382695.540%60%52%46%18%.24
ILL Defense1321.717.646.3%3.481.5 - - - - - 48%52%50%43%13%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USC Defense1324.123.843.8%3.641.2 - - - - - 46%53%44%44%14%.18
ILL Offense1328.33244.6%4.230.9193381401984.453%47%45%44%18%.25

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
USC1328:1221.345%47%5.3461.41.23.91.5133.7
Illinois1326:5218.744%50%5.1390.91.53.82.2130.2
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USC Offense1340% (126)52% (10)25.2138.45.519 (73).23 (21)3.49 (9)85% (6)8% (26)0.89 (106)
ILL Defense1348% (37)50% (129) - - - - .19 (113)3.57 (133)75% (74)8% (119)0.8 (5)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USC Defense1346% (22)44% (78) - - - - .18 (96)3.17 (91)76% (82)7% (127)1 (77)
ILL Offense1353% (53)45% (66)31.81404.420 (67).13 (57)3.14 (51)81% (22)11% (118)0.91 (57)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USC Offense1360% (9)46% (27)24.138269.27.111.225 (31)12 (85).25 (74)1.5 (108)29% (24)36% (18).4 (37)10% (134)2 (74)
ILL Defense1352% (98)43% (88) - - - - - - 12 (39).19 (44)1.4 (19)28% (120)34% (113).37 (103)6% (68)1.9 (45)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USC Defense1353% (113)44% (103) - - - - - - 10 (66).2 (49)1.3 (4)28% (122)27% (27).14 (6)7% (43)1.8 (8)
ILL Offense1347% (82)44% (41)15.425.5197.87.812.921 (51)5 (6).38 (17)1.8 (15)31% (73)31% (77).42 (25)6% (94)2.3 (3)

USC's Power Ratings
USC's Power Rating: 12.69 #28
USC's Offense Rating: 21.58 #31
USC's Defense Rating: 8.89 #40
2025 Talent Rating: 876.00 #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 40% #17
USC's 2025 Expected Record: 7.2 - 4.8
USC's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.7 #30
USC's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.4 #14
USC's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #52

USC's SP+ Ratings
USC's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.7 #30
USC's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.4 #14
USC's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #52

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 903.22
Average Power Five Talent: 862.84
Average FBS Talent: 688.93

Power Ratings Matchup
USC: 12.69   Illinois: 16.56

SP+ Ratings Matchup
USC: 9.7   Illinois: 11.2




Illinois's Power Ratings
Illinois's Power Rating: 16.56 #23
Illinois's Offense Rating: 24.66 #13
Illinois's Defense Rating: 10.10 #47
2025 Talent Rating: 834.00 #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 9 #39
Illinois's 2025 Expected Record: 8.5 - 3.5

Illinois's SP+ Ratings
Illinois's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.2 #25
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.5 #37
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.3 #23

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 903.22
Average Power Five Talent: 862.84
Average FBS Talent: 688.93


USC Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.8
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.8

USC's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
USC 26
Illinois 26

Projected Total Points: 52
Illinois Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 32
Defense: 21.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.6

Illinois's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
200701/01USC49Illinois17USC
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Illinois000 Overs
USC100 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#28) USC Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 12.69 #28
Offense Rating: 21.58 #31
Defense Rating: 8.89 #40
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.7 #30
Offense SP+ Rating: 35.4 #14
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #52
Talent Rating: 876.00 #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 40% #17
Expected Record: 7.2 - 4.8

USC     Ratings Matchup     Illinois
Power #28
#23
Off #31
#13
Def #40
#47
Talent #27
#35
SP+ #30
#25
SP+ Off #14
#37
SP+ Def #52
#23

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: USC | ILL
Depth Chart: USC | ILL
Rosters: USC | ILL
(#23) Illinois Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 16.56 #23
Offense Rating: 24.66 #13
Defense Rating: 10.10 #47
Overall SP+ Rating: 11.2 #25
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.5 #37
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.3 #23
Talent Rating: 834.00 #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 9 #39
Expected Record: 8.5 - 3.5





  
USC's OC Josh Henson
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jayden Maiava10116960%12011167.1
Makai Lemon11100%390039.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Eli Sanders147106497.275
Bryan Jackson3618815.223
A'Marion Peterson166514.114
Jayden Maiava204542.313
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Makai Lemon52764314.770
Ja'Kobi Lane435251212.233
Prince Strachan25304112.237
Lake McRee24245010.234
Illinois's OC Barry Lunney Jr.
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Luke Altmyer21134761%27172267.8
Ethan Hampton14324558%16081266.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Joshua McCray117609105.260
Aidan Laughery9758946.164
Kaden Feagin6730634.634
Luke Altmyer9921742.237
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Hudson Clement51741514.544
Justin Bowick20383319.257
Hank Beatty20294114.759
Collin Dixon18264014.741

USC's DC D'Anton Lynn
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kamari Ramsey606215
D.J. Harvey587206
Bishop Fitzgerald557028
Eric Gentry337201
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Braylan Shelby285321
Kamari Ramsey606215
D.J. Harvey587206
Kameryn Fountain195210
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bishop Fitzgerald557028
D.J. Harvey587206
Kamari Ramsey606215
Illinois's DC Aaron Henry
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matthew Bailey942005
Gabe Jacas7113890
Dylan Rosiek613201
Miles Scott540004
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Gabe Jacas7113890
Alec Bryant222212
Malachi Hood142201
Kenenna Odeluga72200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xavier Scott492106
Matthew Bailey942005
Jaheim Clarke341015