Oregon at Penn State Game Matchup
Oregon logo Oregon Ducks at Penn State Nittany LionsPenn State logo
Saturday, September 27th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Beaver Stadium - University Park, PA  (Big Ten)

 
Ducks (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Dan Lanning (35 - 5)
Avg Score : 35 - 19 (34 - 11 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.8 - 1.2 (#2)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 6) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
PSU coming off BYE
Our Line: Penn State -3    (SP+ -3)
PPG only: ORE: 26 - PSU: 26 (52)
ORE Win prob: 49% | Cover: 49%
ORE Travel: 2288 miles, 3 hrs behind
Nittany Lions (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach James Franklin (99 - 41)
Avg Score : 33 - 17 (34 - 11 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.6 - 1.4 (#4)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 5) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 4)
 
Oregon's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/30 Oregon vs Montana State
Sat 9/6 Oregon vs Oklahoma State
Sat 9/13 Oregon vs Northwestern
Sat 9/20 Oregon vs Oregon State
Sat 9/27 Oregon at Penn State
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Oregon vs Indiana
Sat 10/18 Oregon at Rutgers
Sat 10/25 Oregon vs Wisconsin
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Oregon at Iowa
Sat 11/15 Oregon vs Minnesota
Sat 11/22 Oregon vs USC
Sat 11/29 Oregon at Washington
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Penn State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/30 Penn State vs Nevada
Sat 9/6 Penn State vs Florida International
Sat 9/13 Penn State vs Villanova
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Penn State vs Oregon
Sat 10/4 Penn State at UCLA
Sat 10/11 Penn State vs Northwestern
Sat 10/18 Penn State at Iowa
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Penn State at Ohio State
Sat 11/8 Penn State vs Indiana
Sat 11/15 Penn State at Michigan State
Sat 11/22 Penn State vs Nebraska
Sat 11/29 Penn State at Rutgers
Total: Elite: 2, Good: 5, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 5, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

ORE's OC Will Stein vs PSU's DC Jim Knowles     PSU's OC Andy Kotelnicki vs ORE's DC Tosh Lupoi

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ORE#7 (.33)51% (5)34.951% (11)3.5 (8)16050% (6)2584.68 (10)#32 (.11)38% (17)19.442% (64)34% (2)3.68 (59)40.50.81.2
PSU#11 (.32)51% (4)33.152% (9)3.42 (10)17651% (4)2094.69 (9)#8 (.05)38% (20)16.539% (26)37% (25)3.22 (18)41.40.81.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ORE0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
PSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ORE Offense1434.934.450.8%4.680.8224181602584.851%49%51%50%9%.33
PSU Defense1616.51137.9%3.221.3 - - - - - 48%52%39%37%18%.05
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ORE Defense1419.411.437.7%3.681.2 - - - - - 48%51%42%34%20%.11
PSU Offense1633.133.551.3%4.690.8203851762095.354%46%52%51%10%.32

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Oregon1428:3822.149%65%5.140.50.81.25.62.7129.3
Penn State1626:5120.448%70%4.441.40.81.35.52.3428.9
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ORE Offense1451% (69)51% (11)33.4159.94.829 (18).24 (17)3.5 (8)81% (18)6% (4)0.89 (108)
PSU Defense1648% (44)39% (26) - - - - -.01 (11)2.37 (3)75% (74)12% (26)0.92 (42)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ORE Defense1448% (39)42% (64) - - - - .15 (83)3.14 (88)85% (127)12% (23)0.97 (63)
PSU Offense1654% (39)52% (9)33.2176.25.331 (17).24 (20)3.42 (10)76% (50)7% (8)0.92 (91)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ORE Offense1449% (66)50% (6)21.929.9258.18.711.828 (15)6 (10).44 (7)1.5 (83)27% (9)40% (2).59 (3)3% (3)2.1 (32)
PSU Defense1652% (95)37% (25) - - - - - - 15 (18).1 (16)1.7 (91)36% (14)27% (25).2 (29)6% (57)2.1 (95)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ORE Defense1451% (94)34% (2) - - - - - - 12 (39).09 (13)1.5 (50)37% (8)26% (15).17 (15)8% (5)1.9 (34)
PSU Offense1646% (94)51% (4)16.724.3208.88.612.527 (20)9 (48).41 (10)1.5 (107)26% (3)35% (31).46 (20)3% (5)2 (85)

Oregon's Power Ratings
Oregon's Power Rating: 29.98 #4
Oregon's Offense Rating: 30.70 #2
Oregon's Defense Rating: 0.72 #17
2025 Talent Rating: 1132.00 #3
Blue Chip Ratio: 60% #5
Oregon's 2025 Expected Record: 10.8 - 1.2
Oregon's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 22.6 #6
Oregon's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.5 #3
Oregon's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.9 #15

Oregon's SP+ Ratings
Oregon's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 22.6 #6
Oregon's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.5 #3
Oregon's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.9 #15

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 903.22
Average Power Five Talent: 862.84
Average FBS Talent: 688.93

Power Ratings Matchup
Oregon: 29.98   Penn State: 33.12

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oregon: 22.6   Penn State: 25.3




Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: 33.12 #2
Penn State's Offense Rating: 31.23 #1
Penn State's Defense Rating: 0.11 #14
2025 Talent Rating: 1152.00 #2
Blue Chip Ratio: 47 #12
Penn State's 2025 Expected Record: 10.6 - 1.4

Penn State's SP+ Ratings
Penn State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 25.3 #3
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.1 #4
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.8 #7

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 903.22
Average Power Five Talent: 862.84
Average FBS Talent: 688.93


Oregon Scoring
Offense: 34.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.4
Defense: 19.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 11.4

Oregon's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Oregon 26
Penn State 26

Projected Total Points: 52
Penn State Scoring
Offense: 33.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.5
Defense: 16.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 11

Penn State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202412/07Oregon45Penn State37OregonOregon -3.5Oregon51.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Penn State001 Overs
Oregon110 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#4) Oregon Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 29.98 #4
Offense Rating: 30.70 #2
Defense Rating: 0.72 #17
Overall SP+ Rating: 22.6 #6
Offense SP+ Rating: 39.5 #3
Defense SP+ Rating: 16.9 #15
Talent Rating: 1132.00 #3
Blue Chip Ratio: 60% #5
Expected Record: 10.8 - 1.2

Oregon     Ratings Matchup     Penn State
Power #4
#2
Off #2
#1
Def #17
#14
Talent #3
#2
SP+ #6
#3
SP+ Off #3
#4
SP+ Def #15
#7

Previous Matchups
Oregon beat Penn State last year (45-37)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Beaver Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: ORE | PSU
Depth Chart: ORE | PSU
Rosters: ORE | PSU
(#2) Penn State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 33.12 #2
Offense Rating: 31.23 #1
Defense Rating: 0.11 #14
Overall SP+ Rating: 25.3 #3
Offense SP+ Rating: 39.1 #4
Defense SP+ Rating: 13.8 #7
Talent Rating: 1152.00 #2
Blue Chip Ratio: 47 #12
Expected Record: 10.6 - 1.4





  
Oregon's OC Will Stein
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dante Moore7888%49006.1
Austin Novosad22100%7003.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Makhi Hughes2431306155.451
Noah Whittington11854064.628
Da'Jaun Riggs118217.524
Jayden Limar257102.811
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Evan Stewart48613512.869
Malik Benson25311112.467
Kenyon Sadiq24308212.839
Justius Lowe2120319.734
Penn State's OC Andy Kotelnicki
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Drew Allar26239467%33272488.4
Ethan Grunkemeyer1250%9014.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kaytron Allen220110885.032
Nicholas Singleton1721099126.458
Drew Allar9630263.122
Corey Smith2215206.978
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Devonte Ross7610441113.798
Kyron Ware-Hudson38462312.239
Nicholas Singleton4137559.127
Liam Clifford18286115.957

Oregon's DC Tosh Lupoi
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dillon Thieneman1045106
Bryce Boettcher877204
Kobe Savage573001
Teitum Tuioti538631
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matayo Uiagalelei3711961
Teitum Tuioti538631
Bryce Boettcher877204
Devon Jackson403212
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jadon Canady3830011
Theran Johnson5340010
Dillon Thieneman1045106
Penn State's DC Jim Knowles
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zakee Wheatley863104
Tony Rojas567254
Zane Durant4210341
A.J. Harris413005
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dani Dennis-Sutton4013993
Zane Durant4210341
Jordan Mayer22200
Tony Rojas567254
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elliot Washington II251006
A.J. Harris413005
Zakee Wheatley863104