Wisconsin at Michigan Game Matchup
Wisconsin logo Wisconsin Badgers at Michigan WolverinesMichigan logo
Saturday, October 4th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Michigan Stadium - Ann Arbor, MI  (Big Ten)

 
Badgers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Luke Fickell (13 - 13)
Avg Score : 23 - 23 (25 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.1 - 6.9 (#63)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 4) (Good: 5) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
WIS coming off BYE
MICH coming off BYE
Our Line: Michigan -17.5    (SP+ -12)
PPG only: WIS: 21 - MICH: 23 (44)
WIS Win prob: 49% | Cover: 49%
WIS Travel: 293 miles, 1 hrs behind
Wolverines (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Sherrone Moore (8 - 5)
Avg Score : 22 - 20 (27 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.8 - 2.2 (#7)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 4) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 3)
 
Wisconsin's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/30 Wisconsin vs Miami (OH)
Sat 9/6 Wisconsin vs Middle Tennessee
Sat 9/13 Wisconsin at Alabama
Sat 9/20 Wisconsin vs Maryland
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Wisconsin at Michigan
Sat 10/11 Wisconsin vs Iowa
Sat 10/18 Wisconsin vs Ohio State
Sat 10/25 Wisconsin at Oregon
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Wisconsin vs Washington
Sat 11/15 Wisconsin at Indiana
Sat 11/22 Wisconsin vs Illinois
Sat 11/29 Wisconsin at Minnesota
Total: Elite: 4, Good: 5, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 4, Good: 5, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Michigan's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/30 Michigan vs New Mexico
Sat 9/6 Michigan at Oklahoma
Sat 9/13 Michigan vs Central Michigan
Sat 9/20 Michigan at Nebraska
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Michigan vs Wisconsin
Sat 10/11 Michigan at USC
Sat 10/18 Michigan vs Washington
Sat 10/25 Michigan at Michigan State
Sat 11/1 Michigan vs Purdue
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Michigan vs Northwestern
Sat 11/22 Michigan at Maryland
Sat 11/29 Michigan vs Ohio State
Total: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

WIS's OC Jeff Grimes vs MICH's DC Don Martindale     MICH's OC Chip Lindsey vs WIS's DC Mike Tressel

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WIS#97 (.14)42% (72)22.646% (39)3.16 (46)15438% (107)1974.02 (58)#80 (.18)43% (87)23.145% (87)42% (81)4.17 (105)37.51.51
MICH#110 (.1)40% (84)2241% (82)3 (49)14940% (87)1234.18 (42)#55 (.13)38% (30)19.938% (12)39% (63)3.48 (43)36.81.51.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WIS0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MICH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WIS Offense1222.624.542.2%4.021.5193511541974.451%49%46%38%17%.14
MICH Defense1319.92138.3%3.481.2 - - - - - 42%57%38%39%19%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WIS Defense1223.132.843.4%4.171 - - - - - 54%45%45%42%12%.18
MICH Offense132226.940.1%4.181.5152721491234.560%39%41%40%15%.1

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Wisconsin1229:2118.836%60%5.337.51.513.51.4027.7
Michigan1328:5715.243%71%3.736.81.51.25.62.4230
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WIS Offense1251% (70)46% (39)34.9154.14.419 (73).12 (77)3.16 (46)75% (58)8% (37)0.8 (129)
MICH Defense1342% (1)38% (12) - - - - .04 (23)2.72 (28)82% (115)11% (53)0.85 (11)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WIS Defense1254% (110)45% (87) - - - - .15 (81)3.27 (105)68% (37)7% (130)0.97 (60)
MICH Offense1360% (11)41% (82)33.3148.54.518 (78).1 (66)3 (49)84% (9)10% (61)0.91 (92)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WIS Offense1249% (65)38% (107)17.330.4196.76.511.414 (108)10 (63).16 (102)1.5 (100)30% (34)27% (111).15 (128)9% (132)1.8 (122)
MICH Defense1357% (134)39% (63) - - - - - - 11 (52).21 (77)1.6 (75)36% (10)28% (44).27 (84)8% (11)2.2 (109)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WIS Defense1245% (22)42% (81) - - - - - - 4 (125).25 (75)1.3 (5)28% (123)28% (31).24 (42)5% (93)1.8 (18)
MICH Offense1339% (124)40% (87)13.822.5123.35.5911 (122)12 (85).12 (122)1.4 (132)33% (69)30% (80).26 (96)5% (57)1.7 (134)

Wisconsin's Power Ratings
Wisconsin's Power Rating: 7.65 #46
Wisconsin's Offense Rating: 17.93 #52
Wisconsin's Defense Rating: 10.28 #48
2025 Talent Rating: 826.00 #38
Blue Chip Ratio: 22% #23
Wisconsin's 2025 Expected Record: 5.1 - 6.9
Wisconsin's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.1 #41
Wisconsin's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #83
Wisconsin's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.0 #20

Wisconsin's SP+ Ratings
Wisconsin's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.1 #41
Wisconsin's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #83
Wisconsin's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.0 #20

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 903.22
Average Power Five Talent: 862.84
Average FBS Talent: 688.93

Power Ratings Matchup
Wisconsin: 7.65   Michigan: 25.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Wisconsin: 6.1   Michigan: 17.7




Michigan's Power Ratings
Michigan's Power Rating: 25.2 #12
Michigan's Offense Rating: 21.11 #32
Michigan's Defense Rating: -2.09 #4
2025 Talent Rating: 1088.00 #5
Blue Chip Ratio: 44 #15
Michigan's 2025 Expected Record: 9.8 - 2.2

Michigan's SP+ Ratings
Michigan's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.7 #13
Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #50
Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 11.0 #3

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 903.22
Average Power Five Talent: 862.84
Average FBS Talent: 688.93


Wisconsin Scoring
Offense: 22.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.5
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8

Wisconsin's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Michigan 23
Wisconsin 21

Projected Total Points: 44
Michigan Scoring
Offense: 22 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.9
Defense: 19.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 21

Michigan's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202110/02Wisconsin17Michigan38MichiganWisconsin -2Michigan43.5Over
202011/14Michigan11Wisconsin49WisconsinWisconsin -7.0Wisconsin51.5Over
201909/21Wisconsin35Michigan14WisconsinWisconsin -3Wisconsin46.0Over
201810/13Michigan38Wisconsin13MichiganMichigan -10Michigan47.5Over
201711/18Wisconsin24Michigan10WisconsinWisconsin -6.5Wisconsin40.5Under
201610/01Michigan14Wisconsin7MichiganMichigan -10Wisconsin44.5Under
201011/20Michigan28Wisconsin48Wisconsin
200911/14Wisconsin45Michigan24Wisconsin
200809/27Michigan27Wisconsin25Michigan
200711/10Wisconsin37Michigan21Wisconsin
200609/23Michigan27Wisconsin13Michigan
200509/24Wisconsin23Michigan20Wisconsin
200211/16Michigan21Wisconsin14Michigan
200111/17Wisconsin17Michigan20Michigan
200009/29Michigan13Wisconsin10Michigan
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Michigan824 Overs
Wisconsin742 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 43 - 33 - 20 - 1
Road Teams4 - 113 - 31 - 02 - 3

(#46) Wisconsin Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 7.65 #46
Offense Rating: 17.93 #52
Defense Rating: 10.28 #48
Overall SP+ Rating: 6.1 #41
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #83
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.0 #20
Talent Rating: 826.00 #38
Blue Chip Ratio: 22% #23
Expected Record: 5.1 - 6.9

Wisconsin     Ratings Matchup     Michigan
Power #46
#12
Off #52
#32
Def #48
#4
Talent #38
#5
SP+ #41
#13
SP+ Off #83
#50
SP+ Def #20
#3

Weather Forecast
Playing in Michigan Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: WIS | MICH
Depth Chart: WIS | MICH
Rosters: WIS | MICH
(#12) Michigan Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 25.2 #12
Offense Rating: 21.11 #32
Defense Rating: -2.09 #4
Overall SP+ Rating: 17.7 #13
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #50
Defense SP+ Rating: 11.0 #3
Talent Rating: 1088.00 #5
Blue Chip Ratio: 44 #15
Expected Record: 9.8 - 2.2





  
Wisconsin's OC Jeff Grimes
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Billy Edwards27342065%28811596.9
Danny O'Neil20933063%21811266.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Darrion Dupree7931714.032
Cade Yacamelli3327428.345
Billy Edwards8115051.915
Danny O'Neil748911.234
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tanner Koziol9483988.933
Vinny Anthony39672417.263
Darrion Dupree1211909.926
Tucker Ashcraft128216.818
Michigan's OC Chip Lindsey
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Mikey Keene27639270%288718117.4
Davis Warren13320764%1198795.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Justice Haynes7944875.785
Jordan Marshall3112003.924
Benjamin Hall297202.514
Semaj Morgan63205.313
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Semaj Morgan2713915.131
Fredrick Moore11128111.620
Marlin Klein1310808.333
Peyton O'Leary10102110.222

Wisconsin's DC Mike Tressel
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Christian Alliegro665301
Preston Zachman583004
Austin Brown512103
Geimere Latimer460005
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Corey Walker387635
Christian Alliegro665301
Parker Peterson215320
Jay'Viar Suggs104322
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ben Barten220015
Geimere Latimer460005
Corey Walker387635
Michigan's DC Don Martindale
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ernest Hausmann897221
Jaishawn Barham664152
TJ Metcalf561007
Zeke Berry373029
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
TJ Guy327660
Derrick Moore236442
Cameron Brandt134312
Ernest Hausmann897221
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zeke Berry373029
Jyaire Hill356108
TJ Metcalf561007