Ohio State at Illinois Game Matchup
Ohio State logo Ohio State Buckeyes at Illinois Fighting IlliniIllinois logo
Saturday, October 11th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Memorial Stadium - Champaign, IL  (Big Ten)

 
Buckeyes (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Ryan Day (66 - 10)
Avg Score : 36 - 13 (30 - 17 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.8 - 1.2 (#2)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 3) (Good: 5) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Our Line: Ohio State -16.5    (SP+ -17)
PPG only: OSU: 29 - ILL: 21 (50)
OSU Win prob: 49% | Cover: 49%
OSU Travel: 276 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Fighting Illini (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Bret Bielema (27 - 22)
Avg Score : 28 - 22 (32 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 3.5 (#19)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 6) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 5)
 
Ohio State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/30 Ohio State vs Texas
Sat 9/6 Ohio State vs Grambling
Sat 9/13 Ohio State vs Ohio
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Ohio State at Washington
Sat 10/4 Ohio State vs Minnesota
Sat 10/11 Ohio State at Illinois
Sat 10/18 Ohio State at Wisconsin
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Ohio State vs Penn State
Sat 11/8 Ohio State at Purdue
Sat 11/15 Ohio State vs UCLA
Sat 11/22 Ohio State vs Rutgers
Sat 11/29 Ohio State at Michigan
Total: Elite: 3, Good: 5, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 5, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Illinois's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/30 Illinois vs Western Illinois
Sat 9/6 Illinois at Duke
Sat 9/13 Illinois vs Western Michigan
Sat 9/20 Illinois at Indiana
Sat 9/27 Illinois vs USC
Sat 10/4 Illinois at Purdue
Sat 10/11 Illinois vs Ohio State
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Illinois at Washington
Sat 11/1 Illinois vs Rutgers
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Illinois vs Maryland
Sat 11/22 Illinois at Wisconsin
Sat 11/29 Illinois vs Northwestern
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

OSU's OC Brian Hartline vs ILL's DC Aaron Henry     ILL's OC Barry Lunney Jr. vs OSU's DC Matt Patricia

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OSU#1 (.43)52% (3)35.748% (20)3.37 (15)13756% (1)2114.6 (15)#2 (-.01)36% (7)12.939% (25)34% (8)2.05 (1)31.60.81.1
ILL#25 (.25)45% (55)28.345% (66)3.14 (51)14044% (41)1984.23 (37)#79 (.18)46% (116)21.750% (129)43% (88)3.48 (41)390.91.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ILL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OSU Offense1635.729.751.8%4.60.817347137211549%50%48%56%12%.43
ILL Defense1321.717.646.3%3.481.5 - - - - - 48%52%50%43%13%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OSU Defense1612.917.336.3%2.051.1 - - - - - 53%46%39%34%19%-.01
ILL Offense1328.33244.6%4.230.9193381401984.453%47%45%44%18%.25

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Ohio State1624:2716.942%70%3.431.60.81.15.12.4228.8
Illinois1326:5218.744%50%5.1390.91.53.82.2130.2
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OSU Offense1649% (77)48% (20)27.3136.8528 (25).31 (8)3.37 (15)76% (47)7% (7)1.11 (16)
ILL Defense1348% (37)50% (129) - - - - .19 (113)3.57 (133)75% (74)8% (119)0.8 (5)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OSU Defense1653% (91)39% (25) - - - - .01 (15)2.9 (47)67% (34)13% (16)0.87 (21)
ILL Offense1353% (53)45% (66)31.81404.420 (67).13 (57)3.14 (51)81% (22)11% (118)0.91 (57)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OSU Offense1650% (60)56% (1)16.723.4210.6912.631 (6)9 (48).58 (1)1.6 (70)27% (6)37% (12).55 (6)5% (41)2.1 (43)
ILL Defense1352% (98)43% (88) - - - - - - 12 (39).19 (44)1.4 (19)28% (120)34% (113).37 (103)6% (68)1.9 (45)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OSU Defense1646% (35)34% (8) - - - - - - 9 (76).02 (2)1.5 (30)32% (75)30% (66).16 (13)6% (61)1.7 (7)
ILL Offense1347% (82)44% (41)15.425.5197.87.812.921 (51)5 (6).38 (17)1.8 (15)31% (73)31% (77).42 (25)6% (94)2.3 (3)

Ohio State's Power Ratings
Ohio State's Power Rating: 33.18 #1
Ohio State's Offense Rating: 30.33 #3
Ohio State's Defense Rating: -2.85 #3
2025 Talent Rating: 1066.00 #7
Blue Chip Ratio: 68% #1
Ohio State's 2025 Expected Record: 10.8 - 1.2
Ohio State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 28.0 #1
Ohio State's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.6 #6
Ohio State's Defense SP+ Rating: 10.6 #2

Ohio State's SP+ Ratings
Ohio State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 28.0 #1
Ohio State's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.6 #6
Ohio State's Defense SP+ Rating: 10.6 #2

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 903.22
Average Power Five Talent: 862.84
Average FBS Talent: 688.93

Power Ratings Matchup
Ohio State: 33.18   Illinois: 16.56

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ohio State: 28.0   Illinois: 11.2




Illinois's Power Ratings
Illinois's Power Rating: 16.56 #23
Illinois's Offense Rating: 24.66 #13
Illinois's Defense Rating: 10.10 #47
2025 Talent Rating: 834.00 #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 9 #39
Illinois's 2025 Expected Record: 8.5 - 3.5

Illinois's SP+ Ratings
Illinois's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.2 #25
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.5 #37
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.3 #23

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 903.22
Average Power Five Talent: 862.84
Average FBS Talent: 688.93


Ohio State Scoring
Offense: 35.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.7
Defense: 12.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 17.3

Ohio State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Ohio State 29
Illinois 21


Projected Total Points: 50
Illinois Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 32
Defense: 21.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.6

Illinois's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201711/18Ohio State52Illinois14Ohio StateOhio State -41Illinois54.5Over
201511/14Illinois3Ohio State28Ohio StateOhio State -16Ohio State55.0Under
201411/01Ohio State55Illinois14Ohio StateOhio State -28.5Ohio State0
201311/16Illinois35Ohio State60Ohio StateOhio State -32Illinois0
201211/03Ohio State52Illinois22Ohio State
201110/15Illinois7Ohio State17Ohio State
201010/02Illinois13Ohio State24Ohio State
200909/26Ohio State30Illinois0Ohio State
200811/15Illinois20Ohio State30Ohio State
200711/10Ohio State21Illinois28Illinois
200611/04Illinois10Ohio State17Ohio State
200511/05Ohio State40Illinois2Ohio State
200111/17Ohio State22Illinois34Illinois
200011/10Illinois21Ohio State24Ohio State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Illinois221 Overs
Ohio State1221 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 92 - 21 - 11 - 1
Road Teams9 - 52 - 21 - 11 - 1

(#1) Ohio State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 33.18 #1
Offense Rating: 30.33 #3
Defense Rating: -2.85 #3
Overall SP+ Rating: 28.0 #1
Offense SP+ Rating: 38.6 #6
Defense SP+ Rating: 10.6 #2
Talent Rating: 1066.00 #7
Blue Chip Ratio: 68% #1
Expected Record: 10.8 - 1.2

Ohio State     Ratings Matchup     Illinois
Power #1
#23
Off #3
#13
Def #3
#47
Talent #7
#35
SP+ #1
#25
SP+ Off #6
#37
SP+ Def #2
#23

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: OSU | ILL
Depth Chart: OSU | ILL
Rosters: OSU | ILL
(#23) Illinois Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 16.56 #23
Offense Rating: 24.66 #13
Defense Rating: 10.10 #47
Overall SP+ Rating: 11.2 #25
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.5 #37
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.3 #23
Talent Rating: 834.00 #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 9 #39
Expected Record: 8.5 - 3.5





  
Ohio State's OC Brian Hartline
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Julian Sayin51242%84107.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
CJ Donaldson163734114.548
James Peoples4919724.018
Jeremiah Smith64717.819
Julian Sayin224012.019
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jeremiah Smith7613151517.370
Carnell Tate52733414.140
Max Klare51685413.462
Brandon Inniss14176112.627
Illinois's OC Barry Lunney Jr.
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Luke Altmyer21134761%27172267.8
Ethan Hampton14324558%16081266.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Joshua McCray117609105.260
Aidan Laughery9758946.164
Kaden Feagin6730634.634
Luke Altmyer9921742.237
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Hudson Clement51741514.544
Justin Bowick20383319.257
Hank Beatty20294114.759
Collin Dixon18264014.741

Ohio State's DC Matt Patricia
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sonny Styles10011605
Caleb Downs818116
Davison Igbinosun452009
Arvell Reese434120
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sonny Styles10011605
Caden Curry224310
C.J. Hicks222211
Kenyatta Jackson163201
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Davison Igbinosun452009
Caleb Downs818116
Sonny Styles10011605
Illinois's DC Aaron Henry
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matthew Bailey942005
Gabe Jacas7113890
Dylan Rosiek613201
Miles Scott540004
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Gabe Jacas7113890
Alec Bryant222212
Malachi Hood142201
Kenenna Odeluga72200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xavier Scott492106
Matthew Bailey942005
Jaheim Clarke341015