East Carolina at NC State Game Matchup
East Carolina logo East Carolina Pirates at NC State WolfpackNC State logo
Thursday, August 28th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Carter-Finley Stadium - Raleigh, NC

 
Pirates (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Avg Score : 32 - 27 (29 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 0.2 - 1.8 (#113)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: NC State -18    (SP+ -11)
PPG only: ECU: 31 - NCST: 28 (59)
ECU Win prob: 49% | Cover: 49%
ECU Travel: 77 miles
Wolfpack (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Avg Score : 29 - 30 (31 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.7 - 5.3 (#47)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 2) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 4)
 
East Carolina's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Thu 8/28 East Carolina at NC State
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 East Carolina vs BYU
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
NC State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Thu 8/28 NC State vs East Carolina
Sat 9/6 NC State vs Virginia
Thu 9/11 NC State at Wake Forest
Sat 9/20 NC State at Duke
Sat 9/27 NC State vs Virginia Tech
Sat 10/4 NC State vs Campbell
Sat 10/11 NC State at Notre Dame
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 NC State at Pittsburgh
Sat 11/1 NC State vs Georgia Tech
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 NC State at Miami
Fri 11/21 NC State vs Florida State
Sat 11/29 NC State vs North Carolina
Total: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

ECU's OC John David Baker vs NCST's DC D. J. Eliot     NCST's OC Kurt Roper vs ECU's DC Josh Aldridge

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ECU#49 (.22)43% (62)3244% (71)3.07 (59)14743% (54)2533.79 (83)#64 (.16)40% (40)27.337% (11)43% (86)3.85 (76)612.21.6
NCST#28 (.25)45% (36)28.544% (68)3.24 (36)13047% (21)2153.97 (62)#86 (.19)41% (59)30.239% (30)43% (87)3.78 (67)451.71.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ECU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
NCST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ECU Offense13322943.3%3.792.2204001472534.452%48%44%43%15%.22
NCST Defense1330.224.740.9%3.781.4 - - - - - 47%53%39%43%20%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ECU Defense1327.334.739.5%3.851.6 - - - - - 54%46%37%43%16%.16
NCST Offense1328.53145.1%3.971.7193451302154.447%52%44%47%19%.25

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
East Carolina1323:0820.142%53%7.3612.21.66.51.3430.4
NC State1329:1018.637%56%4.8451.71.46.21.8228.9
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ECU Offense1352% (63)44% (71)33.2147.34.420 (67).17 (47)3.07 (59)79% (27)8% (42)1.02 (47)
NCST Defense1347% (33)39% (30) - - - - .2 (109)3.07 (83)76% (87)12% (24)1.28 (134)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ECU Defense1354% (109)37% (11) - - - - .03 (22)2.57 (14)57% (3)11% (47)1.02 (84)
NCST Offense1347% (89)44% (68)29.6130.34.421 (59).15 (56)3.24 (36)69% (92)13% (126)0.98 (60)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ECU Offense1348% (72)43% (54)18.530.7252.78.213.726 (26)21 (134).28 (55)1.7 (24)30% (38)34% (33).51 (8)7% (91)2.3 (7)
NCST Defense1353% (106)43% (87) - - - - - - 8 (93).19 (47)1.5 (22)33% (50)30% (65).33 (83)8% (16)2.3 (120)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ECU Defense1346% (28)43% (86) - - - - - - 13 (31).32 (105)1.7 (98)33% (52)35% (117).46 (122)5% (104)2.1 (77)
NCST Offense1352% (48)47% (21)18.228.1214.87.711.818 (68)12 (85).36 (24)1.6 (45)30% (35)36% (24).57 (5)6% (82)2.2 (19)

East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: -9.70 #98
East Carolina's Offense Rating: 11.08 #88
East Carolina's Defense Rating: 20.78 #109
2025 Talent Rating: 606.00 #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
East Carolina's 2025 Expected Record: 0.2 - 1.8
East Carolina's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.2 #88
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #57
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.4 #114

East Carolina's SP+ Ratings
East Carolina's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.2 #88
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #57
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.4 #114

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 513.43
Average Power Five Talent: 862.84
Average FBS Talent: 688.93

Power Ratings Matchup
East Carolina: -9.70   NC State: 8.24

SP+ Ratings Matchup
East Carolina: -6.2   NC State: 4.5




NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: 8.24 #52
NC State's Offense Rating: 18.95 #43
NC State's Defense Rating: 12.71 #63
2025 Talent Rating: 788.00 #47
Blue Chip Ratio: 10 #37
NC State's 2025 Expected Record: 6.7 - 5.3

NC State's SP+ Ratings
NC State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.5 #45
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.6 #31
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #63

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 825.88
Average Power Five Talent: 862.84
Average FBS Talent: 688.93


East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 32 PPG
Offense on Road: 29
Defense: 27.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.7

East Carolina's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
East Carolina 31.1
NC State 27.9

Projected Total Points: 59
NC State Scoring
Offense: 28.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 31
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.7

NC State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202412/28NC State21East Carolina26East CarolinaNC State -7.5East Carolina61.5Under
202209/03East Carolina20NC State21NC StateNC State -12.5East Carolina52.0Under
201908/31NC State34East Carolina6NC StateNC State -17.5NC State52.0Under
201812/01NC State58East Carolina3NC StateNC State -24.5NC State59.5Over
201609/10East Carolina33NC State30East CarolinaNC State -3.5East Carolina59.0Over
201311/23NC State28East Carolina42East CarolinaEast Carolina -6East Carolina0
201010/16East Carolina33NC State27East Carolina
200809/20NC State30East Carolina24NC State
200710/20East Carolina20NC State34NC State
200611/25NC State16East Carolina21East Carolina
200411/27NC State52East Carolina14NC State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
NC State622 Overs
East Carolina543 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 54 - 22 - 12 - 1
Road Teams5 - 62 - 41 - 21 - 2

(#98) East Carolina Info
Head Coach Blake Harrell

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -9.70 #98
Offense Rating: 11.08 #88
Defense Rating: 20.78 #109
Overall SP+ Rating: -6.2 #88
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #57
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.4 #114
Talent Rating: 606.00 #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 0.2 - 1.8

East Carolina     Ratings Matchup     NC State
Power #98
#52
Off #88
#43
Def #109
#63
Talent #85
#47
SP+ #88
#45
SP+ Off #57
#31
SP+ Def #114
#63

Previous Matchups
East Carolina beat NC State last year (26-21)
NC State beat East Carolina in 2022 (21-20)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Carter-Finley Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: ECU | NCST
Depth Chart: ECU | NCST
Rosters: ECU | NCST
(#52) NC State Info
Head Coach Dave Doeren

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 8.24 #52
Offense Rating: 18.95 #43
Defense Rating: 12.71 #63
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.5 #45
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.6 #31
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #63
Talent Rating: 788.00 #47
Blue Chip Ratio: 10 #37
Expected Record: 6.7 - 5.3





  
East Carolina's OC John David Baker
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Katin Houser14924561%200618118.2
Jake Garcia10918160%14268127.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
London Montgomery7135925.148
Marlon Gunn6122433.720
Katin Houser4917043.535
Jake Garcia404621.219
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Anthony Smith41799619.564
Yannick Smith25434317.452
Jaquaize Pettaway587017.446
Desirrio Riles883210.432
NC State's OC Kurt Roper
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
CJ Bailey19630265%241217108.0
Lex Thomas5863%65118.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Daylan Smothers8957166.453
Kendrick Raphael7842535.440
CJ Bailey9927952.831
Lex Thomas1909.09
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Justin Joly43661415.440
Noah Rogers35478113.775
Wesley Grimes24319113.330
Dacari Collins24314213.143

East Carolina's DC Josh Aldridge
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ja'Marley Riddle634004
Ryheem Craig496210
Samuel Dankah347312
DJ Johnson Jr.281001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kendrick DuJour234310
Samuel Dankah347312
J.D. Lampley255260
Ryheem Craig496210
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ja'Marley Riddle634004
Dameon Wilson253012
Tymir Brown50002
NC State's DC D. J. Eliot
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sean Brown9593131
Jeremiah Johnson691016
Kamal Bonner567160
Caden Fordham504162
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Travali Price379430
Sean Brown9593131
Tra Thomas285210
Kamal Bonner567160
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Devon Marshall331007
Jeremiah Johnson691016
Caden Fordham504162