TCU at North Carolina Game Matchup
TCU logo TCU Horned Frogs at North Carolina Tar HeelsNorth Carolina logo
Monday, September 1st 2025 (7:30 PM EDT)
Kenan Memorial Stadium - Chapel Hill, NC

 
Horned Frogs (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Sonny Dykes (26-13)
Avg Score : 34 - 25 (29 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.2 - 4.8 (#36)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 5) (Avg: 5) (Bad: 1)
Our Line: TCU -6.5    (SP+ -6)
PPG only: TCU: 31 - UNC: 28 (59)
TCU Win prob: 49% | Cover: 49%
TCU Travel: 1067 miles, 1 hrs behind
Tar Heels (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Bill Belichick (0-0)
Avg Score : 31 - 28 (36 - 33 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.8 - 5.2 (#45)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 5)
 
TCU's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Mon 9/1 TCU at North Carolina
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/13 TCU vs Abilene Christian
Sat 9/20 TCU vs SMU
Sat 9/27 TCU at Arizona State
Sat 10/4 TCU vs Colorado
Sat 10/11 TCU at Kansas State
Sat 10/18 TCU vs Baylor
Sat 10/25 TCU at West Virginia
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 TCU vs Iowa State
Sat 11/15 TCU at BYU
Sat 11/22 TCU at Houston
Sat 11/29 TCU vs Cincinnati
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 5, Bad 0, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 5, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
North Carolina's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Mon 9/1 North Carolina vs TCU
Sat 9/6 North Carolina at Charlotte
Sat 9/13 North Carolina vs Richmond
Sat 9/20 North Carolina at UCF
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 North Carolina vs Clemson
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/16 North Carolina at California
Sat 10/25 North Carolina vs Virginia
Fri 10/31 North Carolina at Syracuse
Sat 11/8 North Carolina vs Stanford
Sat 11/15 North Carolina at Wake Forest
Sat 11/22 North Carolina vs Duke
Sat 11/29 North Carolina at NC State
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

TCU's OC Kendal Briles vs UNC's DC Stephen Belichick     UNC's OC Freddie Kitchens vs TCU's DC Andy Avalos

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TCU#18 (.3)47% (22)33.545% (51)2.95 (85)10649% (9)2934.46 (20)#82 (.19)42% (68)24.646% (101)36% (18)3.82 (72)49.71.61.1
UNC#65 (.2)42% (79)30.947% (35)3.32 (23)17537% (114)2164.08 (52)#71 (.17)41% (54)28.144% (83)37% (26)4.01 (90)59.81.21.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TCU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UNC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TCU Offense1333.528.647.1%4.461.6214001062933.942%58%45%49%13%.3
UNC Defense1328.133.440.5%4.011.2 - - - - - 53%46%44%37%15%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TCU Defense1324.63041.5%3.821.1 - - - - - 53%47%46%36%14%.19
UNC Offense1330.93642%4.081.2203911752164.952%47%47%37%15%.2

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
TCU1326:112144%80%5.249.71.61.14.51.8131.7
North Carolina1327:4220.240%50%6.859.81.21.25.22.8629.1
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TCU Offense1342% (119)45% (51)27.6106.43.926 (36).08 (95)2.95 (85)73% (70)8% (36)0.94 (86)
UNC Defense1353% (92)44% (83) - - - - .16 (88)3.39 (121)86% (130)9% (83)0.89 (30)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TCU Defense1353% (95)46% (101) - - - - .22 (118)3.26 (104)89% (134)9% (105)1.02 (87)
UNC Offense1352% (52)47% (35)35.9175.24.926 (36).26 (14)3.32 (23)70% (89)9% (54)1.06 (36)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TCU Offense1358% (19)49% (9)23.534.9293.28.412.525 (31)10 (63).47 (5)1.6 (76)31% (57)33% (48).4 (41)5% (38)2.1 (55)
UNC Defense1346% (38)37% (26) - - - - - - 9 (76).22 (63)1.8 (125)32% (67)26% (12).23 (35)5% (103)2.2 (99)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TCU Defense1347% (41)36% (18) - - - - - - 8 (93).18 (40)1.5 (57)34% (42)27% (20).19 (22)6% (82)1.8 (26)
UNC Offense1347% (83)37% (114)16.829215.97.512.817 (79)8 (40).17 (101)1.7 (29)32% (75)29% (94).32 (79)6% (60)2.1 (33)

TCU's Power Ratings
TCU's Power Rating: 10.49 #37
TCU's Offense Rating: 22.11 #27
TCU's Defense Rating: 11.62 #56
2025 Talent Rating: 826.00 #38
Blue Chip Ratio: 15% #31
TCU's 2025 Expected Record: 7.2 - 4.8
TCU's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.5 #26
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #17
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #41

TCU's SP+ Ratings
TCU's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.5 #26
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #17
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #41

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 774.38
Average Power Five Talent: 862.84
Average FBS Talent: 688.93

Power Ratings Matchup
TCU: 10.49   North Carolina: 4.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
TCU: 10.5   North Carolina: 4.6




North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: 4.2 #61
North Carolina's Offense Rating: 14.28 #67
North Carolina's Defense Rating: 12.08 #60
2025 Talent Rating: 828.00 #36
Blue Chip Ratio: 20 #26
North Carolina's 2025 Expected Record: 6.8 - 5.2

North Carolina's SP+ Ratings
North Carolina's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.6 #43
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #33
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.8 #60

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 825.88
Average Power Five Talent: 862.84
Average FBS Talent: 688.93


TCU Scoring
Offense: 33.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.6
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 30

TCU's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
TCU 30.8
North Carolina 27.8

Projected Total Points: 59
North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 36
Defense: 28.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 33.4

North Carolina's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
TeamWinsCoversO/U
North Carolina000 Overs
TCU000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#37) TCU Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 10.49 #37
Offense Rating: 22.11 #27
Defense Rating: 11.62 #56
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.5 #26
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #17
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #41
Talent Rating: 826.00 #38
Blue Chip Ratio: 15% #31
Expected Record: 7.2 - 4.8

TCU     Ratings Matchup     North Carolina
Power #37
#61
Off #27
#67
Def #56
#60
Talent #38
#36
SP+ #26
#43
SP+ Off #17
#33
SP+ Def #41
#60

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kenan Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: TCU | UNC
Depth Chart: TCU | UNC
Rosters: TCU | UNC
(#61) North Carolina Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 4.2 #61
Offense Rating: 14.28 #67
Defense Rating: 12.08 #60
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.6 #43
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #33
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.8 #60
Talent Rating: 828.00 #36
Blue Chip Ratio: 20 #26
Expected Record: 6.8 - 5.2





  
TCU's OC Kendal Briles
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Josh Hoover31347167%394927118.4
Ken Seals101377%97107.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jeremy Payne5423934.432
Kevorian Barnes7822122.817
Trent Battle4418624.224
Jordyn Bailey374124.759
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eric McAlister39762519.584
Joseph Manjack22351316.057
D'Andre Rogers12142211.840
Jeremy Payne129908.321
North Carolina's OC Freddie Kitchens
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ryan Browne437657%532427.0
Max Johnson121963%71013.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Davion Gause6732644.921
Ryan Browne5015503.123
Charleston French108418.445
Aziah Johnson115015.015
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Aziah Johnson16276217.352
Christian Hamilton7159122.758
Chris Culliver6135122.550
Jordan Shipp9114112.722

TCU's DC Andy Avalos
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Namdi Obiazor817321
Bud Clark680003
Kaleb Elarms-Orr545220
Devean Deal4610631
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ansel Din-Mbuh247620
Devean Deal4610631
Zachary Chapman243310
Namdi Obiazor817321
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jevon McIver Jr.120004
Bud Clark680003
Elijah Jackson170002
North Carolina's DC Stephen Belichick
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kaleb Cost613104
Gavin Gibson527013
Thaddeus Dixon4320010
Beau Atkinson3512840
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Beau Atkinson3512840
Pryce Yates217451
C.J. Mims214100
Cade Law21100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Thaddeus Dixon4320010
Kaleb Cost613104
Khmori House331014