South Florida at Miami Game Matchup
South Florida logo South Florida Bulls at Miami HurricanesMiami logo
Saturday, September 13th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Hard Rock Stadium - Miami Gardens, FL

 
Bulls (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Alex Golesh (13 - 12)
Avg Score : 32 - 30 (34 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 0.1 - 1.9 (#116)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
USF 2nd straight Road Game
MIAMI 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: Miami -21    (SP+ -21)
PPG only: USF: 29 - MIAMI: 37 (66)
USF Win prob: 49% | Cover: 49%
USF Travel: 197 miles
Hurricanes (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Mario Cristobal (22 - 15)
Avg Score : 44 - 25 (48 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.4 - 2.6 (#10)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 5) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
 
South Florida's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/6 South Florida at Florida
Sat 9/13 South Florida at Miami
Total: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Miami's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sun 8/31 Miami vs Notre Dame
Sat 9/6 Miami vs Bethune-Cookman
Sat 9/13 Miami vs South Florida
Sat 9/20 Miami vs Florida
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Miami at Florida State
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/17 Miami vs Louisville
Sat 10/25 Miami vs Stanford
Sat 11/1 Miami at SMU
Sat 11/8 Miami vs Syracuse
Sat 11/15 Miami vs NC State
Sat 11/22 Miami at Virginia Tech
Sat 11/29 Miami at Pittsburgh
Total: Elite: 2, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

USF's OC Joel Gordon vs MIAMI's DC Corey Hetherman     MIAMI's OC Shannon Dawson vs USF's DC Todd Orlando

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USF#83 (.17)38% (118)32.239% (112)3.06 (62)18138% (106)2273.88 (73)#66 (.16)39% (36)29.838% (17)40% (69)4 (88)70.91.42.1
MIAMI#2 (.4)52% (1)43.956% (1)3.59 (4)16550% (7)3324.96 (2)#69 (.16)38% (25)25.338% (16)38% (41)4.02 (91)63.111.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MIAMI0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USF Offense1332.234.338.3%3.881.4204081812274.848%52%39%38%15%.17
MIAMI Defense1325.31738.1%4.021.4 - - - - - 45%55%38%38%18%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USF Defense1329.831.839.2%42.1 - - - - - 49%51%38%40%20%.16
MIAMI Offense1343.947.852.5%4.961254971653325.543%57%56%50%10%.4

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
South Florida1325:1020.439%56%8.170.91.42.18.12.5230.7
Miami1330:1325.256%65%6.263.111.45.92.6129.7
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USF Offense1348% (82)39% (112)37.8180.84.834 (10).2 (33)3.06 (62)66% (115)10% (63)1.26 (3)
MIAMI Defense1345% (11)38% (16) - - - - .08 (49)2.6 (16)57% (4)11% (43)1.15 (125)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USF Defense1349% (47)38% (17) - - - - .04 (25)2.63 (18)70% (48)13% (11)1.13 (121)
MIAMI Offense1343% (114)56% (1)30.1165.55.528 (25).32 (5)3.59 (4)90% (1)6% (3)0.95 (75)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USF Offense1352% (51)38% (106)20.234.1227.56.711.316 (87)10 (63).13 (113)1.5 (109)34% (114)25% (121).22 (105)6% (68)2.2 (21)
MIAMI Defense1355% (125)38% (41) - - - - - - 14 (23).23 (64)1.7 (113)36% (9)36% (123).45 (115)7% (34)2.1 (83)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USF Defense1351% (91)40% (69) - - - - - - 13 (31).28 (89)1.6 (79)34% (32)32% (87).3 (63)7% (47)1.9 (32)
MIAMI Offense1357% (20)50% (7)23.935.1331.69.513.938 (1)7 (26).47 (6)1.7 (26)27% (4)42% (1).69 (1)4% (16)2.3 (6)

South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: 1.35 #66
South Florida's Offense Rating: 14.85 #58
South Florida's Defense Rating: 13.50 #67
2025 Talent Rating: 726.00 #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #61
South Florida's 2025 Expected Record: 0.1 - 1.9
South Florida's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.3 #80
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #43
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.0 #111

South Florida's SP+ Ratings
South Florida's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.3 #80
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #43
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.0 #111

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 513.43
Average Power Five Talent: 862.84
Average FBS Talent: 688.93

Power Ratings Matchup
South Florida: 1.35   Miami: 22.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Florida: -4.3   Miami: 16.9




Miami's Power Ratings
Miami's Power Rating: 22.55 #16
Miami's Offense Rating: 28.80 #6
Miami's Defense Rating: 8.25 #38
2025 Talent Rating: 956.00 #16
Blue Chip Ratio: 52 #7
Miami's 2025 Expected Record: 9.4 - 2.6

Miami's SP+ Ratings
Miami's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.9 #14
Miami's Offense SP+ Rating: 42.5 #1
Miami's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #49

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 825.88
Average Power Five Talent: 862.84
Average FBS Talent: 688.93


South Florida Scoring
Offense: 32.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.3
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.8

South Florida's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Miami 37
South Florida 29

Projected Total Points: 66
Miami Scoring
Offense: 43.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 47.8
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 17

Miami's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/21South Florida15Miami50MiamiMiami -17Miami64.5Over
201309/28South Florida21Miami49MiamiMiami -18.5Miami0
201211/17Miami40South Florida9Miami
201111/19South Florida3Miami6Miami
201011/27Miami20South Florida23South Florida
200911/28South Florida10Miami31Miami
200510/01Miami27South Florida7Miami
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Miami621 Overs
South Florida100 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 50 - 20 - 00 - 2
Road Teams5 - 22 - 02 - 00 - 0

(#66) South Florida Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 1.35 #66
Offense Rating: 14.85 #58
Defense Rating: 13.50 #67
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.3 #80
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #43
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.0 #111
Talent Rating: 726.00 #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #61
Expected Record: 0.1 - 1.9

South Florida     Ratings Matchup     Miami
Power #66
#16
Off #58
#6
Def #67
#38
Talent #65
#16
SP+ #80
#14
SP+ Off #43
#1
SP+ Def #111
#49

Previous Matchups
Miami beat South Florida last year (50-15)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Hard Rock Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: USF | MIAMI
Depth Chart: USF | MIAMI
Rosters: USF | MIAMI
(#16) Miami Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 22.55 #16
Offense Rating: 28.80 #6
Defense Rating: 8.25 #38
Overall SP+ Rating: 16.9 #14
Offense SP+ Rating: 42.5 #1
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #49
Talent Rating: 956.00 #16
Blue Chip Ratio: 52 #7
Expected Record: 9.4 - 2.6





  
South Florida's OC Joel Gordon
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Bryce Archie17229059%19149106.6
Byrum Brown7813259%836206.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cartevious Norton12952574.162
Byrum Brown6826934.042
Bryce Archie6813722.035
Alvon Isaac65018.325
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Keshaun Singleton27428315.967
Joshua Porter2421008.832
Wyatt Sullivan13155211.938
Chas Nimrod10121012.127
Miami's OC Shannon Dawson
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Carson Beck29044865%348528127.8
Emory Williams162662%187117.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Mark Fletcher Jr.11260795.430
Jordan Lyle5440047.491
Carson Beck557111.314
Elija Lofton230115.028
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
C.J. Daniels42480011.434
Alex Bauman15171611.436
Elija Lofton9150116.740
Mark Fletcher Jr.10106010.622

South Florida's DC Todd Orlando
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mac Harris8212462
Tavin Ward612003
Jhalyn Shuler607441
Brent Austin4800010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mac Harris8212462
Jhalyn Shuler607441
Ira Singleton123310
Jacob Merrifield154320
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brent Austin4800010
De'Shawn Rucker412007
Ben Knox221106
Miami's DC Corey Hetherman
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zechariah Poyser773008
Wesley Bissainthe595211
David Blay4510620
Akheem Mesidor329620
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
David Blay4510620
Akheem Mesidor329620
Rueben Bain Jr.236410
Wesley Bissainthe595211
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zechariah Poyser773008
Ethan O'Connor301018
Charles Brantley272007