Florida State at Virginia Game Matchup
Florida State logo Florida State Seminoles at Virginia CavaliersVirginia logo
Friday, September 26th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Scott Stadium - Charlottesville, VA  (ACC)

 
Seminoles (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Mike Norvell (33 - 27)
Avg Score : 15 - 28 (12 - 38 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.9 - 5.1 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 4) (Good: 1) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 3)
UVA 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: Florida State -10    (SP+ -8)
PPG only: FSU: 22 - UVA: 25 (47)
FSU Win prob: 49% | Cover: 49%
FSU Travel: 620 miles
Cavaliers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Tony Elliott (11 - 23)
Avg Score : 23 - 29 (19 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.8 - 6.2 (#52)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 3) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 5)
 
Florida State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/30 Florida State vs Alabama
Sat 9/6 Florida State vs East Texas A&M
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Florida State vs Kent State
Fri 9/26 Florida State at Virginia
Sat 10/4 Florida State vs Miami
Sat 10/11 Florida State vs Pittsburgh
Sat 10/18 Florida State at Stanford
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Florida State vs Wake Forest
Sat 11/8 Florida State at Clemson
Sat 11/15 Florida State vs Virginia Tech
Fri 11/21 Florida State at NC State
Sat 11/29 Florida State at Florida
Total: Elite: 4, Good: 1, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 4, Good: 1, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Virginia's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/30 Virginia vs Coastal Carolina
Sat 9/6 Virginia at NC State
Sat 9/13 Virginia vs William & Mary
Sat 9/20 Virginia vs Stanford
Fri 9/26 Virginia vs Florida State
Sat 10/4 Virginia at Louisville
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Virginia vs Washington State
Sat 10/25 Virginia at North Carolina
Sat 11/1 Virginia at California
Sat 11/8 Virginia vs Wake Forest
Sat 11/15 Virginia at Duke
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 Virginia vs Virginia Tech
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

FSU's OC Gus Malzahn vs UVA's DC John Rudzinski     UVA's OC Des Kitchings vs FSU's DC Tony White

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FSU#125 (.06)35% (128)15.440% (103)2.9 (92)9131% (130)1802.88 (131)#112 (.25)41% (56)2842% (62)39% (53)3.62 (46)47.91.80.5
UVA#102 (.13)40% (103)22.743% (76)3.29 (26)13337% (113)2293.47 (106)#116 (.27)43% (80)28.844% (77)42% (77)4.04 (95)45.31.61.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UVA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FSU Offense1215.412.335.4%2.881.815271911802.946%54%40%31%21%.06
UVA Defense1228.825.342.6%4.041.3 - - - - - 49%50%44%42%15%.27
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FSU Defense122838.340.8%3.620.5 - - - - - 56%44%42%39%14%.25
UVA Offense1222.718.740%3.471.6193621332293.748%52%43%37%18%.13

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Florida State1227:1115.229%63%5.647.91.80.55.82126.3
Virginia1229:5319.334%52%5.245.31.61.34.81.8029.5
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FSU Offense1246% (101)40% (103)31.490.82.98 (130).07 (101)2.9 (92)68% (103)15% (130)0.87 (118)
UVA Defense1249% (53)44% (77) - - - - .17 (91)3.29 (112)77% (89)9% (104)0.99 (69)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FSU Defense1256% (119)42% (62) - - - - .2 (107)3.06 (81)80% (111)10% (77)1.1 (114)
UVA Offense1248% (84)43% (76)35.9132.83.714 (98).16 (50)3.29 (26)73% (77)11% (98)0.91 (93)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FSU Offense1254% (35)31% (130)14.929.6180.36.112.111 (122)13 (103).04 (130)1.8 (20)39% (133)26% (113).24 (102)6% (62)2.1 (28)
UVA Defense1250% (82)42% (77) - - - - - - 9 (76).37 (121)1.6 (85)32% (68)32% (84).43 (110)6% (69)2.1 (81)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FSU Defense1244% (15)39% (53) - - - - - - 4 (125).34 (110)1.8 (120)33% (46)34% (110).52 (127)5% (116)2.3 (121)
UVA Offense1252% (52)37% (113)20.533.42296.911.216 (87)14 (115).11 (121)1.5 (86)33% (101)26% (115).17 (120)7% (100)1.7 (129)

Florida State's Power Ratings
Florida State's Power Rating: 11.61 #34
Florida State's Offense Rating: 18.28 #51
Florida State's Defense Rating: 6.67 #31
2025 Talent Rating: 948.00 #18
Blue Chip Ratio: 45% #14
Florida State's 2025 Expected Record: 6.9 - 5.1
Florida State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.2 #51
Florida State's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.0 #84
Florida State's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #33

Florida State's SP+ Ratings
Florida State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.2 #51
Florida State's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.0 #84
Florida State's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #33

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 825.88
Average Power Five Talent: 862.84
Average FBS Talent: 688.93

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida State: 11.61   Virginia: 1.57

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida State: 3.2   Virginia: -4.8




Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: 1.57 #76
Virginia's Offense Rating: 14.82 #59
Virginia's Defense Rating: 15.25 #77
2025 Talent Rating: 756.00 #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Virginia's 2025 Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2

Virginia's SP+ Ratings
Virginia's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.8 #82
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #91
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.1 #80

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 825.88
Average Power Five Talent: 862.84
Average FBS Talent: 688.93


Florida State Scoring
Offense: 15.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 12.3
Defense: 28 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.3

Florida State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Virginia 25
Florida State 22

Projected Total Points: 47
Virginia Scoring
Offense: 22.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 18.7
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.3

Virginia's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201909/14Virginia31Florida State24VirginiaVirginia -7Push54.5Over
201411/08Florida State34Virginia20Florida StateFlorida State -21.5Virginia0
201111/19Florida State13Virginia14Virginia
201010/02Virginia14Florida State34Florida State
200611/04Florida State33Virginia0Florida State
200510/15Virginia26Florida State21Virginia
200410/16Florida State36Virginia3Florida State
200310/18Virginia14Florida State19Florida State
200208/31Florida State40Virginia19Florida State
200110/20Virginia7Florida State43Florida State
200010/20Florida State37Virginia3Florida State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Virginia311 Overs
Florida State800 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 40 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams4 - 71 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#34) Florida State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 11.61 #34
Offense Rating: 18.28 #51
Defense Rating: 6.67 #31
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.2 #51
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.0 #84
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #33
Talent Rating: 948.00 #18
Blue Chip Ratio: 45% #14
Expected Record: 6.9 - 5.1

Florida State     Ratings Matchup     Virginia
Power #34
#76
Off #51
#59
Def #31
#77
Talent #18
#58
SP+ #51
#82
SP+ Off #84
#91
SP+ Def #33
#80

Weather Forecast
Playing in Scott Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: FSU | UVA
Depth Chart: FSU | UVA
Rosters: FSU | UVA
(#76) Virginia Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 1.57 #76
Offense Rating: 14.82 #59
Defense Rating: 15.25 #77
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.8 #82
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #91
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.1 #80
Talent Rating: 756.00 #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2





  
Florida State's OC Gus Malzahn
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Thomas Castellanos9916162%13661858.5
Brock Glenn5111445%597455.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Thomas Castellanos9319412.118
Kam Davis5217303.316
Brock Glenn359702.817
Samuel Singleton219304.427
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Randy Pittman32416213.048
Duce Robinson23396517.248
Squirrel White34381211.245
Hykeem Williams16187111.733
Virginia's OC Des Kitchings
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Chandler Morris32250963%377431127.4
Suderian Harrison11100%270027.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Xavier Brown8048816.175
Chandler Morris6024244.049
Noah Vaughn3612003.313
Cameron Ross456014.041
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cameron Ross37443312.043
Jahmal Edrine23365215.953
Trell Harris15221214.745
Jayden Thomas1816729.323

Florida State's DC Tony White
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shyheim Brown621002
Elijah Herring598434
Deante McCray553220
Blake Nichelson454100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
James Williams146540
Deamontae Diggs347562
Darrell Jackson284441
Elijah Herring598434
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elijah Herring598434
Quindarrius Jones111003
Deamontae Diggs347562
Virginia's DC John Rudzinski
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kamren Robinson646521
Trey McDonald573111
Jermarian Jackson551106
Fisher Camac4615815
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Fisher Camac4615815
Kamren Robinson646521
James Jackson455220
Mitchell Melton124210
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jermarian Jackson551106
Fisher Camac4615815
Caleb Hardy82102