Louisville at Pittsburgh Game Matchup
Louisville logo Louisville Cardinals at Pittsburgh PanthersPittsburgh logo
Saturday, September 27th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Acrisure Stadium - Pittsburgh, PA  (ACC)

 
Cardinals (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jeff Brohm (18 - 8)
Avg Score : 37 - 24 (31 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.7 - 4.3 (#28)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 3) (Good: 2) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 3)
PITT coming off BYE
Our Line: Louisville -1    (SP+ -9.5)
PPG only: LOU: 33 - PITT: 29 (62)
LOU Win prob: 49% | Cover: 49%
LOU Travel: 344 miles
Panthers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Pat Narduzzi (72 - 55)
Avg Score : 33 - 28 (38 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.3 - 5.7 (#51)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 3) (Avg: 5) (Bad: 2)
 
Louisville's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/30 Louisville vs Eastern Kentucky
Sat 9/6 Louisville vs James Madison
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Louisville vs Bowling Green
Sat 9/27 Louisville at Pittsburgh
Sat 10/4 Louisville vs Virginia
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/17 Louisville at Miami
Sat 10/25 Louisville vs Boston College
Sat 11/1 Louisville at Virginia Tech
Sat 11/8 Louisville vs California
Fri 11/14 Louisville vs Clemson
Sat 11/22 Louisville at SMU
Sat 11/29 Louisville vs Kentucky
Total: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Pittsburgh's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/30 Pittsburgh vs Duquesne
Sat 9/6 Pittsburgh vs Central Michigan
Sat 9/13 Pittsburgh at West Virginia
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Pittsburgh vs Louisville
Sat 10/4 Pittsburgh vs Boston College
Sat 10/11 Pittsburgh at Florida State
Sat 10/18 Pittsburgh at Syracuse
Sat 10/25 Pittsburgh vs NC State
Sat 11/1 Pittsburgh at Stanford
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Pittsburgh vs Notre Dame
Sat 11/22 Pittsburgh at Georgia Tech
Sat 11/29 Pittsburgh vs Miami
Total: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 5, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 5, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

LOU's OC Brian Brohm vs PITT's DC Randy Bates     PITT's OC Kade Bell vs LOU's DC Ron English

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LOU#14 (.31)46% (21)36.548% (14)3.09 (52)17345% (31)2514.27 (48)#70 (.18)40% (43)24.140% (43)40% (52)3.98 (94)46.10.81.2
PITT#91 (.15)42% (86)32.945% (55)3.1 (56)11939% (96)2564.11 (49)#35 (.12)38% (24)28.438% (19)38% (38)3.68 (57)58.21.31.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LOU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
PITT0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LOU Offense1336.531.346.4%4.270.8204241732515.845%54%48%45%13%.31
PITT Defense1328.421.638.1%3.681.2 - - - - - 45%55%38%38%18%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LOU Defense1324.125.240.2%3.981.2 - - - - - 49%51%40%40%16%.18
PITT Offense1332.937.641.6%4.111.3213751192564.342%58%45%39%21%.15

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Louisville1327:3920.140%40%5.946.10.81.25.82.2130.3
Pittsburgh1324:0120.738%52%6.458.21.31.27.63627.3
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LOU Offense1345% (109)48% (14)29.9172.75.827 (30).2 (29)3.09 (52)65% (108)8% (25)1.04 (48)
PITT Defense1345% (13)38% (19) - - - - - (12)2.36 (2)48% (1)12% (25)0.98 (67)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LOU Defense1349% (52)40% (43) - - - - .08 (42)2.9 (50)65% (22)11% (52)0.99 (73)
PITT Offense1342% (116)45% (55)27.3118.64.314 (98).18 (42)3.1 (56)77% (40)12% (119)1.05 (41)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LOU Offense1354% (26)45% (31)19.630.9251.58.112.823 (41)6 (10).41 (12)1.7 (37)30% (36)38% (9).5 (12)5% (50)2.1 (44)
PITT Defense1355% (122)38% (38) - - - - - - 12 (39).23 (69)1.8 (123)37% (3)31% (82).33 (82)6% (51)2.2 (113)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LOU Defense1351% (84)40% (52) - - - - - - 9 (76).27 (81)1.7 (108)31% (65)33% (99).26 (61)5% (90)1.8 (21)
PITT Offense1358% (18)39% (96)21.835.9256.27.111.727 (20)13 (103).13 (112)1.6 (55)32% (86)35% (30).36 (63)8% (126)2.1 (41)

Louisville's Power Ratings
Louisville's Power Rating: 10.23 #38
Louisville's Offense Rating: 21.99 #28
Louisville's Defense Rating: 11.76 #57
2025 Talent Rating: 716.00 #68
Blue Chip Ratio: 5% #54
Louisville's 2025 Expected Record: 7.7 - 4.3
Louisville's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.4 #22
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #11
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #44

Louisville's SP+ Ratings
Louisville's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.4 #22
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #11
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #44

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 825.88
Average Power Five Talent: 862.84
Average FBS Talent: 688.93

Power Ratings Matchup
Louisville: 10.23   Pittsburgh: 9.03

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisville: 12.4   Pittsburgh: 2.7




Pittsburgh's Power Ratings
Pittsburgh's Power Rating: 9.03 #47
Pittsburgh's Offense Rating: 18.31 #50
Pittsburgh's Defense Rating: 11.28 #52
2025 Talent Rating: 786.00 #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #69
Pittsburgh's 2025 Expected Record: 6.3 - 5.7

Pittsburgh's SP+ Ratings
Pittsburgh's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.7 #53
Pittsburgh's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #43
Pittsburgh's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #62

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 825.88
Average Power Five Talent: 862.84
Average FBS Talent: 688.93


Louisville Scoring
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.3
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.2

Louisville's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Louisville 33
Pittsburgh 29

Projected Total Points: 62
Pittsburgh Scoring
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 37.6
Defense: 28.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.6

Pittsburgh's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/23Louisville37Pittsburgh9LouisvilleLouisville -7Louisville57.0Under
202310/14Pittsburgh38Louisville21PittsburghLouisville -7.5Pittsburgh44.5Over
202210/22Louisville24Pittsburgh10LouisvilleLouisville -1.5Louisville55.0Under
202009/26Pittsburgh23Louisville20PittsburghPittsburgh -3Push53.0Under
201511/21Pittsburgh45Louisville34PittsburghPittsburgh -1.5Pittsburgh48.5Over
201210/13Pittsburgh35Louisville45Louisville
201111/12Louisville14Pittsburgh21Pittsburgh
201010/30Pittsburgh20Louisville3Pittsburgh
200910/02Louisville10Pittsburgh35Pittsburgh
200811/08Pittsburgh41Louisville7Pittsburgh
200710/27Louisville24Pittsburgh17Louisville
200611/25Pittsburgh24Louisville48Louisville
200511/03Louisville42Pittsburgh20Louisville
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Pittsburgh722 Overs
Louisville623 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 44 - 03 - 01 - 0
Road Teams4 - 90 - 40 - 10 - 3

(#38) Louisville Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 10.23 #38
Offense Rating: 21.99 #28
Defense Rating: 11.76 #57
Overall SP+ Rating: 12.4 #22
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #11
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #44
Talent Rating: 716.00 #68
Blue Chip Ratio: 5% #54
Expected Record: 7.7 - 4.3

Louisville     Ratings Matchup     Pittsburgh
Power #38
#47
Off #28
#50
Def #57
#52
Talent #68
#48
SP+ #22
#53
SP+ Off #11
#43
SP+ Def #44
#62

Previous Matchups
Louisville beat Pittsburgh last year (37-9)
Pittsburgh beat Louisville in 2023 (38-21)
Louisville beat Pittsburgh in 2022 (24-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Acrisure Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: LOU | PITT
Depth Chart: LOU | PITT
Rosters: LOU | PITT
(#47) Pittsburgh Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 9.03 #47
Offense Rating: 18.31 #50
Defense Rating: 11.28 #52
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.7 #53
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #43
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #62
Talent Rating: 786.00 #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #69
Expected Record: 6.3 - 5.7





  
Louisville's OC Brian Brohm
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Miller Moss23336264%25551897.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Isaac Brown1651173117.177
Duke Watson6759778.968
Chris Bell243021.547
Caullin Lacy52114.29
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chris Bell43737417.168
Bobby Golden31446114.456
Caullin Lacy18196110.934
Isaac Brown3015215.113
Pittsburgh's OC Kade Bell
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Eli Holstein17929062%22251777.7
David Lynch162759%111034.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Desmond Reid18496655.372
Eli Holstein8132834.049
Julian Dugger218814.220
Che Nwabuko676112.757
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Desmond Reid52579411.172
Kenny Johnson46537311.746
Raphael Williams36419611.635
Censere Lee19254313.482

Louisville's DC Ron English
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
JoJo Evans933017
TJ Quinn824200
Stanquan Clark768102
Darius Thomas547430
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Clev Lubin43111073
Darius Thomas547430
Jordan Guerad224321
Rene Konga203320
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jabari Mack3220011
JoJo Evans933017
Justin Agu362004
Pittsburgh's DC Randy Bates
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kyle Louis10016793
Rasheem Biles8014439
Braylan Lovelace5311411
Javon Mcintyre514013
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kyle Louis10016793
Jimmy Scott3013662
Braylan Lovelace5311411
Rasheem Biles8014439
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rasheem Biles8014439
Tamon Lynum372106
Kyle Louis10016793