Clemson at North Carolina Game Matchup
Clemson logo Clemson Tigers at North Carolina Tar HeelsNorth Carolina logo
Saturday, October 4th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Kenan Memorial Stadium - Chapel Hill, NC  (ACC)

 
Tigers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Dabo Swinney (180 - 46)
Avg Score : 35 - 23 (30 - 20 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.2 - 1.8 (#5)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 3) (Avg: 6) (Bad: 1)
CLEM coming off BYE
UNC coming off BYE
Our Line: Clemson -21.5    (SP+ -14)
PPG only: CLEM: 31 - UNC: 27 (58)
CLEM Win prob: 49% | Cover: 49%
CLEM Travel: 230 miles
Tar Heels (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Bill Belichick (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 31 - 28 (36 - 33 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.8 - 5.2 (#45)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 5)
 
Clemson's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/30 Clemson vs LSU
Sat 9/6 Clemson vs Troy
Sat 9/13 Clemson at Georgia Tech
Sat 9/20 Clemson vs Syracuse
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Clemson at North Carolina
Sat 10/11 Clemson at Boston College
Sat 10/18 Clemson vs SMU
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Clemson vs Duke
Sat 11/8 Clemson vs Florida State
Fri 11/14 Clemson at Louisville
Sat 11/22 Clemson vs Furman
Sat 11/29 Clemson at South Carolina
Total: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 6, Bad 0, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 6, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
North Carolina's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Mon 9/1 North Carolina vs TCU
Sat 9/6 North Carolina at Charlotte
Sat 9/13 North Carolina vs Richmond
Sat 9/20 North Carolina at UCF
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 North Carolina vs Clemson
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/16 North Carolina at California
Sat 10/25 North Carolina vs Virginia
Fri 10/31 North Carolina at Syracuse
Sat 11/8 North Carolina vs Stanford
Sat 11/15 North Carolina at Wake Forest
Sat 11/22 North Carolina vs Duke
Sat 11/29 North Carolina at NC State
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

CLEM's OC Garrett Riley vs UNC's DC Stephen Belichick     UNC's OC Freddie Kitchens vs CLEM's DC Tom Allen

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CLEM#21 (.27)47% (25)34.750% (12)3.28 (29)17445% (36)2794.33 (29)#52 (.14)40% (50)23.443% (68)38% (36)3.64 (48)47.60.71.9
UNC#65 (.2)42% (79)30.947% (35)3.32 (23)17537% (114)2164.08 (52)#71 (.17)41% (54)28.144% (83)37% (26)4.01 (90)59.81.21.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CLEM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UNC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CLEM Offense1434.73046.7%4.330.7244521742795.243%56%50%45%13%.27
UNC Defense1328.133.440.5%4.011.2 - - - - - 53%46%44%37%15%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CLEM Defense1423.419.840.1%3.641.9 - - - - - 46%53%43%38%19%.14
UNC Offense1330.93642%4.081.2203911752164.952%47%47%37%15%.2

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Clemson1430:2923.944%59%4.947.60.71.96.12.5230.1
North Carolina1327:4220.240%50%6.859.81.21.25.22.8629.1
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CLEM Offense1443% (113)50% (12)33.6173.85.223 (52).24 (19)3.28 (29)72% (78)8% (40)0.96 (71)
UNC Defense1353% (92)44% (83) - - - - .16 (88)3.39 (121)86% (130)9% (83)0.89 (30)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CLEM Defense1446% (20)43% (68) - - - - .15 (84)2.93 (53)59% (8)11% (38)1.12 (119)
UNC Offense1352% (52)47% (35)35.9175.24.926 (36).26 (14)3.32 (23)70% (89)9% (54)1.06 (36)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CLEM Offense1456% (23)45% (36)23.637.8278.57.411.837 (2)7 (26).33 (38)1.5 (79)30% (40)38% (6).58 (4)5% (21)2.1 (40)
UNC Defense1346% (38)37% (26) - - - - - - 9 (76).22 (63)1.8 (125)32% (67)26% (12).23 (35)5% (103)2.2 (99)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CLEM Defense1453% (114)38% (36) - - - - - - 16 (10).15 (29)1.6 (60)35% (25)32% (90).3 (65)8% (20)2 (64)
UNC Offense1347% (83)37% (114)16.829215.97.512.817 (79)8 (40).17 (101)1.7 (29)32% (75)29% (94).32 (79)6% (60)2.1 (33)

Clemson's Power Ratings
Clemson's Power Rating: 25.68 #9
Clemson's Offense Rating: 29.86 #4
Clemson's Defense Rating: 4.18 #23
2025 Talent Rating: 990.00 #12
Blue Chip Ratio: 44% #15
Clemson's 2025 Expected Record: 10.2 - 1.8
Clemson's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.8 #11
Clemson's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.8 #8
Clemson's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.0 #20

Clemson's SP+ Ratings
Clemson's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.8 #11
Clemson's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.8 #8
Clemson's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.0 #20

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 825.88
Average Power Five Talent: 862.84
Average FBS Talent: 688.93

Power Ratings Matchup
Clemson: 25.68   North Carolina: 4.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Clemson: 18.8   North Carolina: 4.6




North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: 4.2 #61
North Carolina's Offense Rating: 14.28 #67
North Carolina's Defense Rating: 12.08 #60
2025 Talent Rating: 828.00 #36
Blue Chip Ratio: 20 #26
North Carolina's 2025 Expected Record: 6.8 - 5.2

North Carolina's SP+ Ratings
North Carolina's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.6 #43
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #33
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.8 #60

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 825.88
Average Power Five Talent: 862.84
Average FBS Talent: 688.93


Clemson Scoring
Offense: 34.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 30
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 19.8

Clemson's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Clemson 31
North Carolina 27

Projected Total Points: 58
North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 36
Defense: 28.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 33.4

North Carolina's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/18Clemson31North Carolina20ClemsonClemson -7.5Clemson58.0Under
202212/03North Carolina10Clemson39ClemsonClemson -7.5Clemson64.0Under
201909/28North Carolina20Clemson21ClemsonClemson -27.5North Carolina61.0Under
201512/05Clemson45North Carolina37ClemsonClemson -6.5Clemson67.5Over
201409/27Clemson50North Carolina35ClemsonClemson -10Clemson0
201110/22Clemson59North Carolina38Clemson
201010/09North Carolina21Clemson16North Carolina
200609/23Clemson52North Carolina7Clemson
200310/25Clemson36North Carolina28Clemson
200211/09North Carolina12Clemson42Clemson
200110/20Clemson3North Carolina38North Carolina
200010/20North Carolina24Clemson38Clemson
TeamWinsCoversO/U
North Carolina211 Overs
Clemson1043 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 54 - 13 - 01 - 1
Road Teams5 - 71 - 41 - 10 - 3

(#9) Clemson Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 25.68 #9
Offense Rating: 29.86 #4
Defense Rating: 4.18 #23
Overall SP+ Rating: 18.8 #11
Offense SP+ Rating: 37.8 #8
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.0 #20
Talent Rating: 990.00 #12
Blue Chip Ratio: 44% #15
Expected Record: 10.2 - 1.8

Clemson     Ratings Matchup     North Carolina
Power #9
#61
Off #4
#67
Def #23
#60
Talent #12
#36
SP+ #11
#43
SP+ Off #8
#33
SP+ Def #20
#60

Previous Matchups
Clemson beat North Carolina in 2023 (31-20)
Clemson beat North Carolina in 2022 (39-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kenan Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: CLEM | UNC
Depth Chart: CLEM | UNC
Rosters: CLEM | UNC
(#61) North Carolina Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 4.2 #61
Offense Rating: 14.28 #67
Defense Rating: 12.08 #60
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.6 #43
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #33
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.8 #60
Talent Rating: 828.00 #36
Blue Chip Ratio: 20 #26
Expected Record: 6.8 - 5.2





  
Clemson's OC Garrett Riley
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Cade Klubnik30848663%36393667.5
Christopher Vizzina193456%190005.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cade Klubnik11946273.955
Jay Haynes4329536.970
Keith Adams Jr.3012214.118
Antonio Williams7101114.436
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Antonio Williams749021112.257
Bryant Wesco Jr.41708517.376
T.J. Moore45651514.541
Cole Turner16229214.343
North Carolina's OC Freddie Kitchens
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ryan Browne437657%532427.0
Max Johnson121963%71013.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Davion Gause6732644.921
Ryan Browne5015503.123
Charleston French108418.445
Aziah Johnson115015.015
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Aziah Johnson16276217.352
Christian Hamilton7159122.758
Chris Culliver6135122.550
Jordan Shipp9114112.722

Clemson's DC Tom Allen
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Wade Woodaz759394
Sammy Brown6612522
Khalil Barnes571034
Will Heldt5610550
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
T.J. Parker50171151
Sammy Brown6612522
Will Heldt5610550
Wade Woodaz759394
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Avieon Terrell4951011
Jeadyn Lukus321006
Wade Woodaz759394
North Carolina's DC Stephen Belichick
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kaleb Cost613104
Gavin Gibson527013
Thaddeus Dixon4320010
Beau Atkinson3512840
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Beau Atkinson3512840
Pryce Yates217451
C.J. Mims214100
Cade Law21100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Thaddeus Dixon4320010
Kaleb Cost613104
Khmori House331014