NC State at Notre Dame Game Matchup
NC State logo NC State Wolfpack at Notre Dame Fighting IrishNotre Dame logo
Saturday, October 11th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Notre Dame Stadium - Notre Dame, IN

 
Wolfpack (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Dave Doeren (87 - 64)
Avg Score : 29 - 30 (31 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.7 - 5.3 (#47)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 2) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 4)
ND 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Notre Dame -24.5    (SP+ -19)
PPG only: NCST: 22 - ND: 33 (55)
NCST Win prob: 49% | Cover: 49%
NCST Travel: 574 miles
Fighting Irish (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Marcus Freeman (33 - 10)
Avg Score : 36 - 16 (34 - 12 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.9 - 1.1 (#1)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 4) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 2)
 
NC State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Thu 8/28 NC State vs East Carolina
Sat 9/6 NC State vs Virginia
Thu 9/11 NC State at Wake Forest
Sat 9/20 NC State at Duke
Sat 9/27 NC State vs Virginia Tech
Sat 10/4 NC State vs Campbell
Sat 10/11 NC State at Notre Dame
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 NC State at Pittsburgh
Sat 11/1 NC State vs Georgia Tech
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 NC State at Miami
Fri 11/21 NC State vs Florida State
Sat 11/29 NC State vs North Carolina
Total: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Notre Dame's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sun 8/31 Notre Dame at Miami
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/13 Notre Dame vs Texas A&M
Sat 9/20 Notre Dame vs Purdue
Sat 9/27 Notre Dame at Arkansas
Sat 10/4 Notre Dame vs Boise State
Sat 10/11 Notre Dame vs NC State
Sat 10/18 Notre Dame vs USC
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Notre Dame at Boston College
Sat 11/8 Notre Dame vs Navy
Sat 11/15 Notre Dame at Pittsburgh
Sat 11/22 Notre Dame vs Syracuse
Sat 11/29 Notre Dame at Stanford
Total: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

NCST's OC Kurt Roper vs ND's DC Chris Ash     ND's OC Mike Denbrock vs NCST's DC D. J. Eliot

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NCST#28 (.25)45% (36)28.544% (68)3.24 (36)13047% (21)2153.97 (62)#86 (.19)41% (59)30.239% (30)43% (87)3.78 (67)451.71.4
ND#8 (.32)47% (23)36.147% (27)3.31 (25)18147% (22)1604.8 (6)#1 (-.02)36% (8)15.543% (73)29% (1)2.75 (4)42.40.81.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NCST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ND0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NCST Offense1328.530.845.1%3.971.7193451302154.447%52%44%47%19%.25
ND Defense1615.51236.4%2.751.8 - - - - - 51%48%43%29%19%-.02
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NCST Defense1330.235.540.9%3.781.4 - - - - - 47%53%39%43%20%.19
ND Offense1636.133.747%4.80.8173411811606.353%47%47%47%11%.32

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
NC State1329:1018.637%56%4.8451.71.46.21.8228.9
Notre Dame1624:3416.839%76%4.842.40.81.842.1533.2
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NCST Offense1347% (89)44% (68)29.6130.34.421 (59).15 (56)3.24 (36)69% (92)13% (126)0.98 (60)
ND Defense1651% (81)43% (73) - - - - .1 (58)2.9 (48)67% (30)10% (57)0.85 (12)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NCST Defense1347% (33)39% (30) - - - - .2 (109)3.07 (83)76% (87)12% (24)1.28 (134)
ND Offense1653% (48)47% (27)28.6181.36.342 (3).36 (2)3.31 (25)73% (71)8% (28)1.3 (1)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NCST Offense1352% (48)47% (21)18.228.1214.87.711.818 (68)12 (85).36 (24)1.6 (45)30% (35)36% (24).57 (5)6% (82)2.2 (19)
ND Defense1648% (56)29% (1) - - - - - - 18 (4)-.15 (1)1.6 (67)34% (28)27% (24).1 (2)8% (6)1.6 (2)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NCST Defense1353% (106)43% (87) - - - - - - 8 (93).19 (47)1.5 (22)33% (50)30% (65).33 (83)8% (16)2.3 (120)
ND Offense1647% (87)47% (22)14.922.4159.97.210.820 (58)6 (10).29 (51)1.3 (133)28% (20)32% (60).45 (22)3% (6)2.1 (50)

NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: 6.24 #52
NC State's Offense Rating: 18.95 #43
NC State's Defense Rating: 12.71 #63
2025 Talent Rating: 788.00 #47
Blue Chip Ratio: 10% #37
NC State's 2025 Expected Record: 6.7 - 5.3
NC State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.5 #45
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.6 #31
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #63

NC State's SP+ Ratings
NC State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.5 #45
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.6 #31
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #63

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 825.88
Average Power Five Talent: 862.84
Average FBS Talent: 688.93

Power Ratings Matchup
NC State: 6.24   Notre Dame: 30.69

SP+ Ratings Matchup
NC State: 4.5   Notre Dame: 23.4




Notre Dame's Power Ratings
Notre Dame's Power Rating: 30.69 #6
Notre Dame's Offense Rating: 27.27 #9
Notre Dame's Defense Rating: -1.42 #6
2025 Talent Rating: 1100.00 #4
Blue Chip Ratio: 50 #9
Notre Dame's 2025 Expected Record: 10.9 - 1.1

Notre Dame's SP+ Ratings
Notre Dame's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 23.4 #5
Notre Dame's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.3 #10
Notre Dame's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.9 #8

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 701.33
Average Power Five Talent: 862.84
Average FBS Talent: 688.93


NC State Scoring
Offense: 28.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.8
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.5

NC State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Notre Dame 33
NC State 22

Projected Total Points: 55
Notre Dame Scoring
Offense: 36.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.7
Defense: 15.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 12

Notre Dame's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/09NC State24Notre Dame45Notre DameNotre Dame -7Notre Dame49.5Over
201710/28Notre Dame35NC State14Notre DameNotre Dame -7Notre Dame61.0Under
201610/08NC State10Notre Dame3NC StateNotre Dame -2.5NC State56.5Under
200201/01Notre Dame6NC State28NC State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Notre Dame221 Overs
NC State212 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 22 - 11 - 01 - 1
Road Teams2 - 21 - 21 - 10 - 1

(#52) NC State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 6.24 #52
Offense Rating: 18.95 #43
Defense Rating: 12.71 #63
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.5 #45
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.6 #31
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #63
Talent Rating: 788.00 #47
Blue Chip Ratio: 10% #37
Expected Record: 6.7 - 5.3

NC State     Ratings Matchup     Notre Dame
Power #52
#6
Off #43
#9
Def #63
#6
Talent #47
#4
SP+ #45
#5
SP+ Off #31
#10
SP+ Def #63
#8

Previous Matchups
Notre Dame beat NC State in 2023 (45-24)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Notre Dame Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: NCST | ND
Depth Chart: NCST | ND
Rosters: NCST | ND
(#6) Notre Dame Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 30.69 #6
Offense Rating: 27.27 #9
Defense Rating: -1.42 #6
Overall SP+ Rating: 23.4 #5
Offense SP+ Rating: 37.3 #10
Defense SP+ Rating: 13.9 #8
Talent Rating: 1100.00 #4
Blue Chip Ratio: 50 #9
Expected Record: 10.9 - 1.1





  
NC State's OC Kurt Roper
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
CJ Bailey19630265%241217108.0
Lex Thomas5863%65118.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Daylan Smothers8957166.453
Kendrick Raphael7842535.440
CJ Bailey9927952.831
Lex Thomas1909.09
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Justin Joly43661415.440
Noah Rogers35478113.775
Wesley Grimes24319113.330
Dacari Collins24314213.143
Notre Dame's OC Mike Denbrock
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Steven Angeli243667%268307.4
Malachi Fields2367%510017.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jeremiyah Love1631124176.998
Jadarian Price12074676.270
Aneyas Williams3421926.458
Kedren Young2111615.512
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Malachi Fields55808514.745
Jaden Greathouse42592414.154
Will Pauling4240739.728
Jordan Faison30356111.944

NC State's DC D. J. Eliot
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sean Brown9593131
Jeremiah Johnson691016
Kamal Bonner567160
Caden Fordham504162
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Travali Price379430
Sean Brown9593131
Tra Thomas285210
Kamal Bonner567160
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Devon Marshall331007
Jeremiah Johnson691016
Caden Fordham504162
Notre Dame's DC Chris Ash
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Drayk Bowen784122
Adon Shuler593025
Jaiden Ausberry566121
Jaylen Sneed516320
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Donovan Hinish344441
Jared Dawson197400
Boubacar Traore126320
Junior Tuihalamaka326331
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Leonard Moore4820111
Christian Gray353009
DeVonta Smith301015