Louisville at Miami Game Matchup
Louisville logo Louisville Cardinals at Miami HurricanesMiami logo
Friday, October 17th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Hard Rock Stadium - Miami Gardens, FL  (ACC)

 
Cardinals (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jeff Brohm (18 - 8)
Avg Score : 37 - 24 (31 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.7 - 4.3 (#28)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 3) (Good: 2) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 3)
LOU coming off BYE
MIAMI coming off BYE
Our Line: Miami -12.5    (SP+ -5)
PPG only: LOU: 31 - MIAMI: 34 (65)
LOU Win prob: 49% | Cover: 49%
LOU Travel: 905 miles
Hurricanes (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Mario Cristobal (22 - 15)
Avg Score : 44 - 25 (48 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.4 - 2.6 (#10)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 5) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
 
Louisville's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/30 Louisville vs Eastern Kentucky
Sat 9/6 Louisville vs James Madison
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Louisville vs Bowling Green
Sat 9/27 Louisville at Pittsburgh
Sat 10/4 Louisville vs Virginia
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/17 Louisville at Miami
Sat 10/25 Louisville vs Boston College
Sat 11/1 Louisville at Virginia Tech
Sat 11/8 Louisville vs California
Fri 11/14 Louisville vs Clemson
Sat 11/22 Louisville at SMU
Sat 11/29 Louisville vs Kentucky
Total: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Miami's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sun 8/31 Miami vs Notre Dame
Sat 9/6 Miami vs Bethune-Cookman
Sat 9/13 Miami vs South Florida
Sat 9/20 Miami vs Florida
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Miami at Florida State
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/17 Miami vs Louisville
Sat 10/25 Miami vs Stanford
Sat 11/1 Miami at SMU
Sat 11/8 Miami vs Syracuse
Sat 11/15 Miami vs NC State
Sat 11/22 Miami at Virginia Tech
Sat 11/29 Miami at Pittsburgh
Total: Elite: 2, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

LOU's OC Brian Brohm vs MIAMI's DC Corey Hetherman     MIAMI's OC Shannon Dawson vs LOU's DC Ron English

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LOU#14 (.31)46% (21)36.548% (14)3.09 (52)17345% (31)2514.27 (48)#70 (.18)40% (43)24.140% (43)40% (52)3.98 (94)46.10.81.2
MIAMI#2 (.4)52% (1)43.956% (1)3.59 (4)16550% (7)3324.96 (2)#69 (.16)38% (25)25.338% (16)38% (41)4.02 (91)63.111.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LOU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MIAMI0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LOU Offense1336.531.346.4%4.270.8204241732515.845%54%48%45%13%.31
MIAMI Defense1325.31738.1%4.021.4 - - - - - 45%55%38%38%18%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LOU Defense1324.125.240.2%3.981.2 - - - - - 49%51%40%40%16%.18
MIAMI Offense1343.947.852.5%4.961254971653325.543%57%56%50%10%.4

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Louisville1327:3920.140%40%5.946.10.81.25.82.2130.3
Miami1330:1325.256%65%6.263.111.45.92.6129.7
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LOU Offense1345% (109)48% (14)29.9172.75.827 (30).2 (29)3.09 (52)65% (108)8% (25)1.04 (48)
MIAMI Defense1345% (11)38% (16) - - - - .08 (49)2.6 (16)57% (4)11% (43)1.15 (125)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LOU Defense1349% (52)40% (43) - - - - .08 (42)2.9 (50)65% (22)11% (52)0.99 (73)
MIAMI Offense1343% (114)56% (1)30.1165.55.528 (25).32 (5)3.59 (4)90% (1)6% (3)0.95 (75)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LOU Offense1354% (26)45% (31)19.630.9251.58.112.823 (41)6 (10).41 (12)1.7 (37)30% (36)38% (9).5 (12)5% (50)2.1 (44)
MIAMI Defense1355% (125)38% (41) - - - - - - 14 (23).23 (64)1.7 (113)36% (9)36% (123).45 (115)7% (34)2.1 (83)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LOU Defense1351% (84)40% (52) - - - - - - 9 (76).27 (81)1.7 (108)31% (65)33% (99).26 (61)5% (90)1.8 (21)
MIAMI Offense1357% (20)50% (7)23.935.1331.69.513.938 (1)7 (26).47 (6)1.7 (26)27% (4)42% (1).69 (1)4% (16)2.3 (6)

Louisville's Power Ratings
Louisville's Power Rating: 10.23 #38
Louisville's Offense Rating: 21.99 #28
Louisville's Defense Rating: 11.76 #57
2025 Talent Rating: 716.00 #68
Blue Chip Ratio: 5% #54
Louisville's 2025 Expected Record: 7.7 - 4.3
Louisville's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.4 #22
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #11
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #44

Louisville's SP+ Ratings
Louisville's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.4 #22
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #11
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #44

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 825.88
Average Power Five Talent: 862.84
Average FBS Talent: 688.93

Power Ratings Matchup
Louisville: 10.23   Miami: 22.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisville: 12.4   Miami: 16.9




Miami's Power Ratings
Miami's Power Rating: 22.55 #16
Miami's Offense Rating: 28.80 #6
Miami's Defense Rating: 8.25 #38
2025 Talent Rating: 956.00 #16
Blue Chip Ratio: 52 #7
Miami's 2025 Expected Record: 9.4 - 2.6

Miami's SP+ Ratings
Miami's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.9 #14
Miami's Offense SP+ Rating: 42.5 #1
Miami's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #49

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 825.88
Average Power Five Talent: 862.84
Average FBS Talent: 688.93


Louisville Scoring
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.3
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.2

Louisville's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Miami 34
Louisville 31

Projected Total Points: 65
Miami Scoring
Offense: 43.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 47.8
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 17

Miami's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/19Louisville45Miami52MiamiMiami -4.5Miami61.5Over
202311/18Miami31Louisville38LouisvilleMiami -1.5Louisville46.5Over
202009/19Louisville34Miami47MiamiMiami -2.5Miami65.5Over
201911/09Miami52Louisville27MiamiMiami -6.5Miami49.0Over
201409/01Louisville31Miami13LouisvilleLouisville -5.5Louisville55.5Under
201312/28Louisville36Miami9LouisvilleLouisville -5.5Louisville60.0Under
200609/16Louisville31Miami7Louisville
200410/14Miami41Louisville38Miami
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Miami434 Overs
Louisville432 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 33 - 33 - 10 - 2
Road Teams3 - 53 - 32 - 01 - 3

(#38) Louisville Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 10.23 #38
Offense Rating: 21.99 #28
Defense Rating: 11.76 #57
Overall SP+ Rating: 12.4 #22
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #11
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #44
Talent Rating: 716.00 #68
Blue Chip Ratio: 5% #54
Expected Record: 7.7 - 4.3

Louisville     Ratings Matchup     Miami
Power #38
#16
Off #28
#6
Def #57
#38
Talent #68
#16
SP+ #22
#14
SP+ Off #11
#1
SP+ Def #44
#49

Previous Matchups
Miami beat Louisville last year (52-45)
Louisville beat Miami in 2023 (38-31)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Hard Rock Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: LOU | MIAMI
Depth Chart: LOU | MIAMI
Rosters: LOU | MIAMI
(#16) Miami Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 22.55 #16
Offense Rating: 28.80 #6
Defense Rating: 8.25 #38
Overall SP+ Rating: 16.9 #14
Offense SP+ Rating: 42.5 #1
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #49
Talent Rating: 956.00 #16
Blue Chip Ratio: 52 #7
Expected Record: 9.4 - 2.6





  
Louisville's OC Brian Brohm
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Miller Moss23336264%25551897.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Isaac Brown1651173117.177
Duke Watson6759778.968
Chris Bell243021.547
Caullin Lacy52114.29
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chris Bell43737417.168
Bobby Golden31446114.456
Caullin Lacy18196110.934
Isaac Brown3015215.113
Miami's OC Shannon Dawson
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Carson Beck29044865%348528127.8
Emory Williams162662%187117.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Mark Fletcher Jr.11260795.430
Jordan Lyle5440047.491
Carson Beck557111.314
Elija Lofton230115.028
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
C.J. Daniels42480011.434
Alex Bauman15171611.436
Elija Lofton9150116.740
Mark Fletcher Jr.10106010.622

Louisville's DC Ron English
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
JoJo Evans933017
TJ Quinn824200
Stanquan Clark768102
Darius Thomas547430
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Clev Lubin43111073
Darius Thomas547430
Jordan Guerad224321
Rene Konga203320
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jabari Mack3220011
JoJo Evans933017
Justin Agu362004
Miami's DC Corey Hetherman
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zechariah Poyser773008
Wesley Bissainthe595211
David Blay4510620
Akheem Mesidor329620
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
David Blay4510620
Akheem Mesidor329620
Rueben Bain Jr.236410
Wesley Bissainthe595211
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zechariah Poyser773008
Ethan O'Connor301018
Charles Brantley272007