Virginia at Duke Game Matchup
Virginia logo Virginia Cavaliers at Duke Blue DevilsDuke logo
Saturday, November 15th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Wallace Wade Stadium - Durham, NC  (ACC)

 
Cavaliers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Tony Elliott (11 - 23)
Avg Score : 23 - 29 (27 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.8 - 6.2 (#52)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 3) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 5)
Our Line: Duke -9.5    (SP+ -11)
PPG only: UVA: 24 - DUKE: 28 (52)
UVA Win prob: 49% | Cover: 49%
UVA Travel: 143 miles
Blue Devils (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Manny Diaz (9 - 3)
Avg Score : 26 - 25 (26 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 4.7 (#34)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 7) (Bad: 3)
 
Virginia's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/30 Virginia vs Coastal Carolina
Sat 9/6 Virginia at NC State
Sat 9/13 Virginia vs William & Mary
Sat 9/20 Virginia vs Stanford
Fri 9/26 Virginia vs Florida State
Sat 10/4 Virginia at Louisville
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Virginia vs Washington State
Sat 10/25 Virginia at North Carolina
Sat 11/1 Virginia at California
Sat 11/8 Virginia vs Wake Forest
Sat 11/15 Virginia at Duke
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 Virginia vs Virginia Tech
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Duke's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/30 Duke vs Elon
Sat 9/6 Duke vs Illinois
Sat 9/13 Duke at Tulane
Sat 9/20 Duke vs NC State
Sat 9/27 Duke at Syracuse
Sat 10/4 Duke at California
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Duke vs Georgia Tech
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Duke at Clemson
Sat 11/8 Duke at UConn
Sat 11/15 Duke vs Virginia
Sat 11/22 Duke at North Carolina
Sat 11/29 Duke vs Wake Forest
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 7, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 7, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

UVA's OC Des Kitchings vs DUKE's DC Jonathan Patke     DUKE's OC Jonathan Brewer vs UVA's DC John Rudzinski

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UVA#102 (.13)40% (103)22.743% (76)3.29 (26)13337% (113)2293.47 (106)#116 (.27)43% (80)28.844% (77)42% (77)4.04 (95)45.31.61.3
DUKE#109 (.12)39% (116)26.335% (129)2.47 (131)8942% (69)2263.7 (90)#9 (.06)38% (15)24.541% (52)34% (5)3.19 (17)48.91.42
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UVA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
DUKE0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UVA Offense1222.726.740%3.471.6193621332293.748%52%43%37%18%.13
DUKE Defense1324.519.337.6%3.192 - - - - - 52%48%41%34%23%.06
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UVA Defense1228.832.242.6%4.041.3 - - - - - 49%50%44%42%15%.27
DUKE Offense1326.325.738.6%3.71.416315892263.344%56%35%42%19%.12

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Virginia1229:5319.334%52%5.245.31.61.34.81.8029.5
Duke1325:0516.329%38%5.148.91.428.53.2131.2
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UVA Offense1248% (84)43% (76)35.9132.83.714 (98).16 (50)3.29 (26)73% (77)11% (98)0.91 (93)
DUKE Defense1352% (83)41% (52) - - - - .06 (35)2.74 (29)59% (6)15% (2)0.91 (38)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UVA Defense1249% (53)44% (77) - - - - .17 (91)3.29 (112)77% (89)9% (104)0.99 (69)
DUKE Offense1344% (110)35% (129)27.589.23.313 (105)-.07 (133)2.47 (131)78% (32)10% (78)0.74 (131)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UVA Offense1252% (52)37% (113)20.533.42296.911.216 (87)14 (115).11 (121)1.5 (86)33% (101)26% (115).17 (120)7% (100)1.7 (129)
DUKE Defense1348% (51)34% (5) - - - - - - 12 (39).06 (7)1.5 (40)34% (35)29% (39).27 (52)7% (29)2.1 (69)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UVA Defense1250% (82)42% (77) - - - - - - 9 (76).37 (121)1.6 (85)32% (68)32% (84).43 (110)6% (69)2.1 (81)
DUKE Offense1356% (24)42% (69)19.632.5226.1711.526 (26)12 (85).28 (56)1.6 (56)32% (74)29% (98).3 (83)9% (129)2 (78)

Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: -0.43 #76
Virginia's Offense Rating: 14.82 #59
Virginia's Defense Rating: 15.25 #77
2025 Talent Rating: 756.00 #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Virginia's 2025 Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2
Virginia's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.8 #82
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #91
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.1 #80

Virginia's SP+ Ratings
Virginia's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.8 #82
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #91
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.1 #80

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 825.88
Average Power Five Talent: 862.84
Average FBS Talent: 688.93

Power Ratings Matchup
Virginia: -0.43   Duke: 8.98

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Virginia: -4.8   Duke: 6.5




Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: 8.98 #48
Duke's Offense Rating: 12.76 #79
Duke's Defense Rating: 5.78 #28
2025 Talent Rating: 822.00 #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 5 #54
Duke's 2025 Expected Record: 7.3 - 4.7

Duke's SP+ Ratings
Duke's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.5 #39
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #60
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #30

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 825.88
Average Power Five Talent: 862.84
Average FBS Talent: 688.93


Virginia Scoring
Offense: 22.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.7
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.2

Virginia's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Duke 28
Virginia 24

Projected Total Points: 52
Duke Scoring
Offense: 26.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.7
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.3

Duke's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/18Virginia30Duke27VirginiaDuke -4Virginia48.5Over
202210/01Duke38Virginia17DukeDuke -2Duke55.0Push
202110/16Virginia48Duke0VirginiaVirginia -10.5Virginia69.5Under
202009/26Virginia38Duke20VirginiaVirginia -3.5Virginia44.5Over
201910/19Virginia48Duke14VirginiaVirginia -3.5Virginia45.0Over
201810/20Duke14Virginia28VirginiaDuke -6.5Virginia45.5Under
201710/07Virginia28Duke21VirginiaDuke -1.5Virginia53.0Under
201610/01Duke20Virginia34VirginiaDuke -5Virginia60.5Under
201511/21Virginia42Duke34VirginiaVirginia -2.5Virginia53.5Over
201410/18Duke20Virginia13DukeDuke -5Duke0
201310/19Virginia22Duke35DukeVirginia -4Duke0
201210/06Duke42Virginia17Duke
201111/12Virginia31Duke21Virginia
201011/06Duke55Virginia48Duke
200910/31Virginia17Duke28Duke
200809/27Duke31Virginia3Duke
200709/08Virginia24Duke13Virginia
200609/30Duke0Virginia37Virginia
200509/24Virginia38Duke7Virginia
200410/23Duke16Virginia37Virginia
200308/30Virginia27Duke0Virginia
200210/05Duke22Virginia27Virginia
200109/29Virginia31Duke10Virginia
200009/15Duke10Virginia26Virginia
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Duke734 Overs
Virginia1784 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams16 - 88 - 36 - 32 - 0
Road Teams8 - 163 - 80 - 23 - 6

(#76) Virginia Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -0.43 #76
Offense Rating: 14.82 #59
Defense Rating: 15.25 #77
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.8 #82
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #91
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.1 #80
Talent Rating: 756.00 #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2

Virginia     Ratings Matchup     Duke
Power #76
#48
Off #59
#79
Def #77
#28
Talent #58
#40
SP+ #82
#39
SP+ Off #91
#60
SP+ Def #80
#30

Previous Matchups
Virginia beat Duke in 2023 (30-27)
Duke beat Virginia in 2022 (38-17)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Wallace Wade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: UVA | DUKE
Depth Chart: UVA | DUKE
Rosters: UVA | DUKE
(#48) Duke Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 8.98 #48
Offense Rating: 12.76 #79
Defense Rating: 5.78 #28
Overall SP+ Rating: 6.5 #39
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #60
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #30
Talent Rating: 822.00 #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 5 #54
Expected Record: 7.3 - 4.7





  
Virginia's OC Des Kitchings
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Chandler Morris32250963%377431127.4
Suderian Harrison11100%270027.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Xavier Brown8048816.175
Chandler Morris6024244.049
Noah Vaughn3612003.313
Cameron Ross456014.041
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cameron Ross37443312.043
Jahmal Edrine23365215.953
Trell Harris15221214.745
Jayden Thomas1816729.323
Duke's OC Jonathan Brewer
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Darian Mensah17226266%25142059.6
Henry Belin IV264558%243215.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Peyton Jones8231733.927
Anderson Castle5024614.921
Darian Mensah509111.822
Jaquez Moore328612.718
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Que'Sean Brown41445210.943
Sahmir Hagans4741338.865
Peyton Jones894111.840
Anderson Castle138806.820

Virginia's DC John Rudzinski
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kamren Robinson646521
Trey McDonald573111
Jermarian Jackson551106
Fisher Camac4615815
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Fisher Camac4615815
Kamren Robinson646521
James Jackson455220
Mitchell Melton124210
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jermarian Jackson551106
Fisher Camac4615815
Caleb Hardy82102
Duke's DC Jonathan Patke
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Caleb Weaver863016
Terry Moore717105
Tre Freeman674132
DaShawn Stone540011
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Wesley Williams4713792
Vincent Anthony25105133
Aaron Hall439462
Tyshon Reed52110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chandler Rivers548138
Caleb Weaver863016
Terry Moore717105