NC State at Miami Game Matchup
NC State logo NC State Wolfpack at Miami HurricanesMiami logo
Saturday, November 15th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Hard Rock Stadium - Miami Gardens, FL  (ACC)

 
Wolfpack (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Dave Doeren (87 - 64)
Avg Score : 29 - 30 (31 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.7 - 5.3 (#47)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 2) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 4)
MIAMI 2nd straight Home Game
NCST coming off BYE
Our Line: Miami -16.5    (SP+ -12)
PPG only: NCST: 27 - MIAMI: 37 (64)
NCST Win prob: 49% | Cover: 49%
NCST Travel: 686 miles
Hurricanes (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Mario Cristobal (22 - 15)
Avg Score : 44 - 25 (48 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.4 - 2.6 (#10)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 5) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
 
NC State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Thu 8/28 NC State vs East Carolina
Sat 9/6 NC State vs Virginia
Thu 9/11 NC State at Wake Forest
Sat 9/20 NC State at Duke
Sat 9/27 NC State vs Virginia Tech
Sat 10/4 NC State vs Campbell
Sat 10/11 NC State at Notre Dame
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 NC State at Pittsburgh
Sat 11/1 NC State vs Georgia Tech
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 NC State at Miami
Fri 11/21 NC State vs Florida State
Sat 11/29 NC State vs North Carolina
Total: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Miami's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sun 8/31 Miami vs Notre Dame
Sat 9/6 Miami vs Bethune-Cookman
Sat 9/13 Miami vs South Florida
Sat 9/20 Miami vs Florida
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Miami at Florida State
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/17 Miami vs Louisville
Sat 10/25 Miami vs Stanford
Sat 11/1 Miami at SMU
Sat 11/8 Miami vs Syracuse
Sat 11/15 Miami vs NC State
Sat 11/22 Miami at Virginia Tech
Sat 11/29 Miami at Pittsburgh
Total: Elite: 2, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

NCST's OC Kurt Roper vs MIAMI's DC Corey Hetherman     MIAMI's OC Shannon Dawson vs NCST's DC D. J. Eliot

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NCST#28 (.25)45% (36)28.544% (68)3.24 (36)13047% (21)2153.97 (62)#86 (.19)41% (59)30.239% (30)43% (87)3.78 (67)451.71.4
MIAMI#2 (.4)52% (1)43.956% (1)3.59 (4)16550% (7)3324.96 (2)#69 (.16)38% (25)25.338% (16)38% (41)4.02 (91)63.111.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NCST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MIAMI0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NCST Offense1328.530.845.1%3.971.7193451302154.447%52%44%47%19%.25
MIAMI Defense1325.31738.1%4.021.4 - - - - - 45%55%38%38%18%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NCST Defense1330.235.540.9%3.781.4 - - - - - 47%53%39%43%20%.19
MIAMI Offense1343.947.852.5%4.961254971653325.543%57%56%50%10%.4

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
NC State1329:1018.637%56%4.8451.71.46.21.8228.9
Miami1330:1325.256%65%6.263.111.45.92.6129.7
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NCST Offense1347% (89)44% (68)29.6130.34.421 (59).15 (56)3.24 (36)69% (92)13% (126)0.98 (60)
MIAMI Defense1345% (11)38% (16) - - - - .08 (49)2.6 (16)57% (4)11% (43)1.15 (125)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NCST Defense1347% (33)39% (30) - - - - .2 (109)3.07 (83)76% (87)12% (24)1.28 (134)
MIAMI Offense1343% (114)56% (1)30.1165.55.528 (25).32 (5)3.59 (4)90% (1)6% (3)0.95 (75)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NCST Offense1352% (48)47% (21)18.228.1214.87.711.818 (68)12 (85).36 (24)1.6 (45)30% (35)36% (24).57 (5)6% (82)2.2 (19)
MIAMI Defense1355% (125)38% (41) - - - - - - 14 (23).23 (64)1.7 (113)36% (9)36% (123).45 (115)7% (34)2.1 (83)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NCST Defense1353% (106)43% (87) - - - - - - 8 (93).19 (47)1.5 (22)33% (50)30% (65).33 (83)8% (16)2.3 (120)
MIAMI Offense1357% (20)50% (7)23.935.1331.69.513.938 (1)7 (26).47 (6)1.7 (26)27% (4)42% (1).69 (1)4% (16)2.3 (6)

NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: 6.24 #52
NC State's Offense Rating: 18.95 #43
NC State's Defense Rating: 12.71 #63
2025 Talent Rating: 788.00 #47
Blue Chip Ratio: 10% #37
NC State's 2025 Expected Record: 6.7 - 5.3
NC State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.5 #45
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.6 #31
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #63

NC State's SP+ Ratings
NC State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.5 #45
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.6 #31
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #63

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 825.88
Average Power Five Talent: 862.84
Average FBS Talent: 688.93

Power Ratings Matchup
NC State: 6.24   Miami: 22.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
NC State: 4.5   Miami: 16.9




Miami's Power Ratings
Miami's Power Rating: 22.55 #16
Miami's Offense Rating: 28.80 #6
Miami's Defense Rating: 8.25 #38
2025 Talent Rating: 956.00 #16
Blue Chip Ratio: 52 #7
Miami's 2025 Expected Record: 9.4 - 2.6

Miami's SP+ Ratings
Miami's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.9 #14
Miami's Offense SP+ Rating: 42.5 #1
Miami's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #49

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 825.88
Average Power Five Talent: 862.84
Average FBS Talent: 688.93


NC State Scoring
Offense: 28.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.8
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.5

NC State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Miami 37
NC State 27

Projected Total Points: 64
Miami Scoring
Offense: 43.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 47.8
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 17

Miami's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/04NC State20Miami6NC StateMiami -6.5NC State44.0Under
202110/23Miami31NC State30MiamiNC State -3.5Miami54.5Over
202011/06NC State41Miami44MiamiMiami -10NC State57.5Over
201611/19NC State13Miami27MiamiMiami -2.5Miami52.0Under
201209/29Miami44NC State37Miami
200811/29NC State38Miami28NC State
200711/03Miami16NC State19NC State
200410/23NC State31Miami45Miami
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Miami522 Overs
NC State322 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 43 - 10 - 03 - 1
Road Teams4 - 41 - 31 - 30 - 0

(#52) NC State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 6.24 #52
Offense Rating: 18.95 #43
Defense Rating: 12.71 #63
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.5 #45
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.6 #31
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #63
Talent Rating: 788.00 #47
Blue Chip Ratio: 10% #37
Expected Record: 6.7 - 5.3

NC State     Ratings Matchup     Miami
Power #52
#16
Off #43
#6
Def #63
#38
Talent #47
#16
SP+ #45
#14
SP+ Off #31
#1
SP+ Def #63
#49

Previous Matchups
NC State beat Miami in 2023 (20-6)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Hard Rock Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: NCST | MIAMI
Depth Chart: NCST | MIAMI
Rosters: NCST | MIAMI
(#16) Miami Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 22.55 #16
Offense Rating: 28.80 #6
Defense Rating: 8.25 #38
Overall SP+ Rating: 16.9 #14
Offense SP+ Rating: 42.5 #1
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #49
Talent Rating: 956.00 #16
Blue Chip Ratio: 52 #7
Expected Record: 9.4 - 2.6





  
NC State's OC Kurt Roper
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
CJ Bailey19630265%241217108.0
Lex Thomas5863%65118.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Daylan Smothers8957166.453
Kendrick Raphael7842535.440
CJ Bailey9927952.831
Lex Thomas1909.09
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Justin Joly43661415.440
Noah Rogers35478113.775
Wesley Grimes24319113.330
Dacari Collins24314213.143
Miami's OC Shannon Dawson
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Carson Beck29044865%348528127.8
Emory Williams162662%187117.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Mark Fletcher Jr.11260795.430
Jordan Lyle5440047.491
Carson Beck557111.314
Elija Lofton230115.028
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
C.J. Daniels42480011.434
Alex Bauman15171611.436
Elija Lofton9150116.740
Mark Fletcher Jr.10106010.622

NC State's DC D. J. Eliot
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sean Brown9593131
Jeremiah Johnson691016
Kamal Bonner567160
Caden Fordham504162
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Travali Price379430
Sean Brown9593131
Tra Thomas285210
Kamal Bonner567160
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Devon Marshall331007
Jeremiah Johnson691016
Caden Fordham504162
Miami's DC Corey Hetherman
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zechariah Poyser773008
Wesley Bissainthe595211
David Blay4510620
Akheem Mesidor329620
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
David Blay4510620
Akheem Mesidor329620
Rueben Bain Jr.236410
Wesley Bissainthe595211
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zechariah Poyser773008
Ethan O'Connor301018
Charles Brantley272007