North Carolina at Wake Forest Game Matchup
North Carolina logo North Carolina Tar Heels at Wake Forest Demon DeaconsWake Forest logo
Saturday, November 15th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
BB&T Field - Winston-Salem, NC  (ACC)

 
Tar Heels (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Bill Belichick (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 31 - 28 (27 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.8 - 5.2 (#45)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 5)
Our Line: North Carolina -9    (SP+ -10)
PPG only: UNC: 32 - WAKE: 27 (59)
UNC Win prob: 49% | Cover: 49%
UNC Travel: 69 miles
Demon Deacons (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jake Dickert (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 33 (27 - 35 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.2 - 7.8 (#73)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 4) (Avg: 5) (Bad: 3)
 
North Carolina's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Mon 9/1 North Carolina vs TCU
Sat 9/6 North Carolina at Charlotte
Sat 9/13 North Carolina vs Richmond
Sat 9/20 North Carolina at UCF
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 North Carolina vs Clemson
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/16 North Carolina at California
Sat 10/25 North Carolina vs Virginia
Fri 10/31 North Carolina at Syracuse
Sat 11/8 North Carolina vs Stanford
Sat 11/15 North Carolina at Wake Forest
Sat 11/22 North Carolina vs Duke
Sat 11/29 North Carolina at NC State
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Wake Forest's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Fri 8/29 Wake Forest vs Kennesaw State
Sat 9/6 Wake Forest vs Western Carolina
Thu 9/11 Wake Forest vs NC State
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Wake Forest vs Georgia Tech
Sat 10/4 Wake Forest at Virginia Tech
Sat 10/11 Wake Forest at Oregon State
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Wake Forest vs SMU
Sat 11/1 Wake Forest at Florida State
Sat 11/8 Wake Forest at Virginia
Sat 11/15 Wake Forest vs North Carolina
Sat 11/22 Wake Forest vs Delaware
Sat 11/29 Wake Forest at Duke
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 5, Bad 0, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 5, Bad 0, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

UNC's OC Freddie Kitchens vs WAKE's DC Scottie Hazelton     WAKE's OC Rob Ezell vs UNC's DC Stephen Belichick

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNC#65 (.2)42% (79)30.947% (35)3.32 (23)17537% (114)2164.08 (52)#71 (.17)41% (54)28.144% (83)37% (26)4.01 (90)59.81.21.2
WAKE#104 (.13)42% (80)25.743% (78)3 (79)13141% (75)2403.2 (121)#118 (.27)51% (134)32.548% (110)53% (133)4.12 (99)45.91.81.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
WAKE0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNC Offense1330.927.242%4.081.2203911752164.952%47%47%37%15%.2
WAKE Defense1232.534.750.7%4.121.4 - - - - - 44%56%48%53%12%.27
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNC Defense1328.120.840.5%4.011.2 - - - - - 53%46%44%37%15%.17
WAKE Offense1225.726.641.9%3.21.8223721312403.648%52%43%41%16%.13

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
North Carolina1327:4220.240%50%6.859.81.21.25.22.8629.1
Wake Forest1228:5121.839%64%5.145.91.81.44.91.7229
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNC Offense1352% (52)47% (35)35.9175.24.926 (36).26 (14)3.32 (23)70% (89)9% (54)1.06 (36)
WAKE Defense1244% (6)48% (110) - - - - .18 (101)3.13 (87)80% (112)8% (110)0.96 (58)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNC Defense1353% (92)44% (83) - - - - .16 (88)3.39 (121)86% (130)9% (83)0.89 (30)
WAKE Offense1248% (86)43% (78)36.4131.43.618 (78).05 (106)3 (79)81% (17)10% (71)0.92 (89)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNC Offense1347% (83)37% (114)16.829215.97.512.817 (79)8 (40).17 (101)1.7 (29)32% (75)29% (94).32 (79)6% (60)2.1 (33)
WAKE Defense1256% (129)53% (133) - - - - - - 11 (52).36 (116)1.3 (2)26% (130)40% (132).41 (106)4% (131)1.8 (17)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNC Defense1346% (38)37% (26) - - - - - - 9 (76).22 (63)1.8 (125)32% (67)26% (12).23 (35)5% (103)2.2 (99)
WAKE Offense1252% (50)41% (75)20.733.6240.17.211.617 (79)13 (103).23 (83)1.5 (115)31% (62)28% (101).15 (125)7% (92)1.9 (103)

North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: 2.20 #61
North Carolina's Offense Rating: 14.28 #67
North Carolina's Defense Rating: 12.08 #60
2025 Talent Rating: 828.00 #36
Blue Chip Ratio: 20% #26
North Carolina's 2025 Expected Record: 6.8 - 5.2
North Carolina's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.6 #43
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #33
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.8 #60

North Carolina's SP+ Ratings
North Carolina's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.6 #43
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #33
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.8 #60

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 825.88
Average Power Five Talent: 862.84
Average FBS Talent: 688.93

Power Ratings Matchup
North Carolina: 2.20   Wake Forest: -6.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Carolina: 4.6   Wake Forest: -5.2




Wake Forest's Power Ratings
Wake Forest's Power Rating: -6.55 #95
Wake Forest's Offense Rating: 11.21 #85
Wake Forest's Defense Rating: 19.76 #107
2025 Talent Rating: 766.00 #56
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #61
Wake Forest's 2025 Expected Record: 4.2 - 7.8

Wake Forest's SP+ Ratings
Wake Forest's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.2 #83
Wake Forest's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.2 #81
Wake Forest's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.5 #86

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 825.88
Average Power Five Talent: 862.84
Average FBS Talent: 688.93


North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.2
Defense: 28.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.8

North Carolina's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
North Carolina 32
Wake Forest 27

Projected Total Points: 59
Wake Forest Scoring
Offense: 25.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.6
Defense: 32.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 34.7

Wake Forest's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/16North Carolina31Wake Forest24North CarolinaNorth Carolina -10.5Wake Forest64.5Under
202211/12Wake Forest34North Carolina36North CarolinaWake Forest -4.5North Carolina79.0Under
202111/06North Carolina58Wake Forest55North CarolinaNorth Carolina -2.5North Carolina78.0Over
202011/14North Carolina59Wake Forest53North CarolinaNorth Carolina -13Wake Forest70.5Over
201909/13Wake Forest24North Carolina18Wake ForestWake Forest -3Wake Forest65.0Under
201510/17North Carolina50Wake Forest14North CarolinaNorth Carolina -14North Carolina53.5Over
201209/08Wake Forest28North Carolina27Wake Forest
201110/29North Carolina49Wake Forest24North Carolina
200710/27Wake Forest37North Carolina10Wake Forest
200610/28North Carolina17Wake Forest24Wake Forest
200411/13Wake Forest24North Carolina31North Carolina
200311/08North Carolina42Wake Forest34North Carolina
200210/26Wake Forest31North Carolina0Wake Forest
200111/10North Carolina31Wake Forest32Wake Forest
200009/08Wake Forest14North Carolina35North Carolina
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Wake Forest633 Overs
North Carolina933 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams10 - 53 - 33 - 30 - 0
Road Teams5 - 103 - 30 - 03 - 3

(#61) North Carolina Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 2.20 #61
Offense Rating: 14.28 #67
Defense Rating: 12.08 #60
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.6 #43
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #33
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.8 #60
Talent Rating: 828.00 #36
Blue Chip Ratio: 20% #26
Expected Record: 6.8 - 5.2

North Carolina     Ratings Matchup     Wake Forest
Power #61
#95
Off #67
#85
Def #60
#107
Talent #36
#56
SP+ #43
#83
SP+ Off #33
#81
SP+ Def #60
#86

Previous Matchups
North Carolina beat Wake Forest last year (31-24)
North Carolina beat Wake Forest in 2022 (36-34)

Weather Forecast
Playing in BB&T Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: UNC | WAKE
Depth Chart: UNC | WAKE
Rosters: UNC | WAKE
(#95) Wake Forest Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -6.55 #95
Offense Rating: 11.21 #85
Defense Rating: 19.76 #107
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.2 #83
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.2 #81
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.5 #86
Talent Rating: 766.00 #56
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #61
Expected Record: 4.2 - 7.8





  
North Carolina's OC Freddie Kitchens
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ryan Browne437657%532427.0
Max Johnson121963%71013.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Davion Gause6732644.921
Ryan Browne5015503.123
Charleston French108418.445
Aziah Johnson115015.015
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Aziah Johnson16276217.352
Christian Hamilton7159122.758
Chris Culliver6135122.550
Jordan Shipp9114112.722
Wake Forest's OC Rob Ezell
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Deshawn Purdie10020050%18021069.0
Robby Ashford233272%3242010.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Demond Claiborne2281048114.660
Tate Carney8233564.118
Robby Ashford4122725.538
Jaydn Girard1303.03
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Carlos Hernandez31397512.842
Demond Claiborne23254211.044
Micah Mays Jr.16218213.641
Sterling Berkhalter11191117.461

North Carolina's DC Stephen Belichick
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kaleb Cost613104
Gavin Gibson527013
Thaddeus Dixon4320010
Beau Atkinson3512840
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Beau Atkinson3512840
Pryce Yates217451
C.J. Mims214100
Cade Law21100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Thaddeus Dixon4320010
Kaleb Cost613104
Khmori House331014
Wake Forest's DC Scottie Hazelton
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dylan Hazen786130
Davaughn Patterson744003
Quincy Bryant483020
Langston Hardy447430
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Gabe Kirschke4110682
Langston Hardy447430
Zach Lohavichan123200
Dylan Hazen786130
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Davaughn Patterson744003
Jaxon Mull300002
Gabe Kirschke4110682