Florida State at NC State Game Matchup
Florida State logo Florida State Seminoles at NC State WolfpackNC State logo
Friday, November 21st 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Carter-Finley Stadium - Raleigh, NC  (ACC)

 
Seminoles (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Mike Norvell (33 - 27)
Avg Score : 15 - 28 (12 - 38 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.9 - 5.1 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 4) (Good: 1) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 3)
Our Line: Florida State -3.5    (SP+ -1)
PPG only: FSU: 23 - NCST: 28 (51)
FSU Win prob: 49% | Cover: 49%
FSU Travel: 491 miles
Wolfpack (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Dave Doeren (87 - 64)
Avg Score : 29 - 30 (31 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.7 - 5.3 (#47)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 2) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 4)
 
Florida State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/30 Florida State vs Alabama
Sat 9/6 Florida State vs East Texas A&M
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Florida State vs Kent State
Fri 9/26 Florida State at Virginia
Sat 10/4 Florida State vs Miami
Sat 10/11 Florida State vs Pittsburgh
Sat 10/18 Florida State at Stanford
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Florida State vs Wake Forest
Sat 11/8 Florida State at Clemson
Sat 11/15 Florida State vs Virginia Tech
Fri 11/21 Florida State at NC State
Sat 11/29 Florida State at Florida
Total: Elite: 4, Good: 1, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 4, Good: 1, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
NC State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Thu 8/28 NC State vs East Carolina
Sat 9/6 NC State vs Virginia
Thu 9/11 NC State at Wake Forest
Sat 9/20 NC State at Duke
Sat 9/27 NC State vs Virginia Tech
Sat 10/4 NC State vs Campbell
Sat 10/11 NC State at Notre Dame
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 NC State at Pittsburgh
Sat 11/1 NC State vs Georgia Tech
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 NC State at Miami
Fri 11/21 NC State vs Florida State
Sat 11/29 NC State vs North Carolina
Total: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

FSU's OC Gus Malzahn vs NCST's DC D. J. Eliot     NCST's OC Kurt Roper vs FSU's DC Tony White

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FSU#125 (.06)35% (128)15.440% (103)2.9 (92)9131% (130)1802.88 (131)#112 (.25)41% (56)2842% (62)39% (53)3.62 (46)47.91.80.5
NCST#28 (.25)45% (36)28.544% (68)3.24 (36)13047% (21)2153.97 (62)#86 (.19)41% (59)30.239% (30)43% (87)3.78 (67)451.71.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
NCST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FSU Offense1215.412.335.4%2.881.815271911802.946%54%40%31%21%.06
NCST Defense1330.224.740.9%3.781.4 - - - - - 47%53%39%43%20%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FSU Defense122838.340.8%3.620.5 - - - - - 56%44%42%39%14%.25
NCST Offense1328.53145.1%3.971.7193451302154.447%52%44%47%19%.25

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Florida State1227:1115.229%63%5.647.91.80.55.82126.3
NC State1329:1018.637%56%4.8451.71.46.21.8228.9
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FSU Offense1246% (101)40% (103)31.490.82.98 (130).07 (101)2.9 (92)68% (103)15% (130)0.87 (118)
NCST Defense1347% (33)39% (30) - - - - .2 (109)3.07 (83)76% (87)12% (24)1.28 (134)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FSU Defense1256% (119)42% (62) - - - - .2 (107)3.06 (81)80% (111)10% (77)1.1 (114)
NCST Offense1347% (89)44% (68)29.6130.34.421 (59).15 (56)3.24 (36)69% (92)13% (126)0.98 (60)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FSU Offense1254% (35)31% (130)14.929.6180.36.112.111 (122)13 (103).04 (130)1.8 (20)39% (133)26% (113).24 (102)6% (62)2.1 (28)
NCST Defense1353% (106)43% (87) - - - - - - 8 (93).19 (47)1.5 (22)33% (50)30% (65).33 (83)8% (16)2.3 (120)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FSU Defense1244% (15)39% (53) - - - - - - 4 (125).34 (110)1.8 (120)33% (46)34% (110).52 (127)5% (116)2.3 (121)
NCST Offense1352% (48)47% (21)18.228.1214.87.711.818 (68)12 (85).36 (24)1.6 (45)30% (35)36% (24).57 (5)6% (82)2.2 (19)

Florida State's Power Ratings
Florida State's Power Rating: 11.61 #34
Florida State's Offense Rating: 18.28 #51
Florida State's Defense Rating: 6.67 #31
2025 Talent Rating: 948.00 #18
Blue Chip Ratio: 45% #14
Florida State's 2025 Expected Record: 6.9 - 5.1
Florida State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.2 #51
Florida State's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.0 #84
Florida State's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #33

Florida State's SP+ Ratings
Florida State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.2 #51
Florida State's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.0 #84
Florida State's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #33

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 825.88
Average Power Five Talent: 862.84
Average FBS Talent: 688.93

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida State: 11.61   NC State: 8.24

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida State: 3.2   NC State: 4.5




NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: 8.24 #52
NC State's Offense Rating: 18.95 #43
NC State's Defense Rating: 12.71 #63
2025 Talent Rating: 788.00 #47
Blue Chip Ratio: 10 #37
NC State's 2025 Expected Record: 6.7 - 5.3

NC State's SP+ Ratings
NC State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.5 #45
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.6 #31
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #63

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 825.88
Average Power Five Talent: 862.84
Average FBS Talent: 688.93


Florida State Scoring
Offense: 15.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 12.3
Defense: 28 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.3

Florida State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
NC State 28
Florida State 23

Projected Total Points: 51
NC State Scoring
Offense: 28.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 31
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.7

NC State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202210/08NC State19Florida State17NC StateNC State -3.5Florida State50.5Under
202111/06Florida State14NC State28NC StateNC State -3NC State55.0Under
202011/14NC State38Florida State22NC StateNC State -12.0NC State61.0Under
201909/28Florida State31NC State13Florida StateFlorida State -7Florida State62.0Under
201811/03NC State47Florida State28NC StateNC State -9.5NC State52.0Over
201709/23Florida State21NC State27NC StateFlorida State -11.5NC State50.0Under
201611/05NC State20Florida State24Florida StateFlorida State -6.5NC State58.0Under
201511/14Florida State34NC State17Florida StateFlorida State -10.5Florida State55.0Under
201409/27NC State41Florida State56Florida StateFlorida State -23NC State0
201310/26Florida State49NC State17Florida StateFlorida State -27.5Florida State0
201210/06NC State17Florida State16NC State
201110/29Florida State34NC State0Florida State
201010/28NC State28Florida State24NC State
200910/31Florida State45NC State42Florida State
200810/16NC State17Florida State26Florida State
200710/06Florida State27NC State10Florida State
200610/05NC State24Florida State20NC State
200511/05Florida State15NC State20NC State
200411/11NC State10Florida State17Florida State
200311/15Florida State50NC State44Florida State
200111/10Florida State28NC State34NC State
200010/27NC State14Florida State58Florida State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
NC State1061 Overs
Florida State1247 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 97 - 35 - 22 - 1
Road Teams9 - 133 - 71 - 22 - 5

(#34) Florida State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 11.61 #34
Offense Rating: 18.28 #51
Defense Rating: 6.67 #31
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.2 #51
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.0 #84
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #33
Talent Rating: 948.00 #18
Blue Chip Ratio: 45% #14
Expected Record: 6.9 - 5.1

Florida State     Ratings Matchup     NC State
Power #34
#52
Off #51
#43
Def #31
#63
Talent #18
#47
SP+ #51
#45
SP+ Off #84
#31
SP+ Def #33
#63

Previous Matchups
NC State beat Florida State in 2022 (19-17)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Carter-Finley Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: FSU | NCST
Depth Chart: FSU | NCST
Rosters: FSU | NCST
(#52) NC State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 8.24 #52
Offense Rating: 18.95 #43
Defense Rating: 12.71 #63
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.5 #45
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.6 #31
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #63
Talent Rating: 788.00 #47
Blue Chip Ratio: 10 #37
Expected Record: 6.7 - 5.3





  
Florida State's OC Gus Malzahn
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Thomas Castellanos9916162%13661858.5
Brock Glenn5111445%597455.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Thomas Castellanos9319412.118
Kam Davis5217303.316
Brock Glenn359702.817
Samuel Singleton219304.427
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Randy Pittman32416213.048
Duce Robinson23396517.248
Squirrel White34381211.245
Hykeem Williams16187111.733
NC State's OC Kurt Roper
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
CJ Bailey19630265%241217108.0
Lex Thomas5863%65118.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Daylan Smothers8957166.453
Kendrick Raphael7842535.440
CJ Bailey9927952.831
Lex Thomas1909.09
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Justin Joly43661415.440
Noah Rogers35478113.775
Wesley Grimes24319113.330
Dacari Collins24314213.143

Florida State's DC Tony White
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shyheim Brown621002
Elijah Herring598434
Deante McCray553220
Blake Nichelson454100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
James Williams146540
Deamontae Diggs347562
Darrell Jackson284441
Elijah Herring598434
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elijah Herring598434
Quindarrius Jones111003
Deamontae Diggs347562
NC State's DC D. J. Eliot
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sean Brown9593131
Jeremiah Johnson691016
Kamal Bonner567160
Caden Fordham504162
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Travali Price379430
Sean Brown9593131
Tra Thomas285210
Kamal Bonner567160
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Devon Marshall331007
Jeremiah Johnson691016
Caden Fordham504162