SMU at California Game Matchup
SMU logo SMU Mustangs at California Golden BearsCalifornia logo
Saturday, November 29th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
California Memorial Stadium - Berkeley, CA  (ACC)

 
Mustangs (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Rhett Lashlee (29 - 12)
Avg Score : 37 - 22 (29 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.2 - 2.8 (#13)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 3) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 4)
Our Line: SMU -14.5    (SP+ -13)
PPG only: SMU: 29 - CAL: 24 (53)
SMU Win prob: 49% | Cover: 49%
SMU Travel: 1472 miles, 2 hrs ahead
Golden Bears (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Justin Wilcox (42 - 49)
Avg Score : 25 - 22 (31 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.7 - 6.3 (#54)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 4) (Avg: 5) (Bad: 3)
 
SMU's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/30 SMU vs East Texas A&M
Sat 9/6 SMU vs Baylor
Sat 9/13 SMU at Missouri State
Sat 9/20 SMU at TCU
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 SMU vs Syracuse
Sat 10/11 SMU vs Stanford
Sat 10/18 SMU at Clemson
Sat 10/25 SMU at Wake Forest
Sat 11/1 SMU vs Miami
Sat 11/8 SMU at Boston College
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 SMU vs Louisville
Sat 11/29 SMU at California
Total: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
California's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/30 California at Oregon State
Sat 9/6 California vs Texas Southern
Sat 9/13 California vs Minnesota
Sat 9/20 California at San Diego State
Sat 9/27 California at Boston College
Sat 10/4 California vs Duke
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/16 California vs North Carolina
Thu 10/23 California at Virginia Tech
Sat 11/1 California vs Virginia
Sat 11/8 California at Louisville
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 California at Stanford
Sat 11/29 California vs SMU
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 5, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 5, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

SMU's OC Casey Woods vs CAL's DC Vacant     CAL's OC Bryan Harsin vs SMU's DC Scott Symons

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SMU#39 (.24)44% (52)36.544% (61)2.97 (83)16944% (45)2634.41 (25)#5 (.03)37% (9)22.139% (34)35% (10)3.09 (13)77.71.71.6
CAL#79 (.17)42% (89)25.140% (104)2.68 (120)12243% (57)2593.07 (125)#48 (.14)40% (53)22.341% (54)40% (67)3.23 (20)59.70.81.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SMU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
CAL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SMU Offense1436.52944.1%4.411.7234321692634.451%49%44%44%15%.24
CAL Defense1322.32140.4%3.231.7 - - - - - 47%53%41%40%18%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SMU Defense1422.122.236.7%3.091.6 - - - - - 44%55%39%35%18%.03
CAL Offense1325.130.941.5%3.070.8213811222593.641%58%40%43%18%.17

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
SMU1428:2822.644%50%8.177.71.71.66.63.1331.1
California1330:3620.737%44%7.459.70.81.75.42.5229.6
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SMU Offense1451% (65)44% (61)38.3168.94.429 (18).12 (79)2.97 (83)70% (90)9% (49)0.93 (87)
CAL Defense1347% (28)41% (54) - - - - .08 (43)2.99 (65)86% (129)10% (70)0.91 (37)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SMU Defense1444% (9)39% (34) - - - - -.05 (2)2.72 (24)60% (10)11% (36)0.81 (6)
CAL Offense1341% (121)40% (104)33.7122.23.617 (84).07 (99)2.68 (120)69% (98)13% (125)1.1 (22)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SMU Offense1449% (70)44% (45)19.931.2262.98.413.228 (15)12 (85).37 (20)1.8 (12)33% (94)34% (34).47 (17)6% (69)2.3 (13)
CAL Defense1353% (103)40% (67) - - - - - - 17 (5).21 (52)1.7 (92)33% (45)30% (59).39 (101)8% (13)2.2 (111)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SMU Defense1455% (124)35% (10) - - - - - - 16 (10).11 (17)1.7 (107)37% (7)27% (21).16 (12)7% (31)2.1 (96)
CAL Offense1358% (14)43% (57)23.235.7258.67.311.116 (87)7 (26).25 (72)1.4 (125)36% (128)30% (86).36 (61)5% (23)2.2 (23)

SMU's Power Ratings
SMU's Power Rating: 18.12 #18
SMU's Offense Rating: 22.29 #25
SMU's Defense Rating: 4.17 #22
2025 Talent Rating: 882.00 #25
Blue Chip Ratio: 8% #44
SMU's 2025 Expected Record: 9.2 - 2.8
SMU's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.1 #18
SMU's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.4 #9
SMU's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.3 #38

SMU's SP+ Ratings
SMU's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.1 #18
SMU's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.4 #9
SMU's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.3 #38

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 825.88
Average Power Five Talent: 862.84
Average FBS Talent: 688.93

Power Ratings Matchup
SMU: 18.12   California: 3.66

SP+ Ratings Matchup
SMU: 14.1   California: 1.2




California's Power Ratings
California's Power Rating: 3.66 #64
California's Offense Rating: 14.01 #70
California's Defense Rating: 12.35 #62
2025 Talent Rating: 778.00 #50
Blue Chip Ratio: 5 #54
California's 2025 Expected Record: 5.7 - 6.3

California's SP+ Ratings
California's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.2 #57
California's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #70
California's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #48

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 825.88
Average Power Five Talent: 862.84
Average FBS Talent: 688.93


SMU Scoring
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 29
Defense: 22.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.2

SMU's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
SMU 29
California 24

Projected Total Points: 53
California Scoring
Offense: 25.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.9
Defense: 22.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 21

California's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/30SMU38California6SMUSMU -11.5SMU54.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
California000 Overs
SMU111 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#18) SMU Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 18.12 #18
Offense Rating: 22.29 #25
Defense Rating: 4.17 #22
Overall SP+ Rating: 14.1 #18
Offense SP+ Rating: 37.4 #9
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.3 #38
Talent Rating: 882.00 #25
Blue Chip Ratio: 8% #44
Expected Record: 9.2 - 2.8

SMU     Ratings Matchup     California
Power #18
#64
Off #25
#70
Def #22
#62
Talent #25
#50
SP+ #18
#57
SP+ Off #9
#70
SP+ Def #38
#48

Previous Matchups
SMU beat California last year (38-6)

Weather Forecast
Playing in California Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: SMU | CAL
Depth Chart: SMU | CAL
Rosters: SMU | CAL
(#64) California Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 3.66 #64
Offense Rating: 14.01 #70
Defense Rating: 12.35 #62
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.2 #57
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #70
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #48
Talent Rating: 778.00 #50
Blue Chip Ratio: 5 #54
Expected Record: 5.7 - 6.3





  
SMU's OC Casey Woods
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kevin Jennings24838165%318923118.4
Tyler Van Dyke436863%422106.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kevin Jennings10135453.559
LJ Johnson Jr.7430354.135
Derrick McFall2610624.117
Keldric Luster115004.517
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Hudson39422510.842
Kelvontay Dixon21386118.487
Matthew Hibner24368415.380
R.J. Maryland24359415.049
California's OC Bryan Harsin
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
CJ Harris193161%184015.9
Devin Brown112055%114105.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaivian Thomas10062676.375
Jadyn Ott11638543.353
Kadarius Calloway2612414.860
Jacob De Jesus1810105.643
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jack Endries56623211.157
Jacob De Jesus36512314.243
Trond Grizzell27401114.951
Jonathan Brady34366310.830

SMU's DC Scott Symons
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaiah Nwokobia953123
Robert Rahimi826115
Zakye Barker8112211
Ahmaad Moses646003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaiah Smith319761
Cam Robertson296330
Terry Webb224220
Zakye Barker8112211
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Deuce Harmon282006
Robert Rahimi826115
Marcellus Barnes Jr.100003
California's DC Vacant
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Buom Jock973023
Cade Uluave683152
Aidan Keanaaina433111
Hezekiah Masses381004
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ryan McCulloch185381
Nathan Burrell295311
Hunter Barth384212
Serigne Tounkara52220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Hezekiah Masses381004
Buom Jock973023
Cameron Sidney293113