SMU at TCU Game Matchup
SMU logo SMU Mustangs at TCU Horned FrogsTCU logo
Saturday, September 20th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Amon G. Carter Stadium - Fort Worth, TX

 
Mustangs (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Rhett Lashlee (29 - 12)
Avg Score : 37 - 22 (29 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.2 - 2.8 (#13)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 3) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 4)
SMU 2nd straight Road Game
TCU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: SMU -5.5    (SP+ -3.5)
PPG only: SMU: 31 - TCU: 28 (59)
SMU Win prob: 49% | Cover: 49%
SMU Travel: 35 miles
Horned Frogs (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Sonny Dykes (26 - 13)
Avg Score : 34 - 25 (37 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.2 - 4.8 (#36)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 5) (Avg: 5) (Bad: 1)
 
SMU's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/30 SMU vs East Texas A&M
Sat 9/6 SMU vs Baylor
Sat 9/13 SMU at Missouri State
Sat 9/20 SMU at TCU
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 SMU vs Syracuse
Sat 10/11 SMU vs Stanford
Sat 10/18 SMU at Clemson
Sat 10/25 SMU at Wake Forest
Sat 11/1 SMU vs Miami
Sat 11/8 SMU at Boston College
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 SMU vs Louisville
Sat 11/29 SMU at California
Total: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
TCU's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Mon 9/1 TCU at North Carolina
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/13 TCU vs Abilene Christian
Sat 9/20 TCU vs SMU
Sat 9/27 TCU at Arizona State
Sat 10/4 TCU vs Colorado
Sat 10/11 TCU at Kansas State
Sat 10/18 TCU vs Baylor
Sat 10/25 TCU at West Virginia
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 TCU vs Iowa State
Sat 11/15 TCU at BYU
Sat 11/22 TCU at Houston
Sat 11/29 TCU vs Cincinnati
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 5, Bad 0, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 5, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

SMU's OC Casey Woods vs TCU's DC Andy Avalos     TCU's OC Kendal Briles vs SMU's DC Scott Symons

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SMU#39 (.24)44% (52)36.544% (61)2.97 (83)16944% (45)2634.41 (25)#5 (.03)37% (9)22.139% (34)35% (10)3.09 (13)77.71.71.6
TCU#18 (.3)47% (22)33.545% (51)2.95 (85)10649% (9)2934.46 (20)#82 (.19)42% (68)24.646% (101)36% (18)3.82 (72)49.71.61.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SMU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TCU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SMU Offense1436.52944.1%4.411.7234321692634.451%49%44%44%15%.24
TCU Defense1324.623.341.5%3.821.1 - - - - - 53%47%46%36%14%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SMU Defense1422.122.236.7%3.091.6 - - - - - 44%55%39%35%18%.03
TCU Offense1333.536.747.1%4.461.6214001062933.942%58%45%49%13%.3

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
SMU1428:2822.644%50%8.177.71.71.66.63.1331.1
TCU1326:112144%80%5.249.71.61.14.51.8131.7
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SMU Offense1451% (65)44% (61)38.3168.94.429 (18).12 (79)2.97 (83)70% (90)9% (49)0.93 (87)
TCU Defense1353% (95)46% (101) - - - - .22 (118)3.26 (104)89% (134)9% (105)1.02 (87)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SMU Defense1444% (9)39% (34) - - - - -.05 (2)2.72 (24)60% (10)11% (36)0.81 (6)
TCU Offense1342% (119)45% (51)27.6106.43.926 (36).08 (95)2.95 (85)73% (70)8% (36)0.94 (86)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SMU Offense1449% (70)44% (45)19.931.2262.98.413.228 (15)12 (85).37 (20)1.8 (12)33% (94)34% (34).47 (17)6% (69)2.3 (13)
TCU Defense1347% (41)36% (18) - - - - - - 8 (93).18 (40)1.5 (57)34% (42)27% (20).19 (22)6% (82)1.8 (26)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SMU Defense1455% (124)35% (10) - - - - - - 16 (10).11 (17)1.7 (107)37% (7)27% (21).16 (12)7% (31)2.1 (96)
TCU Offense1358% (19)49% (9)23.534.9293.28.412.525 (31)10 (63).47 (5)1.6 (76)31% (57)33% (48).4 (41)5% (38)2.1 (55)

SMU's Power Ratings
SMU's Power Rating: 18.12 #18
SMU's Offense Rating: 22.29 #25
SMU's Defense Rating: 4.17 #22
2025 Talent Rating: 882.00 #25
Blue Chip Ratio: 8% #44
SMU's 2025 Expected Record: 9.2 - 2.8
SMU's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.1 #18
SMU's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.4 #9
SMU's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.3 #38

SMU's SP+ Ratings
SMU's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.1 #18
SMU's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.4 #9
SMU's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.3 #38

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 825.88
Average Power Five Talent: 862.84
Average FBS Talent: 688.93

Power Ratings Matchup
SMU: 18.12   TCU: 12.49

SP+ Ratings Matchup
SMU: 14.1   TCU: 10.5




TCU's Power Ratings
TCU's Power Rating: 12.49 #37
TCU's Offense Rating: 22.11 #27
TCU's Defense Rating: 11.62 #56
2025 Talent Rating: 826.00 #38
Blue Chip Ratio: 15 #31
TCU's 2025 Expected Record: 7.2 - 4.8

TCU's SP+ Ratings
TCU's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.5 #26
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #17
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #41

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 774.38
Average Power Five Talent: 862.84
Average FBS Talent: 688.93


SMU Scoring
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 29
Defense: 22.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.2

SMU's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
SMU 31
TCU 28

Projected Total Points: 59
TCU Scoring
Offense: 33.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.7
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.3

TCU's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/21SMU66TCU42SMUTCU -1SMU58.5Over
202309/23TCU34SMU17TCUTCU -7TCU63.5Under
202209/24SMU34TCU42TCUTCU -2.5TCU72.0Over
202109/25TCU34SMU42SMUTCU -8SMU66.0Over
201909/21TCU38SMU41SMUTCU -7.5SMU54.5Over
201809/07SMU12TCU42TCUTCU -23.5TCU59.5Under
201709/16TCU56SMU36TCUTCU -22SMU64.5Over
201609/23SMU3TCU33TCUTCU -24TCU68.0Under
201509/19TCU56SMU37TCUTCU -38SMU68.5Over
201409/27SMU0TCU56TCUTCU -31TCU0
201309/28TCU48SMU17TCUTCU -19.5TCU0
201209/29SMU16TCU24TCU
201110/01TCU33SMU40SMU
201009/24SMU24TCU41TCU
200910/03TCU39SMU14TCU
200809/20SMU7TCU48TCU
200709/22TCU21SMU7TCU
200509/10SMU21TCU10SMU
200409/11TCU44SMU0TCU
200311/29SMU13TCU20TCU
200209/14TCU17SMU6TCU
200109/08SMU10TCU38TCU
200011/23SMU7TCU62TCU
TeamWinsCoversO/U
TCU1866 Overs
SMU553 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams10 - 133 - 82 - 41 - 4
Road Teams13 - 108 - 34 - 14 - 2

(#18) SMU Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 18.12 #18
Offense Rating: 22.29 #25
Defense Rating: 4.17 #22
Overall SP+ Rating: 14.1 #18
Offense SP+ Rating: 37.4 #9
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.3 #38
Talent Rating: 882.00 #25
Blue Chip Ratio: 8% #44
Expected Record: 9.2 - 2.8

SMU     Ratings Matchup     TCU
Power #18
#37
Off #25
#27
Def #22
#56
Talent #25
#38
SP+ #18
#26
SP+ Off #9
#17
SP+ Def #38
#41

Previous Matchups
SMU beat TCU last year (66-42)
TCU beat SMU in 2023 (34-17)
TCU beat SMU in 2022 (42-34)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Amon G. Carter Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: SMU | TCU
Depth Chart: SMU | TCU
Rosters: SMU | TCU
(#37) TCU Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 12.49 #37
Offense Rating: 22.11 #27
Defense Rating: 11.62 #56
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.5 #26
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #17
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #41
Talent Rating: 826.00 #38
Blue Chip Ratio: 15 #31
Expected Record: 7.2 - 4.8





  
SMU's OC Casey Woods
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kevin Jennings24838165%318923118.4
Tyler Van Dyke436863%422106.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kevin Jennings10135453.559
LJ Johnson Jr.7430354.135
Derrick McFall2610624.117
Keldric Luster115004.517
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Hudson39422510.842
Kelvontay Dixon21386118.487
Matthew Hibner24368415.380
R.J. Maryland24359415.049
TCU's OC Kendal Briles
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Josh Hoover31347167%394927118.4
Ken Seals101377%97107.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jeremy Payne5423934.432
Kevorian Barnes7822122.817
Trent Battle4418624.224
Jordyn Bailey374124.759
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eric McAlister39762519.584
Joseph Manjack22351316.057
D'Andre Rogers12142211.840
Jeremy Payne129908.321

SMU's DC Scott Symons
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaiah Nwokobia953123
Robert Rahimi826115
Zakye Barker8112211
Ahmaad Moses646003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaiah Smith319761
Cam Robertson296330
Terry Webb224220
Zakye Barker8112211
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Deuce Harmon282006
Robert Rahimi826115
Marcellus Barnes Jr.100003
TCU's DC Andy Avalos
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Namdi Obiazor817321
Bud Clark680003
Kaleb Elarms-Orr545220
Devean Deal4610631
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ansel Din-Mbuh247620
Devean Deal4610631
Zachary Chapman243310
Namdi Obiazor817321
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jevon McIver Jr.120004
Bud Clark680003
Elijah Jackson170002