Iowa State at Cincinnati Game Matchup
Iowa State logo Iowa State Cyclones at Cincinnati BearcatsCincinnati logo
Saturday, October 4th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Nippert Stadium - Cincinnati, OH  (Big 12)

 
Cyclones (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Matt Campbell (63 - 51)
Avg Score : 31 - 23 (25 - 16 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 4 (#24)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 7) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 4)
Our Line: Iowa State -0.5    (SP+ -8)
PPG only: ISU: 28 - CIN: 24 (52)
ISU Win prob: 49% | Cover: 49%
ISU Travel: 518 miles, 1 hrs behind
Bearcats (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Scott Satterfield (8 - 16)
Avg Score : 25 - 25 (27 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.4 - 4.6 (#32)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 6) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 4)
 
Iowa State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/23 Iowa State vs Kansas State
Sat 8/30 Iowa State vs South Dakota
Sat 9/6 Iowa State vs Iowa
Sat 9/13 Iowa State at Arkansas State
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Iowa State vs Arizona
Sat 10/4 Iowa State at Cincinnati
Sat 10/11 Iowa State at Colorado
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Iowa State vs BYU
Sat 11/1 Iowa State vs Arizona State
Sat 11/8 Iowa State at TCU
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Iowa State vs Kansas
Sat 11/29 Iowa State at Oklahoma State
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 7, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 7, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Cincinnati's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Thu 8/28 Cincinnati vs Nebraska
Sat 9/6 Cincinnati vs Bowling Green
Sat 9/13 Cincinnati vs Northwestern State
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Cincinnati at Kansas
Sat 10/4 Cincinnati vs Iowa State
Sat 10/11 Cincinnati vs UCF
Sat 10/18 Cincinnati at Oklahoma State
Sat 10/25 Cincinnati vs Baylor
Sat 11/1 Cincinnati at Utah
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Cincinnati vs Arizona
Sat 11/22 Cincinnati vs BYU
Sat 11/29 Cincinnati at TCU
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 6, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 6, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

ISU's OC Taylor Mouser vs CIN's DC Tyson Veidt     CIN's OC Brad Glenn vs ISU's DC Jon Heacock

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ISU#62 (.2)40% (100)31.140% (106)2.83 (102)15041% (77)2364.23 (36)#78 (.18)43% (81)22.946% (100)38% (42)3.44 (29)25.91.11.5
CIN#59 (.21)45% (43)25.244% (65)3.03 (70)18545% (32)2373.33 (118)#75 (.18)42% (76)24.646% (94)39% (43)3.51 (38)44.41.51.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ISU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
CIN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ISU Offense1431.124.840.4%4.231.1213871502364.451%49%40%41%14%.2
CIN Defense1224.618.842.2%3.511.2 - - - - - 51%49%46%39%16%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ISU Defense1422.915.842.6%3.441.5 - - - - - 55%45%46%38%15%.18
CIN Offense1225.226.744.7%3.331.5224221852375.250%50%44%45%16%.21

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Iowa State1430:0020.942%81%3.625.91.11.54.71.1130
Cincinnati1231:4222.142%55%5.344.41.51.25.41.6026.4
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ISU Offense1451% (68)40% (106)34.4150.24.424 (45).12 (75)2.83 (102)70% (88)8% (23)1.1 (19)
CIN Defense1251% (77)46% (94) - - - - .14 (77)3.19 (98)73% (63)11% (49)0.95 (49)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ISU Defense1455% (114)46% (100) - - - - .22 (114)3.05 (76)76% (82)9% (85)1.08 (112)
CIN Offense1250% (72)44% (65)35.31855.219 (73).15 (60)3.03 (70)71% (84)11% (95)1.07 (34)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ISU Offense1449% (67)41% (77)18.331.1236.47.612.922 (46)10 (63).29 (50)1.7 (27)30% (52)35% (29).39 (43)7% (93)2 (71)
CIN Defense1249% (61)39% (43) - - - - - - 5 (117).23 (70)1.7 (109)31% (93)31% (79).34 (87)5% (87)2 (65)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ISU Defense1445% (21)38% (42) - - - - - - 14 (23).17 (37)1.6 (72)32% (63)32% (86).32 (78)5% (86)2 (48)
CIN Offense1250% (63)45% (32)2132.9236.57.211.318 (68)7 (26).26 (63)1.4 (120)30% (41)36% (20).5 (9)5% (33)2.1 (67)

Iowa State's Power Ratings
Iowa State's Power Rating: 11.88 #32
Iowa State's Offense Rating: 23.27 #19
Iowa State's Defense Rating: 11.39 #53
2025 Talent Rating: 754.00 #59
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Iowa State's 2025 Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0
Iowa State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.9 #28
Iowa State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.5 #37
Iowa State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.6 #27

Iowa State's SP+ Ratings
Iowa State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.9 #28
Iowa State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.5 #37
Iowa State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.6 #27

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 774.38
Average Power Five Talent: 862.84
Average FBS Talent: 688.93

Power Ratings Matchup
Iowa State: 11.88   Cincinnati: 11.37

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Iowa State: 9.9   Cincinnati: 1.7




Cincinnati's Power Ratings
Cincinnati's Power Rating: 11.37 #42
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: 18.48 #47
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: 9.11 #41
2025 Talent Rating: 794.00 #46
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Cincinnati's 2025 Expected Record: 7.4 - 4.6

Cincinnati's SP+ Ratings
Cincinnati's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.7 #55
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #76
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #44

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 774.38
Average Power Five Talent: 862.84
Average FBS Talent: 688.93


Iowa State Scoring
Offense: 31.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.8
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 15.8

Iowa State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Iowa State 28
Cincinnati 24

Projected Total Points: 52
Cincinnati Scoring
Offense: 25.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.7
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.8

Cincinnati's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/16Iowa State34Cincinnati17Iowa StateIowa State -7Iowa State52.5Under
202310/14Cincinnati10Iowa State30Iowa StateCincinnati -4Iowa State42.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Cincinnati000 Overs
Iowa State222 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 11 - 11 - 10 - 0
Road Teams1 - 11 - 10 - 01 - 1

(#32) Iowa State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 11.88 #32
Offense Rating: 23.27 #19
Defense Rating: 11.39 #53
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.9 #28
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.5 #37
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.6 #27
Talent Rating: 754.00 #59
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0

Iowa State     Ratings Matchup     Cincinnati
Power #32
#42
Off #19
#47
Def #53
#41
Talent #59
#46
SP+ #28
#55
SP+ Off #37
#76
SP+ Def #27
#44

Previous Matchups
Iowa State beat Cincinnati last year (34-17)
Iowa State beat Cincinnati in 2023 (30-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Nippert Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: ISU | CIN
Depth Chart: ISU | CIN
Rosters: ISU | CIN
(#42) Cincinnati Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 11.37 #42
Offense Rating: 18.48 #47
Defense Rating: 9.11 #41
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.7 #55
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #76
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #44
Talent Rating: 794.00 #46
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Expected Record: 7.4 - 4.6





  
Iowa State's OC Taylor Mouser
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Rocco Becht27245760%35052597.7
Connor Moberly51050%49014.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Carson Hansen151752135.057
Abu Sama III12458724.777
Rocco Becht9831883.232
Xavier Townsend128807.318
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chase Sowell34678319.956
Gabe Burkle26296111.432
Benjamin Brahmer10179117.939
Carson Brown11141112.844
Cincinnati's OC Brad Glenn
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brendan Sorsby24938964%28131877.2
Brady Lichtenberg3560%25005.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tawee Walker190864104.555
Brendan Sorsby10644594.241
Evan Pryor5641867.565
Caleb Goodie587017.446
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Joe Royer51532310.438
Tony Johnson4945269.223
Caleb Goodie21436420.885
Cyrus Allen18269114.973

Iowa State's DC Jon Heacock
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kooper Ebel696110
Jeremiah Cooper481008
Jontez Williams462005
Ta'Shawn James410001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Vontroy Malone255210
Kooper Ebel696110
Marcus Neal181100
Jack Sadowsky294111
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jeremiah Cooper481008
Jontez Williams462005
Beau Goodwin243012
Cincinnati's DC Tyson Veidt
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xavier Williams753003
Jake Golday577102
Tayden Barnes572016
Antwan Peek Jr.541001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dontay Corleone265340
Jonathan Thompson495213
Jaylon White-McClain424222
Jake Golday577102
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matthew McDoom3630010
Tayden Barnes572016
Xavier Williams753003