UCF at Cincinnati Game Matchup
UCF logo UCF Knights at Cincinnati BearcatsCincinnati logo
Saturday, October 11th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Nippert Stadium - Cincinnati, OH  (Big 12)

 
Knights (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Scott Frost (19 - 7)
Avg Score : 30 - 27 (27 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.3 - 6.7 (#60)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 5) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 5)
CIN 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Cincinnati -12.5    (SP+ -0)
PPG only: UCF: 28 - CIN: 26 (54)
UCF Win prob: 49% | Cover: 49%
UCF Travel: 752 miles
Bearcats (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Scott Satterfield (8 - 16)
Avg Score : 25 - 25 (27 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.4 - 4.6 (#32)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 6) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 4)
 
UCF's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Thu 8/28 UCF vs Jacksonville State
Sat 9/6 UCF vs North Carolina A&T
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 UCF vs North Carolina
Sat 9/27 UCF at Kansas State
Sat 10/4 UCF vs Kansas
Sat 10/11 UCF at Cincinnati
Sat 10/18 UCF vs West Virginia
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 UCF at Baylor
Sat 11/8 UCF vs Houston
Sat 11/15 UCF at Texas Tech
Sat 11/22 UCF vs Oklahoma State
Sat 11/29 UCF at BYU
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Cincinnati's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Thu 8/28 Cincinnati vs Nebraska
Sat 9/6 Cincinnati vs Bowling Green
Sat 9/13 Cincinnati vs Northwestern State
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Cincinnati at Kansas
Sat 10/4 Cincinnati vs Iowa State
Sat 10/11 Cincinnati vs UCF
Sat 10/18 Cincinnati at Oklahoma State
Sat 10/25 Cincinnati vs Baylor
Sat 11/1 Cincinnati at Utah
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Cincinnati vs Arizona
Sat 11/22 Cincinnati vs BYU
Sat 11/29 Cincinnati at TCU
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 6, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 6, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

UCF's OC Steve Cooper vs CIN's DC Tyson Veidt     CIN's OC Brad Glenn vs UCF's DC Alex Grinch

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCF#58 (.21)46% (29)30.452% (8)3.62 (2)24838% (103)2003.75 (85)#63 (.16)40% (47)26.937% (13)42% (84)4.37 (118)54.41.60.9
CIN#59 (.21)45% (43)25.244% (65)3.03 (70)18545% (32)2373.33 (118)#75 (.18)42% (76)24.646% (94)39% (43)3.51 (38)44.41.51.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
CIN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCF Offense1230.42746.1%3.751.6244482482005.858%41%52%38%15%.21
CIN Defense1224.618.842.2%3.511.2 - - - - - 51%49%46%39%16%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCF Defense1226.932.439.9%4.370.9 - - - - - 50%50%37%42%16%.16
CIN Offense1225.226.744.7%3.331.5224221852375.250%50%44%45%16%.21

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UCF1228:1923.642%54%6.554.41.60.96.91.8130.6
Cincinnati1231:4222.142%55%5.344.41.51.25.41.6026.4
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCF Offense1258% (16)52% (8)43248.15.833 (12).31 (7)3.62 (2)72% (80)10% (67)1.13 (12)
CIN Defense1251% (77)46% (94) - - - - .14 (77)3.19 (98)73% (63)11% (49)0.95 (49)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCF Defense1250% (54)37% (13) - - - - .07 (38)2.57 (13)79% (106)12% (28)1.03 (90)
CIN Offense1250% (72)44% (65)35.31855.219 (73).15 (60)3.03 (70)71% (84)11% (95)1.07 (34)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCF Offense1241% (120)38% (103)15.125.8199.77.713.214 (108)11 (72).1 (123)1.6 (77)29% (33)33% (54).16 (122)5% (47)1.8 (126)
CIN Defense1249% (61)39% (43) - - - - - - 5 (117).23 (70)1.7 (109)31% (93)31% (79).34 (87)5% (87)2 (65)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCF Defense1250% (81)42% (84) - - - - - - 9 (76).26 (82)1.6 (64)36% (16)30% (67).38 (98)5% (118)2.2 (117)
CIN Offense1250% (63)45% (32)2132.9236.57.211.318 (68)7 (26).26 (63)1.4 (120)30% (41)36% (20).5 (9)5% (33)2.1 (67)

UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: -1.18 #79
UCF's Offense Rating: 13.70 #72
UCF's Defense Rating: 14.88 #75
2025 Talent Rating: 710.00 #70
Blue Chip Ratio: 21% #25
UCF's 2025 Expected Record: 5.3 - 6.7
UCF's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.3 #56
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #63
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #56

UCF's SP+ Ratings
UCF's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.3 #56
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #63
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #56

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 774.38
Average Power Five Talent: 862.84
Average FBS Talent: 688.93

Power Ratings Matchup
UCF: -1.18   Cincinnati: 11.37

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UCF: 1.3   Cincinnati: 1.7




Cincinnati's Power Ratings
Cincinnati's Power Rating: 11.37 #42
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: 18.48 #47
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: 9.11 #41
2025 Talent Rating: 794.00 #46
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Cincinnati's 2025 Expected Record: 7.4 - 4.6

Cincinnati's SP+ Ratings
Cincinnati's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.7 #55
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #76
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #44

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 774.38
Average Power Five Talent: 862.84
Average FBS Talent: 688.93


UCF Scoring
Offense: 30.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 27
Defense: 26.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.4

UCF's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
UCF 28
Cincinnati 26

Projected Total Points: 54
Cincinnati Scoring
Offense: 25.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.7
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.8

Cincinnati's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/12UCF13Cincinnati19CincinnatiUCF -2Cincinnati58.0Under
202311/04Cincinnati26UCF28UCFUCF -3.5Cincinnati59.5Under
202210/29UCF25Cincinnati21UCFUCF -1.5UCF55.5Under
202110/16Cincinnati56UCF21CincinnatiCincinnati -21.5Cincinnati56.0Over
202011/21UCF33Cincinnati36CincinnatiCincinnati -4.5UCF66.0Over
201910/04Cincinnati27UCF24CincinnatiUCF -3.5Cincinnati64.0Under
201811/17UCF38Cincinnati13UCFUCF -7.5UCF60.0Under
201710/07Cincinnati23UCF51UCFUCF -15UCF52.5Over
201611/12UCF24Cincinnati3UCFUCF -10UCF55.0Under
201510/31Cincinnati52UCF7CincinnatiCincinnati -20.5Cincinnati61.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Cincinnati553 Overs
UCF557 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 48 - 25 - 13 - 1
Road Teams4 - 62 - 81 - 31 - 5

(#79) UCF Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -1.18 #79
Offense Rating: 13.70 #72
Defense Rating: 14.88 #75
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.3 #56
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #63
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #56
Talent Rating: 710.00 #70
Blue Chip Ratio: 21% #25
Expected Record: 5.3 - 6.7

UCF     Ratings Matchup     Cincinnati
Power #79
#42
Off #72
#47
Def #75
#41
Talent #70
#46
SP+ #56
#55
SP+ Off #63
#76
SP+ Def #56
#44

Previous Matchups
Cincinnati beat UCF last year (19-13)
UCF beat Cincinnati in 2023 (28-26)
UCF beat Cincinnati in 2022 (25-21)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Nippert Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: UCF | CIN
Depth Chart: UCF | CIN
Rosters: UCF | CIN
(#42) Cincinnati Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 11.37 #42
Offense Rating: 18.48 #47
Defense Rating: 9.11 #41
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.7 #55
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #76
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #44
Talent Rating: 794.00 #46
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Expected Record: 7.4 - 4.6





  
UCF's OC Steve Cooper
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Cam Fancher12621259%1528667.2
Dylan Rizk7311862%915527.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaden Nixon132874126.692
Jacurri Brown5340147.667
Cam Fancher9936533.776
Myles Montgomery5129335.725
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Dylan Wade29374212.944
Jaden Nixon97408.216
Marcus Burke86928.620
Myles Montgomery366122.049
Cincinnati's OC Brad Glenn
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brendan Sorsby24938964%28131877.2
Brady Lichtenberg3560%25005.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tawee Walker190864104.555
Brendan Sorsby10644594.241
Evan Pryor5641867.565
Caleb Goodie587017.446
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Joe Royer51532310.438
Tony Johnson4945269.223
Caleb Goodie21436420.885
Cyrus Allen18269114.973

UCF's DC Alex Grinch
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nyjalik Kelly5310611
Phillip Dunnam483014
Keli Lawson402004
R.J. Jackson354302
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nyjalik Kelly5310611
Malachi Lawrence156541
R.J. Jackson354302
Sincere Edwards176342
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jayden Bellamy341006
DJ Bell160005
Keli Lawson402004
Cincinnati's DC Tyson Veidt
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xavier Williams753003
Jake Golday577102
Tayden Barnes572016
Antwan Peek Jr.541001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dontay Corleone265340
Jonathan Thompson495213
Jaylon White-McClain424222
Jake Golday577102
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matthew McDoom3630010
Tayden Barnes572016
Xavier Williams753003