Houston at UCF Game Matchup
Houston logo Houston Cougars at UCF KnightsUCF logo
Saturday, November 8th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Bright House Networks Stadium - Orlando, FL  (Big 12)

 
Cougars (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Willie Fritz (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 14 - 23 (13 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.6 - 6.4 (#56)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 3) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 5)
Our Line: UCF -1    (SP+ -4)
PPG only: HOU: 21 - UCF: 27 (48)
HOU Win prob: 49% | Cover: 49%
HOU Travel: 857 miles, 1 hrs behind
Knights (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Scott Frost (19 - 7)
Avg Score : 30 - 27 (33 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.3 - 6.7 (#60)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 5) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 5)
 
Houston's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Thu 8/28 Houston vs Stephen F. Austin
Sat 9/6 Houston at Rice
Sat 9/13 Houston vs Colorado
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Houston at Oregon State
Sat 10/4 Houston vs Texas Tech
Sat 10/11 Houston at Oklahoma State
Sat 10/18 Houston vs Arizona
Sat 10/25 Houston at Arizona State
Sat 11/1 Houston vs West Virginia
Sat 11/8 Houston at UCF
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Houston vs TCU
Sat 11/29 Houston at Baylor
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
UCF's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Thu 8/28 UCF vs Jacksonville State
Sat 9/6 UCF vs North Carolina A&T
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 UCF vs North Carolina
Sat 9/27 UCF at Kansas State
Sat 10/4 UCF vs Kansas
Sat 10/11 UCF at Cincinnati
Sat 10/18 UCF vs West Virginia
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 UCF at Baylor
Sat 11/8 UCF vs Houston
Sat 11/15 UCF at Texas Tech
Sat 11/22 UCF vs Oklahoma State
Sat 11/29 UCF at BYU
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

HOU's OC Slade Nagle vs UCF's DC Alex Grinch     UCF's OC Steve Cooper vs HOU's DC Austin Armstrong

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
HOU#133 (-)35% (129)1435% (130)2.52 (129)13737% (115)1532.57 (134)#51 (.14)40% (41)22.940% (40)39% (50)3.52 (39)51.92.31.6
UCF#58 (.21)46% (29)30.452% (8)3.62 (2)24838% (103)2003.75 (85)#63 (.16)40% (47)26.937% (13)42% (84)4.37 (118)54.41.60.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
HOU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UCF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
HOU Offense121412.635.3%2.572.3152891371533.957%42%35%37%21%-
UCF Defense1226.92339.9%4.370.9 - - - - - 50%50%37%42%16%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
HOU Defense1222.925.239.6%3.521.6 - - - - - 51%49%40%39%18%.14
UCF Offense1230.432.946.1%3.751.6244482482005.858%41%52%38%15%.21

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Houston1230:1015.128%38%5.551.92.31.65.61.8227.7
UCF1228:1923.642%54%6.554.41.60.96.91.8130.6
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
HOU Offense1257% (22)35% (130)35.5136.63.99 (125) (122)2.52 (129)64% (119)16% (132)1.01 (49)
UCF Defense1250% (54)37% (13) - - - - .07 (38)2.57 (13)79% (106)12% (28)1.03 (90)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
HOU Defense1251% (78)40% (40) - - - - .06 (34)2.8 (35)69% (41)12% (27)1 (75)
UCF Offense1258% (16)52% (8)43248.15.833 (12).31 (7)3.62 (2)72% (80)10% (67)1.13 (12)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
HOU Offense1242% (114)37% (115)15.223.3152.76.510.19 (128)17 (127).02 (131)1.4 (121)35% (120)20% (133)-.04 (134)5% (44)1.7 (130)
UCF Defense1250% (81)42% (84) - - - - - - 9 (76).26 (82)1.6 (64)36% (16)30% (67).38 (98)5% (118)2.2 (117)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
HOU Defense1249% (59)39% (50) - - - - - - 12 (39).23 (66)1.7 (95)33% (55)32% (97).32 (79)6% (73)2 (57)
UCF Offense1241% (120)38% (103)15.125.8199.77.713.214 (108)11 (72).1 (123)1.6 (77)29% (33)33% (54).16 (122)5% (47)1.8 (126)

Houston's Power Ratings
Houston's Power Rating: -0.39 #75
Houston's Offense Rating: 10.74 #91
Houston's Defense Rating: 11.13 #51
2025 Talent Rating: 730.00 #64
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #46
Houston's 2025 Expected Record: 5.6 - 6.4
Houston's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.9 #78
Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.3 #109
Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #34

Houston's SP+ Ratings
Houston's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.9 #78
Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.3 #109
Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #34

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 774.38
Average Power Five Talent: 862.84
Average FBS Talent: 688.93

Power Ratings Matchup
Houston: -0.39   UCF: 0.82

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Houston: -2.9   UCF: 1.3




UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: 0.82 #79
UCF's Offense Rating: 13.70 #72
UCF's Defense Rating: 14.88 #75
2025 Talent Rating: 710.00 #70
Blue Chip Ratio: 21 #25
UCF's 2025 Expected Record: 5.3 - 6.7

UCF's SP+ Ratings
UCF's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.3 #56
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #63
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #56

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 774.38
Average Power Five Talent: 862.84
Average FBS Talent: 688.93


Houston Scoring
Offense: 14 PPG
Offense on Road: 12.6
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.2

Houston's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
UCF 27
Houston 21

Projected Total Points: 48
UCF Scoring
Offense: 30.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.9
Defense: 26.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 23

UCF's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/25UCF27Houston13UCFUCF -15.5Houston61.5Under
202010/31Houston21UCF44UCFUCF -3UCF81.0Under
201911/02UCF44Houston29UCFUCF -22Houston72.0Over
201610/29Houston31UCF24HoustonHouston -12.5UCF59.0Under
201510/24UCF10Houston59HoustonHouston -18.5Houston53.0Over
201410/02Houston12UCF17UCFHouston -2.5UCF0
201311/09UCF19Houston14UCFUCF -10Houston0
201011/05Houston33UCF40UCF
200911/14UCF37Houston32UCF
200610/28Houston51UCF31Houston
200511/05UCF31Houston29UCF
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UCF832 Overs
Houston343 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 40 - 70 - 50 - 2
Road Teams4 - 77 - 02 - 05 - 0

(#75) Houston Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -0.39 #75
Offense Rating: 10.74 #91
Defense Rating: 11.13 #51
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.9 #78
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.3 #109
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #34
Talent Rating: 730.00 #64
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #46
Expected Record: 5.6 - 6.4

Houston     Ratings Matchup     UCF
Power #75
#79
Off #91
#72
Def #51
#75
Talent #64
#70
SP+ #78
#56
SP+ Off #109
#63
SP+ Def #34
#56

Previous Matchups
UCF beat Houston in 2023 (27-13)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bright House Networks Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: HOU | UCF
Depth Chart: HOU | UCF
Rosters: HOU | UCF
(#79) UCF Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 0.82 #79
Offense Rating: 13.70 #72
Defense Rating: 14.88 #75
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.3 #56
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #63
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #56
Talent Rating: 710.00 #70
Blue Chip Ratio: 21 #25
Expected Record: 5.3 - 6.7





  
Houston's OC Slade Nagle
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Zeon Chriss8313064%824486.3
Conner Weigman6411456%819357.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dean Connors15978094.971
Re'Shaun Sanford II9444414.738
Zeon Chriss11338143.471
Stacy Sneed6030815.165
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Amare Thomas62670810.873
Harvey Broussard31486315.750
Dean Connors6147227.769
Stephon Johnson Jr.32402212.644
UCF's OC Steve Cooper
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Cam Fancher12621259%1528667.2
Dylan Rizk7311862%915527.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaden Nixon132874126.692
Jacurri Brown5340147.667
Cam Fancher9936533.776
Myles Montgomery5129335.725
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Dylan Wade29374212.944
Jaden Nixon97408.216
Marcus Burke86928.620
Myles Montgomery366122.049

Houston's DC Austin Armstrong
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Carmycah Glass754130
A.J. Haulcy740007
Kentrell Webb541003
Carlos Allen424310
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Joshua Donald316310
Brandon Mack395320
Khalil Laufau154301
Carlos Allen424310
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marc Stampley II422207
A.J. Haulcy740007
Will James352007
UCF's DC Alex Grinch
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nyjalik Kelly5310611
Phillip Dunnam483014
Keli Lawson402004
R.J. Jackson354302
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nyjalik Kelly5310611
Malachi Lawrence156541
R.J. Jackson354302
Sincere Edwards176342
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jayden Bellamy341006
DJ Bell160005
Keli Lawson402004