UCF at Texas Tech Game Matchup
UCF logo UCF Knights at Texas Tech Red RaidersTexas Tech logo
Saturday, November 15th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Jones AT&T Stadium - Lubbock, TX  (Big 12)

 
Knights (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Scott Frost (19 - 7)
Avg Score : 30 - 27 (27 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.3 - 6.7 (#60)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 5) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 5)
TTU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Texas Tech -18    (SP+ -7)
PPG only: UCF: 33 - TTU: 32 (65)
UCF Win prob: 49% | Cover: 49%
UCF Travel: 1269 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Red Raiders (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Joey McGuire (23 - 15)
Avg Score : 38 - 35 (44 - 36 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.2 - 2.8 (#13)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 3) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 4)
 
UCF's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Thu 8/28 UCF vs Jacksonville State
Sat 9/6 UCF vs North Carolina A&T
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 UCF vs North Carolina
Sat 9/27 UCF at Kansas State
Sat 10/4 UCF vs Kansas
Sat 10/11 UCF at Cincinnati
Sat 10/18 UCF vs West Virginia
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 UCF at Baylor
Sat 11/8 UCF vs Houston
Sat 11/15 UCF at Texas Tech
Sat 11/22 UCF vs Oklahoma State
Sat 11/29 UCF at BYU
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Texas Tech's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/30 Texas Tech vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff
Sat 9/6 Texas Tech vs Kent State
Sat 9/13 Texas Tech vs Oregon State
Sat 9/20 Texas Tech at Utah
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Texas Tech at Houston
Sat 10/11 Texas Tech vs Kansas
Sat 10/18 Texas Tech at Arizona State
Sat 10/25 Texas Tech vs Oklahoma State
Sat 11/1 Texas Tech at Kansas State
Sat 11/8 Texas Tech vs BYU
Sat 11/15 Texas Tech vs UCF
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 Texas Tech at West Virginia
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

UCF's OC Steve Cooper vs TTU's DC Shiel Wood     TTU's OC Mack Leftwich vs UCF's DC Alex Grinch

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCF#58 (.21)46% (29)30.452% (8)3.62 (2)24838% (103)2003.75 (85)#63 (.16)40% (47)26.937% (13)42% (84)4.37 (118)54.41.60.9
TTU#33 (.25)44% (49)37.645% (49)3.17 (45)15043% (51)2754.73 (8)#104 (.23)44% (93)34.844% (76)44% (101)3.97 (84)59.41.51.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TTU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCF Offense1230.42746.1%3.751.6244482482005.858%41%52%38%15%.21
TTU Defense1334.835.743.6%3.971.6 - - - - - 45%54%44%44%13%.23
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCF Defense1226.932.439.9%4.370.9 - - - - - 50%50%37%42%16%.16
TTU Offense1337.643.744.2%4.731.5234251502754.545%55%45%43%14%.25

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UCF1228:1923.642%54%6.554.41.60.96.91.8130.6
Texas Tech1327:5022.849%52%759.41.51.64.61.5231
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCF Offense1258% (16)52% (8)43248.15.833 (12).31 (7)3.62 (2)72% (80)10% (67)1.13 (12)
TTU Defense1345% (16)44% (76) - - - - .12 (69)2.75 (30)62% (14)8% (108)1.08 (111)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCF Defense1250% (54)37% (13) - - - - .07 (38)2.57 (13)79% (106)12% (28)1.03 (90)
TTU Offense1345% (103)45% (49)33.2149.64.524 (45).17 (46)3.17 (45)72% (81)8% (38)1.05 (43)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCF Offense1241% (120)38% (103)15.125.8199.77.713.214 (108)11 (72).1 (123)1.6 (77)29% (33)33% (54).16 (122)5% (47)1.8 (126)
TTU Defense1354% (120)44% (101) - - - - - - 14 (23).33 (108)1.7 (106)31% (91)36% (120).45 (116)4% (124)2.1 (94)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCF Defense1250% (81)42% (84) - - - - - - 9 (76).26 (82)1.6 (64)36% (16)30% (67).38 (98)5% (118)2.2 (117)
TTU Offense1355% (28)43% (51)24.338.6275.47.111.330 (9)9 (48).31 (45)1.6 (78)32% (82)34% (39).39 (46)6% (66)2 (89)

UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: -1.18 #79
UCF's Offense Rating: 13.70 #72
UCF's Defense Rating: 14.88 #75
2025 Talent Rating: 710.00 #70
Blue Chip Ratio: 21% #25
UCF's 2025 Expected Record: 5.3 - 6.7
UCF's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.3 #56
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #63
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #56

UCF's SP+ Ratings
UCF's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.3 #56
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #63
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #56

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 774.38
Average Power Five Talent: 862.84
Average FBS Talent: 688.93

Power Ratings Matchup
UCF: -1.18   Texas Tech: 16.57

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UCF: 1.3   Texas Tech: 8.7




Texas Tech's Power Ratings
Texas Tech's Power Rating: 16.57 #22
Texas Tech's Offense Rating: 22.42 #24
Texas Tech's Defense Rating: 7.85 #35
2025 Talent Rating: 916.00 #20
Blue Chip Ratio: 17 #28
Texas Tech's 2025 Expected Record: 9.2 - 2.8

Texas Tech's SP+ Ratings
Texas Tech's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.7 #33
Texas Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.5 #13
Texas Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.8 #60

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 774.38
Average Power Five Talent: 862.84
Average FBS Talent: 688.93


UCF Scoring
Offense: 30.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 27
Defense: 26.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.4

UCF's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
UCF 33
Texas Tech 32

Projected Total Points: 65
Texas Tech Scoring
Offense: 37.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.7
Defense: 34.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 35.7

Texas Tech's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/18Texas Tech24UCF23Texas TechTexas Tech -2.0UCF59.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas Tech100 Overs
UCF011 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#79) UCF Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -1.18 #79
Offense Rating: 13.70 #72
Defense Rating: 14.88 #75
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.3 #56
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #63
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #56
Talent Rating: 710.00 #70
Blue Chip Ratio: 21% #25
Expected Record: 5.3 - 6.7

UCF     Ratings Matchup     Texas Tech
Power #79
#22
Off #72
#24
Def #75
#35
Talent #70
#20
SP+ #56
#33
SP+ Off #63
#13
SP+ Def #56
#60

Previous Matchups
Texas Tech beat UCF in 2023 (24-23)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jones AT&T Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: UCF | TTU
Depth Chart: UCF | TTU
Rosters: UCF | TTU
(#22) Texas Tech Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 16.57 #22
Offense Rating: 22.42 #24
Defense Rating: 7.85 #35
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.7 #33
Offense SP+ Rating: 35.5 #13
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.8 #60
Talent Rating: 916.00 #20
Blue Chip Ratio: 17 #28
Expected Record: 9.2 - 2.8





  
UCF's OC Steve Cooper
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Cam Fancher12621259%1528667.2
Dylan Rizk7311862%915527.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaden Nixon132874126.692
Jacurri Brown5340147.667
Cam Fancher9936533.776
Myles Montgomery5129335.725
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Dylan Wade29374212.944
Jaden Nixon97408.216
Marcus Burke86928.620
Myles Montgomery366122.049
Texas Tech's OC Mack Leftwich
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Behren Morton29346363%33002787.1
Will Hammond152365%191108.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Quinten Joyner6347837.675
Cameron Dickey2515016.037
J'Koby Williams2611314.313
Cam'Ron Valdez94004.417
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Reginald Virgil41816919.975
Caleb Douglas55765613.957
Terrance Carter48689414.474
Coy Eakin45605613.470

UCF's DC Alex Grinch
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nyjalik Kelly5310611
Phillip Dunnam483014
Keli Lawson402004
R.J. Jackson354302
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nyjalik Kelly5310611
Malachi Lawrence156541
R.J. Jackson354302
Sincere Edwards176342
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jayden Bellamy341006
DJ Bell160005
Keli Lawson402004
Texas Tech's DC Shiel Wood
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Rodriguez1049543
Ben Roberts745040
Brice Pollock481007
Skyler Gill-Howard487540
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Rodriguez1049543
Skyler Gill-Howard487540
Terrell Tilmon84400
Isaac Smith314310
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dontae Balfour483009
Brice Pollock481007
Maurion Horn462014