Western Kentucky at Toledo Game Matchup
Western Kentucky logo Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at Toledo RocketsToledo logo
Saturday, September 6th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Glass Bowl - Toledo, OH

 
Hilltoppers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Tyson Helton (48 - 31)
Avg Score : 25 - 25 (25 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.8 - 6.2 (#52)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 9)
Our Line: Toledo -20    (SP+ -5)
PPG only: WKU: 24 - TOL: 27 (51)
WKU Win prob: 49% | Cover: 49%
WKU Travel: 357 miles, 1 hrs behind
Rockets (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jason Candle (72 - 40)
Avg Score : 28 - 23 (31 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 1.9 - 1.1 (#83)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
 
Western Kentucky's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/23 Western Kentucky vs Sam Houston
Sat 8/30 Western Kentucky vs North Alabama
Sat 9/6 Western Kentucky at Toledo
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Western Kentucky vs Nevada
Sat 9/27 Western Kentucky at Missouri State
Fri 10/3 Western Kentucky at Delaware
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/14 Western Kentucky vs Florida International
Tue 10/21 Western Kentucky at Louisiana Tech
Sat 11/1 Western Kentucky vs New Mexico State
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Western Kentucky vs Middle Tennessee
Sat 11/22 Western Kentucky at LSU
Sat 11/29 Western Kentucky at Jacksonville State
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 9
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 9
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Toledo's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/30 Toledo at Kentucky
Sat 9/6 Toledo vs Western Kentucky
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Toledo at Washington State
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

WKU's OC Will Friend vs TOL's DC Vince Kehres     TOL's OC Mike Hallett vs WKU's DC Tyson Summers

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WKU#66 (.19)42% (83)24.938% (117)2.78 (108)11045% (33)2653.83 (78)#95 (.21)45% (102)24.648% (113)40% (61)3.66 (54)41.31.71.5
TOL#112 (.11)41% (96)28.338% (120)2.66 (121)11144% (46)2273.55 (99)#20 (.09)40% (44)23.242% (60)38% (35)3.87 (80)46.71.31.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WKU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TOL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WKU Offense1424.924.941.8%3.831.7193741102653.545%55%38%45%16%.19
TOL Defense1323.221.339.8%3.871.3 - - - - - 52%48%42%38%19%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WKU Defense1424.633.944.7%3.661.5 - - - - - 63%36%48%40%13%.21
TOL Offense1328.331.240.8%3.551.3183391112273.546%53%38%44%16%.11

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Western Kentucky1427:5219.341%59%4.141.31.71.54.91.6029.7
Toledo1325:0618.436%50%5.446.71.31.36.22.1231.4
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WKU Offense1445% (104)38% (117)31.1109.73.514 (98).01 (121)2.78 (108)69% (100)11% (87)0.95 (77)
TOL Defense1352% (85)42% (60) - - - - .11 (66)3.01 (69)77% (89)12% (31)0.95 (48)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WKU Defense1463% (134)48% (113) - - - - .19 (103)3.36 (116)77% (93)9% (88)0.9 (35)
TOL Offense1346% (96)38% (120)31.5111.33.512 (114)-.04 (127)2.66 (121)57% (130)10% (75)0.83 (125)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WKU Offense1455% (27)45% (33)22.133.5264.67.91228 (15)12 (85).36 (28)1.6 (59)33% (91)30% (92).29 (89)6% (55)1.9 (100)
TOL Defense1348% (49)38% (35) - - - - - - 10 (66).08 (12)1.5 (31)34% (38)29% (37).22 (34)7% (35)2 (42)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WKU Defense1436% (1)40% (61) - - - - - - 10 (66).29 (99)1.8 (128)28% (116)29% (46).23 (37)3% (132)2.1 (92)
TOL Offense1353% (41)44% (46)19.231227.27.311.826 (26)7 (26).26 (66)1.6 (61)31% (64)27% (108).18 (115)6% (76)2 (69)

Western Kentucky's Power Ratings
Western Kentucky's Power Rating: -19.38 #124
Western Kentucky's Offense Rating: 4.32 #118
Western Kentucky's Defense Rating: 23.70 #118
2025 Talent Rating: 438.00 #114
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Western Kentucky's 2025 Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2
Western Kentucky's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.6 #94
Western Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.7 #108
Western Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #70

Western Kentucky's SP+ Ratings
Western Kentucky's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.6 #94
Western Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.7 #108
Western Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #70

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 371.82
Average Power Five Talent: 862.84
Average FBS Talent: 688.93

Power Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky: -19.38   Toledo: 0.53

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky: -7.6   Toledo: -2.2




Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: 0.53 #80
Toledo's Offense Rating: 12.96 #78
Toledo's Defense Rating: 14.43 #72
2025 Talent Rating: 702.00 #71
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #69
Toledo's 2025 Expected Record: 1.9 - 1.1

Toledo's SP+ Ratings
Toledo's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.2 #74
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #75
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.4 #71

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 544.83
Average Power Five Talent: 862.84
Average FBS Talent: 688.93


Western Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 24.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.9
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.9

Western Kentucky's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Toledo 27
Western Kentucky 24

Projected Total Points: 51
Toledo Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.2
Defense: 23.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.3

Toledo's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/21Western Kentucky26Toledo21Western KentuckyToledo -2Western Kentucky60.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Toledo000 Overs
Western Kentucky111 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 00 - 01 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 10 - 0

(#124) Western Kentucky Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -19.38 #124
Offense Rating: 4.32 #118
Defense Rating: 23.70 #118
Overall SP+ Rating: -7.6 #94
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.7 #108
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #70
Talent Rating: 438.00 #114
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2

Western Kentucky     Ratings Matchup     Toledo
Power #124
#80
Off #118
#78
Def #118
#72
Talent #114
#71
SP+ #94
#74
SP+ Off #108
#75
SP+ Def #70
#71

Previous Matchups
Western Kentucky beat Toledo last year (26-21)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Glass Bowl
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: WKU | TOL
Depth Chart: WKU | TOL
Rosters: WKU | TOL
(#80) Toledo Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 0.53 #80
Offense Rating: 12.96 #78
Defense Rating: 14.43 #72
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.2 #74
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #75
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.4 #71
Talent Rating: 702.00 #71
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #69
Expected Record: 1.9 - 1.1





  
Western Kentucky's OC Will Friend
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
George Hart III4420424.630
Jalen Hampton115705.214
K.D. Hutchinson85106.442
John Cannon117017.017
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jairus Mack19418022.059
K.D. Hutchinson26392315.174
Noah Meyers7123117.624
Kody Epps85416.817
Toledo's OC Mike Hallett
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Tucker Gleason20733562%24572277.3
John Alan Richter436764%497407.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Connor Walendzak12245713.732
Tucker Gleason8833063.835
Willie Shaw III4619034.113
Trayvon Rudolph14179212.860
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Junior Vandeross73763410.573
Trayvon Rudolph37403110.948
Thomas Zsiros12148112.325
Eric Holley1412609.040

Western Kentucky's DC Tyson Summers
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaylen Lewis432005
Kent Robinson334204
Braxton Myers312002
Anthony Brackenridge241020
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kent Robinson334204
Jayden Gray143211
Dominic Oliver152110
Jaylen Lewis432005
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaylen Lewis432005
Kent Robinson334204
Braxton Myers312002
Toledo's DC Vince Kehres
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Braden Awls673107
Emmanuel Mcneil-Warren612104
Avery Smith5010013
Louce Julien437411
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Louce Julien437411
Anthony Dunn257420
Malachi Davis194210
Jeremiah Peters94110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Avery Smith5010013
Braden Awls673107
Nasir Bowers352004