Nevada at Western Kentucky Game Matchup

Nevada Wolf Pack at Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

Saturday, September 20th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Houchens Industries-L. T. Smith Stadium - Bowling Green, KY

Wolf Pack (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jeff Choate (3 - 10)
Avg Score : 23 - 29 (18 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 1.7 - 1.3 (#84)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)

WKU coming off BYE
Our Line: Nevada -17.5 (SP+ -13)
PPG only: NEV: 24 - WKU: 27 (51)
NEV Win prob: 49% | Cover: 49%
NEV Travel: 1808 miles, 2 hrs behind

Hilltoppers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Tyson Helton (48 - 31)
Avg Score : 25 - 25 (26 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.8 - 6.2 (#52)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 9)

Matchup
Schedules
Off Players
Def Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Nevada's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 8/30	Nevada at Penn State
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/13	Nevada vs Middle Tennessee
Sat 9/20	Nevada at Western Kentucky

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Western Kentucky's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 8/23	Western Kentucky vs Sam Houston
Sat 8/30	Western Kentucky vs North Alabama
Sat 9/6	Western Kentucky at Toledo
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20	Western Kentucky vs Nevada
Sat 9/27	Western Kentucky at Missouri State
Fri 10/3	Western Kentucky at Delaware
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/14	Western Kentucky vs Florida International
Tue 10/21	Western Kentucky at Louisiana Tech
Sat 11/1	Western Kentucky vs New Mexico State
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15	Western Kentucky vs Middle Tennessee
Sat 11/22	Western Kentucky at LSU
Sat 11/29	Western Kentucky at Jacksonville State

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 9
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 9
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

NEV's OC David Gilbertson vs WKU's DC Tyson Summers WKU's OC Will Friend vs NEV's DC Kane Ioane

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NEV	#55 (.21)	45% (45)	23.1	47% (34)	3.06 (61)	164	42% (65)	213	3.88 (72)	#110 (.24)	46% (117)	28.8	49% (120)	43% (92)	4.33 (114)	73.1	1.2	1
WKU	#66 (.19)	42% (83)	24.9	38% (117)	2.78 (108)	110	45% (33)	265	3.83 (78)	#95 (.21)	45% (102)	24.6	48% (113)	40% (61)	3.66 (54)	41.3	1.7	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NEV		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
WKU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NEV Offense	13	23.1	17.8	44.5%	3.88	1.2	19	377	164	213	4.6	53%	47%	47%	42%	16%	.21
WKU Defense	14	24.6	13.5	44.7%	3.66	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	63%	36%	48%	40%	13%	.21

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NEV Defense	13	28.8	31.3	46.4%	4.33	1	-	-	-	-	-	56%	44%	49%	43%	14%	.24
WKU Offense	14	24.9	26.3	41.8%	3.83	1.7	19	374	110	265	3.5	45%	55%	38%	45%	16%	.19

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Nevada	13	31:02	19.5	45%	52%	7.6	73.1	1.2	1	4.2	1.1	1	26.4
Western Kentucky	14	27:52	19.3	41%	59%	4.1	41.3	1.7	1.5	4.9	1.6	0	29.7

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NEV Offense	13	53% (49)	47% (34)	35.4	164.2	4.6	21 (59)	.16 (51)	3.06 (61)	69% (93)	10% (81)	0.97 (66)
WKU Defense	14	63% (134)	48% (113)	-	-	-	-	.19 (103)	3.36 (116)	77% (93)	9% (88)	0.9 (35)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NEV Defense	13	56% (126)	49% (120)	-	-	-	-	.27 (130)	3.17 (90)	80% (109)	8% (120)	1.08 (107)
WKU Offense	14	45% (104)	38% (117)	31.1	109.7	3.5	14 (98)	.01 (121)	2.78 (108)	69% (100)	11% (87)	0.95 (77)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NEV Offense	13	47% (85)	42% (65)	19	28.2	212.6	7.6	11.2	19 (65)	8 (40)	.27 (58)	1.6 (71)	32% (68)	32% (62)	.42 (30)	6% (74)	2.1 (59)
WKU Defense	14	36% (1)	40% (61)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (66)	.29 (99)	1.8 (128)	28% (116)	29% (46)	.23 (37)	3% (132)	2.1 (92)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NEV Defense	13	44% (11)	43% (92)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (52)	.2 (50)	1.5 (49)	30% (104)	39% (130)	.46 (119)	7% (48)	1.9 (41)
WKU Offense	14	55% (27)	45% (33)	22.1	33.5	264.6	7.9	12	28 (15)	12 (85)	.36 (28)	1.6 (59)	33% (91)	30% (92)	.29 (89)	6% (55)	1.9 (100)

Nevada's Power Ratings
Nevada's Power Rating: 0.00 #69
Nevada's Offense Rating: 0.00 #131
Nevada's Defense Rating: 0.00 #7
2025 Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #61
Nevada's 2025 Expected Record: 1.7 - 1.3
Nevada's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -20.4 #131
Nevada's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.3 #119
Nevada's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.7 #127

Nevada's SP+ Ratings
Nevada's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -20.4 #131
Nevada's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.3 #119
Nevada's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.7 #127

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 462.82
Average Power Five Talent: 862.84
Average FBS Talent: 688.93

Power Ratings Matchup
Nevada: 0.00 Western Kentucky: -17.38

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Nevada: -20.4 Western Kentucky: -7.6

Western Kentucky's Power Ratings
Western Kentucky's Power Rating: -17.38 #124
Western Kentucky's Offense Rating: 4.32 #118
Western Kentucky's Defense Rating: 23.70 #118
2025 Talent Rating: 438.00 #114
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Western Kentucky's 2025 Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2

Western Kentucky's SP+ Ratings
Western Kentucky's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.6 #94
Western Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.7 #108
Western Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #70

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 371.82
Average Power Five Talent: 862.84
Average FBS Talent: 688.93

Nevada Scoring
Offense: 23.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.8
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.3

Nevada's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Western Kentucky 27
Nevada 24

Projected Total Points: 51

Western Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 24.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.3
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.5

Western Kentucky's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Western Kentucky	0	0	0 Overs
Nevada	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0

(#69) Nevada Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 0.00 #69
Offense Rating: 0.00 #131
Defense Rating: 0.00 #7
Overall SP+ Rating: -20.4 #131
Offense SP+ Rating: 18.3 #119
Defense SP+ Rating: 38.7 #127
Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #61
Expected Record: 1.7 - 1.3

Nevada Ratings Matchup Western Kentucky

Power #69

#124

Off #131

#118

Def #7

#118

Talent #

#114

SP+ #131

#94

SP+ Off #119

#108

SP+ Def #127

#70

Weather Forecast
Playing in Houchens Industries-L. T. Smith Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: NEV | WKU
Depth Chart: NEV | WKU
Rosters: NEV | WKU

(#124) Western Kentucky Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -17.38 #124
Offense Rating: 4.32 #118
Defense Rating: 23.70 #118
Overall SP+ Rating: -7.6 #94
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.7 #108
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #70
Talent Rating: 438.00 #114
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2

Nevada's OC David Gilbertson

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
AJ Bianco	16	24	67%	173	1	0	7.2
Marcus Bellon	1	2	50%	44	1	0	22.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Savion Red	119	687	8	5.8	69
Herschel Turner	79	405	4	5.1	43
Pat Garwo III	55	246	5	4.5	25
Sean Dollars	47	165	0	3.5	26

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jaden Smith	62	849	7	13.7	62
Marcus Bellon	39	522	4	13.4	63
Jordan Brown	11	140	0	12.7	42
Nick Rempert	11	127	1	11.5	40

Western Kentucky's OC Will Friend

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
George Hart III	44	204	2	4.6	30
Jalen Hampton	11	57	0	5.2	14
K.D. Hutchinson	8	51	0	6.4	42
John Cannon	1	17	0	17.0	17

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jairus Mack	19	418	0	22.0	59
K.D. Hutchinson	26	392	3	15.1	74
Noah Meyers	7	123	1	17.6	24
Kody Epps	8	54	1	6.8	17

Nevada's DC Kane Ioane

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kitan Crawford	76	3	0	1	6
Tongiaki Mateialona	61	9	2	0	2
Stone Combs	58	3	1	0	0
Aedan Seiuli	45	2	1	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kristopher Ross	29	6	3	3	2
Jonathan Maldonado	17	3	2	0	1
Tongiaki Mateialona	61	9	2	0	2
Stone Combs	58	3	1	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kitan Crawford	76	3	0	1	6
Caine Savage	22	0	0	0	4
Tongiaki Mateialona	61	9	2	0	2

Western Kentucky's DC Tyson Summers

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jaylen Lewis	43	2	0	0	5
Kent Robinson	33	4	2	0	4
Braxton Myers	31	2	0	0	2
Anthony Brackenridge	24	1	0	2	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kent Robinson	33	4	2	0	4
Jayden Gray	14	3	2	1	1
Dominic Oliver	15	2	1	1	0
Jaylen Lewis	43	2	0	0	5

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Jaylen Lewis	43	2	0	5
Kent Robinson	33	4	2	4
Braxton Myers	31	2	0	2